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Bitcoin - Will the liquidity at $122K be the next target?Bitcoin is currently trading within a defined corrective channel, which has been developing over the past few weeks. Price action within this structure has been characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a mild downtrend. However, these movements lack strong momentum, indicating that the market is consolidating rather than entering a deeper correction. This kind of structure often precedes a significant breakout, and given the nature of the current price action, a retest of previous highs remains a realistic possibility. Bullish Scenario Looking at the overall structure of the channel, a bullish breakout seems increasingly likely. For this scenario to unfold, BTC needs to hold the midline of the channel as support. If this level is respected, it could pave the way for a push towards the upper boundary of the channel and a potential break above the lower high structure near $120,000. A successful breach of that level could trigger a move toward the $122,000 liquidity zone, with the potential to challenge the all-time high (ATH) in the near future. Holding the midline and breaking above key resistance would provide confirmation of strength and continuation to the upside. Bearish Scenario On the flip side, if BTC fails to hold the midline as support and starts closing below it on the 4H timeframe, we could see a renewed move toward the lower boundary of the corrective channel. This could lead to a test of the unfilled 4H fair value gap (FVG) highlighted in the chart, located around the $112,000 – $113,000 area. This zone also coincides with a strong historical support level, making it a logical area where buyers might step in and provide the momentum needed for a more sustainable bullish reversal. Final Thoughts While both scenarios remain valid, the price structure within the corrective channel currently leans slightly more toward a bullish outcome. The lack of aggressive selling and the potential for liquidity above the previous highs support this view. However, trading is never about certainty but about preparing for various possibilities. Being aware of both bullish and bearish setups allows traders to react with flexibility and discipline depending on how the market unfolds in the coming sessions. ------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Long
by Youriverse
54
My first take on XAUUSDI see this last fall as a very clear sweep of liquidity (the recent lows. After that i see an impulsive push away from this zone giving me a change of character. Left behind is an FVG on hopurly chart that aligns within the kill zone on my Fibonacci tool. and that is where i would enter. I would expect price to mitigate this FVG. Another confluence is that we created many IFVG's on the way up showing balanced price action. Only one more confluence i would have liked is a HTF order block from the liquidity sweep but only have one on the 5 minute. i will monitor. First tp is that internal liquidity from the move, second tp is the external liquidity where we have had consolidation and a few failed attempts to break above this opening gap fvg. thanks for looking. any comments welcome,
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WinnerChickenDinner69
5
MNMD Weekly consolidation underway. What will earnings do?MNMD has started weekly consolidation by 2c right as ATAI and possibly CMPS end their weekly consolidations. Earnings after hours tonight had no real effect on the charts, so here are the levels I'm looking at into tomorrow. Click to watch the free video for more details I provider regular chart analysis of the psychedelics sector. Be sure to Like and Follow, and Subscribe to future updates so you don't miss a post! Support: 8.94, 8.79 Resistance: 9.40, 9.44
NASDAQ:MNMDLong
by McGuireTO
2
BITCOIN CRASH PREDICTED! HERE’S WHAT HAPPENS NEXT! (scary)Yello Paradisers, Bitcoin crashed exactly as we predicted in the previous videos that it will happen with the highest probability. In this video I am explaining to you what's gonna happen next. Head and shoulders, neckline, is be breaking to the downside, we need a clear confirmation of a reclaim Our channel on high timeframe is getting breakout to the downside and confirmation was that a reclaim was already successful. In this video I'm sharing with you Elliott Way theory on low timeframe and what needs to be done for confirmation perspective in order for us to continue to go to the downside or have a reversal to the upside. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
3
The trend is clear, why do I choose to be firmly bullish on goldGold Trend Analysis: Yesterday, the gold market demonstrated strong upward momentum, opening near 3290 before falling slightly to a low of 3281 before fluctuating upward. Boosted by the non-farm payroll data, the gold market surged during the US trading session, reaching a single-day gain of 2.02%, reaching a high of 3363 and closing there. The daily chart formed a long bullish candlestick with a long lower shadow, forming a Morning Star pattern, reinforcing the bullish trend. From the perspective of the cycle structure, the daily level is clearly in the 5-wave upward stage, and the upward trend of the large cycle has not changed. At the indicator level, the daily MACD momentum column (the column below the zero axis) represents the short-selling momentum. Its "gradual shortening" means that the short-selling force is weakening and the downward momentum is gradually fading. It is a potential signal of stopping the decline or rebounding. KDJ is about to form a golden cross between 20-50, which is a signal that short-term bullish power is