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NVIDIA – From Thesis to Profits: How Fundamentals & Technicals 📚💡 NVIDIA – From Thesis to Profits: How Fundamentals & Technicals Aligned 🚀🧠 This isn’t just a trade —it’s a lesson in how conviction, timing, and structure come together when you truly understand what you're investing in. I’ve been publicly calling NASDAQ:NVDA the “Best Buy of the Decade” since July 2021 when the price was around $18. Why? Because I’m a gamer, I understand chips, and I knew exactly what NVIDIA was building long before AI became a buzzword. From graphics cards to data centers and AI compute, the fundamentals were solid. But let me be clear: I’m not a holder forever. I use technical analysis to manage entries and exits. And that’s where the real edge comes in. 🎯 Here’s how the trade evolved: ✅ Initial entry: $17.88 (2021) ✅ First target hit: $143.85 → Took profits ✅ Re-entry: $96.85 → Got 33.5% more shares for the same money ✅ Today’s value (July 31st): Up +90.67% in just 100 days 📅 That’s from April 23rd to today. (and it was ALL publicly posted here, for You!) This is what happens when macro conviction meets micro execution. 🧠 The key takeaways: Fundamentals gave me the why. Technicals gave me the when. And risk management gave me more shares for free. That’s not luck —it’s structure, patience, and doing the work. If you’re just “HODLing” and hoping, consider learning how to work the chart instead of letting the chart work you. Let me know in the comments—did you catch this move? Are you in, or waiting for the next entry? One Love, The FX PROFESSOR 💙 ps. in this case i did not sell many shares today i hedged with a short on SP500. Nvidia might correct a bit Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
TRADENATIONSB:NVDA
by FX_Professor
Super X AI Technology Ltd AI Infrastructure Stock 100% upside🔋 1. AI Infrastructure Pivot & Platform Build-out Strength: 8/10 → 8.5/10 SUPX has made a major pivot in 2025, transitioning from a legacy business into next-gen AI infrastructure. The new focus includes AI servers, liquid cooling systems, HVDC power, and full-stack data center offerings targeting the rapidly growing demand for AI compute in Asia. This shift positions SUPX as a differentiated player in a high-growth market, opening doors to larger contract values and broader verticals. ________________________________________ 🤖 2. Technical Leadership Appointment Strength: 7/10 → 8/10 A major recent step forward is the hiring of a seasoned CTO with deep data center and AI hardware experience. This upgrade significantly enhances SUPX’s execution ability and credibility in enterprise infrastructure. Institutional investors and potential partners will see this as a sign SUPX can deliver on its technical roadmap and close major deals. ________________________________________ 📈 3. Asia Institutional Partnerships Pipeline Strength: 6.5/10 → 7/10 SUPX is developing a solid pipeline of institutional AI infrastructure projects across Asia, especially with established banks and tech companies. While many projects are still in proof-of-concept or pilot stages, these early relationships can drive high-margin, recurring business if successfully converted to long-term contracts. ________________________________________ 💰 4. Capital Structure & Financial Health Strength: 6/10 → 6.5/10 The company’s cash position has improved after new equity raises, giving SUPX a runway for continued R&D and expansion. While the business is still operating at a loss and share dilution remains a factor, debt levels are manageable and financial flexibility should support continued transformation and growth. ________________________________________ ________________________________________ ⚠️ Negative Catalysts 🛠️ 5. Transformation Execution Risk Strength: 6/10 → 6/10 Transitioning from a legacy model to a complex, capital-intensive AI infrastructure business brings substantial execution risk. SUPX must navigate operational scale-up, talent integration, and supply chain challenges, with no guarantee of seamless delivery. Any delays or setbacks could erode investor confidence. ________________________________________ 🌐 6. Revenue Visibility & Monetization Lag Strength: 5.5/10 → 5.5/10 Most current revenue is still pilot-based, with few long-term or recurring contracts secured. The business model relies on successful conversion of its pipeline and faster ramp-up in recognized sales. Investors will need to see evidence of stable, recurring revenue before the stock is re-rated. ________________________________________ 🔁 7. Macro / Sector Sentiment Sensitivity Strength: 5/10 → 5/10 As a small-cap AI/infra play, SUPX is highly exposed to swings in broader market sentiment. Any downturn in tech or risk-off moves in global markets could lead to outsized stock volatility, regardless of execution progress. ________________________________________ ________________________________________ 🚀 Refreshed Catalyst Rankings Rank Driver Score 1 AI Infrastructure Pivot 8.5 2 CTO Appointment (Execution) 8 3 Asia Project Pipeline 7 4 Financial Stability & Capital Access 6.5 5 Transformation Execution Risk 6 6 Revenue Model Uncertainty 5.5 7 Macro / Sector Volatility 5 ________________________________________ 📊 Analyst Ratings & Price Outlook • No major Wall Street coverage; visibility remains driven by news flow and early institutional/retail adoption. • Technicals: The stock has established higher lows since its business model pivot. Resistance sits near $11.50–12, with support at $9.80–10.00. • Price target: A $20 target remains plausible if SUPX delivers on growth milestones and secures new capital or contracts, representing a potential doubling from current levels. ________________________________________ 🗞️ Recent Developments • Hired a proven CTO to drive the new AI/data center focus. • Company rebranded and fully pivoted its business model in 2025, shifting all resources to AI infrastructure. • Implemented a new equity incentive plan to attract and retain top tech talent. • Announced a robust pipeline of institutional projects across Asia, although most are not yet recognized as revenue. ________________________________________ 🔍 Summary Outlook SUPX is an emerging transformation play, now fully aligned with surging demand for AI infrastructure. Its success depends on management’s ability to scale, close institutional contracts, and prove out recurring revenue. While the story is compelling and early traction is positive, the company remains high-risk and execution-dependent at this stage. Bull Case: If SUPX converts pilots into revenue, delivers operationally, and continues to attract top talent, the stock could re-rate to the $15–20+ range as its business model is validated. Bear Case: Stumbles in execution, monetization, or funding could send the stock back to $7–8 support. Neutral: Many investors may choose to wait for confirmation of contract wins, recurring revenue, or sustained technical strength before committing. Technical Levels to Watch: • Bullish breakout if it clears and holds $11.50–12.00. • Bearish risk if it fails to hold $9.80–10.00, with possible drop toward $8. ________________________________________ ✅ What This Means for You • Bullish: Build positions into execution milestones, focusing on contract conversions and leadership updates. Upside potential to $20 if catalysts align. • Bearish: Cut or hedge exposure on failed contract news or technical breakdown. • Neutral: Stay on the sidelines until more evidence of recurring revenue, confirmed contract wins, or positive sector momentum.
