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USNAS100 - Tech Weakness & Tariffs Drag NASDAQ LowerTariff Day Pressure Builds as Amazon Miss Weighs on Markets Markets were hit by a wave of risk-off sentiment on Friday as renewed tariff headlines, weakness in pharma stocks, and a disappointing earnings report from Amazon clouded investor confidence. All this comes just ahead of the U.S. jobs report, which is expected to challenge the market's already diminished expectations for Fed rate cuts. While macro markets appeared resilient earlier in the week, Wall Street futures and global equities turned cautious as sentiment deteriorated. NASDAQ – Technical Outlook The NASDAQ has dropped nearly 850 points from its recent all-time high of 23690, as anticipated in previous updates. The index remains under bearish pressure. For today, the market is expected to remain sensitive due to recent macro and earnings-driven volatility. If the price breaks below 22875, the decline is likely to extend toward 22710, with a deeper support zone at 22615. To shift back to a bullish bias, the index must break and close above 23045 on the 1H chart. Support Levels: 22875 • 22710 • 22615 Resistance Levels: 23140 • 23240 • 23320 Bias: Bearish while below 23045 Bullish confirmation: 1H close above 23045
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
NIKKEI: Strong Bullish Momentum Driven by Favorable IndicatorsData analysis indicates a "Bullish" bias for the NIKKEI, with a strong overall score. This positive outlook is supported by a confluence of factors, including Commitments of Traders (COT) data, retail positioning, seasonality, and trend. While some economic data points show neutrality or slight negativity, the overriding sentiment and key technical factors suggest a continued upward trajectory for the NIKKEI. Key Supporting Factors (Bullish): Strong Technicals/Momentum: The "Trend" and "Seasonality" scores of 2 each suggest strong underlying bullish momentum and favorable seasonal patterns for the NIKKEI. COT & Retail Positioning: Positive scores in "COT" and "Retail Pos" (both 2) often indicate that institutional money and retail traders are aligned in a bullish direction, providing a strong foundation for upward movement. GDP, SPMI, Retail Sales: These economic indicators, with scores of 1, are contributing positively to the overall bullish bias, indicating healthy economic activity.
ICMARKETS:JP225Long
by AACA-
XRP/USDT: Bullish Reversal Setup at EMA 200 & Daily OversoldHello traders, I'm seeing a compelling long setup forming on the XRP/USDT 4H chart. While the immediate trend has been bearish, multiple key indicators are now signaling that a significant bounce or reversal is highly probable. 1. Trend & Context (The "Why") After a strong uptrend, the price has experienced a pullback, confirmed by a Bearish Change of Character (ChoCh). However, the price has now reached a critical support level where we can look for long opportunities. Key Price Action Support: The price is currently finding support directly on the EMA 200. This is a major long-term moving average that frequently acts as a strong floor for price during a pullback. Momentum Exhaustion Signal: The Innotrade MC Orderflow oscillator is giving a powerful confirmation for a potential bottom: The oscillator is deep in the OVERSOLD zone (below 20), indicating that selling pressure is exhausted. CRITICAL MTF CONFLUENCE: The Multi-Timeframe Cycle Table is the key to this trade. It shows that both the 4H and Daily timeframes are "Oversold". When higher timeframes like the Daily show exhaustion, it significantly increases the probability of a strong reversal on lower timeframes. 2. Entry, Stop Loss, and Targets (The "How") This setup provides a clear, high-probability trade plan with a good risk-to-reward ratio. Entry: An entry around the current price ($3.03 - $3.05) is viable as we are at the EMA 200 support. For a more conservative entry, wait for the MC Orderflow oscillator to cross back above its yellow MA. Stop Loss (SL): $2.89. This places the stop loss safely below the recent swing low and the EMA 200. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis. Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP1: $3.25 (Targeting the cluster of short-term EMAs and the recent swing highs). TP2: $3.40 (The next logical area of resistance from the previous price structure). TP3: $3.66 (The major swing high, a longer-term target if the bullish trend resumes). Conclusion This trade idea presents a strong case for a long position. The combination of a major technical support level (EMA 200) with a confirmed multi-timeframe momentum exhaustion signal (Daily Oversold) creates a high-probability environment for a bullish reversal. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
Long
by Innotrade_AJ
