USOIL:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
While Middle East tensions have temporarily eased, the risk of Iran threatening to blockade the Strait of Hormuz persists. An escalation could drive oil prices higher.
The U.S. sustained economic strength provides some support for oil prices.
U.S. retail data and crude oil API inventory changes to be released today may impact oil prices.
Technical Analysis :
Bollinger Bands: Middle band at 73.92, upper band at 76.81, lower band at 70.42. Current price at 72.77 is near the lower band, showing signs of support.
With reference to June 5 and prior data, the MACD previously formed a death cross. Although no latest data is available, combined with price action, it may still be in a bearish trend.
Trading Strategy:
Consider long positions after a pullback to near 70.42 (strong support), targeting around 73.92.
If price effectively breaks through 73.92, chase long positions with a further target near 76.81.
buy@70-70.5
TP:73-74
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Oil
CRUDE OIL: SHORT Swing Trade Idea - Israel & Iran Conflict
Why SHORT it ?
This first idea consist on shorting Crude Oil only if Iran is officially exploring peace initiative with Israel. Let's point out that Crude Oil's price was in a massive downtrend before the conflict. The conflict made the price spike up drastically due to disruptions made in the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most important gateway for oil transportation. We can anticipate a drop of the price, stabilizing between 55$-65$ if Iran confirms peace with Israel and no disruptions being made in the Strait of Hormuz.
Now, let's talk about technicals. We can see that price is heading towards a high resistance zone, made of a Weekly Breaker Block & a Daily FVG. We see how price reacts bearishly from that zone every time price visits it. We can anticipate the Buyside Liquidity as a important swing point (reversal), especially since it is inside one of our POI's ( Point of Interest - Daily FVG) making this play more valid. We will be targeting Sellside Liquidity as take profit target.
With the idea of Iran exploring peace initiative, once it is confirmed, I would suggest to SHORT the price using the Buyside Liquidity as our Entry Point and using the most recent highs as Stop Loss. Let's wait on these confirmations ... As soon as we get that , LOCK IN !
If we do not have peace within both parties confirmed, I will look at a second idea and post it as well !
Please note that this trade might take days or even weeks before hitting our take profit target.
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Talk to you guys soon !
Oil Eyes $90+ as U.S.–Iran Conflict LoomsWTI Crude Oil — Bullish Reversal in Play as War Risk Escalates
Technical & Geopolitical Outlook — Weekly Chart | 17 June 2025
🧭 Current Market Condition:
WTI crude oil is breaking out of a multi-month falling wedge, a classically bullish reversal pattern, after bouncing from the $67–68 support region. This technical move is further amplified by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly fears of a potential U.S. military strike on Iran, which would threaten global oil supply routes through the Strait of Hormuz.
The current breakout attempt aligns with a sentiment shift from oversold to recovery mode, supported by a sharp rise in weekly momentum indicators.
📊 Key Technical Highlights:
Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout: Price breaking above descending resistance.
Key Resistance Levels:
$76.67 – immediate supply zone
$92.82 – prior breakout area; major target if breakout sustains
Key Support Levels:
$71.28 – breakout retest level
$67.00–$68.00 – wedge base, strong historical support
$52.00 – longer-term bearish invalidation (unlikely unless demand collapses)
Momentum: Weekly stochastic sharply rising from bottom, signaling strength building.
🔺 Bullish Scenario — If U.S. Attacks Iran:
If the U.S. carries out military strikes on Iranian targets, oil prices are highly likely to:
Price in geopolitical risk premium of $10–$20/barrel.
Spike toward $90–$100 range within days or weeks due to:
Fears of supply disruption (Hormuz choke point)
Panic buying and short covering
Strategic reserves hoarding
Technical Targets:
$76.67 → Break above confirms bullish continuation
$92.82 → First major upside target
$100–$110 → Stretch target if conflict escalates or prolongs
🛢️ Energy traders and institutions typically front-run geopolitical escalations, so price can jump before any physical conflict if tensions remain unresolved or rhetoric intensifies.
🔻 Bearish Scenario — Fake Breakout or De-escalation:
Rejection from $76.67 or failure to hold above $71.28 can trigger pullbacks.
If tensions cool and Iran conflict is diplomatically diffused:
WTI may slide back toward $68.00 and re-enter the wedge.
Below $67.00, oil could revisit $60–$52 range in a risk-off macro environment.
🛡️ Risk Management & Outlook:
Geopolitical events can override technicals, especially in commodities.
Gaps, whipsaws, and sharp reversals are common — caution with overnight positions.
Consider hedging strategies or limited-risk option plays if trading leveraged oil instruments.
📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Brent and WTI: Is $100 oil just Around the corner?#Brent and #WTI prices are steadily climbing, now reaching $73.30 and $71.15 per barrel. The market is showing strong signs of an upward trend, similar to what we saw in 2021–2022. With global demand picking up and increased interest from major market participants, analysts believe prices could soon push past the $100 mark — especially amid ongoing global tensions and rising consumption.
Standard Chartered forecasts Brent reaching $95 by December 2025, while some outlooks go even higher. What’s fueling this potential rally? Top 5 reasons oil may surge in the coming months:
Global instability : Tensions in the Middle East and unrest in key producers like Venezuela and Nigeria raise concerns about supply disruptions. Any flare-ups could push prices to $90, $95 — or beyond.
Economic recovery : Asia and developing economies are bouncing back fast. With industrial activity rising, so does energy demand — including for oil.
OPEC+ tight supply policy : OPEC+ is likely to maintain production cuts to support prices and keep the market balanced.
Low reserves, limited expansion : Stockpiles remain tight, and exploration has lagged in recent years. If demand spikes, producers may struggle to scale output quickly.
Aviation and petrochemicals rebound : Global air traffic and plastic manufacturing are growing, increasing demand for jet fuel and oil-based feedstocks.
Together, these factors create a strong setup for upward momentum in Brent and WTI prices. According to FreshForex analysts , the current levels could mark the beginning of a new growth cycle.
Crude Oil Tests $74FenzoFx—Crude Oil climbed to $74.0, testing the bearish Fair Value Gap and a high-volume zone.
The Stochastic Oscillator signals an overbought market, suggesting possible consolidation. Oil could dip toward the previous daily low if $74.0 holds as resistance during the NY session.
A breakout above $74.0 would invalidate the short-term bearish outlook.
The latest long - short trading recommendations for crude oil.On Monday, the two benchmark oil prices fell by more than 1% due to media reports that Iran might seek to ease the situation. However, the market's short-term optimism proved unsustainable. Currently, oil price movements are driven primarily by geopolitics rather than fundamentals. Market sensitivity to the Middle East situation has surged to an extremely high level, with even the slightest development triggering violent volatility. The possibility of supply disruptions remains high in the short term, and close attention should be paid to Iran's oil export trends and the actual execution of OPEC+ after its meeting. Meanwhile, be wary of the risk of sharp consolidation amid mixed geopolitical and negotiation news.
In terms of momentum, the fast and slow lines of the MACD indicator have crossed below the zero axis, forming a golden cross with an upward divergence, indicating a stalemate between bullish and bearish momentum. In terms of patterns, a flag continuation pattern has emerged, with penetration of the upper edge of the flag, and the overall trend is in a secondary rhythm. It is expected that crude oil prices will mainly fluctuate and consolidate within the pattern.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@70.0-71.0
TP:74.0-75.0
Crude oil---Buy near 71.00, target 76.00-79.00Crude oil market analysis:
We still buy crude oil in the recent daily line, but yesterday's crude oil daily line closed with a big negative line. Short-term crude oil is about to start repairing. The retracement during the repair is our opportunity to buy again. Crude oil follows the long-term trend. In addition, the war between Iran and Israel is a long-term support for crude oil purchases. If the situation escalates, crude oil may easily stand above the 100 mark in the later period. Consider buying crude oil at 71.00 today.
Fundamental analysis:
Yesterday, Iran and Israel began to bomb each other again, and the situation began to escalate.
Operation suggestions:
Crude oil---Buy near 71.00, target 76.00-79.00
CL Futures Weekly Trade Setup — June 17, 2025🛢️ CL Futures Weekly Trade Setup — June 17, 2025
🎯 Instrument: CL (Crude Oil Futures)
📉 Strategy: Short Swing
📅 Entry Timing: Market Open
📈 Confidence: 68%
🔍 Model Insights Recap
🧠 Grok/xAI – Bearish due to overbought RSI + price stalling near MAs
🤖 Claude/Anthropic – Bearish pullback expected, despite recent strength
📊 Llama/Meta – Overextended Bollinger Band + RSI = short bias
🧬 DeepSeek – Supports downside via divergence + high volatility
⚠️ Gemini/Google – Bullish thesis based on momentum; diverges from consensus
📉 Consensus Takeaway
While short-term momentum is strong, most models forecast a pullback due to:
🔼 Overbought RSI readings
📈 Price extended well above key moving averages
🧨 High volatility and profit-taking zone near $73–$74
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
Metric Value
🔀 Direction Short
🎯 Entry Price $72.65
🛑 Stop Loss $74.20
🎯 Take Profit $68.80
📏 Size 1 contract
📈 Confidence 68%
⏰ Timing Market Open
⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations
🌍 Geopolitical events or OPEC news can cause unexpected surges
📉 If bullish momentum resumes, upside breakout could invalidate short thesis
📏 Risk management is critical—stick to stop-loss if price breaks above $74.20
🧾 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
json
Copy
Edit
{
"instrument": "CL",
"direction": "short",
"entry_price": 72.65,
"stop_loss": 74.20,
"take_profit": 68.80,
"size": 1,
"confidence": 0.68,
"entry_timing": "market_open"
}
💡 Watch price action at the open. If oil opens weak or fails to reclaim $73, this short setup has a strong edge.
