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Total 2 Marketcap - Is this cycle repeating the last two cycles?In this analysis, we are discussing the possible repetition of the last two cycles by the total 2 (Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC) on the monthly timeframe. By comparing this cycle in conjunction with the RSI and the Stochastic RSI with the previous two cycles we could make a statement that the market might follow the same bearish signals. What did we see in the previous two cycles with regard to the price action and RSI In both bullmarket cycles we saw the total 2 making highers highs and higher lows. In both instances the RSI made a lower high while the price action made a higher how consulting in a bearish divergence on the monthly timeframe. What did we see in the previous two cycles with regard to the price action and Stochastic RSI In the last two bullmarkets we saw the Stochastic RSI (momentum indicator) rising to levels above 80 on the indicator, overbought territory. This means that the momentum to the upside in the Crypto market is immense. However, in both instances the Stochastic RSI was in overbought territory during the first top. After the first top the momentum weakened and thus resulting in bearish momentum below level 80. However, the momentum weakening, both cycles made a new higher high. By making a new higher high the Stochastic RSI made a bullish cross around the 40/50 level. Nevertheless, after making a new higher high and a new Stochastic RSI cross up the price fell, resulting in another bearish Stochastic RSI cross down. What we can conclude is that in both previous cycles the Stochastic RSI made a cross down below the 80 level at the first top and made a second cross down around the 40/50 level during the final top. How does the previous cycles relate to this current cycle In this current bullmarket we see the Total 2 Marketcap rising and making higher highs and higher lows. However, this cycle looks alike the past two cycles in comparison with the price action, RSI and Stochastic RSI. This Cycle the price action made higher highs and the RSI made a lower high. Thus, resulting in a bearish divergence. Also, in this cycle the first peak occurred with the Stochastic RSI above the 80 level and breaking down at a later moment, resulting in bearish momentum. However, this cycle did the same as the previous two. With the bearish momentum the Total 2 Marketcap made a new high with a second Stochastic RSI cross down at the 40/50 level. Conclusion This cycle looks a lot like the past two cycles in comparison with the RSI and Stochastic and thus suggesting that there is a possibility that we go in to a new bearmarket and repeat the last two cycles. The current evidence shows that the market might follow the similar path again. What is a bearish divergence A bearish divergence signify potential downtrends when prices rally to a new high while the indicator (RSI) refuses to reach a new high and thus making a lower high. Thanks for your support! Drop a like and leave a comment to have a conversation about this topic. Make sure to follow me so you don’t miss out on the next analysis.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by Youriverse
6
EUR/AUD: Signs of Exhaustion as Bears Watch 1.7184EUR/AUD looks heavy and vulnerable to downside following Friday’s bearish engulfing candle, leaving the price teetering just above 1.7184—the blow-off top high from August last year. A break below 1.7184 could encourage bears off the sidelines, creating a setup where shorts may be established beneath the level with stops above for protection. EUR/AUD has tended to stall around big figures during its recent rally, putting 1.7100 and 1.7000 on the radar as initial downside targets. Beyond that, 1.6800 looms, having capped gains in late 2024 and early 2025. RSI (14) is trending lower but remains overbought, suggesting bullish momentum may be starting to wane. MACD has yet to confirm a bearish signal, though it is curling towards the signal line. On the fundamental side, the euro has priced in a lot of good news from recent fiscal and geopolitical developments, raising the bar for further upside. Meanwhile, the Aussie remains suppressed by elevated volatility and concerns over China’s growth trajectory amid escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, limiting its ability to capitalise on recent U.S. dollar weakness. However, if those concerns ease, the Aussie could outperform. That puts today’s policy details from China’s government on boosting consumption in focus. While both the euro and Aussie are heavily tied to China’s economic health, AUD—along with other Asian currencies—stands to benefit more from an improvement in sentiment.