NASDAQ:SUPXLong
by ProjectSyndicate
23
Nvidia Just Under Major SupportNvidia seems to have been pulled down by the Dow just like Apple as both are just under major support. I'm sorry for my previous Nvidia chart that drew support near 140, I recognize where I screwed up, but this chart should be good. Fortunately actual 117 support wasn't that far below and my NVDA isn't too in the red. NVDA has the lowest revenue multiple in years right now. I know it's well off it's long term trend line, but it's growth rate is unlike anything it's ever been so expecting a steeper trend line to appear makes a lot of sense. Eventually I would imagine we'll get back to that trend line, but not anytime soon. The Dow hitting major support should finally lift NVDA and the others that have been dragged down like AAPL and AMZN. Good luck!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by bwy
5
NVDA Bullish Weekly Trade Setup** – 2025-07-29 📈 **NVDA Bullish Weekly Trade Setup** – 2025-07-29 🚀 *"Momentum meets money flow!"* ### 🔍 Market Snapshot: * 💥 **Call/Put Ratio**: 2.47 → Bullish sentiment confirmed * 🧠 **RSI**: Rising on Daily & Weekly → Momentum building * 🔕 **Low VIX**: Favors call strategies (cheap premiums) * ⚠️ **Caution**: Light volume = soft institutional backing --- ### 🔧 Recommended Options Trade: **🟢 NVDA \$182.50 CALL (Exp: Aug 1)** 💰 *Entry*: \~\$0.53 (Mid) 📈 *Profit Target*: \$0.69 – \$1.06 🛑 *Stop Loss*: \$0.32 📆 *DTE*: 3 days 🔄 *Entry Timing*: Market Open ✅ *Confidence*: 75% 🔥 *Theta & Gamma Risk*: Elevated — manage position size! --- ### 💡 Why This Trade? ✅ RSI Strength across timeframes ✅ Flow favors upside ✅ Cheap premium in a low-volatility regime 🟡 Just watch that volume… --- 📊 **TRADE SNAPSHOT (JSON):** ```json { "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "call", "strike": 182.50, "expiry": "2025-08-01", "confidence": 0.75, "profit_target": 1.06, "stop_loss": 0.32, "size": 10, "entry_price": 0.53, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-07-29 11:59:10 UTC-04:00" } ``` --- 📣 **Taglines for Sharing:** * "NVDA setup is 🔥—momentum + flow = GO!" * "Gamma risk is real—but so is this profit window 💸" * "Short-term sprint or fade? This call has range."