SOL/USDT | NFP Volatility Could Trigger Drop Toward $154!By analyzing the Solana chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $169. If it fails to hold above the $168 level, a deeper drop could follow. With the upcoming NFP data release, increased volatility is expected across the markets. If Solana begins to decline, the potential correction targets are $163, $157, and $154. Watch the $145–$154 zone closely for a possible bullish reaction and buy opportunity. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
USDCHF SHORT IDEA FULL BREAKDOWNUSD/CHF is flashing a strong bearish signal from both a macro and sentiment perspective. ✅ Bearish USD Drivers: FOMC Pivot Watch: July meeting minutes hinted at potential rate cuts before year-end due to inflation moderating and soft jobs data. Rising Swiss Franc Demand: CHF is benefiting from safe haven flows amid escalating tensions in Eastern Europe and shaky U.S. equity markets. Swiss CPI Stable: Inflation is in check, allowing SNB to maintain their policy stance without pressure. Institutional traders are reducing their exposure to the U.S. dollar, while retail traders are net long USDCHF — a classic contrarian bearish signal. Seasonality also favors Swiss Franc strength in August. On the macro side, U.S. data is underwhelming: job growth has slowed, services PMI is soft, and inflation metrics (CPI, PCE) are cooling. This has increased expectations for a Fed rate cut later in the year. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank remains stable with no urgency to ease policy. Combined with global risk-off sentiment, capital is flowing into CHF, giving it an added edge over the dollar.
Short
by AACA-
Buy HBARHBAR is the native cryptocurrency of the Hedera network, a high-performance, enterprise-grade public blockchain alternative that uses a unique consensus algorithm called Hashgraph. Governed by a 39-member global Governing Council, including:Google, IBM, Boeing, Dell, Ubisoft, Deutsche Telekom. These members run nodes and vote on governance, making the network decentralized, but enterprise-friendly. HBAR still in the box formed since January 2021 but it has potential to break-out. Actually, the first leg-up has started and curently price is consolidating before the second legup. with potential to break out the box. Trade setup is as in chart Target is estimated based on market cap of 11B.
Long
by evasivesteering
Salesforce May Face DistributionSalesforce has limped as other tech stocks hit new highs, and some traders may think it’s going into distribution. The first pattern on today’s chart is the bearish price gap on May 29 despite better-than-expected quarterly results. That may reflect waning enthusiasm about the software company’s fundamentals. Second is the pre-earnings closing price of $276.03. CRM has remained trapped below that level, which may suggest it’s become resistance. Third is the June 13 low of $258. The stock bounced there in mid-July but may now be at risk of breaking it. Next, Bollinger Bandwidth has narrowed as the stock formed a tight range between the two levels. Could price movement expand following that period of compression? Last, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA in April. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also below the 21-day EMA. Those patterns may be consistent with bearishness in the long and short terms. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:CRM
by TradeStation
BTCUSDT ISHS Breakout with Bullish Pennant ContinuationBTC is holding above a clean neckline breakout from a inverse head and shoulders formation, currently consolidating inside a bullish pennant. A breakout from this range offers continuation potential to $136K and possibly to $168K. Bias remains bullish while price holds above the $114K region. Market Structure • Trend: Bullish continuation • Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders + Bullish Pennant • Price Action: Clean breakout and retest of neckline support, followed by tightening consolidation Key Zones • Immediate Demand Zone: $114,000 – $117,000 • Internal Demand Zone: $105,000 – $108,000 • Major Setup Support Zone: $98,000 – $101,000 • Base Support (ISHS Origin): $74,500 – $77,000 • Neckline: $111,700-$113,800 (Confirmed pivot level) Technical Confluence • Volume: Strong candle breakout through neckline, followed by low-volume bullish flag • Price Geometry: ISHS measured move aligns with the final target at $168K • Momentum: Bullish structure maintained with higher lows and reactive demand Entry Plan • Zone: $117,500 – $119,000 • Method: Limit buy on demand retest or breakout retest of $123K • Execution: Swing entry with invalidation below demand base Targets • 🎯 TP1: $136,442 — Pennant measured move • 🎯 TP2: $168,029 — Final ISHS target Invalidation • ❌ SL: Below $110,000 • Reason: Break below ISHS Neckline invalidates bullish thesis in the short term • RRR: Estimated 1:4 depending on execution If this structure aligns with your outlook, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. You’re also welcome to drop your preferred altcoins for a quick technical review.