beginning to increase, and the overall trend is bullish. The 4-hour level shows typical bullish characteristics: the moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, but there is a certain deviation between the short-term price and the moving average. The technical side needs to correct the deviation rate through a callback before continuing to rise. The short-term support below is focused on the line near 3330-3335. This position is both the relay support level in the previous rise and the intersection of the 4-hour moving averages MA10 and MA20, which has strong support strength; the short-term resistance above is focused on the line near 3370-3383. This area is a pressure-intensive area near the previous high point. If it can be effectively broken through, it will further open up upward space. A successful breakout would open up further upside potential. A breakout would further open up the 3400 mark. For gold trading, the short-term strategy is to buy on dips. If the price pulls back to the 3330-3335 support level, consider entering a long position with a target of 3355-3365. If it reaches 3370-3380, consider a short-term short position with a target of 3350-3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
1
XRP — Mapping Out the Next High-Probability Long SetupXRP continues to respect key levels, delivering clean setups and strong technical reactions. 📉 Recent Price Action Recap After the flush from $3.65 into the $3.00 support zone, XRP printed a solid bounce back toward the $3.30 resistance area, forming a clean short setup between $3.30–$3.35. Price is now trading mid-range within the 6-day consolidation. 🟢 Next High-Probability Long Setup A prime long opportunity lies between $2.96 and $2.9175 sitting within a key daily order block. Confluence at this zone includes: Liquidity pool just below the $2.9555 swing low Anchored VWAP from the $1.9083 swing low resting just under the block 0.618 Fib Speed Fan lining up as dynamic support (July 30 – Aug 2) 2.272 Trend-Based Fib Extension at $2.9297 📈 Long Trade Setup Entry Zone: $2.96 – $2.9175 Stop Loss: Below anchored VWAP (clear invalidation) Target: $3.1/$3.13+ R:R: ~1:3+ 💡 Educational Insight This setup is a great example of how multiple tools layered together (like Fibonacci levels, VWAPs, order blocks and liquidity zones) can significantly increase the probability of a trade playing out. When structure, volume-based tools and time alignment all point to the same area, it creates a high-confluence trade zone. These are the areas where risk is most defined and reward is most favourable, a principle every technical trader should anchor their strategy around. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Long
by SiDec
1
8/1/25 - $deck - 50% position8/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:DECK 50% position - if you have followed long enough, you know that when i write this sort of thing, it's maybe 5-10x a year, at most - i still think anything can happen here in the mkt, so there are a lot of arrangements i've made in my portfolio to account for further drawdowns - with that being said, conservatively DECK is 6% fcf money, and on my #s probably closer to 7%. when you're growing minimally MSD (nevermind HSD+) eventually this gets revalued - so my preference is to barbell exposure - i have a LT exposure w ITM leaps (jan '27 expire) and then i have my jet fuel that i'm burning in the last few sessions to get exposure higher - think about it like this - if 1 unit of risk costs me $1 today and $10-15 in 2027, if in this type of tape we leg down... if i say had 1 unit of risk on both of those exposures, i'd lose 1 on the first (zero) and then maybe 2...3...4 on the other. - which is to say, as we go lower here, i eventually find myself growing that LEAP exposure quite large. rn it's about 25% of my effective book on about 5x leverage. and the other 25% is spread between 10-1 and 20-1 leverage. if you look at ANF post results a month or so ago, this looks VERY similar and there are a lot of similarities in terms of how shorted/ positioning was into the event (same with NASDAQ:LULU btw, yet to report). by the 6th day... we ripped back to the first fib band. - that would put next week at 107/108 and if mkt is bid, we hit 110 again. so that's why i'm using the 10-1 and 20-1. it's actually in part a trading call as well backed by my own view/ conviction on fundamentals. i think the flows today took us now far below fair value and we've filled the pre-earnings gap, which was important to point out. - still doesn't rule out the mkt continues to puke, this is weak beta etc. etc. but from a 12-18 mo POV... this is money good in my estimation no matter what strike, unless you're degen'ing 10 delta BS (not recommended but also not my $, u do u) be well remember in this tape we all lose money it's just important to lose less and find spots that will get bid back first, i think deck is one of those *for me V
NYSE:DECKLong
by VROCKSTAR
1