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by quantsignals
5
Semiconductors & SOXL: A Bull ThesisWhy Semiconductors? Virtually every single electronic device contains some form of a semiconductor unit within its components. The entire Bull theory on semiconductors as an industry could be reduced to this one sentence. The following, however, will introduce concepts contingent to the understanding of what is shaping the market for semiconductors. The weight of intra-industry, political, macroeconomic, and physical factors discerning an inconceivable upside potential for certain investments carrying maximum exposure to the sector, such as AMEX:SOXL . The last section contains my technical approach to trading SOXL. We begin with the fundamental, and by fundamental, I refer to the simplest reasons for what is happening in the market up until now; [ Early morning Monday, 7/28 ]. Macroeconomic Context Like essentially the rest of the market, SOXL hit its 1 year low of 7.23 USD on Monday, 4/7, following the announcement (and soon postponement) of global tariffs at levels not observed since the early 30's. This of course sparked a panic spiral in the entire market, leading to outflows from the S&P 500 of approximately 70 billion USD during the month of April. During this time we also saw a new, but familiar narrative emerge. Asset Managers, Such as J.P. Morgan set historically low price targets on the S&P 500, going as low as 5,200 USD. They reinforced their PTs with publications warning investors across the world that the risk of recession in the United States was raised to 80%, and this message was relayed across all media in parabolic fashion. While it does not seem too outward to assume an increased risk of recession due to tariffs by looking back on what we learned of the consequences from the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930. There exists a widely overlooked, fundamental , reason as to why I can claim that the REAL risk of recession at the time that J.P. Morgan assigned an 80% risk of recession, was in actuality, 0% (I assume J.P. Morgan knew this but pushed the narrative anyways in order to acquire massive equity at a discount). If anyone has taken introductory macroeconomics in their lifetime, they may be familiar with the function for calculating GDP via the expenditure approach: GDP = C + I + G - NX. Now, why am I referencing high school/college economics basics, the answer to that lies in how we determine our rate of economic growth in the context of tariffs. The part of this formula that we must focus on is NX or Net Exports, the negative factor to GDP. Tariffs, if implemented would effectively decrease import volume, resulting in a smaller Net Exports, and ultimately a higher GDP calculation. Now, what makes this scenario unique, the tariffs having been postponed shortly after their inception, allowed US retailers to engage in front running, or the accelerated purchasing of foreign goods in advance of tariffs. During the month of April, we saw a 5.4% increase in import volume in US west coast ports. This increase in imports effectively caused the inverse impact on GDP growth that import tariffs themselves would have caused: front-running lead to import uptick, leading to a greater Net Exports, which results in lower (negative) GDP growth. Essentially, tariffs in the short-term increases GDP growth (in the long term deadweight loss, and cost structure distortion comes in to play, but that doesn't matter yet), however , tariffs that are announced but not immediately implemented will result in a lower GDP growth, coupled with uncertainty surrounding the whole situation that translated into a cut in CapEx as companies scrambled to determine if tariffs would f*ck them over or not. This argument is further supported by the trends observed in the foreign exchange market. You may have heard in the news that we are experiencing a period of "Dollar Weakness", and while, yes, you can clearly see that the USD has fared rather poorly against other currencies in most major dollar pairs over the past few months. The agent behind this isn't just that the dollar happens to be weak, it is a combination of factors that generate noise and volatility in the forex market. The two main factors highlighted by the media are 1. The obvious political policy instability, pushing bond yields higher, plus a significant debt ceiling raise as per the BBB and 2. the expectations of interest rate cuts over the next year. The other, less recognized major factor to dollar weakness is exactly what we described above: Increased imports means more dollars flowing out of the economy. When these dollars land abroad, they are converted into the native currency, driving down the demand for the dollar. Notice how none of the reasons described above, actually have anything to do with what truly drives foreign exchange markets. Over time, the strength/weakness of a currency is directly correlated to the strength/weakness of the underlying economy. To say that we can expect dollar weakness due to the aforementioned reasons outright ignores the economic growth potential that exists in our economy at this current time, subsiding the out-of-proportion tariff fears as a proponent to an economic crisis. In an all-encompassing view, what I would describe to be occurring on the macro level is a sort of "slingshot" effect: Trade imbalances and private sector response to policy unclarity results in a pullback in economic growth, one that we are now experiencing as a short-term effect. From a medium-long term perspective, assuming that tariffs aren't persistent in the long term, we would see full fledge economic boom, driven by non other than the growth of our technology sector, which at it's core, lies the almighty semiconductor. Growth of AI as a driver of Semiconductor demand: Stable trajectory or Bubble Territory? Having laid the economic framework for picking the general direction our market is heading in, we can now begin to talk about the internal combustion occurring within the world of technology, and the two letter term associated with just about every cool thing in the business world, that is of course AI. Now just to clarify, AI is not new, its been around for at least 20 years and has a well established role in the world prior to the existence of ChatGPT. What changed so drastically in recent years is the breakthrough into a new form