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🤖 #BTCLIVE - 19.08 - #IDEA 🤖🤖 #BTCLIVE - 19.08 - #IDEA 🤖 Snapshot: Short-Term 40:60- Bullish:Bearish Long-Term 70:30 - Bullish:Bearish Technical Analysis: Bullish Scenario: We are now at the macro channel bottom - which was always a realistic scenario - from here I we can hold and start to range/consolidate to build for a move up there the major resistance to break is $22.6k - ideally we need to hold above $21.1k to give a higher chance at a bullish move Bearish Scenario: Losing $21.1k will drop out of this macro bear flag and we will highly likely see $20k and potentially lower to $18k. There is a chance of breaking down and consolidating at $20k where alot of whales will start accumulating the $20k support is big so it might hold, be wary of shorting too much now. Bullish Factors: + Trading at the bottom of macro channel now + approaching $20k psychological support - Heavily oversold on 1 hour and approaching oversold on daily Bearish Factors: - Exchange Netflow Total turned negative - Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) turned to Capitulation phase - Lost 3 key supports - Trading under all EMAS and DEMAs - Short trend signal printed now - DXY is pumping hard - Fully printed mcfly on the weekly - Broke down on Pennant Key News: Bull: + Lol Bear: - JUST IN: FDIC sent a cease-and-desist letter to FTX US, alleging it misleads investors over deposit insurance. - US lawmakers eye environmental impact of crypto mining www.theblock.co - CZ FUD "They want to buy cheap" - #Crypto lender Hodlnaut lays off 80% of its staff and reveals they're under investigation by the Singapore police. - Japan's largest online brokerage will shut its #crypto-mining operations in Russia. Metrics: - HUSD depegs Exchange + Exchange Reserve - As the exchange reserve continues to fall, it indicates lower selling pressure. - Exchange Netflow Total - Net deposits on exchanges are high compared to the 7-day average. Higher deposits can be interpreted as higher selling pressure. Miners / Miners' Position Index ( MPI ) - Miners' are selling holdings in a moderate range compared to its one-year average. / Puell Multiple -Miner's revenue is in a moderate range, compared to its one-year average. On-Chain + aSOPR - More investors are selling at a loss. In the middle of a bear market, it can indicate a market bottom. + Binary CDD - Long term holders' movement in the last 7days were lower than the average. They have a motive to hold their coins - Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) -Investors are in a Capitulation phase where they are currently facing unrealized losses. It indicates the decreasing motive to realize loss which leads to a decrease in sell pressure. + Transfer Volume - The total number of coins transferred has increased by 154.00% compared to yesterday. + Active Addresses - The total number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has increased by 55.00% compared to yesterday. + Transactions - The total number of transactions has increased by 67.00% compared to yesterday. Sentiment + Coinbase Premium - US investors' buying pressure is relatively strong in Coinbase. - Korea Premium -Korean retail investors' buying pressure is relatively strong. - Fund Premium - Investors in funds and trusts including Grayscale have relatively weak buying sentiment. Derivatives - Funding Rate - Short position traders are dominant and are willing to pay long traders. + Taker Buy Sell Ratio - Selling sentiment is dominant in the derivatives market. More sell orders are filled by takers. - Liquidation - 91108940.60 of short positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours. / Open Interest - As OI increases, it indicates more liquidity, volatility , and attention are coming into the derivative market. The increasing trend in OI could support the current ongoing price trend Last Value: 8,495,455,849.56 24H%: -10% 7D%: -9% Assign your Max Active Deals based on the 7 Day Fear & Greed Average Accordingly. F&G Filter: 0 - 20 - 100% Max Active Deals 20 - 40 - 80% Max Active Deals 40 - 60 - 60% Max Active Deals 60 - 80 - 40% Max Active Deals 80 - 100 - 20% Max Active Deals Fear & Greed Index - Aug 19, 2022: Today: 33 (Fear) Yesterday: 30 (Fear) Avg. 1W: 41 😕 Avg. 2W: 38 😣 Avg. 1M: 35 😣 Avg. 2M: 26 😱 Avg. 3M: 21 😱 Avg. 6M: 25 😱 Avg. 1Y: 35 😣 🔸 #Bitcoin Price: $23,247 24h Low: $23,134 24h High: $23,591 MC Change: -$2.2B (-0.5%) Dominance: 38.5% 24h: -0.5% 7d: -2.9% 14d: 1.7% 30d: 3.8% 60d: 22.0% 200d: -39.2% 1y: -47.8%
by Kryptochristian
1
🤖 #BTCLIVE - 18.08 - #IDEA 🤖🤖 #BTCLIVE - 18.08 - #IDEA 🤖 Snapshot: Short-Term 40:60- Bullish:Bearish Long-Term 60:40 - Bullish:Bearish Technical Analysis: Bullish Scenario: Breaking up on this bearish pennant will be helpful but more critically breaking back above $24k is where the price needs to be - If this can be achieved then a push to $25.3k at the upper range of the ascending wedge would be a target. Bearish Scenario: Breaking down on the bearish pennant will likely continue its move to $22.6k which is the slightly more expected scenario to occur here. Bullish Factors: + Still holding 50 DEMA support + Daily: Bullish Divergence + Daily: Incoming McFly + Exchange Reserve turned positive + Exchange Netflow Total turned positive + Active Addresses turned positive + Transactions turned positive Bearish Factors: - Flipping the 20 DEMA - Bearish Pennant Formed - Incoming Mcfly Signal - Consolidating Under Key Resistance - Lost Key Ascending Trendline Support to confirm breakdown of longer term ascending wedge - Weekly: Incoming McFly - Lost Key Support - Transfer Volume turned negative - Funding Rate turned negative Key News: Bull: + Crypto.com Business License Approved by UK Finance