Short
by FOREXcom
TRUMP/USDTFundamental Overview of TRUMP/USDT: Official Trump Coin (TRUMP) has gained attention due to its association with former President Donald Trump. With a current price of $11.86 and a market capitalization of approximately $2.37 billion, TRUMP ranks among the notable digital assets in the market. (coinmarketcap.com) Its popularity and volatility attract both investors and traders seeking new opportunities. Technical Analysis: We see that TRUMP coin is currently trading within a descending channel, respecting two trendlines that form a falling wedge pattern. If the downward momentum persists, we expect the price to drop into the $4.5-$5.0 range, where we anticipate strong buying pressure to emerge. Key VWAP levels, highlighted with green circles, act as price magnets, making them crucial points of interest for a potential reversal. Additionally, Fibonacci retracement levels indicate significant resistance around $21.15 (0.618 Fib) and $24.22 (0.786 Fib), which could serve as key breakout targets if the price initiates an upward move. If the price successfully reclaims these resistance levels, a bullish scenario could unfold, potentially targeting $30+ in the mid-term. However, failure to hold support around $4.5-$5.0 could lead to further downside exploration.
Short
by stokpa
USDCAD Wave Analysis – 14 March 2025 - USDCAD reversed from key resistance level 1.4500 - Likely to fall to support level 1.4300 USDCAD currency pair recently reversed from the key resistance level 1.4500, which has been reversing the price since the middle of January. The resistance level 1.4500 was further strengthened by the intersecting upper daily Bollinger Band. Given the strength of the resistance level 1.4500 and the bearish US dollar sentiment seen today, USDCAD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.4300.
Short
by FxProGlobal
SMPH Possible Trend ReversalAfter months of downtrend, SMPH seems to be somehow recovering from its bearish sentiment. From downtrend to sideways Confluence Macro: Shift from downtrend to sideways Daily chart: higher lows RSI: higher lows Short term outlook: Looking like a 1 month short term uptrend. Other Notes Possibly looking to make a DB MB BO and hopefully a DB BT BO Coming from a macro downtrend, sentiment shifting to defensive stocks. Property sector may not be the first mover post bearish sentiment since its not a defensive sector but perhaps the speculated rate cuts may help. Earnings also released and looking good.
PSE:SMPHLong
by grailforce
USD/CHF: Bearish Trend Pauses, but Breakdown Risks RemainThe strong bearish trend for USD/CHF stalled this week, with buying support emerging beneath .8774, continuing the pattern seen in December. The net result has been a grind higher before running into resistance at .8854, forming what resembles a bear flag on the charts. That should put traders on alert for a potential downside break and resumption of the bearish trend. Indicators like RSI (14) and MACD are providing mixed signals on price momentum, with the former trending higher while the latter remains below the signal line. However, the modest RSI (14) uptrend looks vulnerable, mirroring the unconvincing price action. If the price breaks down from the bear flag, immediate levels of note include .8774, .8711, and .8617, the latter being a more substantial support level. On the topside, a break of .8854 would put .8920 and .8966 on the radar for bulls. The price is hanging around the 200-day moving average like a bad smell this week, but having traded through it on multiple occasions like it didn’t exist, it shouldn’t be a major consideration for traders. Good luck! DS
Short
by FOREXcom
EURGBP Wave Analysis – 13 March 2025 - EURGBP reversed from key resistance level 0.8450 - Likely to fall to support level 0.8340 EURGBP currency pair recently reversed down with the daily Shooting Star from the resistance area between the key resistance level 0.8450 (which has been reversing the price from September) and the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the earlier short-term ABC correction ii from the end of February. Given the strength of the resistance level 0.8450 and the overbought daily Stochastic, EURGBP currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.8340.
Short
by FxProGlobal
XCN + 333%? X4 IS WAITING FOR IT IF THIS CONFIRMS.Last time Onyxcoin (XCN) had a Bullish divergence on RSI and make a Golden cross. it made a +383% in 5 waves making the 1st wave on the bigger cycle. (152 ds). Wave 2 a correction ( 152 ds), corrects as Elliot says to the 4th of a minor degree. And now that the Wave 3 seems to start, we break the descending channel and made a Golden Cross. We have the bull impulse until Feb/Mar 2025. To confirm this we need the break out on the RSI. And remember that Wave 3 usually is the strogest of all, we will find out on OCTOBER ;) Cheers!