of artificial intelligence, known as "Artificial General Intelligence" or AGI. Long story short: AGI's primary difference in the business context is the colossal amount of electrical infrastructure and computing power that is demanded by the development of these mega language models. As a result of the high barrier for entry to this new industry, only 5 AGI companies have arisen to the global stage: OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic, Microsoft, and DeepSeek. Increasing competition in this space through more players entering the market is unlikely at this time as the cost to create a standalone AGI model is so astronomical. This is a particularly good thing because it tells us that AGI as an industry can result in natural monopolies. The ultra-intensive RnD costs and Data Center infrastructure demands make it more sensical to have a greater number of resources dedicated to producing 1 AGI model, instead of dividing resources to develop multiple less optimized models (similar to how a water company holds a natural monopoly as competition in that industry would result in no foreseeable benefit to it's customers). A further effect from this dynamic lies in how businesses in this industry scale to expand, and its pretty straightforward: the more megawatt computing power a model can access, the more parameters a model can account for, and the more vast the dataset that model can train on, with enhancing speed and efficiency (GPT 4o takes into account >500B parameters in a given query). We see the concept of natural monopoly playing out as the concentration of market capitalization is becoming more extreme where firms like Google, Microsoft, and NVIDIA are absorbing larger share of the market, while trading at ever increasing Price/Earnings multiples. To many, this reflects a trend we saw during the dot com bubble, however what makes the AGI industry different is the nature of the good or service provided. During the dot com boom, companies saw speculative value based on only the fact that their business existed on the .com domain. We know that each of these businesses are unique, providing a good or service across whatever industry they were part of, the only thing having in common was that dot com. The major oversight that took place during the turn of the dot com era was that the success of these businesses wasn't in truth due to them ending in .com, but whether the idea, and execution behind the underlying business is strong or not. Like how Amazon and Facebook saw unparalleled success not just because they were .coms, but because they were pioneering business models that would attract global demand to the services they were providing. The business of AGI has a sort of homogenous property. All AGI companies produce a service that is extremely similar in nature, the only ways they can compete with one another is through Capital Expenditure towards harnessing more computing power. This is the main reason capital is concentrating in a handful of companies trading at high multiples. To me, this is not an indication of a tech bubble but rather a product of how the AGI industry is poised to grow within our economy. AGI as a Factor of Production To get even more philosophical, we can think about how AGI itself enhances economic growth. We already see AGI tools applied in various ways, but the most widespread application pertains to the enhancement of human capital. While it is possible to make AGI models complete ongoing tasks completely on their own with zero human input, its far more common to see AGI tools be used, well, as tools. What I mean is that firms are not looking to replace human workers with AI ones (certain exceptions may include the manufacturing industry), instead they want to integrate AGI tools into their workforce as a means of optimizing regular processes, allowing them to access and process information with tremendous efficiency. The most observable economic outcome of this is firms being able to cut costs in human capital requirements, allowing them to achieve the same level of workflow with a smaller number of employees, or outsourcing solutions to business processes by way of automation utilizing AGI. The possibilities are endless and the economic impact of AGI appears to write itself new economic theory to explain how business growth is accelerating in unprecedented ways. Semiconductor Physical Limitations: Blessing or Burden? In 1965, Gordon Moore articulated his observation which would come to be known as Moore's Law. He observed that the number of transistors in an integrated circuit doubles approximately every 2 years. Based not so much on law of physics, Moore's law describes an empirical relationship between time and the number of transistors per chip, suggesting that the rate of production advancements would allow for such doubling to occur on a biannual basis. And to Gordon's own surprise, he was right. Transistor count for a given chip roughly doubled every 2 years for the following 50 years. However, Gordon also predicted that Moore's Law would come to an end in 2025, where transistor sizes would reach the physical limit of 2 nanometers (10-15 silicon atoms in width). While it may appear as a bottleneck to the semiconductor and AI industry, not being able to fit anymore transistors on one chip, but in reality, this limitation pressures companies to pursue innovations such as semiconductor packaging, which is NVIDIA's bread and butter. This technique allows for the stacking and integrating of many different chips to perform together as one. This technology has already proven wildly successful and is the backbone to virtually all of NVIDIA's GPU products. Google has invented their own method to getting around the physical limitation of silicon chips, producing AI-specialized integrated circuits known as Tensor Processing Units (TPUs). Catering these innovative solutions to expanding the frontier of AGI is almost a given. How to play this market: A Technical Approach If you have made it this far, I commend you. The following describes my approach to analyzing price activity in SOXL: My First entry into SOXL took place on 5/30 with a unit cost of 16.50 USD. Two things can be noted prior to this entry. 