Gold Breaks $3400 – Targets $3500 Amid Tensions (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the lower timeframe, we can see that today, following Israel's missile and airstrike attacks on Iran, gold experienced a sharp rally. As anticipated last night, gold finally managed to break through the strong $3400 resistance, surging over 600 pips to reach $3447.
Currently, gold is trading around $3438, and given the escalation in geopolitical tensions, I expect further upside movement.
The next potential targets are $3449, $3469, and possibly $3500.
⚠️ Due to ongoing conflict and extreme volatility, it's advised to avoid trading or proceed only with minimal risk exposure.
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Nasdaq
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Swing-low support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 21,479.25 which is a swing-low support that aligns closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 21,320.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 21,721.90 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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2025-06-12 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Neutral around 21900. 21700 was the lowest I expected and we printed 21716.5. Weekly close around 21900 is the most likely outcome for me. We have no acceptance above 21900 and none below 21800 as well. A trend day tomorrow would surprise me.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21700 - 22100
bull case: Bulls want to close the week above 21800 to print a green one. They had spikes above 21900 but nothing else. They are still somewhat in control because we are not making meaningful lower lows and are still at the highs but price action is neutral since last week so no side has the clear advantage. Weekly close above 22000 would be a surprise to me.
Invalidation is below 21680.
bear case: Bears have to close the gap down to 21680 if they want more downside. Until then they have to fade everything above 21900 since that has been profitable for a week now. A weekly close below 21800 would be a decent sell signal going into next week and a clear break of the wedge. Problem for the bears is the same as for bulls on the other side. On the 4h chart we have big tails above and below bars. Market is completely in balance around 21850ish and therefor I expect a weekly close around that price.
Invalidation is above 22100.
short term: Completely neutral. New high or low would surprise me tomorrow. I expect a choppy session where mean reversion will likely be king.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in.
trade of the day: Longing 21730 because it was support all week and the obvious trade.
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Key Catalysts:
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3 Electron launches in 24 days demonstrate operational agility and scalability.
Meets rising demand for high-frequency satellite constellation deployments.
Strategic GEOST Acquisition 🛡️
$275M deal expands into electro-optical and infrared payloads, key for defense/ISR.
Boosts margin profile, backlog durability, and government contract appeal.
Validated Execution & Recurring Revenue 💼
100% mission success rate and multi-launch contract with Japan's iQPS reinforce credibility.
Positions RKLB for long-term cash flow stability and multiyear contract wins.
Investment Outlook:
📈 Bullish above $23.00–$24.00, backed by high reliability and strategic expansion.
🎯 Price Target: $42.00–$43.00, reflecting an expanding TAM, defense sector momentum, and vertically integrated execution.
🌠 RKLB is no longer just reaching orbit—it's building the infrastructure of space. #RKLB #SpaceStocks #DefenseGrowth
USNAS100 | Breakout or Breakdown?USNAS100 | OVERVIEW
The price is currently stabilizing below the pivot level at 21790, suggesting continued bearish momentum.
📉 As long as the index remains below 21790, we expect a decline toward 21635. A confirmed 1H candle close below this level could extend the bearish trend toward 21470.
📈 A shift to bullish momentum will require a 1H candle close above 21820, which could open the way to 22090 and potentially a new all-time high at 22200.
Support Lines: 21635, 21470
Resistance Lines: 21930, 22090, 22200
Nasdaq - This starts the next +50% rally!Nasdaq - TVC:NDQ - might break out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Despite the quite harsh correction of about -25% which we saw in the beginning of 2025, the Nasdaq is clearly heading for new all time highs. It sounds almost incredible but if the Nasdaq breaks above the current confluence of resistance, a breakout rally of +50% will follow thereafter.
Levels to watch: $21.500, $33.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Staircase seen in real chartsFor the most part OANDA:NAS100USD has exhibited a near perfect staircase up so far.
It does appear fairly extended right now, but with rotation out of safe havens into risk on assets again, what remains to be seen is how much fuel is in the tank, and how far can the tailwind take it.
Nasdaq: Momentum Backed by AI, But Caution WarrantedThe Nasdaq Composite closed at 19,714.99 on June 10, extending its rally to three straight days. This rise is underpinned by three key factors: strong AI-led earnings, a supportive macro backdrop, and bullish technical patterns.
1. Fundamentals: AI Fuels Earnings
Top tech firms like NVIDIA (Q1 revenue: $44B+) and Broadcom are benefiting from the ongoing AI boom, driving the index higher. Even smaller firms like Duolingo (+53% YTD) are seeing outsized gains thanks to AI integration.
2. Macroeconomics: Stable Policy, Trade Hopes
The Fed’s steady rate policy (4.25–4.5%) is helping high-growth tech stocks maintain strong valuations. Meanwhile, improved U.S.–China trade sentiment has lifted investor confidence.
3. Technicals: Bullish Structure Holds
The Nasdaq 100 remains in a rising channel, trading above its 20-day moving average. Key levels to watch:
Resistance: 21,950–22,200
Support: 21,400 and 20,340
A breakout above 22,200 could open room for further upside.
