Nifty on hourly chart on the verge of Cup and Handle Formation.A Cup and Handle kind of structure is forming on the hourly chart of Nifty. For the structure to complete Nifty has to close above 17429. In that case the next resistances for Nifty will be at 17472, 17528 (Strong Resistance) Closing above 17528 can potentially take Nifty to 17647 and 17803. Supports for Nifty remain at the levels of 17310, 17212 and 17171. The Bias in Nifty still remains positive.
Niftyanalysis
Nifty 27 Mar 23 to 31 Mar 23 Short ,Medium and Long TermNifty 27 Mar 23 to 31 Mar 23 Short ,Medium and Long Term
Nifty touched a high of 17530 and low of 16850.
Nifty closed at 16945 (Prev Close 17100).
As per the last week call, Nifty went down and tested 16923.
RSI , stochastic and MACD still at oversold zone and yet to recover / Cross the Signal / Moving Average.
Nifty might fall further as there is monthly expiry, Financial year end profit/Loss booking and Global issues.
Nifty(16945) short term - Go short
Nifty Resistance at 17200/17465
Nifty Support at 16764/16697 (inclined trend line - Green Color)
Nifty Medium Term -
Nifty need to break decisively above 17465 to reach 17800-17900
If not, Nifty might fall below 16764 to reach 16400/16300 Zone where there are next support.
Long term - Buyable if there is any dip
Target Nifty Resistance 17800-17900/ 18109(sep high) / 18122(0.5 fib new) /18268 (Dec22 end Jan23 high)
In case if it falls below 16300, then market may go down to 15900.
Long term Investors if there is a fall in market, following Mutual Funds can be accumulated
NIFTY 50 Equal weight ( 16945 buyable at 16300 until 15900),
Bank Nifty ( 39395 buyable at 38620/38160)
Nifty IT ( 27935 buyable at 27400/27000)
Great Fightback by the Nifty in last 90 - 100 MinutesLast 2 hours today saw Nifty forming a bottom near 16828 that was the low of the day and making a pretty solid comeback. The momentum can lead us to open in positive and as US and other Global markets are supporting possibly Gap up opening tomorrow. If Nifty can sustain above 17061 tomorrow and move above 17142 tomorrow or later in the week. We can see a relief rally towards in the 17540 and 17650. 17221 and 17323 will be other important resistance points in this upmove. If Nifty can't sustain and close above 17061 we might be looking towards another dip towards 16900, 16850 or 16747. FOMC meeting of US FED on Wednesday will be the game changer for end of the month. Let us see if we have a marvelous ending of March or Melancholy March.
niftyDISCLIMER
All the information shared in this chart is provided for strictly educational purposes only. This chart is sharing information are based on the theory of technical analysis. This is not an offer to buy or sell stocks, futures, options, commodity, forex, interests or any other trading security. Back test yourself before jump into live market consult your financial adviser and use proper risk management.
NIFTY : Levels for 15th MarNIFTY level marked on Chart. its already break daily support and we can see bears are in power since two days
Levels are marked on chart for intraday. Follow price action and become Price action chart Specialist.
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Morning Mantra - 15th March 2023Dear All,
We are just seeing the effect of the breakdown level of 17300. Wherein, it seems that Nifty is on its journey towards 16800.
On Monday, we had seen Nifty taking a support at 17180 . However, unfortunately the stated level of support was violated in yesterday’s market.
So, as of now, we will have to wait and watch for Nifty to either make a breakout of 17180 level , or to take a major support at around 16800 .
Till then be stock specific and be cautious.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
Divergence on RSI will try to drive Nifty upwardsThere is a divergence formed in RSI in the last one hour during todays fall. Indicating that we may see positivity today. Nifty may end in Green territory if there is no further bad news from US. 17258 and 17355 will be important resistances. Followed by 17488 which is the 50 EMA. Supports are at 17113, 16952 and 16745. The last 2 only if there is some further major bad news. Otherwise 17113 and 17017 are pretty solid supports.
Nifty 13 Mar 23 to 17 Mar 23 Short ,Medium and Long TermNifty 13 Mar 23 to 17 Mar 23 Short ,Medium and Long Term
Nifty touched a high of 17801 and low of 17331.
Nifty closed at 17413 ( Prev close 17594 ) due to US Bank issues.
Nifty to go down and test 17133/17088/17000 in the coming week.
RSI , stochastic and MACD have recovered and increased, later declined at the end of week to selling zone. Markwt still not in oversold zone.
Nifty short term -
Will go down and the crucial support need to hold.