1: Fund flows during late February, into March, and through April were extremely high, net inflow of 6.85 Billion USD, however price movement did not reflect the huge inflow until late April/early May where we began to see upward price direction. The beginning of June marked the start of the market bull rally which consolidated into our current price range of 25-28 USD, following contingent earnings releases of NASDAQ:ASML , NYSE:TSM , NASDAQ:NXPI and NASDAQ:INTC . The most recent pullback was a combination of a slightly concerning outlook from ASML, stating that tariffs on the EU would negatively affect projected sales growth for the 2026 fiscal year. As for TSM, there is not one concerning thing that could be said regarding the state of its business growth other than the New Taiwan Dollar gaining considerable strength over the USD amid trade relations between the US and Taiwan, affecting TSM's gross margin by an estimated 6%. NXPI released a sub par earnings and revenue growth outlook, but in my opinion this is not to be too heavily objectified as NXPI produces chips primarily for the Automotive sector, thus making it's sales heavily contingent on supply chain issues being faced by automotive manufacturers in leu of tariffs. NXPI carries a 3.5% market share in semiconductors whereas TSM carries a 68% market share. Lastly, INTC, earnings release I am almost embarrassed to talk about. If it were up to me I'd say they sell their plants in Ohio to TSM and look into opening a fruit stand instead. The most important earnings releases have yet to come though. NASDAQ:MSFT is just around the corner on 7/30, and NASDAQ:NVDA announces on 8/27. These two earnings reports will carry major weight in hinting the overall direction, momentum the market sees in AI demand growth, and the technology sector as a whole. Speculating, I have high expectations that both MSFT and NVDA will top all estimates, pushing the bar higher for 2025 into 2026. If we look at our short-term 50-day SMA/EMA, you will notice a crossover occur on 5/6, a minor indication of a short term positive trend. Alone this is insignificant, but if we look at our 14-day Average True Range, we can see that this crossover aligns with a fall in ATR that would persist between the values of 1.37 and 1.59. This low ATR value signals that trailing volatility is actually quite low for semiconductors, considering the currently mixed market sentiment. Further along we see that price has crossed above both our long-term, 200-day SMA/EMA and a crossover occurred between the two on 7/23, serving as a small indication of a positive long term trend. Once again, not super significant on its own, but you will notice that the convergence aligns perfectly with a sharp increase in fund inflows, netting 491 Million USD in a matter of 3 trading days. If we see a continuation of net inflows over the several days, we can expect a near future extension of our bull rally, a semi-cyclical wave of inflows that concentrate during consolidation periods (which we have seen take place in the current price range between 25-28 USD following my first exit at 27.50 USD). If we extrapolate both our short-term and long-term SMA/EMA, we can anticipate a crossover to occur in the coming days to weeks. If this occurred, that would further reinforce our expectation for a positive long term trend. I have already locked in my entry 2 with a limit order executed at 25 USD. If all of the above conditions are met, I would confidently predict that we may see SOXL trade at around 42 USD in the coming months. One more thing I would like to note, if we zoom out to our 5 year historical price progression, we can identify the previous high of 70.08 USD occurring on 7/11/2024. We know that the bull rally which took place in July of last year can be attributed to the first realization of AI as a driver for semiconductor demand, combined with renewed interest in GPU technology for applications in crypto. If we compare AI-related Capital Expenditure in fiscal year 2024 to AI-related Capital Expenditure of the first half of 2025 fiscal year: 246 Billion USD made up AI-related CapEx for all of 2024, vs first 6 months of 2025, adding up to 320 Billion USD. That is a 30% increase in capex, and we still have another 5-6 months to go. Just some food for thought. Do you believe all of the above has been priced into SOXL, leave your thoughts in the comments! Disclaimer You must obviously keep in mind, SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF, you can expect volatility with such type of investment. However, in capturing a bullish market, a 3x leveraged investment may produce greater than 3x the returns as the underlying (non leveraged) assets, due to the effect of compounding growth of returns over time. However, the same is true for sideways, or bearish markets, losses may be amplified to greater than 3x. If this is an uncertainty you do not wish to be exposed to, I would opt for the non-leveraged Semiconductor ETF ( NASDAQ:SOXX ), or divide your allocation across the top 5-10 equity holdings of SOXL. Please remember to employ your OWN due diligence before making any investment decision, as none of what I am saying shall serve as financial advise to you, the reader.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by Research_by_Federico
3
Nvidia’s Historic 2025 Stock Rally: What’s Driving It?Nvidia’s stock has once again captivated Wall Street in 2025, breaking records and fueling debates on whether its blistering momentum will continue or eventually ease. Here’s an in-depth look at why Nvidia is surging, the key drivers behind the rally, and what the long-term future could hold. Nvidia’s Stock Rally: By the Numbers As of July 2025, Nvidia stock has rallied more than 39% year-to-date, reaching new all-time highs above $170 and propelling the company’s market cap past $4 trillion, the largest in the world. The stock has added nearly $2 trillion in valuation since April, outpacing tech giants like Microsoft and Apple. Analyst price targets for the rest of 2025 vary: the average ranges from ~$174 to ~$235, with bullish forecasts up to $250 and more cautious targets down to $135. What’s Powering the Rally? 1. Surging AI Demand: Nvidia remains at the center of the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. Its graphics and AI accelerator chips (notably the new Blackwell AI family) are the backbone of AI infrastructure for Global Tech firms (Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Google) and cloud service providers. This AI-centric demand has kept revenue growth robust and margins high (approaching 70%). 