Get started

Community ideas

GOLD recovers from $3,371, risks remain highOn Tuesday (June 17) in the Asian market, the spot price of OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly fell sharply in the short term, and the price of gold once fell below 3,380 USD/ounce. As investors watched the hostile situation between Israel and Iran, US President Trump called for an immediate withdrawal of troops from Iran and ordered officials to be ready in the situation room, boosting demand for safe-haven assets. Trump posted on his social media platform "Real Social": "Iran should sign the 'deal' I asked them to sign. What a shame and waste of lives. Simply put, Iran cannot have nuclear weapons. I have said this over and over again! Everyone should evacuate Tehran immediately!" Axios News reported that shortly after Trump's tweet, Iranian media reported explosions and heavy anti-aircraft fire in Tehran. It is unclear whether there is any connection between Trump's tweet and the attack. According to the latest report from Fox News, US President Trump asked the National Security Council to be on standby in the White House Situation Room after he cut short his trip to the G7 summit and returned to Washington earlier than expected. The White House Situation Room is a conference room and intelligence management center located in the basement of the West Wing of the White House, with a total area of ​​about 460 square meters. The main purpose of the White House Situation Room is to provide a working space for the National Security Council, including the President of the United States, the Vice President, the White House Chief of Staff, the Secretary of State, the Secretary of Defense, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency, the National Security Advisor, etc., to quickly discuss and respond to sudden domestic and international events affecting the national security of the United States. It has advanced and complete security communication facilities, allowing the President of the United States to control the United States military around the world at any time. WTI crude oil prices rose about 3.00% on the day after Trump told officials to be ready in the situation room. These market risks clearly leave plenty of room for gold to rise, and the current decline, which is being driven by profit-taking, is unlikely to last. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD After a sharp decline, gold has recovered from the support level noted to readers in the previous issue at the price point of 3,371 USD, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement, and currently the original price point of 3,400 USD is the nearest resistance at present. If gold breaks above 3,400 USD, it will have the conditions to aim for the target of 3,435 USD in the short term. Currently, gold still has enough technical conditions for an uptrend with the price channel as the short-term trend, while the price channel as the long-term trend and the EMA21 as the nearest support at present. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50 and is far from overbought territory, suggesting that there is still plenty of room for upside ahead. The current declines should still be viewed as a short-term correction rather than a full-fledged trend, or as a buying opportunity. During the day, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be highlighted by the following positions. Support: $3,371 – $3,350 Resistance: $3,400 – $3,435 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3420 - 3418⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3424 →Take Profit 1 3412 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3406 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3350 - 3352⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3346 →Take Profit 1 3358 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3364
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
Citigroup predicts a decline in gold prices? Blacklisted?Information summary: Citigroup analysts predict that by the second half of 2026, gold will fall back to around $2,500-2,700, with a significant reduction in investment demand, improved global economic growth prospects, and a decline in the factors that led to the rise in gold prices due to the Fed's interest rate cut. My point of view is: blacklist Citigroup. Since last year, they have predicted that the highest point of gold prices will exceed $4,000, and they have constantly changed the forecast point in the middle, and now they even point out that the price will fall below $3,000, which is completely unreliable. Market analysis: In the early Asian session, it also rose strongly, and it seems that there is a lot of upward momentum, but $3,405 is the pressure position for the top and bottom conversion, and the rise in the morning is a lure. At this position, it fell rapidly, reaching a minimum of around $3,373. The Asian market seemed to rebound strongly in the morning, but the MA5 and MA10 moving averages showed a downward trend. This kind of market cannot wait for a decline to go long, but it is also a repeated wash-out shock. The first focus below is the 3375-3370 area, followed by 3360. The short-term trend is still dominated by wash-out shocks. The short-term important focus position is around 3405. 3405 is used as the dividing point between long and short positions. A short-selling strategy is carried out near this position. Pay attention to the 3375-3360 area below.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
