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Overbought

AT&T Bearish DivergenceThere's a bearish MACD Divergence on the AT&T daily chart. And to confirm this signal: RSI hasn't been in the overbought area for a while - but now it is. Looking at the MACD, we see that MACD and the Signal Line are still moving in the same direction - to indicate a trend reversal we would need to see the MACD cross the signal line from above - so there's no bearish signal yet - BUT - the MACD histogram shows two hills with the second one (the newer one) being not that big as the first one. This might indicate that the price will still rise a bit to the resistance at 27.06 (R2) and then - after MACD crossed the Signal Line - it will fall to the monthly Pivot Point at 23.93. Usually, the Pivot Points get touched by the price in the current or in one of the following time periods. So there are multiple Indicators to second the bearish Signal.
NYSE:TShort
by TradingClue
AUD CAD Short Idea AUDCAD has been in a decent uptrend for most of December, however, it has started to approach a key resistance level on the 4hr time frame. The key level mentioned is the 0.925 level which is the high of early November. The RSI indicators on the daily/4hr time frame show an overbought bias, coupled with the approach to the key level mentioned above leads me to think that the price will drop from here. The initial target of this trade is located at the 0.9175 area, following this then the next target lies at 0.9143. The stop-loss area for this trade is at the 0.93 level. A likely scenario that I'm looking for sells near to the 0.925 area.
Short
by Orion-Markets
GBPNZD Short Idea Since breaking the 1.936 level, there have been two failed attempts to break the key resistance level of 1.97 (October 11th high). The 1.936 level is now acting as a support zone which price respected earlier on in December. As there hasn't been a convincing break of this level it's very likely that the price will fall and re-test the support level mentioned of 1.936. The RSI levels are in overbought conditions at 89.36 on the 4hr chart, suggesting that a drop in price is probable. The initial target of this trade is located at the 1.95 level, proceeding this would lead to the previous support level of 1.936. The stop-loss area is at 1.975, just above October high.
Short
by Orion-Markets
SPY- Bearish- UpdateJust posting another update here on the SPY- Bearish megaphone is playing out as expected but also a very big week for the markets fundamentally speaking. Fundamental Rationale A lot of big economic events this week including retail sales, the Fed's final decision regarding monetary policy, FOMC press conferences on both Tuesday and Wednesday, and to top it all off, quadruple witching on Friday 12/17' to close out the week. Fundamentals aside, the SPY is still looking quite bearish- Some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on on the meantime, bearish and hedged- (Previous Charts Attached Below) - Still holding a big rising wedge (Bearish) - Bearish cypher formed on the hourly timeframe along with a gap fill on the downside (See Attached Chart Below) - RSI is nearing, or in overbought territory on almost every timeframe - Bearish Hidden Divergence on the SPY Daily, Weekly, 4-Hour, and Hourly Timeframes - The SPY rejected a critical RSI-Based Supply Level on the weekly timeframe & is sitting on the 20-day SMA (See Attached Chart Below) -Weekly- -Hourly- -Previously Charted-
AMEX:SPYShort
by jacobosiason7
5
SPY- Bearish- UpdateJust posting a quick update as the SPY is looking even more bearish after closing on Friday with a spinning top reversal pattern on the weekly timeframe- the markets have been overextended for quite some time, technicals are bearish on almost every timeframe- Some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on- - Bearish Megaphone Formed - Bearish ABCD Harmonic Pattern Formed - Spinning Top Candlestick Pattern Formed on the Weekly Timeframe (Bearish Reversal Pattern, See Attached Chart Below) - Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern Also Formed on the 4-Hour Timeframe (Not Pictured) - Buyer Volume Drying Up - Bearish Hidden divergence on the RSI - Also way in Overbought Territory Weekly Timeframe Previously Charted
AMEX:SPYShort
by jacobosiason7
1
Blowoff Top Incoming: Do Not Short Yet!Chart says all. Pattern from August 2020, now making same insane run. The 1.62 Fibo extension from September correction is at 4720. Do not short based on: "I think the price is too high!" "It's overbought, must come down!" "How can it get any higher?! Already nosebleed!" "I feel lucky!" Short on signal; the engulfing bear candle after blowup. IF it follows overlay, gonna be Tues 9 Nov... The retracement after top should fall to 50 DMA IMO... ~4480; then perhaps another run in December?! GLTA! This is not advice, just another tutorial worth evry penny u paid for it!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by DaddySawbucks
33
EW Projection for Bull Rally: You sure you want to short this?!Be really careful about placing bets against this monster. The end phase of bull markets are always characterized by explosive panic rallies. Been rising for 12 years. Fed gonna raise rates >1% next year, probably gonna get a 50 basis pip pop in spring or summer, inflation unchecked. Read Friday's NY Times for a very insightful article on when, why and how much interest rates will rise; projecting mortgage rates to rise >1% in 2022. Most traders now alive have never seen a secular bear market. That's a period when prices just decline for years, or churn aimlessly, no one wins. Bear markets that last for 3-6 weeks are not real bears, lol. They are mini-bears, bear cubs or just a mild hangover before the buying begins again. In a real bear, the buying does NOT begin again. Prices decline, and then drift further down; and do not bounce. This is not here YET, but SOON IMO. BUT, before the Bear, we should expect a last hurrah for the old Bull, and shorting it will be a widowmaker. Do not get killed, please!! So much for the lecture, here's the Education part of this idea it's about using all the tools you can to make educated guesses about price direction; we have Elliott waves, RSI, MAs, and Fibonacci retracement and projection