Rocket Lab Is Up 800%+ in 12 Months. What Does Its Chart Say?Space-services company Rocket Lab NASDAQ:RKLB , which has seen its stock shoot up by more than 75% year to date and 800%+ over the past 12 months, will report its latest quarterly earnings next Thursday. Does RKLB's chart show the company has more altitude to gain ... or will it crash back to Earth? Let's check things out: Rocket Lab's Fundamental Analysis For those of you unfamiliar with RKLB, it's a Long Beach, Calif.-based end-to-end space company. (Full disclosure: I own shares in the name.) Rocket Lab designs and manufactures its own small- and medium-class rockets in order to provide launch services from its sites, which are primarily in Virginia and New Zealand. The company has mostly had commercial customers since its founding, but is starting to get some traction providing these services to the U.S. government for national-security purposes. You might say the firm competes with Tesla chief Elon Musk's privately held SpaceX and Amazon founder Jeff Bezos' private Blue Origin firm, just on a smaller scale. RKLB is set to release Q2 results after the bell on Aug. 7, with the Street looking for a $0.07 adjusted loss per share on $135.3 million of revenue. That would represent a 27.3% revenue gain from the $106.3 million the company took in during the same period last year, although profitability would have eased from the $0.05 adjusted loss per share RKLB posted in Q2 2024. Of the seven sell-side analysts that I found that cover the stock, three have increased their earnings estimates since the quarter began, three have cut their estimates and one has sat on his hands. Notably, Jeff Van Rhee of Craig-Hallum this week initiated Rocket Lab with a "Hold" rating and a $51 target price (vs. the $45.30 the stock was trading at Friday afternoon). Looking further ahead, analysts expect Rocket Lab's revenues to grow 32% for 2025 as a whole, followed by another 56% for all of 2026. As for price action, Rocket Lab's shares have traded more volatilely as the firm approaches its earnings release. After spiking into mid-July on an almost parabolic run, RKLB has recently consolidated with a number of days that saw multi-percentage-point drops. As of Wednesday, options markets were pricing in a 50% likelihood of a move greater than 13%. Rocket Lab's Technical Analysis Now let's look at RKLB's chart going back to December: Readers will note that since Rocket Lab ended its sharp upward run in mid-July, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) has exited overbought territory -- although the RSI still remains healthy. Readers will also see that within the daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (marked "MACD" at the chart's bottom), the histogram of the stock's 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted by blue bars) has entered negative territory. That's usually short-term bearish. Meanwhile, Rocket Lab's 12-day EMA (the black line near the chart's bottom) has also crossed below its 26-day EMA (the gold line). This is also traditionally a bearish signal. However, one positive for the RKLB is that the stock appears to have found support in recent days at its 21-day EMA (the green line above). This suggests a willingness of swing traders to support the stock at that line. Still, Rocket Lab's chart is showing what looks like a completed "head-and-shoulders" pattern of bearish reversal at the chart's right (denoted by curving black lines). Should this pattern foretell a sell-off (as the daily MACD seems set up for), Rocket Lab's downside pivot would likely show up as a neckline at around $37 a share. That's well below the $45.30 that RKLB was trading at Friday afternoon. What if Rocket Lab fails to hold its 21-day EMA ($45.90 in the chart above)? In that case, both the 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line) and 200-day SMA (the red line) would have to come into play for the pattern implied here to become fully realized. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long RKLB the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NASDAQ:RKLB
by moomoo
1
ETH at Critical Resistance + Liquidation Zone | Time to Short?Today I want to analyze Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) on the 1-hour time frame . Is there a short position opportunity? Please stay with me. Ethereum is currently trading near a Heavy Resistance zone($4,390-$3,950) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($3,983-$3,878) and the $4,000 ( round number ). $4,000 could be a psychological number to sell . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Ethereum appears to have completed the main wave 3 at $3,860 and is currently completing the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 could have a Double Three Correction(WXY) or Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) , with the Expanding Flat structure being more likely . One of the reasons why shorting Ethereum could be better than shorting Bitcoin right now is that ETHBTC ( BINANCE:ETHBTC ) is currently trading above the ascending channel and is likely to correct to Fibonacci levels . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. I expect Ethereum to drop to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and attack the Support lines ( Second target ) . Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $3,591-$3,543 CME Gap: $3,461-$3,417 Note: Stop Loss: $4,023 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Ethereum Analyze (ETHUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
13
JTO/USDT at the Edge of Pressure – Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?