Ronin: Low Risk vs High Reward Potential It is interesting the large amount of volume that has been coming in recently. Just yesterday it was the highest on a daily basis since November 2024 and we know November 2024 was a bullish month. There is a very strong wipeout candle here, 30-May. These can be taken as a strong reversal signal but only at this juncture of course. 3-Feb we had a wipeout candle but there was no clear bottom in sight yet, and bearish volume was high and thus the market continued lower. The one from 30-May is preceded by a bottom formation, so we know this one is the final low. Also, this candle is not present on other exchanges which is quite revealing. It means this exchange wanted to liquidate all its leveraged trades and activate all stop-loss orders. It certainly did. So we ignore this candle but take from it that the bottom is already in. Confirmed. This means that growth will happen next and the high buy volume yesterday confirms this second statement. All in all, we can go LONG with a high probability of success. Low risk vs a high potential for reward. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 16 - Jun 20]The unrest in the Middle East this week has boosted safe-haven demand for gold, pushing it above $3,400 an ounce. While gold has broken several recent technical resistance levels, it is unlikely that it will hit a new record high next week. The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran provides safe-haven support, but historically, gold rallies driven by geopolitical events tend to be short-lived. Gold is currently outperforming the US dollar, which has struggled to attract safe-haven funds. Iran launched a retaliatory airstrike on Israel on Friday night (June 13), Reuters reported. Air raid sirens sounded across Israel and authorities urged residents to take shelter in shelters. The Israeli military said Iran fired nearly 100 missiles, most of which were intercepted or missed their targets. Israel's Channel 12 reported two people were seriously injured, eight were moderately injured and 34 suffered shrapnel injuries. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it had carried out military operations against dozens of targets in Israel. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards' news website released a message that evening saying the "powerful and precise" counterattack was in retaliation for Israel's "invasion" of many parts of Iran and the killing of many senior military commanders, nuclear experts and Iranian civilians, including children. Wider Middle East Conflict Could Erupt Israel destroyed Tehran's military command system early Friday and struck key Iranian nuclear facilities. The Fars news agency, which is affiliated with Iran's Revolutionary Guards, cited data saying the Israeli attack killed dozens of people in Iran and wounded more than 300. Israel has carried out large-scale airstrikes on multiple locations in Iran since early Friday, bombing Iranian nuclear facilities and military targets. Reuters said Israel's attacks on Iran during the day and Iran's retaliation have raised concerns about a broader conflict in the region. All Eyes on the Fed While gold will continue to be affected by geopolitical developments, market attention will also be on the Federal Reserve, particularly Chairman Powell, who will speak after next week’s monetary policy meeting. Economists generally expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged. However, expectations are growing that Powell could begin paving the way for a rate cut later this year. The latest inflation data and signs of a slowing US economy have given the Federal Reserve room to cut rates. However, growing geopolitical uncertainty may prompt some market participants to adjust their expectations. Overall assessment of the basic environment The gold market in particular will still receive absolute support when there are too many risks appearing, from geopolitical developments to interest rate prospects, and tariffs. Major conflicts in the Middle East, Russia - Ukraine, trade war between the US and the rest of the world, ... are all sudden risk support that makes gold likely to surge in the short term. Therefore, in general vision, gold is considered the top safe-haven asset in the global unstable environment and it tends to increase in price in the current context. Economic Data to Watch Next Week Monday: State Manufacturing Survey, Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Tuesday: US Retail Sales Wednesday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, US Housing Starts, Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Meeting Thursday: US Markets Closed for Black Lives Matter Day, Swiss National Bank Monetary Policy Meeting, Bank of England Monetary Policy Meeting Friday: Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has almost achieved all the bullish targets noted by readers in last week's weekly issue, initially at $3,371, then at the full price point and finally at $3,435. Gold can still continue to increase in price as technical conditions still absolutely support the short-term trend channel, while the long-term trend channel and the nearest support is the EMA21. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sloping up after receiving support from 50 and is still far from overbought territory, indicating that there is still a lot of room for upside ahead. To sum up, as long as gold remains within/above the price channel, it remains bullish in the short term. Any dips that do not break below the price channel should only be considered as short-term corrections or a new buying opportunity. Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: 3,400 – 3,371 USD Resistance: 3,435 – 3,500 USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3497 - 3495⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3501 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3374 - 3376⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3370
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
2
BTC Dips After ATH – $100K Support in Focus Amid TensionsBy analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after rallying to $111,980 and printing a new all-time high, price faced a correction down to $100,000. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $105,700, and with geopolitical tensions escalating, particularly the risk of war, we could see further downside — potentially taking price as low as $90,000. However, if BTC manages to hold above the $100,000 level, there’s a strong chance we’ll see a short-term rally toward $120,000. This analysis will be updated as the situation evolves. Stay tuned! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
1
EUR/USD (1-Hour Timeframe) – Bearish Trade Setup Explanation.This chart shows a potential short (sell) opportunity on EUR/USD based on the Smart Money Concept (SMC), focusing on Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block (OB) confluence. 🔍 Key Zone Highlighted: The price has retraced into a supply zone, which combines: Fair Value Gap (FVG) – an imbalance created by a strong bearish move. Order Block (OB) – the last bullish candle before a strong bearish push, now acting as resistance. This confluence makes the zone (around 1.15870) a high-probability reversal area. 📉 Trade Plan: Sell Entry: Near the current price at 1.15870, inside the FVG+OB zone. Stop Loss (SL): Placed above the supply zone at 1.16400 to protect from invalidation. Target 1: 1.15107 – conservative target based on previous support. Final Target: 1.14100 – a lower liquidity zone that could be reached if bearish momentum continues. 💡 Logic Behind the Setup: Price is reacting to a previously respected bearish OB + FVG. Strong bearish impulse occurred from this zone earlier, suggesting institutional selling. The retracement back into this zone presents a low-risk, high-reward short entry. Expectation: price will reject from this zone and move down toward the targets. ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: The setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, especially if the final target is reached.
Short
by m_zeeshan3644
Dow Jones Approaches Two-Month Highs AgainThe Dow Jones index has started the week with a strong bullish bias, pushing the price up by more than 1% in the short term. This upward trend has remained solid despite growing military tensions in the Middle East. While the conflict caused significant volatility last week, markets have now digested the uncertainty, with CNN’s Fear and Greed Index remaining steady in the “greed” zone, showing no signs of retreating toward neutral territory. This suggests that confidence remains firm in the short term, allowing demand for risk assets like the Dow Jones to stay consistent in recent sessions. However, it is important to note that the Dow has historically shown significant sensitivity to trade war developments. Although ongoing negotiations between the United States and China continue, the outcome regarding tariffs remains uncertain. If no agreement is reached, negative trade dynamics could resurface, triggering a renewed loss of confidence and possibly leading to sustained selling pressure in the long term. Consistent Bullish Trend Since early April, the Dow Jones has maintained a strong buying trend, with price movements consistently above the 40,000-point level. So far, there have been no major bearish corrections that would break this structure. However, the price is currently facing a key resistance level. If this barrier holds, it could mark the beginning of a corrective phase in the short term. Technical Indicators: RSI: The RSI line has begun to show a bearish divergence, as it records lower highs, while the Dow’s price posts higher highs. This reflects an imbalance in market forces, which may lead to short-term downside corrections. TRIX: The TRIX line, which measures the momentum of exponential moving averages, remains above the neutral level (0), but has started to flatten, potentially signaling the beginning of a neutral phase, especially as the price tests resistance zones. Key Levels to Watch: 42,700 points: A critical resistance zone, aligned with the 200-period simple moving average. A breakout above this level would strengthen the current bullish bias and help consolidate the uptrend. 