Caution: Market Breadth is Narrow
Much of the rally is driven by a few mega-cap names—the “Magnificent Seven”: Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, Meta, and Tesla. Their outsized influence means the index may rise even while broader market participation is weak.
Key Takeaways for Traders
AI-related earnings continue to fuel growth.
Rate stability supports tech valuations.
Market breadth is thin—watch for volatility if leadership stumbles.
Use technicals to time entries, but manage risk carefully.
Conclusion
While the Nasdaq’s rally is fundamentally and technically sound, narrow breadth adds fragility. Stay with the trend, but monitor signs of rotation or pullback closely.
Nasdaq Potential Daily ReversalIPDA Speaking + Contract closure we can see speed take place to reach BSL outside IPDA range but why whould the just past 20 days HRLR instead of moving higher with speed
Because of Intermarket striction
maybe to build more stops there but it would be greater in terms of liquidity efficiency to place a fake D high in here and reverse, take the liquidity lower on D HRLR and then continue higher to reach 22,672.00.
The key here is: do we breach above the D SIBI or do we react from it.
one of two will unlock the next 20 to 40 trading days of delivery.
USNAS100 | CPI Data to Drive Next Move – Key Pivot at 21790USNAS100 | OVERVIEW
The index is showing sensitive price action, especially after stabilizing above the pivot level at 21790. The release of U.S. CPI data will likely dominate today's movements.
If CPI > 2.5%:
Stronger inflation could pressure the index lower. A drop toward 21790 is expected, and a break below this level may extend the bearish trend toward 21635, and possibly 21480. However, holding above 21790 may keep the bullish structure intact.
If CPI < 2.5%:
Weaker-than-expected inflation would support bullish momentum, with potential to push higher toward 22090 and test the all-time high at 22200.
Support Lines: 21790, 21635, 21480
Resistance Lines: 22090, 22200
2025-06-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Range is 21500 - 22000 for a week now. Neutral but selling new highs and buying every pullback has been profitable for quite a while now. It will end some day but likely not today. Bulls finally want the 22000 print and after so many tries they still could not print it. It’s painful to watch. Fading the extremes was good for a month now and I have no bigger opinion on where we might close this week. Anything below 21700 would be a huge bear surprise and could mean the bull wedge break to the downside and next target would be 21500.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21500 - 22000
bull case: Bulls expect 22000 and buy every pullback. Their problem is, that they have tried so so many times now and could still not print it. How many more times will they try? The wedge will break eventually and I highly doubt it will be to the upside. Bulls can not hold long at the highs since pullbacks are 130-500 points big. Look for longs on decent pullbacks once bears give up. Multiple times below 21800 today. When we print 22000, what are the odds of this going higher for 22500 or new ath above 22688? No idea but looking at the wedge and the structure since April, longing momentum makes sense but that’s it.
Invalidation is below 21390.
bear case: Just imagine cpi comes in hot… Bears can only dream. They are doing fine selling new highs and scalping for 100+ points. They are too weak to print lower lows, so don’t bet on them. Once we go below 21700 again, we can look for better targets and market is likely neutral again. Until then, try not to get trapped.
Invalidation is above 22100.
short term: Likely bearish around 21950-22000 for another pullback into 21750/21800. Still expecting 22k to get hit tomorrow. Rough guess: If we move strongly above 22080ish, we could see an acceleration upwards due to short covering from hell but don’t bet on it. Only go with the momentum if it happens.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in.
trade of the day: Longing 21800 was good so many times since Friday.
NASDAQ: Close to a strong bounce.Nasdaq is about to turn overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.736, MACD = 505.460, ADX = 18.046) as it is extending an uptrend since the 4H MA50 test/bounce. Such low paced price increase typically precedes strong breakouts. Since the long term pattern is a Channel Up, we are still on its 3rd bullish wave overall. The prior ones were +9.50% on avg, so we remain bullish on the short term, TP = 22,500.
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Nasdaq Bearish 4hNasdaq Bearish after the failure in continuation through Previous Weekly High and the rejection afterwards.
Setting the Target to 21,471.00 Swing Low and using 21,716.00 as Low Easy Hanging Fruit (LEHF) objective that We may even reach today despite the small range day expectation (pre-CPI)
Nasdaq at Supply Zone – Rejection or Breakout? (READ THE CAPTIONBy examining the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is still trading within the supply zone around 21,850. We are still waiting for a strong rejection from this level, which could lead to a short-term price correction in this index.
The potential downside targets are:
21,000, 20,700, 20,200, and 19,150.
The key supply range lies between 21,400 and 22,200.
Additionally, there is a possibility of a liquidity grab or stop-hunt above 22,200 before any real drop begins.
This analysis will be considered invalid if price closes above 22,400 in the next three weeks.
On the fundamental side, there are several macro factors to watch:
Interest Rate Expectations:
Although inflation in the U.S. has cooled compared to last year, the Fed remains cautious. If upcoming CPI or PPI prints show unexpected resilience, the likelihood of rate cuts this year could diminish, pressuring tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq.