Nifty Resistance at 17650/17712 (Inclined Trend line - Shown in green color)
Nifty Support at 17368 MA200 /17355(new low) /17200/ 17167 (aug 22 Low)/17133 ( Red Inclined trend line)/ 17088 ( Blue Inclined trend line)
Nifty Medium Term
Nifty will be range bound in medium term from 17000 to 18268.
Nifty need to break decisively above 18268 to reach 18800-18900 in Medium term and Support at 17000
Nifty Resistance 18109(sep high) / 18122(0.5 fib new) /18268 (Dec22 end Jan23 high)
Long term
Target 19500/20500 possible if it breaks above 18268
In case if it falls below 17000, then next crucial support is at 16793, which will act as major long term support.
NIFTY 50 Equal weight, Bank Nifty, Nifty IT and Mutual funds can be accumulated for long term.
Morning Mantra - 13th March 2023Dear All,
Finally, once again Nifty took a beautiful support at the level of 17300 on Friday. Also the Index made a beautiful bullish reversal pattern , called hammer on the daily chart.
Well in our weekly analysis , we are quite optimistic for the market as of now. However, in case Nifty breaks the level of 17300 on closing basis for panic creation , then 17180 will work as a speed breaker in between 17300 and 16800 level.
So, keep patience and be stock specific.
Furthermore, as of now, 17800 will once again work as a strong resistance for the market.
Regards ,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
niftyDISCLIMER
All the information shared in this chart is provided for strictly educational purposes only. This chart is sharing information are based on the theory of technical analysis. This is not an offer to buy or sell stocks, futures, options, commodity, forex, interests or any other trading security. Back test yourself before jump into live market consult your financial adviser and use proper risk management.
Nifty Consolidating like a Diamond. Compressed Coal becomes diamond. Nifty looks like that compressed diamond right now. With upcoming rate hikes by US Fed and possibly RBI there is chance of further compression. But once this cycle of rate hike is done with, once the inflation is under control. The diamond will definitely shine and glitter and make the investors smile.
Nifty Supports are: 17325, 17255, 16956 and finally 16744.
Nifty Resistance are: 17452, 17582, 17785 and finally 18267.
Weak Nifty not able to cross 50 EMA despite multiple attempts.Nifty today barely took support at 200 days EMA. In the closing hours Nifty was weak and it will be difficult for Nifty I think to hold on to this level tomorrow. Three expected support zones for Nifty in the coming days can be 17512, 17353 and Finally 17253. Nifty not able to cross 50 Days EMA after multiple attempts can not be considered a good sign. 17800 remains a ver formidable resistance as of now befores Bulls can sniff a chance.
Morning Mantra - 10th March 2023Dear All,
Our stated level of 17800 had once again shown its magic as a level of Resistance , as it made a high of 17772.35, yesterday . Wherein, not being able to crossover, we had observed a major supply in Nifty therefrom.
Well currently, as per the day chart , we are expecting a minor bounce back in Nifty for today. So, it will be better to consider Today as a no trade day and to wait and watch for some clear indication from the market, since today is the last trading day of this week.
Furthermore, we are still with our words, that due to this consolidation in Nifty, now the levels of are 17800-18170-18400 . While on the lower side, below 17300 we can expect 16800 .
So, as of now, continue being stock specific and keep following the cherry picking strategy.
Regards ,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
200 Days EMA proved to be a great support for NIFTY today.200 Days EMA proved to be a great support for NIFTY today. If Nifty can hold it tomorrow It will have to punch above it's weight again and take down major resistance number 2 that tis 50 days EMA that is at 17809. Crossing 17809 will unleash the Nifty towards next resistances which are near 18016, 18141 and 18267. Supports for Nifty are near 17584 and 17253.
Morning Mantra - 9th March 2023Dear All,
What a beautiful day it was yesterday.
Wherein after a gap down opening we had observed a remarkable bounce back in Nifty, yesterday itself. Moreover, a perfect rounding bottom pattern is now clearly visible on the day chart.
Besides, finally we are on the edge of 17800, wherein it is quite acceptable that above 17800 on closing basis we can see another fresh move in Nifty towards 18170 .