Watchdog (cryptopanic.com) + Australian convenience store chain with +170 locations now accepts #Bitcoin Bear: - #Bitcoin mining difficulty has increased by 0.63% to 28.35 trillion. - Ontario crypto exchanges impose $30K CAD annual limit on altcoin buys (cryptopanic.com) - Markets React to FOMC Meeting Minutes (cryptopanic.com) Metrics: Exchange + Exchange Reserve - As the exchange reserve continues to fall, it indicates lower selling pressure. + Exchange Netflow Total - Net deposits on exchanges are low compared to the 7-day average. Lower deposits can be interpreted as lower selling pressure. Miners / Miners' Position Index ( MPI ) - Miners' are selling holdings in a moderate range compared to its one-year average. / Puell Multiple -Miner's revenue is in a moderate range, compared to its one-year average. On-Chain + aSOPR - More investors are selling at a loss. In the middle of a bear market, it can indicate a market bottom. + Binary CDD - Long term holders' movement in the last 7days were lower than the average. They have a motive to hold their coins + Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) -Investors are in a Fear phase where they are currently with unrealized profits that are slightly more than losses. - Transfer Volume - The total number of coins transferred has decreased by -24.00% compared to yesterday. + Active Addresses - The total number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has increased by 83.00% compared to yesterday. + Transactions - The total number of transactions has increased by 51.00% compared to yesterday. Sentiment + Coinbase Premium - US investors' buying pressure is relatively strong in Coinbase. - Korea Premium -Korean retail investors' buying pressure is relatively strong. - Fund Premium - Investors in funds and trusts including Grayscale have relatively weak buying sentiment. Derivatives - Funding Rate - Short position traders are dominant and are willing to pay long traders. + Taker Buy Sell Ratio - Selling sentiment is dominant in the derivatives market. More sell orders are filled by takers. - Liquidation - 14032357.38 of short positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours. / Open Interest - As OI increases, it indicates more liquidity, volatility , and attention are coming into the derivative market. The increasing trend in OI could support the current ongoing price trend Last Value: 9,560,712,444.14 24H%: +3% 7D%: -4% Fear & Greed Index - Aug 18, 2022: Today: 30 (Fear) Yesterday: 41 (Fear) Avg. 1W: 42 😕 Avg. 2W: 38 😣 Avg. 1M: 35 😣 Avg. 2M: 26 😱 Avg. 3M: 21 😱 Avg. 6M: 25 😱 Avg. 1Y: 35 😣 🔸 #Bitcoin Price: $23,368 24h Low: $23,277 24h High: $24,439 MC Change: -$9.8B (-2.1%) Dominance: 38.4% 24h: -2.2% 7d: 0.7% 14d: 1.4% 30d: 12.2% 60d: 14.1% 200d: -38.3% 1y: -49.2%
by Kryptochristian
🤖 #BTCLIVE - 16.08 - #IDEA 🤖🤖 #BTCLIVE - 16.08 - #IDEA 🤖 Snapshot: Short-Term 20:80- Bullish:Bearish Long-Term 60:40 - Bullish:Bearish Technical Analysis: Bullish Scenario: Consolidating below key resistance at $24.2k - we have to get above this and consolidate above or pump through with big volume to test $25k - this will require additional huge volume to break through given the previous heavy rejections. Breaking $25k and either consolidating above or confirmed retest then $27k and $30k will be the targets Bearish Scenario: More likely scenario rn, consolidating below key resistance with volume diminishing a big move is expected with the first stop being $23.5k breaking through and retesting will probably confirm $22.7k and max pain here would be likely be $20k region at the bottom of the macro channel/range. There is an ultra bearish macro descending wedge that can see a possible $16k come in if it plays out although this would require some elevated FUD to drive down that far. Bullish Factors: Bullish Factors: + Long term trend support + Bullish Divergence + Bullish CME Gap + 20 and 50 DEMA lying in support Bearish Factors: - Consolidating under key Resistance - Under all EMA's and testing the 200EMA - Exhaustion on the Daily - TD6 on the Weekly - McFly Incoming on the Weekly - Wave Peak on the Daily - Active Addresses - The total number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has decreased by 15 .00% compared to yesterday. - Transactions - The total number of transactions has decreased by -12.00% compared to yesterday. Key News: Bull: + ETH Merge causing bullish sentiment market wide + 💥Revolut gets approval to offer #Bitcoin and crypto in the European Economic Area. + Fed Reveals Guidelines for Crypto Banks Who Want to Open ‘Master Accounts’ (cryptopanic.com) Bear: - Huobi #crypto exchange has announced that it will suspend derivatives trading in New Zealand. - Bear Market Rally Google Searches almost at an ATH Metrics: Exchange - Exchange Reserve - As the exchange reserve continues to rise, it indicates higher selling pressure. - Exchange Netflow Total - Net deposits on exchanges are high compared to the 7-day average. Higher deposits can be interpreted as higher selling pressure. Miners / Miners' Position Index ( MPI ) - Miners' are selling holdings in a moderate range compared to its one-year average. / Puell Multiple -Miner's revenue is in a moderate range, compared to its one-year average. On-Chain + aSOPR - More investors are selling at a loss. In the middle of a bear market, it can indicate a market bottom. + Binary CDD - Long term holders' movement in the last 7days were lower than the average. They have a motive to hold their coins + Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) -Investors are in a Fear phase where they are currently with unrealized profits that are slightly more than losses. + Transfer Volume - The total number of coins transferred has increased by 9.00% compared