WTI(20250617)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Revised version of the Republican tax cut bill in the US Senate: It is planned to raise the debt ceiling to 5 trillion, and the overall framework is consistent with the House version.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
70.41
Support and resistance levels:
75.98
73.90
72.55
68.27
66.92
64.84
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 72.55, consider buying, and the first target price is 73.90
If the price breaks through 70.41, consider selling, and the first target price is 68.27
WTI - ANALYSIS BUY AREA This week the ongoing conflict seems to bring more uptrend to this commodity
I believe that the last broken resistance now turning support at 67.300 will be tested prior to the OIL raising again
If the conflict doesn’t end and we don’t have a ceasefire we could see this commodity running to the 78.000 and 82.000 levels
WTI(20250616)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
71.11
Support and resistance levels:
78.59
75.79
73.98
68.24
66.43
63.64
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 73.98, consider buying in, the first target price is 75.79
If the price breaks through 71.11, consider selling in, the first target price is 68.24
WTI Oil H1 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 71.83 which is a multi-swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 68.50 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 77.60 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe continued escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remains the core driver propelling oil prices higher. With U.S.-Iran relations at a critical juncture and the Ukrainian attack on the Crimean Bridge exacerbating the Russia-Ukraine conflict, markets are increasingly concerned about potential disruptions to Black Sea crude exports. As a key channel for 2% of global crude oil supplies, risks to Black Sea exports directly threaten supply chain security, triggering a surge in short-term market risk aversion and driving oil prices sustainably higher.
Since crude oil broke through the $64.8 resistance level with a solid candlestick last week, we have maintained a consistent bullish stance. After two weeks of consolidative oscillations, prices finally broke free from the trading range, fully demonstrating the dominance of bullish momentum. When oil prices pulled back to the $71.5–$72.0 range last Friday, we once again emphasized the short-term long strategy, which was subsequently followed by a sharp rally catalyzed by news developments. With the current trend clearly defined, we advise trading in line with the momentum: short-term long positions can be initiated above $71.0 at the start of the week.
USOIL
buy@71-72
tp:75-78
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USOIL Remains Bullish Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Steady Fed USOIL – Bullish Outlook Amid Geopolitical and Policy Factors
The ongoing escalation in the Middle East, combined with Jerome Powell's stance on holding interest rates steady, continues to support bullish momentum across commodities, including oil.
Technical Outlook:
USOIL remains bullish as long as it trades above 72.72 and more firmly above 70.40, with upside potential toward 77.30 and 79.50. If bullish momentum persists, a further extension to 84.14 is possible, supported by geopolitical risks.
A bearish shift is only likely if significant de-escalation or negotiations between Israel and Iran take place.
Key Levels:
• Pivot Point: 72.90
• Resistance: 77.29, 79.50, 84.10
• Support: 66.87, 63.52, 59.00
Trend Outlook:
Bullish while price holds above 68.53
USOIL:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
In the short term, geopolitical risks will continue to dominate market sentiment, with oil prices likely to oscillate at elevated levels or even test higher. However, from a medium-to-long-term perspective, OPEC+ production increase plans, uncertainties in global economic recovery, and the acceleration of energy transition may weigh on oil prices again. In any case, the subsequent evolution of the Middle East "powder keg" will profoundly influence the operational logic of the global energy market in the second half of the year. Investors should closely monitor developments and flexibly navigate this volatile oil market landscape.
Technical Analysis:
Prices rebounded after finding support in the $70–$71 range. The MACD indicator remains above the zero line, with strong bullish momentum intact.
Overhead resistance lies in the $75–$76 zone, while support is seen at $71–$70. Crude oil is expected to continue its upward trend next week.
