The Week Ahead: MJ, ICLN, LIT, QQQOptions Highly Liquid Exchange-Traded Funds Ranked by 30-Day Implied Volatility:
MJ (39/75) (Cannabis)
ICLN (10/56) (Clean Energy)
LIT (36/47) (Battery)
JETS (2/46) (Airlines)
EWZ (5/43) (Brazil)
XBI (29/43) (Biotech)
XLE (8/42) (Energy)
SMH (28/41) (Semiconductor)
KRE (8/40) (Regional Banks)
SLV (10/38) (Silver)
Broad Market Exchange-Traded Funds Ranked by 30-Day Implied Volatility:
QQQ (13/30) (Nasdaq)
IWM (6/30) (Russell 2000)
SPY (3/20) (S&P 500)
DIA (1/19) (Dow Jones)
EFA (3/16) (MSCI ex. Canada/U.S.)
There isn't a May 7th weekly yet for my standard 45 day 16 delta short put, but will look at putting that on once it becomes available. Naturally, the implied volatility picture may have changed at that point; small caps have had the most implied volatility for several weeks running.
Bond Funds:
TLT (21/22) (20 Year+ Treasuries) (Yield 1.66%)
EMB (11/14) (Emerging Market) (Yield 3.97%)
HYG (12/12) (High Yield Corporate/Junk) (Yield 4.79%)
AGG (37/11) (U.S. Aggregate) (Yield 2.13%)
The Pictured Trade:
Featured here is an MJ May 21st (61 Days) 19 short put set up at the 18 delta strike in the May monthly. Paying .80 at the mid price as of Friday close, it has an 18.20 break even and a 4.40% return on capital at max as a function of notional risk. Naturally, it's a little bit long-dated if you like to try to keep things in that 45 until expiry or shorter wheelhouse. I don't have a ton on in May yet, so may do a smidge here, do a smidge next week, etc., so that I disperse risk over duration, rather than going all in everything at the top of the list with 45 days to go.
An alternative defined risk play is the 14/19 5-wide short put vertical, paying .70 as of Friday close on buying power of 4.30 -- a 16.3% return on capital at max as a function of buying power.