to yesterday. - Active Addresses - The total number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has decreased by 15 .00% compared to yesterday. - Transactions - The total number of transactions has decreased by -12.00% compared to yesterday. Sentiment + Coinbase Premium - US investors' buying pressure is relatively strong in Coinbase. - Korea Premium -Korean retail investors' buying pressure is relatively strong. - Fund Premium - Investors in funds and trusts including Grayscale have relatively weak buying sentiment. Derivatives + Funding Rate - Long position traders are dominant and are willing to pay to short traders. + Taker Buy Sell Ratio - Selling sentiment is dominant in the derivatives market. More sell orders are filled by takers. / Open Interest - As OI increases, it indicates more liquidity, volatility , and attention are coming into the derivative market. The increasing trend in OI could support the current ongoing price trend - Last Value: 9,142,523,051.97 24H%: -8% 7D%: -9% - Liquidation - 15823977.54 of short positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours. Fear & Greed Index - Aug 16, 2022: Today: 44 (Fear) Yesterday: 45 (Fear) Avg. 1W: 42 😕 Avg. 2W: 37 😣 Avg. 1M: 34 😣 Avg. 2M: 25 😱 Avg. 3M: 20 💩 Avg. 6M: 24 😱 Avg. 1Y: 35 😣 🔸 #Bitcoin Price: $24,176 24h Low: $23,848 24h High: $25,093 MC Change: -$2.7B (-0.6%) Dominance: 38.4% 24h: -0.6% 7d: 4.2% 14d: 3.4% 30d: 16.3% 60d: 7.3% 200d: -34.4% 1y: -48.7%
by Kryptochristian
🤖 #BTCLIVE - 15.08 - #IDEA 🤖🤖 #BTCLIVE - 15.08 - #IDEA 🤖 Snapshot: Short-Term 30:70- Bullish:Bearish Long-Term 50:50 - Bullish:Bearish Technical Analysis: Bullish Scenario: Alot of bearish sentiment, mainly short term would suggest a move down to $23.6k especially with the 3rd rejection from $25k andsell orders coming in - there could be a strong rally at this position to fend off breaking down on the ascending wedge which would likely drive price for another test of $25k this would be incredibly bullish and somewhat of a make or break push. A break and hold above $25k puts $27k and $30k as realistic targets. Bearish Scenario: Short term movement down to $23.6k is likely for the local support although there could be a lot of defense at this position a breakdown and confirmed retest can see price sing quite quickly to $22.6k where the next strongest zone of support lies, max pain in the move can still push us down to $20k region which is where the bottom of this long term channel/range lies. Bullish Factors: + Weekly Pivot already filled + 200EMA is supporting +20 & 50 DEMA doming to support at the key trendline support + Transfer Volume turned positive + Active Addresses turned positive Bearish Factors: - Bearish Divergence on the 5min - Bearish divergence on the 4hr - Bearish Divergence on the 1hr - Restesting resistance - Strong Sell Orders - Broken through 20 and 50 EMA - Hard rejection from 25k for 3rd time - Exchange Netflow Total turned negative - Liquidation turned negative Key News: Bull: + ETH Merge causing bullish sentiment market wide + 💥Revolut gets approval to offer #Bitcoin and crypto in the European Economic Area. + Judge grants Ripple’s request to review videos of SEC officials (cryptopanic.com) +#Crypto exchange Gate.io has been granted a virtual asset custodial services license in Hong Kong. + Europe’s largest independent tyre re-treader, Vaculug, will accept #Bitcoin for payment! Bear: - $ETH: The “Merge” Protocol Upgrade Will Not Lower Ethereum’s Gas Fees - Hackers printed 1.2 billion $AUSD on the Acala Network through an exploit. - Brazilian #crypto lending platform BlueBenx halts withdrawals following a $32 million hack. Metrics: Exchange - Exchange Reserve - As the exchange reserve continues to rise, it indicates higher selling pressure. - Exchange Netflow Total - Net deposits on exchanges are high compared to the 7-day average. Higher deposits can be interpreted as higher selling pressure. Miners / Miners' Position Index ( MPI ) - Miners' are selling holdings in a moderate range compared to its one-year average. / Puell Multiple -Miner's revenue is in a moderate range, compared to its one-year average. On-Chain + aSOPR - More investors are selling at a loss. In the middle of a bear market, it can indicate a market bottom. + Binary CDD - Long term holders' movement in the last 7days were lower than the average. They have a motive to hold their coins + Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) -Investors are in a Fear phase where they are currently with unrealized profits that are slightly more than losses. + Transfer Volume - The total number of coins transferred has decreased by 31.00% compared to yesterday. + Active Addresses - The total number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has decreased by 13 .00% compared to yesterday. + Transactions - The total number of transactions has increased by 26.00% compared to yesterday. Sentiment + Coinbase Premium - US investors' buying pressure is relatively strong in Coinbase. - Korea Premium -Korean retail investors' buying pressure is relatively strong. - Fund Premium - Investors in funds and trusts including Grayscale have relatively weak buying sentiment. Derivatives + Funding Rate - Long position traders are dominant and are willing to pay to short traders. + Taker Buy Sell Ratio - Selling sentiment is dominent in the derivatives market. More sell orders are filled by takers. / Open Interest - As OI increases, it indicates more liquidity, volatility , and attention are coming into the derivative market. The increasing trend in OI could support the current ongoing price trend - Last Value: 9,142,523,051.97 24H%: -8% 7D%: -9% - Liquidation - 42921463.65 of short positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours.