2. Easing China Trade Fears: Earlier in 2025, U.S.–China export controls severely restricted Nvidia’s sales of advanced AI chips like the H20 to Chinese customers, causing a temporary selloff. However, a subsequent pause on tariffs by the U.S. and optimism about renewed China shipments reignited investor confidence, helping reverse earlier losses and extending the rally. 3. Massive Tech Investment Cycle: The global rush to build out AI infrastructure is bringing huge investments from U.S. and international hyperscalers. Meta and Amazon alone have announced plans to pour “hundreds of billions” into AI data centers, much of it destined for Nvidia-powered hardware. 4. Strong Fundamentals and Diversification: Nvidia sports some of the highest profit margins among mega-cap tech stocks. Its free cash flow, dominant market share, and expanding ecosystem, including platforms like Omniverse (for 3D and digital twins) and Drive (autonomous vehicles)—cement its leadership well beyond just chips. What Could Slow Nvidia Down? Despite the excitement, several risks linger: Valuation Concerns: Nvidia trades at a premium (P/E above 50 for trailing earnings), raising worries of a pullback if growth slows. Geopolitical and Regulatory Threats: Further U.S.-China tensions, new export regulations, or rising competition from rivals like AMD, Huawei, or custom silicon at cloud giants could erode growth or margins. Cyclicality of the AI Boom: Some market watchers worry that AI infrastructure spending could prove cyclical, making Nvidia’s revenue growth more volatile in future years. The Long-Term Outlook (2025 & Beyond) Bullish Case: Most analysts expect continued dominance for Nvidia as AI, autonomous vehicles, robotics, and edge computing keep growing exponentially. Price targets range as high as $250 for 2025, climbing to $1,000+ by 2030 if AI adoption continues its rapid expansion. Base Case: Moderate growth continues into 2026–2027, with a price target cluster around $180–$235 (2025) and $200–$428 (2027), assuming AI demand moderates, margins remain stable, and Nvidia fends off competitive threats. Bearish Case: If U.S.-China relations sour and hyperscaler spending slows, the stock could retest support levels ($135–$150). However, few analysts expect a sustained collapse unless there is a fundamental change in AI or chip technology trends. #nvda #stockmarket #finance #revenue #profit #financials #economy #technology #ai #chips
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by signalgo
99% of people buying $NVDA don't understand this:🚨99% of people buying NASDAQ:NVDA don't understand this: NASDAQ:GOOGL : “We’re boosting AI capex by $10B.” Wall Street: “Cool, that’s like $1B or 0.06 per share for $NVDA.” So from $170.50 at the time of news to $170.56 right? No. NASDAQ:NVDA trades at 98× earnings. So that $0.06? Turns into $6.00 Why? Because people are expecting that to be happening every single year for 98 years and they're paying All of it Today in Full amount. So NASDAQ:NVDA will get $1B more per year. But NASDAQ:NVDA price per share already increased by $100B in past 2 days 😂 Then it crashes 40% and everyone is wondering why.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by ProfitTradeRoom
8
Elliott Wave Sequence In NVDA Suggests Rally From SupportNvidia (NVDA) continues rally to new all-time highs from April-2025 low and reinforcing a robust bullish outlook. In daily, it ended 7 swings pullback at 86.62 low in 4.07.2025 low started from 1.07.2025 high. Above April-2025 low, it confirmed higher high bullish sequence & pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings should remain supported. Since April-2025 low, it favors rally in (3) of ((1)), while placed (1) at 115.44 high & (2) at 95.04 low in 4.21.2025. Above there, it placed 1 of (3) at 143.84 high, 2 as shallow connector at 132.93 low & 3 at 174.53 high. Wave (3) already extend beyond 2.0 Fibonacci extension of (1) & yet can see more upside. Within 1 of (3), it ended at ((i)) at 111.92 high, ((ii)) at 104.08 low, ((iii)) at 137.40 high, ((iv)) at 127.80 low & ((v)) at 143.84 high. Above 2 low, it placed ((i)) of 3 at 144 high, ((ii)) at 137.88 low, ((iii)) at 159.42 high, ((iv)) at 151.10 low & ((v)) at 174.53 high as 3 of (3). It already reached the minimum area of 170.04 as inverse extension of connector. But it can see more upside as daily move showing highest momentum from April-2025 low. In 1-hour, above ((iv)) low, it placed (i) of ((v)) at 167.89 high in 5 swings, (ii) at 162.02 low, (iii) at 172.87 high, (iv) at 168.90 low & (v) of ((v)) at 174.53 high ended as 3. Currently, it favors pullback in 4 targeting into 170.13 - 168.11 area before rally in 5 or at least 3 swing bounce. Within 4, it ended ((a)) at 171.26 low, ((b)) at 173.38 high & favors lower in ((c)) of 4. It should find support in extreme area soon to turn higher for two more highs to finish ((1)). The next move in 5 of (3) can extend towards 175.9 or higher, while pullback stays above 168.11 low. The next two highs expect to come with momentum divergence to finish cycle from April-2025 low. Later it should see bigger pullback against April-2025 low in 3, 7 or 11 swings. But if it extends higher & erase momentum divergence, then it can see more upside.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Elliottwave-Forecast
NVDA 1-Hour Chart UpdateHey everyone, just wanted to share a quick update on NVDA’s 1-hour chart. Following last week’s bull flag breakout, the stock appears to be consolidating into what looks like a solid bull pennant formation. With major tech earnings on the horizon and the recent approval to sell H20 chips to China, this pattern could be setting the stage for another breakout. Will NVDA continue its impressive rally, or is this just a breather before the next move?
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by impossiblebull
1
