NewtekOne | NEWT | Long at $10.92NewtekOne NASDAQ:NEWT is a financial holding company providing business and financial solutions to small- and medium-sized businesses across the U.S. Services include Newtek Bank, business lending, SBA loans, electronic payment processing, payroll and benefits, insurance, and technology solutions. While the stock has taken a major hit recently, insiders have scooped up over $1 million in shares with an average price of $11.70. Currently trading at a P/E of 5.6x, forward P/E of 6.6x, and near book value, the stock may be poised for a move up soon with the anticipation of interest rates dropping. Revenue is up 24.93% from $271.15M (2023) to $338.73M (2024) and earnings are forecast to grow 11.63% per year, but the company does have a high debt-to-equity ratio (over 5x).
Tariffs could indirectly impact NASDAQ:NEWT by increasing costs for its small- and medium-sized business clients, particularly in industries reliant on imports (e.g., manufacturing, retail). Higher costs may reduce client profitability, increasing loan default risks or reducing demand for Newtek’s lending and payment processing services. But an interest rate reversal may greatly limit the impact (longer-term).
So, at $10.92, NASDAQ:NEWT is in a personal buy zone.
Targets into 2027:
$12.00 (+9.9%)
$14.00 (+28.2%)
NEWT
Newtek Business out of business. NEWTFurther drops almost guaranteed as we approach pivot on this one on what is already progressing Wave C. Momentum drops are also evident. Keltner channels, and no doubt, and any other oscillator that we can pull up on this TradingView will give more evidence to the fractal picture we are observing here.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
NEWT: Downtrend target hit, time expires soon...$NEWT is one of the stocks we monitor in our income stock watchlist. I like how it's setting up for a buy here, normally it falls after going ex-dividend, since investors leg into it ahead of the dividend being paid, and exit after receiving it. This is a reliable pattern in this stock.
Technicals show price met a downtrend target slightly ahead of time, and as soon as it turns up over a previous day high, it will be safe to be long this stock. Additionally, we could wait for time to expire, by the date shown with the green vertical bar on chart.
I estimate price will act as per the yellow arrow on chart, if it follows 'Time @ Mode' rules by the book (which is likely overall).
Best of luck,
Ivan Labrie.