by Kryptochristian
🤖 #BTCLIVE - 13.08 - #IDEA 🤖🤖 #BTCLIVE - 13.08 - #IDEA 🤖 Snapshot: Short-Term 40:60- Bullish:Bearish Long-Term 60:40 - Bullish:Bearish Technical Analysis: Bullish Scenario: Defending against this double top and holding above ideally $24k.1 but mainly $23.6k to not confirm this double top would be the most bullish play we can hope for - this would likely require alot of volume to come in and would create quite a high bullish conviction given alot of the bearish markers. Immediate targets in this case would be $25k and then $27k - although don't be too fooled by the short term bearish sentiment a break out here could be absolutely massive with a realistic $30k on the cards. Bearish Scenario: A slightly more favourable outcome atm, given that we are filling out a double top pattern quite nicely along with a confirmed bearish divergence perfectly on the 2nd top. immediate target if we break down on $24k will be the key support at $23.6k, then $23.1k and then $22.6k - this could quite easily continue down. Bullish Factors: + 20, 50 DEMA in close proximity for support + Holding key support and $24k support holding + On 50 EMA and HMA and support + Bullish CME Gap closing in + Exchange Reserve turned positive + Transfer Volume turned positive + Active Addresses turned positive + Relatively minimal FUD Bearish Factors: - Poor weekend volume - Double Top pattern in play - Bearish Divergence confirmed - Strong upper resistance - $25k resistance - RSi Pullback Signal - Bearish POC & Future Weekly Pivot forming - aSOPR turned negative - Taker Buy Sell Ratio turned negative Key News: Bull: + ETH Merge causing bullish sentiment market wide + "We are fully ready to regulate cryptocurrencies, says CFTC Chairman" t.co + 💥NEW: Union Bank of the Philippines to enable users buy #Bitcoin and crypto from its app! Bear: - SEC going after hedge funds for crypto - France inflation reaches 6.1%, the highest it’s seen in 37 years. - Spain inflation reaches 10.8%, the highest it’s seen in 38 years. Metrics: Exchange + Exchange Reserve - As the exchange reserve continues to fall, it indicates lower selling pressure. + Exchange Netflow Total - Net deposits on exchanges are low compared to the 7-day average. Lower deposits can be interpreted as lower selling pressure. Miners / Miners' Position Index ( MPI ) - Miners' are selling holdings in a moderate range compared to its one-year average. / Puell Multiple -Miner's revenue is in a moderate range, compared to its one-year average. On-Chain - aSOPR - More investors are selling at a profit. In the middle of a bull market, it can indicate a market top. + Binary CDD - Long term holders' movement in the last 7days were lower than the average. They have a motive to hold their coins + Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) -Investors are in a Fear phase where they are currently with unrealized profits that are slightly more than losses. + Transfer Volume - The total number of coins transferred has increased by 14.00% compared to yesterday. + Active Addresses - The total number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has increased by 22.00% compared to yesterday. + Transactions - The total number of transactions has increased by 4.00% compared to yesterday. Sentiment + Coinbase Premium - US investors' buying pressure is relatively strong in Coinbase. - Korea Premium -Korean retail investors' buying pressure is relatively strong. - Fund Premium - Investors in funds and trusts including Grayscale have relatively weak buying sentiment. Derivatives + Funding Rate - Long position traders are dominant and are willing to pay to short traders. - Taker Buy Sell Ratio - Selling sentiment is dominent in the derivatives market. More sell orders are filled by takers. / Open Interest - As OI increases, it indicates more liquidity, volatility , and attention are coming into the derivative market. The increasing trend in OI could support the current ongoing price trend. + Liquidation - 65354916.17 of short positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours.