$NVDA WEEKLY TRADE IDEA – JULY 21, 2025 💥 NASDAQ:NVDA WEEKLY TRADE IDEA – JULY 21, 2025 💥 🔥 Bullish Options Flow + Weekly RSI Strength = Controlled Momentum Play ⸻ 📊 Trade Details 🔹 Type: Long Call 🎯 Strike: $180.00 📆 Expiry: July 25, 2025 (4DTE) 💰 Entry: $0.51 🎯 Target: $1.02 (💯% Gain) 🛑 Stop: $0.20 (~40% Risk) 📈 Confidence: 65% 🕰️ Timing: Monday Open 📦 Size: 1 Contract (Adjust based on risk tolerance) ⸻ 📈 Why This Trade? ✅ Call/Put Ratio = 1.48 → Bullish bias confirmed 📈 Weekly RSI = 77.0 → Strong momentum 🔻 Daily RSI = 80.8 (falling) → Short-term pullback risk 📉 Volume = flat (1.0x) → Weak confirmation = tighter risk mgmt 🧠 Strike Clustering: $177.50 & $180 = strong OI zones 🌬️ VIX = 16.7 → Favorable for long premium plays ⸻ ⚠️ Risks & Strategy Notes ❗ Daily RSI = caution: short-term exhaustion possible 📉 Weak volume = lack of institutional chase ⏳ Exit before Friday – avoid IV crush and gamma slam 🔐 Set alerts at $178.75 and $179.80 – pre-breakout signals ⸻ 🎯 Plan: • Enter Monday open • Scale partials if price hits +30–50% • Full exit by Thursday unless price is breaking through $180 early with strong volume ⸻ 🏁 Quick Verdict: This is a momentum continuation setup, not a fresh breakout. Play the trend, respect RSI signals, and cut fast if flow dries up. NASDAQ:NVDA 180C — Risk $0.20 to Target $1.02 Let the call ride… just don’t overstay. ⸻ #NVDA #OptionsTrading #CallOption #WeeklyPlay #MomentumTrade #FlowBasedSetup #TradingViewIdeas #GammaPlay #BullishBias #NVIDIA
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by quantsignals
US stocks hold near record highs on strong 2Q earnings Despite elevated valuation pressures, US equities remain near all-time highs. While tariff concerns persist, resilient US economic data continues to support the market's upward momentum. United Airlines reported a 1.7% YoY increase in 2Q revenue, citing easing geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties and a double-digit rebound in corporate demand. Meanwhile, earnings and share performance among mega-cap stocks have also been strong. Netflix (NFLX) beat market expectations with 2Q revenue of $11.08 billion and EPS of $7.19. At the same time, Nvidia (NVDA) reached a fresh all-time high on renewed optimism over a potential resumption of exports to China. After testing the support at 6285, US500 rebounded and approached its previous high again. The index holds above EMA21, suggesting the continuation of bullish momentum. If US500 remains above both EMA21 and the support at 6285, the index could breach the 6320 high. Conversely, if the US500 breaks below the support at 6285, the index could retreat further toward 6200.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by inkicho_exness
Weekly Close: Still Bullish, But Momentum Is SlowingNVDA closed the week at $172.41, just under short-term resistance and holding well above the prior rising wedge structure. Price action remains technically bullish, with a healthy consolidation forming just below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $174.04. That said, momentum is beginning to cool, and the next few sessions will be key. 📊 Current Read: Mildly Bullish Price is holding above key support levels: 9 EMA, $170.85, and prior wedge resistance No breakdowns — structure remains intact However, volume is fading, and MACD is flattening, suggesting possible buyer fatigue RSI remains elevated, not yet signaling reversal, but approaching caution territory A confirmed breakout above $174.25 sets the stage for Fibonacci targets at: 🔸 $176.62, $179.20, $182.87, and $187.55 A close below $170.85 , and especially $168, would invalidate the current bullish structure and shift bias to bearish — targeting the $151.31–148.67 support zone. Summary: 📈 Bias: Bullish - but cautious. Price is consolidating near highs with no signs of breakdown yet. Continuation likely if bulls step in early next week.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
NVIDIA Robbery Plan: Bullish Swing Trade to Millions!🔥 NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Heist Blueprint: Unlock Bullish Profits with Thief Trading Style! 🚀💰 🌟 Greetings, Wealth Warriors! 🌟 Hello, Ciao, Salaam, Bonjour, Hola, and Hallo to all you savvy traders and market masterminds! 🤑💸 Get ready to execute a high-octane trading plan with our Thief Trading Style—a bold fusion of technical precision and fundamental insights designed to crack the NVIDIA (NVDA) stock market vault! 💥📈 📝 The NVIDIA Heist Plan: Swing & Day Trading Mastery 🏆 Based on our proprietary Thief Trading Style, this plan targets NVIDIA (NVDA), currently riding a bullish wave fueled by strong fundamentals and technical setups. Follow the strategy outlined below to navigate the high-risk Red Zone—where overbought conditions, consolidation, and potential trend reversals create opportunities for sharp traders. 💪 Stay alert, as bearish players may set traps at key levels! 🕵️‍♂️ Entry Strategy: Crack the 🙂Vault! 🏦 Go long with confidence! The market is primed for a bullish breakout. Enter at current prices or set buy limit orders near recent swing lows/highs on the 15-minute or 30-minute timeframe. 📅 Pro Tip: Set price alerts on your chart to catch the optimal entry. Timing is everything in this heist! ⏰ Swing Traders: Look for pullbacks to key support levels for safer entries. Scalpers: Focus on quick long-side trades with tight stops to maximize gains. 💨 Stop Loss: Protect Your Loot! 🔒 Place your stop loss (SL) below the recent swing low on the 30-minute timeframe (e.g., $162.00 for swing trades). Adjust your SL based on your risk tolerance, position size, and number of orders. For larger accounts, consider tighter stops to lock in gains early. 🛡️ Scalpers: Use a trailing stop to secure profits while riding short-term momentum. Take Profit Target: Cash Out Big! 💰 Aim for $191.00 as the primary target, or exit early if momentum slows. Swing Traders: Hold for the full target if the trend remains strong. Scalpers: Grab quick profits on smaller price spikes and re-enter on dips. Pro Move: Use a trailing stop to let profits run while safeguarding gains. 🚀 📌Key Levels & Risk Management Entry Zone: Market price or swing low – ideal for long positions. 📈 Stop Loss: $162.00 – based on 30m timeframe swing low. 🛑 Take Profit Target: $191.00 – primary target for swing/day trades. 🎯 Risky Red Zone: Overbought levels – watch for consolidation or reversal traps. ⚠️ 💡 Why NVIDIA? The Bullish Case 📡 NVIDIA (NVDA) is powering through a bullish phase, driven by: Fundamentals: Strong demand for AI, gaming, and data center chips. 📊 Macro Factors: Positive market sentiment and tech sector momentum. 🌍 COT Data (Latest Friday Update, UTC+1): Large speculators are increasing bullish positions, signaling confidence in NVDA’s upside (data sourced from reliable platforms). 📅 Geopolitical & News: Monitor upcoming earnings and industry developments for catalysts. 