EUR/USD about to FALL!Hey tradomaniacs,
recent news by the ECB have caused a sharp drop in EUR/USD (Was pretty obvious as the ECB is not here to fight inflation, instead to provide liquidity to help suffering countries).
Ever since we have the huge divergence between the FED and ECB im generally looking for sells in EUR/USD until something changes in Lagardes monetary policy.
However, technically a great short with high risk-reward. Market-depth clearly showing a spoof by fake-buyers right at the resistance (adding and pulling liquidity before triggered).
What do you think?
NEWS
4-8th April Economic Outlook!Hey traders,
Today we're going to be looking through this weeks economic calendar. We're going to look at what data is going to be released and what really is going to be affecting the market. I will also share my bias on the different pairs and the different data being released to see if any of these are going to be tradeable or whether or not we should just kind of stay out of the market during these times of uncertainty. I hope you enjoy this outlook into the week ahead. It's going to be a quiet week compared to recent times unless we get any breaking news coming out of Russia and Ukraine. In terms of economic data releases, it is going to be a little bit quieter than usual.
Monday - 4th April
We don't have too much happening in our favor on Monday. Here the biggest release is the unemployment change for Spain. While it may move the euro just a little bit, I'm not seeing a whole lot of tradeable opportunity. I think Monday is going to be a lot better just to kind of sit back and watch to see what happens.
Tuesday - 5th April
On Tuesday, we get a little bit more exciting. We have a fair bit of data being released for us.
🟨 AIG Construction Index
Early in the morning we have the AUD, AIG construction index. This index indicates how well the construction industry is actually running at the moment, it's not something we're going to trade, but rather it's good insight as looking ahead into the PMI, into our employment rates and then overall trade balance in the future. It is a good indication of how well the economy is running confined into that construction sector as it is a very large employer in Australia.
🟥 Cash Rate
Coming in a little bit later in the day, we have a very large, definitely tradeable event with the RBA rate statement and their overall cash rate. The forecast is for it to remain at 0.10%. I believe this will remain at 0.10%. I'm not expecting any shock announcements. However, in the event we do get a shock number come through, it's going to be a very volatile time and a possible opportunity to be able to catch a lot of pips on the Aussie dollar. If we do get a shock event on this, it will move for a few hours prior to entering into the European market so keep an eye on this release.
⬜ EUR
Looking ahead, we do get a lot of services PMI coming out for the euro, but not really looking to be trading that. I'd rather use that as an indication of how well the economy is running, looking ahead into future releases.
🟥 ISM Services PMI
The biggest standout is the ISM services PMI for the US dollar. Obviously the market is forecasting growth in the services industry. I'm not too sure how well that's going to stand. It's not something I usually trade. However, given the previous data releases, I'm unsure if it's going to be able to maintain its bullish forecast. We've been told that construction spending is down, the manufacturing PMI, while still expanding has slower growth than what it was first anticipated. Our nonfarm employment change was negative. There's a lot of different areas suggesting that we may not be as hawkish as what the forecast says. So I do expect this to come in a little less than what we're looking at currently but only time will tell.
Wednesday - 6th April
🟧 Crude Oil Inventories
This is going to be an interesting one. This is something I've been looking to try to look to how it affects the US dollar, but rather something I'm just overly intrigued about given the current circumstances in the world.
🟥 FOMC Meeting Minutes
FOMC meeting minutes is always volatile one. it is good to have a look through what the meeting discussed and how it went on. For users that don't know how this affects the market FOMC meeting minutes is a detailed record of the FOMC's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic and financial conditions that influenced their vote on where to set interest rates.
Thursday - 7th April
🟨 AIG Service Index
Another AUD index release. We have the construction index earlier in the week, now we have the services index coming out. Once again it's not something I trade, however, it is fantastic insight into retail sales data. When we do get those retail sales announced next week, we can use this services index to give us a pivotal action point on where those retail sales are aiming, which is why I've noticed that in today's economic calendar, it's worth noting because we can make a preemptive play on the retail sales data release.
🟨 Retail Sales
The Euro retail sales expecting a little bit of an increase with the overall potential panic buying happening across Europe. It's going to be interesting to see what happens here. We massively missed the forecast in March. However, it is looking like they've been a little bit bearish while still forecasting growth of 0.6%. Banks are no longer aiming for the real high numbers, I think we're going to come in maybe around 1%, but I'm not putting money on that prediction, it is rather an assumption. I will have to do some more research and I recommend you do you same as well, having the services PMI come through this week from all the different countries within Europe is going to be a great insight into how well the economy is actually performing on the retail sales front.
Friday - 8th April
Nothing worth mentioning on Friday, the week is going to come to a slow stop. As I said, it is a bit of a slow week this week, only a few different data points worth noting, so we will end the week quite quiet. Obviously, we might have a bit more movement on the fundamental side of things next week but this week looks like it's lining to be a great technical analysis trading week. Always keep your eye on the whole Russia and Ukraine situation because anything can happen there and the market will react accordingly. Do keep your news streams live and in depth as you don't want to be caught off guard by anything going on over there.