by Kryptochristian
🤖 #BTCLIVE - 12.08 - #IDEA 🤖🤖 #BTCLIVE - 12.08 - #IDEA 🤖 Snapshot: Short-Term 30:70- Bullish:Bearish Long-Term 50:50 - Bullish:Bearish Technical Analysis: Bullish Scenario: There isn't too much to suggest a much bullish sentiment. The best to hope for is a bounce at $23.5k off the lower ascending wedge trendline and pump back to the upper trendline at $25k region as quickly as possible to avoid a full break down. Up on dropping through key resistance a realistic bullish play back up is an inverse head and shoulders - this could play out over quite a long period. The best case scenario is to pump hard to try and break $25k although going into the weekend that is unlikely. Bearish Scenario: Currently playing out the final part of a head and shoulders with a $22.7k as the lower limit of it (not to say it can't go past that) - there are a few key support on the way although going into weekend not expecting them to hold - my realistic target is $22.7k with a mid-term max pain of $20k. Possibly driven by the highest inflation numbers in 35+ years in European countries. Bullish Factors: + 20, 50 DEMA in close proximity for support + Approaching Key Support + Exchange Netflow Total turned positive + aSOPR turned positive Bearish Factors: - SEC is still on a rampage - Weekend Volatility - Broke HMA, 20EMA, 50EMA - Flipped local support - Forming Head & Shoulders Pattern - 15min: Pullback & Exhaustion Signal - 1 Day: Rising Wedge in Downtrend - Lower Highs - Transfer Volume turned negative - Active Addresses turned negative - Taker Buy Sell Ratio turned negative Key News: Bull: + ETH Merge causing bullish sentiment market wide + "We are fully ready to regulate cryptocurrencies, says CFTC Chairman" t.co + Strike has partnered with Visa to launch a new card Bear: - SEC going after hedge funds for crypto - Trend forecaster G. Celente slams new CPI data, says ‘game is rigged’ (cryptopanic.com) - Indian authorities freeze #crypto exchange Vauld assets worth $46.5 million. - France inflation reaches 6.1%, the highest it’s seen in 37 years. - Spain inflation reaches 10.8%, the highest it’s seen in 38 years. Metrics: Exchange - Exchange Reserve - As the exchange reserve continues to rise, it indicates higher selling pressure. + Exchange Netflow Total - Net deposits on exchanges are low compared to the 7-day average. Lower deposits can be interpreted as lower selling pressure. Miners / Miners' Position Index ( MPI ) - Miners' are selling holdings in a moderate range compared to its one-year average. / Puell Multiple -Miner's revenue is in a moderate range, compared to its one-year average. On-Chain + aSOPR - More investors are selling at a loss. In the middle of a bear market, it can indicate a market bottom. + Binary CDD - Long term holders' movement in the last 7days were lower than the average. They have a motive to hold their coins + Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) -Investors are in a Fear phase where they are currently with unrealized profits that are slightly more than losses. - Transfer Volume - The total number of coins transferred has decreased by -47.00% compared to yesterday. - Active Addresses - The total number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has decreased by -13 .00% compared to yesterday. + Transactions - The total number of transactions has increased by 4.00% compared to yesterday. Sentiment + Coinbase Premium - US investors' buying pressure is relatively strong in Coinbase. - Korea Premium -Korean retail investors' buying pressure is relatively strong. - Fund Premium - Investors in funds and trusts including Grayscale have relatively weak buying sentiment. Derivatives + Funding Rate - Long position traders are dominant and are willing to pay to short traders. + Taker Buy Sell Ratio - Selling sentiment is dominent in the derivatives market. More sell orders are filled by takers. / Open Interest - As OI increases, it indicates more liquidity, volatility , and attention are coming into the derivative market. The increasing trend in OI could support the current ongoing price trend. + Liquidation - 19644187061861.87 of short positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours.
by Kryptochristian
🤖 #BTCLIVE - 10.08 - #IDEA 🤖🤖 #BTCLIVE - 10.08 - #IDEA 🤖 Snapshot: Short-Term 40:60- Bullish:Bearish Long-Term 70:30 - Bullish:Bearish Technical Analysis: The bullish scenario is to break the local resistance at 23.5k with volume with a short term target of 23.4k and longer term target of $27k where the CME gap and top of the range is sat, breaking through will invalidate the bear flag pattern - this will be heavily predicated on the CPI announcement today The bearish scenario is to break the local support at 22.6k with volume and the path to $22k will be very likely at the bottom of the long term range. Breaking down will confirm a long term bear flag and a realistic longer term target of $17.5k Bullish Factors: + Bullish Divergence Wave & RSI + Contrarian Rejection Signal + 20 DEMA Support + Bullish CME Gap + RSI & Wave Oversold + Wave Dip Buy Signal + CPI Announcement + aSOPR turned bullish + Active Addresses turned bullish Bearish Factors: - TD7 - Challenging Resistance - Flipped 50DEMA - Flipped Local Support - Short-Term Overbought - Lower Low, Lower High - Tornado Cash - CPI Announcement - Further Celsius Investigations - Transfer Volume turned bearish - Funding Rate turned bearish Key News: + $100K #Bitcoin could be a matter of time, says Bloomberg Intelligence - #Binance will disable off-chain transfers to WazirX on August 11th. - U.S Treasury has blacklisted 'crypto mixer' Tornado Cash. home.treasury.gov - Singapore-Based Hodlnaut Halts Withdrawals Citing ‘Market Conditions’ beincrypto.com / CPI Announcement Approximate Gauge: CPI YoY: <8.7 Bullish 8.7-9.1 Neutral probably slightly bearish 9.1> Bearish Core CPI YoY <5.9 Bullish 5.9-6.1 Neutral 6.1> Bearish Metrics: Exchange + Exchange Reserve - As the exchange reserve continues to fall, it indicates lower selling pressure. - Exchange Netflow Total - Net deposits on exchanges are high compared to the 7-day average. Higher deposits can be interpreted as higher selling pressure. Miners / Miners' Position Index ( MPI ) - Miners' are selling holdings in a moderate range compared to its one-year average. / Puell Multiple -Miner's revenue is in a moderate range, compared to its one-year average. On-Chain + aSOPR - More investors are selling at a loss. In the middle of a bear market, it can indicate a market bottom. + Binary CDD - Long term holders' movement in the last 7days were lower than the average. They have a motive to hold their coins + Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) -Investors are in a Fear phase where they are currently with unrealized profits that are slightly more than losses. - Transfer Volume - The total number of coins transferred has decreased by -24.00% compared to yesterday. + Active Addresses - The total number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has increased by 22.00% compared to yesterday. + Transactions - The total number of transactions has increased by 8.00% compared to yesterday. Sentiment + Coinbase Premium - US investors' buying pressure is relatively strong in Coinbase. - Korea Premium -Korean retail investors' buying pressure is relatively strong. - Fund Premium - Investors in funds and trusts including Grayscale have relatively weak buying sentiment. Derivatives - Funding Rate - Short position traders are dominant and are willing to pay long traders. - Taker Buy Sell Ratio - Selling sentiment is dominant in the derivatives market. More sell orders are filled by takers. / Open Interest - As OI increases, it indicates more liquidity, volatility , and attention are coming into the derivative market. The increasing trend in OI could support the current ongoing price trend. - Liquidation - 33137829.14 of long positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours.