Long
by weslad
61
Gold Crashing After Hot U.S. Data – More Pain Ahead?Minutes ago, important indices were released from the US , which catalyzed the continuation of gold's downward trend . Key U.S. Economic Data Just Dropped! ADP Employment: 104K GDP q/q: 3.0% Both came in stronger than expected , signaling that the U.S. economy is holding up better than many thought! Strong job growth Solid economic expansion The result? A stronger U.S. dollar ( TVC:DXY ) and potential downward pressure on Gold . All eyes are now on FOMC meeting . Will the Fed still hint at future rate cuts despite the solid data? Or is the easing cycle officially on hold? What is your idea!? ---------------------- Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has already managed to break the Support zone($3,350-$3,326) , Monthly Pivot Point , 50_EMA(Daily) , Support lines , and the lower line of the ascending channel . Also, Gold trading below $3,333 plays an important role for me, which can increase the possibility of a continuation of the downtrend . I expect Gold to drop to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) before the FOMO meeting and if the Support zone($3,307-$3,272) is broken, we can expect further declines to $3,253(Second Target) . -------------------------------- Information we need to know: How should the Federal Funds Rate be announced to cause a deeper drop in Gold ? The Fed needs to take a hawkish stance — meaning: They keep rates unchanged, but make it clear they intend to keep them elevated for a prolonged period. They emphasize strong economic data like today's solid ADP and GDP numbers . They express concern that inflationary risks remain, and cutting rates isn’t on the table anytime soon. In this case, markets get disappointed, rate cut hopes fade, and gold drops as real yields( TVC:US10Y ) rise and the U.S. dollar strengthens. -------------------------------- Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,340 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
19
Why Riot Stock Dropped After Q2 Earnings Despite Good NumbersWhen I first saw Riot Platforms' Q2 2025 earnings report, the numbers looked impressive at first glance. The company posted net income of $219.5 million, a dramatic turnaround from recent quarters. But as I dug deeper into the details, it became clear why the stock sold off despite what appeared to be strong results. The most immediate red flag for me was the revenue miss. While Riot reported $153.0 million in revenue against the FactSet consensus of $156.3 million. Given Riot's recent track record of disappointing investors, this miss reinforced concerns about management's ability to meet their own guidance. What really caught my attention, though, was the composition of that $219.5 million in net income. The company benefited from a massive $470 million gain on changes in Bitcoin's fair value, which was partially offset by a $158 million loss on contract settlements. This tells me that the earnings quality is questionable at best. Strip away the mark-to-market accounting gains from Bitcoin appreciation, and the underlying operational performance looks far less impressive. I'm particularly concerned about the deteriorating unit economics in Riot's core mining business. The cost to mine each Bitcoin has essentially doubled to around $49,000 compared to $25,300 in the same quarter last year. This dramatic increase stems from the Bitcoin halving event and rising network difficulty, but it fundamentally undermines the investment thesis for Bitcoin miners. Even with Bitcoin trading at elevated levels, these higher production costs are compressing margins and eating into what should be a period of strong profitability. In the previous quarter, Riot missed earnings estimates by over 260%, posting a net loss of $296 million. The company has now missed consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters, creating a pattern that's hard for investors to ignore. This track record of disappointing execution has clearly eroded confidence in management's ability to deliver consistent results. In terms of hashrate, Riot only ranked #6 among public miners, after Mara, IREN, Cleanspark, Cango, and BitFuFu.