extensions as possibly useful analysis tools, any and all of which can and will fail us: Elliot wave theory suggests that we have a completed or near completion 3rd wave, the longest and strongest wave of an impulsive movement. Beware! EW projection is an arcane art and no one can really 'see' these waves until after they have passed... you do NOT know where you are in the wave when you're in it! Forecasting of EWs is purely speculative guesswork, and totally subjective; "Where do I number my waves, guru?!" Disclaimer: As you know, Ralph Nelson Elliott was an accountant and math genius whose insight into market behavior led to his uncanny prediction of the bottom of 1935 mini-bear that followed the Crash of '29 (a bear that lasted until 1932...!). His theory is only a theory, and many forecasting services exist pretending to anticipate what the market will do next, but in fact underperform index funds. Still fascinating though! RSI is overbought, but can get MORE overbought (see prior posts about why we do not enter shorts purely based on indicators!); expect some consolidation and price weakness before moving higher; the Fibonacci 1.272 extension of this rally leads to price 4614, after pullback to a higher low. Market trades now more than 3SD above the 200 DMA, more than 2SD above the 50DMA; a pullback is very likely in these conditions. the 20DMA may be support. Disclaimer: As you know, Fibonacci is a dead Italian math genius, these projections based on nothing more than number theory are pure necromancy but sometimes can be coincidentally correct, like a stopped clock that's right twice a day, lol. IMO 4682 is on the table at the next Fib extension. Expect weakness in the last week of October; and new ATH again in November, barring surprises. A sharp pullback is likely to follow the ATH, if and when we get it. So uncertain now, just a mad gamble TBVH. NB: A zig-zag pattern is still possible, some of the fiercest rallies precede the most bearish cascades; or a Cup & Handle may form, if so, the Handle typically will pullback half the height of cup wall, would be ~80-100 pips, so price around 4460-4480 is a likely a buy zone to re-enter. ANY or NONE of these possibilities might emerge, which makes stock speculation so wildly exciting! Be cautious, do not overtrade, use sensible position sizing! I am not entering a position or making any recommendation to take any position here. Pure WAGuess IMO; this is purely for your amusement, and hopefully enlightenment. GLTA!
TVC:SPXEducation
by DaddySawbucks
9
SPY- Bearish Reversal - UpdateSPY looking very bearish here, frankly, the markets have been overextended for quite some time and all technicals are bearish on almost every timeframe- Some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on- - Bearish ABCD Harmonic Pattern Formed - Spinning Top Candlestick Pattern (Reversal Pattern, Bearish in This Case) - Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern Also Formed (See Attached Chart) - Buyer Volume Drying Up - RSI way in Overbought Territory - MACD Death Cross on the 4-Hour Previously Charted
AMEX:SPYShort
by jacobosiason7
2
You really wanna go long here?!RSI near 80, MFI near ATH over 90, Blowing Up. Chart has all the details. Could top this week or early next. Overlay is a WAG. Absolute disconnect of price from reality. Selling soon IMO. Price may press higher to test the Fibo at 16,530 before rollover. Every blowoff ends in a waterfall cascade. Excessive greed gives way to excessive fear. Gonna get real dicey real soon IMO. Expect ATH ~400 in QQQ before it's done IMO. Might get an exhaustion gap up Thursday 11/04. See related ES1 chart, suggests Tues Top. This is not advice, just another tutorial about nutty price behavior. I do not recommend or hold any position now; GLTA!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by DaddySawbucks
5
#BTCDAILY - 7.NOV.21 TESTING UPPER TRENDLINE#BTCDAILY - 7.NOV.21 TESTING UPPER TRENDLINE Very strong bounce to keep it within this expanded symmetrical triangle pattern. Point of interest atm - if we breakout then there will likely be a pullback followed by a pretty large pump to at least $64k in the short-term. HOWEVER... There are quite a few bearish signals from Alpha Volume + Quite Overbought + Challenging the trendline resistance + Asia coming online rarely pumps a pump and usually buys the dip + Future Pivot is sitting a little lower along with the general pattern suggesting a retracement here. There is quite alot of excitement around Elon selling $25b worth of #TSLA shares and speculation it will go into #BTC but who announces they are going to buy before they are going to buy??? On the whole its still looking super bullish and not really expecting any crazy collapses from this point or at least until the ATH is challenged again
by Kryptochristian
CRO is pullbacking, long term potential!Hello! It seems we have met a new resistance @ 0.365 after a strong bullrun since 1st November. After watching the RSI at 80 overbought area, Price is probably gonna dip again to either 0.29 or around 0.33 (previous ATH) for bulls to come in again and push it further up! If it however crosses the resistance level we might see even further increase, and this coin is on fire right now. I believe strongly in this company and its products for especially long term investment, i've been holding on to it for over a year now. I also believe 1 Dollar price is not too far if it continues like this! Buy the Pullback as shown in the chart (0.29 - 0.33). Happy Trading,
Long
by dainex64676
3
Short-Seller's Nightmare, ReduxIf you sell short or speculate in put options because: - Price too high! Must come down! - RSI Overbought! Must go oversold! - Another ATH?! Sell it! Will dump soon! - It's an Elliott Wave and Theory crafters say "Sell today!" or "Sell on a specific day I magically forecast!" -I feel lucky, punk! Make my day! Then you will lose money. IF this monster rally follows the same path we saw in last year's stupid August rally, we could see price north of 4800... the Blow-Off Top. I am NOT saying this will happen, BUT I think it COULD happen, keep that in mind when you place your bets... beware short-killing face-rippers. THIS IS A TUTORIAL NOT ADVICE! I'VE NO POSITION AND NONE IS RECOMMENDED!! GLTA!!!
TVC:SPX
by DaddySawbucks
3