by Kryptochristian
2
🤖 #BTCLIVE - 09.08 - #IDEA 🤖🤖 #BTCLIVE - 09.08 - #IDEA 🤖 60:40 Mid-Term Bullish:Bearish Technical Analysis: Current Status: Big rejection hit as outlined in yesterdays BTCLIVE with TD9's, Exhaustion candle and bearish divergence into resistance - multiplied by the Tornado Cash blacklisting. We have taken out the high support of $23.8k and looking to test the more critical support of $23.2k. There is a large amount of support in this area: - 50EMA - 20 EMA - Weekly Pivot - CME Gap - Trendline - Potential Bullish Divergence That should hopefully, the key analysis is the bullish divergence that is not confirmed yet but could help support a retest and bounce here. A long with a pretty tight stop-loss here could be an option, although keep the stop-loss tight - very high risk. The only issue is that there is a considerably amount of unpredictable new circulating atm, especially the Tornado Cash blacklisting as this could be a floodgate to other services and the depth may be quite damaging as it is unlikely this will be isolated to just Tornado Cash. The rest of the news is not particularly impactful so just keep an eye on how this unfolds - it will be interesting to see what the US does when on line. On the whole I am still more bullish than bearish Bullish Scenario Bounce here at $23.2k and track up to longterm range target of $25k - $26k. A lot of TA suggesting a possible bounce along with a lot of volume if the US market doesnt drop the price below $23k the it would all be relatively bullish. Bearish Scenario If the Tornado Cash impact unfolds to affect more services then unloading of BTC reserves could start occurring - I believe this was the cause of the recent dump - a daily close below $23.2k would likely lead to further downward pressure with a realistic target of $22k. Key News: + Iran completes its first foreign trade worth $10 million using #cryptocurrency. - @circlepay 's USDC has officially blacklisted every Ethereum address sanctioned by the US Treasury + $100K #Bitcoin could be a matter of time, says Bloomberg Intelligence + UAE-based retail store Day To Day will accept #Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as payment methods. - #Binance will disable off-chain transfers to WazirX on August 11th. - U.S Treasury has blacklisted 'crypto mixer' Tornado Cash. home.treasury.gov - Singapore-Based Hodlnaut Halts Withdrawals Citing ‘Market Conditions’ beincrypto.com Metrics: Exchange + Exchange Reserve - As the exchange reserve continues to fall, it indicates lower selling pressure. - Exchange Netflow Total - Net deposits on exchanges are high compared to the 7-day average. Higher deposits can be interpreted as higher selling pressure. Miners / Miners' Position Index ( MPI ) - Miners' are selling holdings in a moderate range compared to its one-year average. / Puell Multiple -Miner's revenue is in a moderate range, compared to its one-year average. On-Chain - aSOPR - More investors are selling at a profit. In the middle of a bull market, it can indicate a market top. + Binary CDD - Long term holders' movement in the last 7days were lower than the average. They have a motive to hold their coins + Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) -Investors are in a Fear phase where they are currently with unrealized profits that are slightly more than losses. + Transfer Volume - The total number of coins transferred has increased by 30.00% compared to yesterday. - Active Addresses - The number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has decreased by -4.00% compared to yesterday. + Transactions - The total number of transactions has increased by 2.00% compared to yesterday. Sentiment + Coinbase Premium - US investors' buying pressure is relatively strong in Coinbase. - Korea Premium -Korean retail investors' buying pressure is relatively strong. - Fund Premium - Investors in funds and trusts including Grayscale have relatively weak buying sentiment. Derivatives + Funding Rate - Long position traders are dominant and are willing to pay to short traders. - Taker Buy Sell Ratio - Selling sentiment is dominant in the derivatives market. More sell orders are filled by takers. / Open Interest - As OI increases, it indicates more liquidity, volatility , and attention are coming into the derivative market. The increasing trend in OI could support the current ongoing price trend. - Liquidation - 22775722.97 of long positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours.