Trading Recommendations:
Primary strategy: Buy on pullbacks
Secondary strategy: Sell on rallies
Trading Strategy:
buy@70-71
TP:75-76
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#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Good week for oil bulls but still a lower high below the April high 78.1. Now what? If this buying is the real thing and market is expecting higher prices for longer, the pullback will stay above 70. If bulls do that, we can expect at least a second leg up to retest 75+ or even 80+. We are seeing a full on war between Israel and Iran but you should not trade based on that. There are bulls who bought above 73 on Friday and lost Money so far.
current market cycle: trading range 54 - 78 on the weekly tf. Decent chance we are in a bull trend that could lead to 80/84 or higher.
key levels: 70 - 77
bull case: Bulls have all the arguments on their side. They now need to leave a big open gap to 69.3 and then we can do a measured move up. My lowest target for that is 80. Structure on the 1h chart is a textbook two-legged pullback and above 74.5 it’s a clear buy signal.
Invalidation is below 70.8 but can likely also be 70
bear case: Bears do not have much. They trapped late bulls on Friday and that’s a likely reason we sold off 677 ticks from the high. They need lower lows below 70.8 and close the gap to the Thursday high before the news-bomb hit. For that to happen they have to break 2 bull trend lines. I will not look for shorts on this tbh.
Invalidation is above 74.5
short term: Bullish. Maybe a bit more sideways but I have given two invalidation prices for bulls and couple of targets above. I don’t think looking for shorts makes any sense unless you are really good at scalping.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-15: Maybe we have seen the 2-year trading range coming to an end on Friday and we are in a new bull trend that could lead oil to 80 or higher. Right now it’s pure guesswork until we print higher highs above Friday’s 77.62. Oil above 80 is not something we have seen since end of 2023 so expect some ripples.
Crude Oil to Continue Breaking Higher HighsMiddle East Tensions Escalate Sharply: Israel Launches Preemptive Strike on Iran, Targeting Nuclear-related Facilities
Iran's state media confirmed that senior Revolutionary Guard leaders were killed in the attack, with nuclear scientists and facilities also suffering heavy damage. In the short term, geopolitical risks will continue to dominate market sentiment. Oil prices are likely to oscillate at high levels or even edge higher. From a daily chart perspective, crude oil's moving average system forms a bullish arrangement, confirming the unchanged short-term objective uptrend. The morning session K-line closes as a large bullish candlestick, aligning with the primary upward trend. The MACD indicator is bullishly diverging above the zero axis, with bullish momentum prevailing. Intraday crude oil is expected to continue breaking higher.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@70.0-71.0
TP:74.0-75.0
Nasdaq must hold its line, otherwise more downsideMarkets are on edge. The Nasdaq is hovering just above its 200-day moving average and with so much angst in the market, this line must hold. If it breaks, risk sentiment could unravel quickly, and we could see a retest of recent 2025 lows.
The trigger isn’t hard to find. Rising tensions in the Middle East are putting upward pressure on oil and energy. A sustained rally in crude would reignite inflation fears just as central banks begin easing. Powell was supposed to start cutting, but wars are always complicated.
Higher energy costs hit consumers, slow growth and force policymakers to rethink their next moves. That’s a headwind for tech and growth names.
Equities have enjoyed a solid run this year, pricing in a soft landing. But that assumption now feels shaky. Particularly for risky assets like the Nasdaq. The Dow might do better relative. The market isn’t just worried about geopolitics. It’s digesting the reality that inflation remains sticky. Bond yields are rising. Rate cuts are being pushed back. And oil isn’t helping.
If the Nasdaq holds its 200-day line, the bulls stay in control. But a break below will shift the momentum. That’s why this week matters.
We’re watching a simple but powerful signal. Stay above 20,500 and markets can stabilise. Break below, and volatility returns.
This trade is only for the brave. The story is shifting. Stay alert.
The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
MGY: Technical Breakout + Fundamental Momentum = Quiet Winner?Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) is showing one of the cleanest technical breakouts in the energy sector — and the market hasn’t priced it in yet. After months of pressure, price has broken above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages with rising volume, signaling a clear phase shift from distribution to accumulation. Recent candles confirm control shifting to the buyers, with a tight structure, rising lows, and bullish momentum building underneath resistance.
The fundamentals back the technical setup. In the latest earnings report, MGY delivered a 9.7% revenue increase, $110M in free cash flow, and continues to pay dividends with low leverage. UBS upgraded the stock with a $29 target, which aligns precisely with the post-breakout projection. Operationally, the company is expanding in key U.S. basins like Eagle Ford, while seeing growing demand from Australia and Latin America.
With oil prices pushing higher and geopolitical tensions rising, MGY stands out as a stable energy play in a volatile world. Holding above the $24.00–$24.30 zone keeps the breakout valid, with $29+ as a natural magnet for price. Most investors are still asleep on this name — but the structure is already telling a very different story.