Neutral
SPY: Update. Oversold Analysis was CorrectAnother successful analysis. The trading since December has been rather difficult as you can see by the many long long wicks each monthly candle has
left behind. This means neither the bulls nor the bears were in complete control of the sentiment. But with the right analysis in conjunction with
proper risk management we can profit in any situation. Most of my charts have been predicting correctly what is most likely to happen. Here I can not be certain what will happen because we do not have enough information. The daily time frame has SPY (and the general markets) already in slightly overbought territory. I expect a pullback somewhat like what happened in gold (another successful trading plan even though it has been choppy). We need for the daily to pullback and the monthly to signal a long term buy signal if the bulls want that higher all time high. For now we just wait with out a position. If the markets rally and take off with out us that is ok we will wait for a nice 1hr set up with hidden or positive divergence if so. If it pulls back we will do the same and wait the 1hr time frame for positive divergence or a buy signal to buy the markets.
A LUNA Tale - play what is given83 and 53 are key supports for me. Will DCA down to 53 if available. The testing of the ATH resistance is strong. If it breaks through, I dont expect a $200 moon mission. $135 - $140 for a sell and a return to $105.
EUR/JPY - Wait for BreakMonthly:
1. Very strong push to the upside after break
2. The price now face stron resistance
Looks Neutral for now
Weekly:
1. Double Top
2. Break of strong support level
3. Neckline test with rejection
Looks bearish for the moment.
If see bearish signals on lower timeframe
i will sell.
Daily:
1. Morning star formation from the bottom
2. Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern
Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is trend
reversal structure so I will watch carefully what
will happend next week.
4H:
1. Inverted Head and Shoulders
If brake up will be good chance for buy
when pullback for test.
If brake down will be good chance to sell
when pullback for test.
Worrying BTC chartBTC has been ranging 30-60k for almost a year now. Currently it has tested weekly support in low 30s about 10 times! We can say currently 30k is old 6k where we had established multi month support previously and we know what happened when it broke.. This weekly candle looks pretty bad is it retraced almost whole move. Having that said, still best bet is in low 30k's hoping that support will hold once again. The question is are buyers are going to step in and buy this support that has been tested so many times..