by Kryptochristian
🤖 #BTCLIVE - 05.08 - #IDEA 🤖🤖 #BTCLIVE - 05.08 - #IDEA 🤖 70:30 Long-Term Bullish:Bearish Technical Analysis: Current Status: Confirmed a descending broadening wedge - since the 1st August with the latest to failed breakouts. These are particularly bullish patterns - based on historical data showing a 79% frequency of breaking up from them. In the same data set it is claiming a 33%, although suggest you ignore that. With options expiration there is expected volatility which could see the breakout happen today although based on the most recent rejection we have seen some good support come at the POC line and 20 DEMA was lying in wait just below too. If it breaks out again things are turning v.bullish although breakout is not confirmed yet. Bullish Scenario Breaking and retesting $23.4k will see a short term target of approx. $24k and a bigger term target of $25.5k Bearish Scenario A Break down and retest of $22.7k will likely start the descent to $21.5k at the lower range of the longer term - breaking down on that will spell major bloodshed. Key News: - Pornhub no longer uses VISA/Mastercard likely to fall back on Crypto - Coinbase has received a class action lawsuit alleging the #crypto exchange made false claims regarding its business activities - Options Expiration - Elon Musk said to expect a recession Metrics: Exchange + Exchange Reserve - As the exchange reserve continues to fall, it indicates lower selling pressure. - Exchange Netflow Total - Net deposits on exchanges are high compared to the 7-day average. Higher deposits can be interpreted as higher selling pressure. Miners / Miners' Position Index (MPI) - Miners' are selling holdings in a moderate range compared to its one-year average. + Puell Multiple - Miner's revenue is decreasing significantly compared to the cost they put in. This could indicate that price is undervalued along with the increasing miner's motive to hold their coins. On-Chain + aSOPR More investors are selling at a loss. In the middle of a bear market, it can indicate a market bottom. + Binary CDD - Long term holders' movement in the last 7days were lower than the average. They have a motive to hold their coins. + Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) - Investors are in a Fear phase where they are currently with unrealized profits that are slightly more than losses. + Transfer Volume - The total number of coins transferred has increased by 315.00% compared to yesterday. + Active Addresses - The total number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has increased by 21.00% compared to yesterday. + Transactions - The total number of transactions has increased by 72.00% compared to yesterday. Sentiment + Coinbase Premium - US investors' buying pressure is relatively strong in Coinbase. - Korea Premium - Korean retail investors' buying pressure is relatively strong. - Fund Premium - Investors in funds and trusts including Grayscale have relatively weak buying sentiment. Derivatives + Funding Rate - Long position traders are dominant and are willing to pay to short traders. - Taker Buy Sell Ratio - Selling sentiment is dominent in the derivatives market. More sell orders are filled by takers. / Open Interest - As OI decreases, it indicates investors are closing futures positions and possibility of trend reversals. In turn, this might trigger the possibility of long/short-squeeze caused by sudden price movement or vice versa. + Liquidation - 15624591.41 of short positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours.
by Kryptochristian
⚡️ #BTCLIVE - 04.08 ⚡️⚡️ #BTCLIVE - 04.08 ⚡️ 60:40 Bullish:Bearish Current Status: At the bottom of a symmetrical triangle - bouncing twice recently with relatively level volume showing distinct signs of ranging. Longer term Bullish Divergence is now in play. Unfilled CME Gap sitting at 23.7k to 23.9k along with the POC, both bullish. On a more macro level currently sat in the middle of a longer term range that is effectively a bear flag with a high of $25.5k and a low of $21.5k. Expecting to see a break out of this consolidation triangle over the next 24hours - direction unconfirmed. News: - Coinbase X BlackRock Partner for institutional investment > Bullish on BTC & ETH - Coinbase starts Ethereum Staking > Bullish on BTC & ETH - META introduces Coinbse Wallets to platform > Bullish on BTC - Options Expiry Friday > Heavy Volatility - China x Taiwan FUD/Conflict > Bearish on all markets On-Chain Growing supply in older age bands - This signifies that both HODLers be HODLing, AND that they are not spending their cold storage coins. Declining supply in younger age bands - literally the equal and opposite reaction. Generally speaking - this is what we want and are starting to see for a bear market floor Bullish Scenario Breaking and retesting $23.4k will see a short term target of approx. $24k and a bigger term target of $25.5k Bearish Scenario A Break down and retest of $22.7k will likely start the descent to $21.5k at the lower range of the longer term - breaking down on that will spell major bloodshed.
by Kryptochristian
2
Onchain: Miners,banks and whales did not support the bull market A look at various Onchain metrics shows that miners, banks, and whales do not support the increase in the price of Bitcoin. Banks continued to reduce their Bitcoin reserves and the miners sold their bitcoins. Bitcoin Exchange Wall Ratio has also shown the increase in the entry of Bitcoin into the exchanges by whales. On the other hand, With the reduction of network difficulty and mining cost, we saw an increase in Bitcoin sales by miners. These show the market still does not have enough support for the price increase at the moment
by cryptoonchain
1
⚡️ #ETH/USD - The Merge-ereum ⚡️#PEOPLESCHOICE #ETH Probably the most talked about and promising assets to hold rn, it is pretty hard to go anywhere in crypto atm with out getting slapped with some Mergereum news. although it is what the market needs right now, so no complaints here- with huge consistent volume coming in them Whales are accumulating. As per some handy on-chain data the larget ETH buy in 7 months has been made at $1.7b which is a whole lotta ETH at these levels. The big story is the Merge - whilst its not in the roadmap for Sept. it is a prediction of one of the devs there. Projection on chart are based on the perfect scenario - ie no more global meltdowns or FUD and is ultimately subject to BTC. Expecting a retrace with TD9 forming, trendline & price resistance as well as a Bearish peak on the Alpha Wave.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by Kryptochristian