NASDAQ:RIOT
by Miningresearch
4
Hear me out... I've not been posting much (welcome to adhd/autistic life), but if anyone ever drops me a message, I'm always still trading, so feel free to ask me any questions ever :) So while much of the tariff movement was priced in with the recent drop from the top (1.38 range), we could (and have seen) an expected fall out, with today being the official tariff announcement/last day from Trump. This afternoon we have NFP, unemployment rate and PMI. Based on where we are from a TA standpoint, I imagine these to be positive for GBPUSD (least not much more downfall anytime soon/ much lower than where we bottomed out today). I'm going to update this idea with further notes, but you can see what we're currently working with and get an idea based on the chart what I'm thinking. We've got the small H&S pattern at work (neckline #1), and a potentially bigger one at play (neckline #2), and then a previous one which I will discuss in the notes (neckline #3). You can see across the chart a number of downward resistance lines (red). I've shown them to express that we can see that every time we cross over the line, while it might bounce off it and then keep dipping further, it never crosses back under. The only time it does cross back over is usually quite briefly (as per the orange arrows), but it's always short lived. Case and point, we're not only very close to the current resistance-turned-support red line, but we're also hitting major support area. This paired with such a big drop out (i.e. we could do with at least some short/mid term reversal) and the possibility of a retest of neckline #1, we've got plenty to work with. You can see I've posted 2 arrows - one GREEN, the other WHITE. I'll explain my thesis on that at some point and why I think it could easily cross back over the neckline before continuing to the downside. We've also got the thin purple lines, which as you can see previously act as a resistance to where the reversal will happen at the lower end of the chart (which lines up with the major support line on the weekly chart, which I'll add to the notes at some point too. Let me your thoughts. I have a position open from today's drop to neckline #2, so let's see where it takes us :)
by ash4zeker
Lingrid | TONUSDT Potential Long From the KEY ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . OKX:TONUSDT is pulling back from a fake breakout above 3.590 but holding within the boundaries of an upward channel. The price is approaching strong confluence support near 3.250, where both the trendline and horizontal zone align. A rebound from this level could launch a new bullish leg toward the resistance zone. Buyers will look for confirmation at the bounce area to aim for 3.590 and beyond. 📌 Key Levels Buy zone: 3.250 – 3.300 Sell trigger: Break below 3.250 Target: 3.590 – 3.700 Buy trigger: Bullish engulfing or breakout from local consolidation near 3.300 💡 Risks Loss of support at 3.250 trendline Bearish pressure from broader market sentiment Another fakeout or choppy move around 3.300–3.400 zone If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
1
ETH accumulation season 3 has begun at 3.4k. Start loading up!!!ETH has seen impressive price growth for the past few weeks from our original spot at 2.4k -- and it run as high as 3.9k -- almost at our target of 4k. Now, as with any parabolic moves, eth has to hibernate a bit for that well deserved recharge. This healthy correction at current levels is warranted. 23.6%, 38.2% FIB taps are usually ETHs favorite zone area. This is where most buyers converge as far the most bargain area to position. And we are now at that elusive zone. A seed from this area is ideal. From our current diagram, you can see we are now on season no.3. This has been doin the same behavior since 160B mcap, and for this next phase, ETH is eyeing 600B mcap from here. This is in line with our original forecast. We are now on Month no. 3 as we entered August, my predicted cycle duration would be 17 bullish months till December 2026. ----------- STONG BUY HOLD at this area. We got a rare elusive season of accumulation that doesnt come very often. Happy profiting everyone See you up there. Spotted at 3.4k Mid target 5k. Long term target. 10k. TAYOR. Trade safely.
CRYPTOCAP:ETHLong
by JSAL