Long
by PickleBiit
7
Hang Seng Tech Rocket Ship Running on FumesHang Seng Tech futures look like they’re running out of rocket fuel after the recent surge, hinting that a fresh catalyst may be needed to recalibrate the trajectory higher. That could mean a pullback before another move up. Price, oscillators, and volumes have rolled over in unison, putting the uptrend established in January firmly on the radar. It’s found today around 5630, with minor support just above at 5710. A break and close beneath the uptrend would strengthen the case for a trend reversal, pressuring weak longs and likely encouraging bears to target additional downside. Levels to watch include 5484, 5300, and 5140 on the downside, while 5710 and 6209 remain in focus on the topside if the uptrend holds. Good luck! DS
HKEX:HTI1!
by FOREXcom
Shorting Gold!Gold has been on a TEAR through 2025. Overextended in ATH territory and more expensive than ever before in history. Logically, we should expect a return to historically normal (still expensive) prices. Daily chart is showing 3/3 sell signals 1. Price below 9 period MA 2. RSI bearish fanning beautifully from overbought levels 3. Average Daily Range expanding with volatility I'm aggressively watching for shorts on Gold, Silver, and Copper in the weeks ahead. I've outlined 3 possible entries IF we're lucky enough to see some kind of relief from last weeks selloff. Should price proceed to fall, preparing smaller time frame short trades. I strongly believe we will see 2800. Strategy is invalidated if price breaches ATH's
COMEX:GC1!Short
by GrayTrader01
Silver's Breakout—From Graveyard to Launchpad?Silver looks great on the charts, closing above $33 for the first time since late October. Previously, this was like a graveyard for bullish raids, putting increased emphasis on the price action over the next few days. Whether you’re talking price or momentum signals, they suggest this break may stick where others failed, putting a potential retest of the October 2024 swing high of $34.87 into play. We saw a key bullish reversal candle on Tuesday, followed up by further buying on Wednesday, contributing to the bullish break. That’s not surprising given price signals have often proved accurate in silver recently. RSI (14) is trending higher, with MACD confirming the bullish momentum signal. The ducks are lining up. If silver can’t capitalise in this environment, it will be a telling sign as to where medium-term directional risks may lie. Those considering bullish setups could buy above $33 with a stop beneath the level for protection. Some resistance may be encountered around $34 and $34.50, with a break above the latter putting $34.87 on the table. $35.36 and $37.46 are long-standing levels located just above. If silver were to reverse and close through $33, the near-term bullish bias would be invalidated. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD01Long
by FOREXcom
Natural Gas Wave Analysis – 12 March 2025 - Natural gas reversed from round resistance level 5.0000 - Likely to fall to support level 3.815 Natural gas recently reversed from the resistance area between the round resistance level 5.0000, the upper weekly Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from 2022. The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the earlier weekly upward impulse sequence (3) from the start of 2025. Given the recent formation of the daily Shooting Star and the overbought weekly Stochastic, Natural gas can be expected to fall to the next support level 3.815.
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASShort
by FxProGlobal
Harley-Davidson Wave Analysis – 12 March 2025 - Harley-Davidson reversed from resistance level 27.35 - Likely to fall to support level 23.80 Harley-Davidson recently reversed from the resistance area between the key resistance level 27.35 (former double bottom from January), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from January. The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the earlier short-term ABC correction 4 from the start of February. Given the overriding daily downtrend, Harley-Davidson can be expected to fall to the next support level 23.80.
NYSE:HOGShort
by FxProGlobal
Brent crude oil Wave Analysis – 12 March 2025 - Brent crude oil reversed from the pivotal support level 68.55 - Likely to rise to resistance level 71.30 Brent crude oil recently reversed from the support area between the pivotal support level 68.55 (former multi-month low from September) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support area stopped the earlier downward impulse waves 3 and (3). Given the strength of the support level 68.55 and the oversold daily Stochastic, Brent crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 71.30.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by FxProGlobal
EURCAD Wave Analysis – 12 March 2025 - EURCAD reversed from the resistance area - Likely to fall to support level 14.20 EURCAD currency pair recently reversed from the resistance area between the long-term resistance level 1.5800 (which has been reversing the price since the start of 2020) and the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the previous upward impulse wave (3). Given the strength of the resistance level 1.5800, EURCAD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 14.20.
Short
by FxProGlobal