Tech Sector Valuations:
Valuations in major tech names — such as NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft — have reached historically high multiples. This makes Nasdaq particularly vulnerable to correction, especially if earnings disappoint or growth expectations soften.
Geopolitical Risks:
Ongoing tensions between the U.S. and China over trade and technology, as well as potential instability in the Middle East, could contribute to a risk-off sentiment — further supporting the case for a short-term pullback.
Earnings Season Ahead:
Q2 earnings season is around the corner. Any signs of slowing revenue growth or reduced forward guidance from major tech firms could act as a catalyst for the expected correction.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Nasdaq-100 (NDX) Weekly Chart 2025 Chart Context
This weekly timeframe analysis of the Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) forms a key pillar in our 2025 macro analysis series. Following the breakout structure seen in TOTAL, TOTAL2, BTC.D, and US10Y, this chart utilizes 2 Fibonacci tools (1 trend-based extensions and 1 retracement) to project potential corrective and expansion scenarios.
Fibonacci Tools Used:
Fibonacci Retracement : Applies to the recent smaller swing to determine micro retracement zones and cluster supports.
0=20674 and 100=10504
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: Drawn using a three-leg structure (point A= 3993 to B=16724 to C10504) to forecast upside targets beyond ATH.
All take-profit (TP) levels: TP1 (~23,400), TP2 (~26,700), and TP3 (~30,344.49)—are located at confluence zones where Fibonacci levels from different tools align, reinforcing their validity and strength.
There is a 4TP above all the Visible TPs
Key price references:
0% retracement: ~20,674.71
Next Resistance ~23,400 (confluence of extensions and psychological resistance)
Projected TPs:
1TP=~23,400,
2TP=~26,700,
3TP=~30,344.49,
4TP=44000
Support/Resistance:
Red zone: ~16,700–18,300 (historical S/R and correction target and Fib Confluences)
Resistance zone: ~23,000–23,400 ,
22000(ATH area)
Key Technical Observations:
Fibonacci Retracement from ~20674 to ~15732 marks the initial corrective range.
Trend-Based Extensions forecast:
TP1 (~23,400): First breakout resistance
TP2 (~26,700): Medium-term expansion zone
TP3 (~30,344): Long-term target if macro tailwinds persist
Scenario Pathways:
Bullish Continuation: Breaks above ATH to reach TP2/TP3
Healthy Correction: Pullback to ~20,600 or deeper ~18,300 before resumption
Deep Correction: Revisits ~16,700 zone if macro environment deteriorates
Fundamental Context:
Tech Stocks & Economic Sentiment: NDX is often the first to move during liquidity expansions. Its performance signals risk-on behavior across global equity markets.
Rate Cuts in 2025: With anticipated Fed rate cuts, tech stocks are primed for inflows. Forward earnings valuations rise, justifying extended upside in high-beta tech.
AI Boom & Earnings Growth: Nasdaq is heavily weighted toward AI, cloud, and semiconductors—sectors expected to lead earnings surprises.
NDX Influence on Gold and Crypto
When NDX rallies:
Crypto: Risk appetite improves. Capital rotation flows into altcoins and layer-1 assets.
Bitcoin: Often sees parallel inflows, especially during strong tech rallies (e.g., 2020).
TOTAL & TOTAL3: Begin breakout patterns if NDX continues to surge.
Gold: May stall or correct as investors favor risk assets. However, gold still holds due to macro hedging and real yield pressures.
When NDX corrects:
Crypto: Volatility spikes. Altcoins bleed faster.
Bitcoin: Short-term dip but may decouple if viewed as digital gold.
Gold: Benefits from flight-to-safety behavior.
US10Y: Often reacts inversely to NDX moves—used for confirmation.
Search Highlights (2024–2025):
Institutions view NDX correction as signal to rotate into commodities (incl. gold).
Cross-market correlations show NDX peaks often precede crypto mini-rallies.
De-risking from NDX often triggers gold strength, especially in geopolitical or inflationary backdrops.
Bias & Strategy Implication
Primary Bias: Bullish
Expecting upside continuation to 26,700–30,000 zone
Multiple correction opportunities are present even during rally
Strategic Actions:
Monitor for correction to yellow/red zones for accumulation
Use NDX behavior as leading macro signal for crypto rotations
Watch resistance at 23,400 closely; breakout confirms trend extension
Time Horizon
Short-Term (1–2 months): Watch for breakout or correction to ~20,600–18,300
Mid-Term (3–6 months): Probable test of ~26,700
Long-Term (6–12 months): Potential expansion to ~30,344.49
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Potential bullish bounce off 50% Fibo support?The Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 21,703.02 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 21,400.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 22,022.32 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USNAS100 Bearish Below 21,790 – Key Levels to WatchUSNAS100 – Overview
The price remains under bearish pressure as long as it trades below the pivot level at 21,790. A continued move lower is expected toward the support at 21,635, and a 15-minute close below this level may extend the bearish trend toward 21,480.
To shift to a bullish outlook, the price must stabilize above 21,920, which could open the path toward 22,090.
Pivot: 21,790
Support Levels: 21,635 · 21,480 · 21,250
Resistance Levels: 21,920 · 22,090 · 22,200