These are personally just my outlooks having a look into the future week. Do note the data to keep an eye on when they are released and of course you can use the TradingView calendar as well to keep note on that. Have a fantastic trading week, I wish you all the best success.
(ETH) Ethereum BUY & HOLD LONG Ethereum
We open a LONG position.
The second crypto by market cap is in sale price at $ 3300
1) Media 100 to 1W is acting as a support
2) RSI with ashi candles crossed 50%
3) The support of February 2021 which coincides with the average 100 (1w) has been respected
Take profit aprox. $ 10k
No Stop Loss, Just Hold for the Swing
For more info contact us privately.
LPI.sa
Cardano Price Analysis — March 25ADA has finally snapped the $1 barrier and has tapped the $1.191 top following a four-day parabolic bull run. However, the cryptocurrency has retraced to the $1.100 support area, as bulls ran out of steam near the $1.200 resistance.
That said, the seventh-largest cryptocurrency has put the 100 EMA below it, securing a goodish bias despite the recent retrace. As we head into the weekend, I expect a mild bearish continuation towards the $1.050 support. After that, I expect to see a bullish rebound to the $1.200 - $1.250 range.
Meanwhile, our resistance levels are $1.150, $1.200, and $1.250, and our support levels are $1.100, $1.050, and $1.000.
Total Market Capitalization: $2.01 trillion
Cardano Market Capitalization: $38.4 billion
Cardano Dominance: 1.9%
Market Rank: #7
Pick A or BIs price accumulating or redistributing?
Price is moving within this range?
Where to next?
I’m inclined to believe A is the higher chance of of probabilities
I haven’t even checked but it looks like price is waiting for news catalyst to make a dramatic move, either way.
Pay attention to 4 hour candle closes
$PYPL Looking for a Breakout to fill Gap down from $160+ to $200Let's start with the Tech side of things:
1. Has flipped the PARSAR bullish on the daily and is about to flip it bullish on the weekly
2. Accum/Distri has begun to climb sideways and upwards on the daily and the weekly after being down since Oct last year
3. MACD is been flipped bullish on the Daily and is about to be flipped bullish on the weekly
This is just a few of the technicals that have turned bullish in the last few weeks, there are several more.
Analysts:
1. MoffettNathanson's Lisa Ellis raised her buy recommendation to $190 this past week
2. Deutsche Bank's Bryan Keane raised his buy recommendation to $200
Why are they Bullish?
Keane met with Paypal's CFO John Rainey this past week, following which he wrote that: "Beyond new product initiatives, PYPL also stands to benefit from expanding into China later in the year (catalyst for ) as well as through increased omni-channel capabilities as it integrates card based solutions and Zettle."
Zettle by PayPal is its point-of-sale solution; its maker was bought by PayPal in 2018.
Ellis wrote that she believes the stock is very attractively priced, and that she " upside from the strong U.S. eBay growth (27% in 4Q21), a macro recovery in China and other international markets, and the rollout of new services, including , crypto investing, and bill payment."
$SPY Clear Breakout Continues Monday Possibly into Wednesday$SPY has been on an absolute tear the last few business days and for good reason.
For the most part the interest rate hikes, war in Ukraine and the "New" Covid subvariants from Europe are all baked into the price and the tide has turned, there are now more bearish than bullish people which means its a time to buy.
The uncertainty surrounding the markets have indeed tapered off. I expect stocks like $PYPL $MULN and Tech Electronic stocks to gain back considerable ground.
Not to mention on the tech side of things the $SPY has broken the key resistance at the 50MA and 200MA and is about to break through the Ichimoku Cloud.
$PYPL Clears the way for a breakout to the Upside PT $200A year after PayPal adopted the crypto market and allowed users to receive and use crypto for goods, PayPal has returned to its Pre-Covid levels that most tech companies have recently returned to after seeing an extraordinary last two years.
Now in a clear uptrend with the stock market and crypto heading back up to breakout levels I anticipate PayPal to follow suite and gain considerable ground over the next few weeks.
My current PT is $180-$200
I've bought May 20th $150 Calls in anticipation of this.
GLTU All
Fibonacci would buy BTC. Wouldn't you?Fibonacci would buy BTC. Wouldn't you?
What happened?
The market only retraced from the resistance to support.
There's no crash. Don't worry.
- RSI is oversold.
- Price is below all 4-h Fibonacci levels (=oversold).
- The markets sit on a support trendline.
- Linear Regression:
-- Every time it happened, BTC pumped sharply.
Target: $41k.
(This is an AI-written analysis. No humans were involved. DYR.)
Short Term Profit Trade Idea - Check Stop Loss and Take Profit!Sentiment: Bearish (short term)
Entry Price: Orange Line Horizontal
Target Price: $42,000
Take Profit Price: $42,500
Stop Loss: $45,100 (just above resistance)
*using Pionex reverse leverage grid robot, which lets me lock up my BTC and loan 5x USDT for my trade. I control the amount of grids and profit/loss per grid….highly recommend. Switching over to Margin grid as soon as BTC bounces off the support of $42K. From $42K, we are looking at target price of $50K-$56K with new support at $45K.
Buy Dips and Eat Chips.