Therefore, until then let’s keep our fingers crossed for this positive breakout and let’s continue being stock specific and following the cherry picking strategy, as of now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
niftyDISCLIMER
All the information shared in this chart is provided for strictly educational purposes only. This chart is sharing information are based on the theory of technical analysis. This is not an offer to buy or sell stocks, futures, options, commodity, forex, interests or any other trading security. Back test yourself before jump into live market consult your financial adviser and use proper risk management.
niftyDISCLIMER
All the information shared in this chart is provided for strictly educational purposes only. This chart is sharing information are based on the theory of technical analysis. This is not an offer to buy or sell stocks, futures, options, commodity, forex, interests or any other trading security. Back test yourself before jump into live market consult your financial adviser and use proper risk management.
Nifty ended the day just below 200 Hours EMA.The rampant run that Nifty started after making a base near 17255 has seen it make a high of 17799 and correct from there to close below 200 Hour's EMA at 17711(200 Hour's EMA is at 17716). Close above 17716 would have been great for the momentum to continue. Now that Nifty has closed below 200 Hour's EMA, Nifty probably will need a support to start next leg of Bull run. If by chance due to global factors Nifty can open with a gap above 200 Hour's EMA it can continue the bull run again with same momentum. Hourly RSI is at 65.7 which has corrected from 3 weeks high of 74.83. This also indicates need of little bit of consolidation before further bull run. Current squeezing pattern indicates peak 18100 or 18400 if the momentum continues.
Important Supports: 17681, 17559, 17435 and finally 17255.
Important Resistances: 17716, 17802, 17923 and finally 18007.
Morning Mantra - 6th March 2023Dear All,
We have got 2 positive takeaways from last Friday. One was a beautiful bounce back from the level of 17300, and the other was observing the hammer formation on the weekly chart of Nifty.
Well, as we had already stated in the Friday's Morning Mantra that this time after observing a closing of above 17300 level, we can expect to witness a sharp recovery in the Market. Likewise, we did observe the same on the last Friday itself.
Furthermore, now the level of 17800 will once again work as a strong resistance level for the Market. Above which, the levels of 18170 and 18400 will be the crucial ones.
Besides, with the support of 17300, following the Cherry Picking strategy will be the best methodology as of now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
Nifty 06 Mar 23 to 10 Mar 23 Short ,Medium and Long TermNifty 06 Mar 23 to 10 Mar 23 Short ,Medium and Long Term
Nifty 17300 /17200 support provided last week acted very well.
Nifty closed at 17594 ( Prev close 17465 )
Nifty touched a high of 17638 and low of 17273.
RSI, stochastic and MACD are in recovery zone.
Nifty short term - Will be upwards but need to cross the crucial resistance as mentioned below.
Nifty Resistance at 17650/17712 (Inclined Trend line - Shown in green color)
If it crosses 17712 in the week the other resistances to break 17819(0.5 fib old)/17900/18000(Aug high)
Nifty Support at 17435(dark red color horizontal line) /17368 MA200 /17355(new low) /17200
Nifty Medium Term
Nifty will be range bound in medium term from 17200 to 18268. Like previous week, this support levels are shown in Green & Red thick Horizontal lines.
Nifty need to break decisively above 18268 to reach 18800-18900 in Medium term and Support at 17000
Nifty Resistance 18109(sep high) / 18122(0.5 fib new) /18268 (Dec22 end Jan23 high)
Long term
Target 19500/20500 possible if it breaks above 18268
In case if it falls below 17000, then next support is at 16793, which will act as major long term support.
As mentioned in last week market corrected and reversed back from oversold zone, after a few dip. Nifty IT and NIFTY 50 Equal weight Mutual funds can be accumulated for long term.
Nifty Bank call was given for last two weeks to buy after touching low 39638 and it rose more than 4% (to 41251) last week and surpassed nifty. Still bank nifty will increase once it crosses 41300 and then to 41950/42850 in medium term.
Nifty IT 29857 also sustaining above 50 MA. Have potential to move upto 31850 in coming weeks if nifty is sustaining & crossing crucial resistances.
niftyDISCLIMER
All the information shared in this chart is provided for strictly educational purposes only. This chart is sharing information are based on the theory of technical analysis. This is not an offer to buy or sell stocks, futures, options, commodity, forex, interests or any other trading security. Back test yourself before jump into live market consult your financial adviser and use proper risk management.
Morning Mantra - 3rd March 2023Dear All,
Once again the level of 17300 worked beautifully, yesterday. Well, this can be a good opportunity for us, as a level of strong support for upcoming rally.
Today is the last trading day of this week, and we are quite positive to witness a bullish reversal candle on the weekly chart.
If Nifty gives a closing of above 17300 today, then we can expect a sharp recovery in the Market in the upcoming weeks.
In the meanwhile, continue being stock specific and can follow the cherry picking strategy for now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)