📰 Intermarket Analysis: Tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ are trending higher, supporting NVDA’s rally. 📈 For a deeper dive, check fundamental reports, COT data, and sentiment analysis to align your trades with the bigger picture. 🔍 ⚠️ Trading Alert: Navigate News & Volatility 🗞️ News releases can spark sharp price swings. To protect your capital: Avoid new trades during major news events (e.g., earnings or Fed announcements). 🚫 Use trailing stops to lock in profits and limit downside risk. 🔐 Stay updated with real-time market developments to adjust your strategy dynamically. 📡 🚀 Boost the Heist! Support the Thief Trading Community 🤝 Love this plan? Hit the Boost Button to amplify our Thief Trading Style and empower our community to conquer the markets! 💥 Every like and share fuels our mission to make money with precision and style. 💪 Join us daily to unlock more high-profit heist plans! 🏴‍☠️ 📌 Important Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and not personalized investment advice. Always conduct your own research, assess your risk tolerance, and verify market conditions before trading. Markets move fast—stay sharp and adapt! ⚡ 🌟 Stay tuned for the next heist plan, traders! Let’s keep stealing profits together! 🤑🐱‍👤🎉
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by The-Thief
‘Everything Rally’ in Full Swing. What About Tariffs & Earnings?It’s official: we’re witnessing one of those rare, confounding moments when nearly every big risk-on thing is screaming ATH! (All-Time High, for those who haven’t worn out that abbreviation on X this month). Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD blew past $122,000 on Monday — a turbo rally that made anyone who stepped away to brew coffee rethink their life choices. Meanwhile, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA ? It didn’t just approach the $4 trillion milestone — it showed up, took the crown as the world’s most valuable company , and made the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC pop a fresh record close for dessert. And the S&P 500 SP:SPX ? The broadest slice of US equities did its part too, hitting a record high last week, despite the world’s loudest tariff chatter from Trump 2.0. So, what gives? 💎 Bitcoin: Too Fast to Chart Let’s start with the fire-breathing dragon. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD rocketed to $122,500 on Monday morning, bruising all those short sellers and juicing up the memes. The OG coin now has a market cap above $2.3 trillion — bigger than most economies, enough to make gold bugs break into cold sweats. (True, it did pare back some of those gains to float at $119,000 Thursday morning.) What’s fueling it? Institutional FOMO. Forget diamond hands — big money managers, ETF behemoths , and corporates are scooping up every sat they can find. When you see that, plus macro tailwinds — a weaker dollar, simmering inflation that nudges the Fed toward cuts — the rocket fuel writes itself. But we all know what traders really want to know: is $125,000 next? Short answer: if momentum holds, you bet. Long answer: mind the next Fed move and the tariff chess match. 🎯 Nvidia: From GPUs to GDPs If you thought Bitcoin’s wild run was the only headline, look again. The real flex this month came from Jensen Huang’s chip juggernaut. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA didn’t just break a record — it basically invented a new category for corporate mega-caps. The world’s biggest semiconductor firm hit the $4 trillion mark — the first company ever to do so. And this isn’t some overnight fad. Back in 2019, Nvidia crossed $100 billion for the first time on the back of crypto mining booms. Five years later, it’s stacked on 4,000% gains, riding the AI hype like it’s a permanent bull market. Governments, hyperscalers, cloud titans — they’re all shoving billions at Huang’s AI chips. 💻 Nasdaq: AI, Chips, Crypto — Party On The Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC logged yet another record close , up about 7.5% on the year so far. Just three months ago, this index looked battered — trade war threats, tariff rants, sticky inflation. Who’s doing the heavy lifting? The Magnificent Seven, mostly. But it’s Nvidia’s chart that’s turned this whole index into a de facto AI ETF. Is it healthy? That depends. As long as earnings season doesn’t break the dream — and there’s no rug-pull from the Fed — traders are letting the momentum do its thing. 🏦 S&P 500: The Record Chaser What about the S&P 500 SP:SPX — the broadest barometer of America’s corporate muscle? It rose to set its own record high last week before coming down on Friday on renewed tariff jitters. The Wall Street darling looks less explosive than its tech-packed peer, the Nasdaq. But it’s still up nearly 7% year-to-date — and up 26% from the April dip when tariffs spooked everyone out of their leveraged longs. Now? It’s back in record territory, brushing aside GDP contraction and inflation that won’t quit. Why? Because the market is forward-looking. Tariffs may sting, but when the Fed hints at cuts and Trump sticks to his MAGA narrative, risk assets catch a bid. 🧨 What About Those Tariffs, Though? Speaking of tariffs, let’s not pretend they’re not looming. Trump threatened over the weekend to ramp up levies on EU goods to 30% starting August 1 if no new deal emerges. Canada got an earful too: 35% on certain Canadian exports — and Ottawa announced a $21 billion tit-for-tat. The “pause” on reciprocal tariffs ends in a few weeks. So, is this noise or real risk? For now, markets are calling the bluff. Investors have tuned out the saber-rattling, choosing to front-run the Fed’s next move instead. If tariffs spark a deeper trade war, stocks may get a reality check. Until then, the melt-up rules. 🔮 What’s Next? Eyes on Earnings Earnings season is around the corner (be sure to follow the Earnings Calendar ), and you can bet every fund manager is watching Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , and the rest of the Mag 7 for cracks in the AI gold rush. If the big names keep printing double-digit revenue growth, investors should be happy. But any hint of deceleration, cautious guidance, or margin pressure could slam the brakes on this record run. Your turn : Do you see this melt-up stretching into the second half of the year? Or are we due for a rude awakening once the earnings calls roll in? Drop your take below!
NASDAQ:IXIC
by TradingView
20