🧠 Detailed Technical Analysis (2D Timeframe): JTO/USDT is currently consolidating at a critical support zone within a well-defined Descending Triangle pattern that has been forming for over 6 months. Key observations: Price has been making lower highs, forming a downward-sloping resistance trendline. Meanwhile, strong buying interest has held up the support zone between $1.69 and $1.87, suggesting accumulation. This creates a classic Descending Triangle, often leading to a sharp breakout or breakdown. --- 📌 Key Levels: Level Description $1.69–$1.87 Major Demand Zone / Key Support Descending Trendline Dynamic Resistance (from Lower Highs) $2.29 First Resistance (Breakout Trigger) $2.71 Key Mid-Term Resistance $3.22 – $3.97 Major Upside Targets $1.50 & $1.30 Breakdown Targets --- 📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout): If the price holds the support and successfully breaks the descending trendline, we could see a strong bullish reversal: Confirmation breakout may lead to a rally toward $2.29 → $2.71 → $3.22 → up to $3.97. Breakout strength increases if accompanied by volume surge. Bullish Catalysts: Positive project fundamentals. Volume squeeze near triangle apex. RSI/MACD divergence (if present). --- 📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown): If price closes below the $1.69 zone with conviction: Descending triangle confirms as a bearish continuation. Target downside to $1.50 and potentially $1.30. Could signal distribution phase by larger players. Bearish Confirmation: Strong 2D candle close below $1.69 with high volume. --- 🧩 Pattern Breakdown – Descending Triangle: The pattern represents price compression between lower highs and a horizontal support. Statistically, 70% of descending triangles resolve to the downside. However, in oversold conditions or with bullish catalysts, it may lead to a powerful short squeeze breakout. --- 🧭 Summary & Strategy Insight: JTO/USDT is nearing a decision point. At the edge of the triangle’s apex, volatility is likely to spike — with a strong move in either direction. 💡Possible Strategy: Conservative entry: Wait for breakout confirmation above the trendline with volume. Aggressive entry: Speculative buy near $1.70 with tight stop loss. Avoid heavy positions until the breakout or breakdown confirms. --- 🧲 Suggested Post Title: > "JTO/USDT at a Crossroads – Descending Triangle Set for Explosive Move?" A breakout is imminent. Will you be ready? #JTOUSDT #CryptoBreakout #DescendingTriangle #AltcoinSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoStrategy #ChartPatterns
Long
by CryptoNuclear
1
First Monthly Analysis – USDJPYThe USDJPY pair ends the month of July with a strong bullish impulse reaching 150.6, a price area that may signal the exhaustion of the uptrend that has dominated throughout the month. An ongoing ABC harmonic structure is taking shape, with wave A likely completing between 151.36 and 152.00, which aligns with the 0.618 CD retracement — a confluence that reinforces the zone as a key resistance area. From there, a potential bearish correction (wave B) may develop, targeting the 145.89 region. If this structure plays out correctly, a final bullish expansion (wave C) could aim for the 157.05 area. Key Zones for the Week: Projected exhaustion zone (wave A): 151.36 – 152.00 Expected pullback (wave B): 145.89 Final bullish target (wave C): 157.05 ⚠️ Disclaimer The correction of July’s bullish trend may begin before reaching the expected zone (151.36–152.00) due to liquidity buildup beneath current levels. A premature reversal is possible if institutional players decide to hunt that liquidity before continuing the larger move. 💬 “Sometimes it’s not about if it will get there, but when they let you in. If the party’s heating up above, check if they’re locking the door from below.” Order Setup (Speculative Idea) Sell Limit Order Entry (Open): 151.362 Stop Loss (SL): 152.403 Take Profit (TP): 146.210 Risk–Reward Ratio : 4.79 Use this as a reference setup. Always manage your risk and adapt based on evolving price action
Short
by ChartingMyLosses
2
Top in Place? NASDAQ100 Signals Exhaustion After Incredible Run📈 The crazy run since April NASDAQ100 has had a spectacular run since early April, when the index dipped to 16,300 amid rising tensions caused by Trump’s tax war. From that low, we’ve seen a mind-blowing rally of over 7,000 points, which translates to a 40% gain in just 4 months. Such a rise is not just impressive— it’s overextended , especially by historical standards. Markets don’t move in straight lines forever, and this one might be showing signs of fatigue. 🕯️ Bearish signal at the top Fast forward to this week: yesterday, the index marked a new all-time high at 23,700, but closed the day with a strong bearish engulfing candle — one that wipes out the gains of the previous 4 trading sessions. This is not a small technical detail. Such candles, when appearing after an extended rally, often signal exhaustion and a potential shift in momentum. ❗ Top in place? In my opinion, there's a high probability that a top has been set, at least temporarily. We might be looking at the beginning of a healthy correction, or even something more meaningful, depending on follow-through in the next sessions. 📉 Where to next? The first major support to watch is the 22,200 level. I expect that zone to be tested soon — and honestly, considering how much the index has gone up, this shouldn’t surprise anyone. It’s nothing more than a minor pullback, all things considered. 🧠 Stay smart! When markets go vertical, it pays to stay disciplined and realistic. Tops rarely announce themselves, but when signals like this appear, it’s wise to listen. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:USTECShort
by Mihai_Iacob
XAGUSD Technical Outlook (Silver/USD)Currently, Silver is trading inside a symmetrical triangle formation , signaling a potential breakout. Upside Scenario: A breakout above 36.80 resistance may trigger strong bullish momentum. The next target zone lies at 37.18 – 37.30, which is a relatively weak resistance and could potentially form a Head and Shoulders pattern . If momentum continues, Silver could extend gains toward 37.75 and 38.00 resistance levels. Downside Scenario: If the triangle breaks to the downside, we may see a short corrective move toward 3 6.25 – 36.20 support zone before any possible rebound. Overall, the chart structure currently favors an upside breakout with continuation toward higher resistance zones.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by SaklainManzoor
1