⚡️ #BTC OUTLOOK - 20/07⚡️⚡️ #BTC OUTLOOK - 20/07⚡️ We have arguably broken the range that we are in although it is definitely on the edge. At the moment there is still a sizeable amount of shorts above us (approx. 1k BTC on Binance - doesn't seem huge but relatively it is pretty big). The worst thing that can happen is losing $22.9k then I feel it would be a bit of a collapse back in to the range heading quickly to $21.8k and then ultimately about as low as $20k. The bullish scenario which I am slightly leaning towards is that we consolidate here for a day and eat away at the shorts before pumping through, the short/mid term target here would be $27.3k to $28.8k to basically fill the CME gap. What to watch out for? Any FUD, if it is going to drop then it will drop whilst we are trying to break out of this key resistance so please be wary of that. We are at the mercy of order books that can be unreliable to be exact but do help gauge sentiment quite well usually. Further on-chain data - is suggesting that we are coming up to a pretty important bullish turning point Source: Glassnode #Bitcoin is currently in the process of breaking above three long-term pricing models: - Realized Price (average cost basis) - Long-Term Holder RP (Cost basis of LTHs) - 200-week Moving Average
by Kryptochristian
⚡️ #BTC MACRO ON-CHAIN - 07/07 ⚡️40:60 Bearish:Bullish On-Chain looking Bullish on a Macro level - we could be ranging in this 20% period like the consolidation ranges before (excluding the initial dump wicks) for a further 10 or 11 days. Given the current outflows and huge increase in BTC to cold storage it is looking like the exit from this consolidation could be bullish. Total exchange outflows in June peak at -151k BTC/month, with Shrimp and Whales as main receivers. Although the lack of confidence in Exchanges/Lenders is at an all time low so take with a pinch of salt and could still mean temporary holding in cold storage.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Kryptochristian
1
Bitcoin Onchain Volume and Trading volumeHello guys.today i want to explain how we can find important Resistance and Support levels in BTC according to onchain transaction volumes and trading or off chain volumes. when we talk about onchain volume means Vol of transactions recorded in blockchain. and when we talk about Trading Vol or offchain Vol means transactions recorded in exchanges. Comparing on-chain and off-chain transaction volume can help us verify that data on exchange trading volume is accurate. Off-chain volume should behave in the same way as on-chain volume. We need this metrics in Tradingview 1)BCHAIN/TRVOU - QUANDL ----> this metric shows trading volume in Exchanges daily(Blue chart) 2)BTC_TXVOLUME - INTOTHEBLOCK ----> this metric shows BTC onchain volume daily(Purple chart) and the price chart attached between this two metrics in my charts above.(Orange chart) so when the trading volume and onchain volume grows together , we can see bounce or fall in price. i show the trading volume and onchain volume Highs with colorful vertical lines and illustrate important support and resistance levels this highs show on my chart with colorful horizontal lines. according to this method , below we have important levels in BTC price that volume grows strong so a lot of coins move from hand to hand. this levels are : 19700 - 20500 - 32500 - 37200 - 43200 - 48000 - 56000 - 61500 Hope you like my opinion and if you have notices about it please share me in comments. thank you all.
BCHAIN:TRVOU
by TraderAmin-KZ
1
Bitcoin ready to rebound?After the pushback from the MA50Weekly and the breaking of the bearish flag, Bitcoin has screwed into a bearish trend slowed only by the 61.8% Fibonacci level, after a few days broken. After the breakdown of the MA200Weekly there was the maximum moment of correction. The #OnChain data indicates a massive build-up for most likely Retail users. A rebound is more than likely (would follow SPX500 and classic markets,you can watch my analysis on SPX from a few days ago). Next resistances among the most important in the short term, $22,300 - MA200 Weekly moving average and subsequently onchain volumes area at $23,500, then we have fibo level and onchain volumes area at 28/30 and then further resistances in the 36/40 area with the MA50Weekly. The long-term trend remains bearish until further confirmation, but a rebound from this area is likely.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoReggae
2
Where is the bottom of the market?In this post, I want to examine the market bottom area based on technical indicators and onchain metrics. Technical indicators: 1- RSI: In the last two cycles, the RSI value in the market bottoms has been between 43.6 and 44.8 in the monthly timeframe. RSI Value is 46.94 now. this is not far from the previous two values, but they were slightly less than this value. If we find the same value (46.9) in the previous two cycles on the chart, Bitcoin has dropped in price by 18% to 30% at the bottom of the market. If we consider 18% the market bottom will be about $ 24,300. 2- Pi cycle Bottom: The P-Cycle Oscillator is an efficient way to determine the top and bottom of the market. I used the bottom Pi cycle here. As you can see, this oscillator has performed well in previous cycles. Although the price is above the last trendline, it does not signal a market bottom. based on this oscillator, it seems that the downtrend continues. 3- 200 weeks moving average: The 200-week moving average has always been good support for Bitcoin in previous cycles and indicates the market bottom (If we do not consider candlewick). Although Bitcoin is close to this moving average, it has not yet crossed it. The value of this moving average is currently $ 22,100. 4- 300 weeks moving average: Although the 200-week moving average has shown good support for the bitcoin price, in the last cycle, candlewick fell to the 300-week moving average. This moving average value is currently around $ 16,600 The bottom of the market based on onchain Metrics: 1- Realized Price: One of the most important metrics for determining the bottom price of bitcoin is the realized price. In the previous bottoms, Bitcoin has fallen below this price. Bitcoin has dropped in the historical chart to the 730-day moving average of this metric. the realized price is 23760$ now and its 730d MA is 16300$. 2-CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed) has historically picked the bottom of the market. When coins pass from an old investor to a new investor, the transaction carries a USD value and also destroys an amount of HODL time by the previous holder. CVDD is the cumulative sum of this value-time destruction as a ratio to the age of the market and divided by 6 million as a calibration factor. CVDD value is 15240$ now
by cryptoonchain
5
Onchain V/T Ratio: Bitcoin is still overvalued V/T ratio is a new Onchain metric that I published recently in Tradingview. To check this Onchain Metric Please check the link below: this indicator is based on THE TOTAL VOLUME OF BITCOIN TRANSFERRED ONCHAIN IN USD and THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF TRANSACTIONS. I have explained the phases of the market based on this metric in the link above. When it is high, it means that the ratio of trading volume to USD per transaction is high, and vice versa. It is a good Metric to determine the Overvalue and undervalue read of BTC Based on this metric, It seems Bitcoin is still overvalued.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by cryptoonchain