41,900 points: A short-term support level, associated with a recent neutral zone. It could act as a barrier against downward corrections. 41,064 points: The final support, aligned with the 50-period simple moving average. A drop to this level could threaten the ongoing bullish trend. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst Follow him at: @julianpineda25
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREXcom
DAAG LONG TRADE 16-06-2025DAAG Long Trade Rationale : DAAG has been in a bearish channel (bull flag) since Dec 2024. Recently, the stock trended at the upper level of the channel, absorbing overhead supply. Today, it broke out of the channel with a huge volume metric imbalance and gradient, taking price above the axis line. 🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – DAAG🚨 - Buy 1: Current level (Rs. 92) - Buy 2: Rs. 86.5 - Buy 3: Rs. 82.2 Target Prices - TP 1: Rs. 100 - TP 2: Rs. 116.8 - TP 3: Rs. 129.8 Stop Loss - Below Rs. 76 closing basis Risk-Reward Ratio1:- 3.25 Caution: Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions. PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
PSX:DAAGLong
by Mushtaque77
Nasdaq Challenges Record HighsNasdaq continues to trade just below a one-month resistance line, which connects consecutive higher highs formed between May and June 2025. This line has capped the index just shy of the 22,000 mark, as price action navigates the push and pull between summer momentum, geopolitical tensions, and economic uncertainty. To the upside, a decisive break and hold above 22,200 would be a bullish trigger, potentially opening the path toward the 23,700 resistance zone. This level notably aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension, projected from the 2023 low, 2025 high, and 2025 retracement low. On the downside, risks remain for a deeper correction if the index retraces toward the 21,000–20,600 region. This zone represents the neckline of the December–January double top, and stands as a critical threshold separating a bullish continuation scenario from the possibility of a deeper bearish pullback. - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
GBPUSD Will Collapse! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for GBPUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.3619 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.3570 Safe Stop Loss - 1.3649 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Sell Limit Setup above 2025 High📉 AUD/USD – 2H Chart Analysis 🕒 Published: June 16, 2025 | TF: 2H 🔔 Trade Idea: 2x Sell Limit at Key Resistance Zone 🔹 Market Context: Price is trading within a rising broadening wedge pattern (marked by the white and blue trendlines). Current rally retraced aggressively toward upper wedge resistance (2025 High), an area that has repeatedly capped bullish momentum. Price approaching previous supply zone. 🔻 Sell Limit Setup 1 Entry: 0.65400 SL: 0.6584 TP: 0.6503 R:R ≈ 1 ➕ Fades rally into resistance ➕ Aligns with EMA structure and intraday exhaustion 🔻 Sell Limit Setup 2 Entry: 0.6550 SL: 0.6584 TP: 0.6499 R:R ≈ 2 ➕ Higher entry into wick zone (liquidity trap) ➕ Potential false breakout above structure ➕ SL above key swing high = cleaner invalidation ⚠️ Aggressive short: smaller SL, better RR
Short
by MJElahifx
1
XLM - ready for last leg upXLM is repeating impulsive pattern from 2017. After creating accumulation range we got the breakout, formation of bull flag which tested top of accumulation range and we are now ready for last leg of this impulsive move. In 2017 last leg went equal meassured move target aka fibb 2.0 extension. Same move in current conditions will bring XLM price to 2$ range. RSI also confirms this move. After hitting RSI overbought +90 level we got a pullback to middle 40 range - same move we did in 2017 before last leg up - this RSI also implicating one more push to RSI +90 overbought conditions and then big correction back to oversold conditions - if price will sit above diagonal resistance line at that moment that will be super bullish....
CRYPTO:XLMUSDLong
by Zorroreny
Bank of Japan Leaves Interest Rate UnchangedBank of Japan Leaves Interest Rate Unchanged This morning, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) released its interest rate decision, keeping the rate unchanged as widely expected. According to Forex Factory, the BOJ Policy Rate remains at 0.5%. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda noted the following: → Japan’s economy is recovering moderately. → The Bank will continue raising rates if economic and inflationary conditions improve. → The situation surrounding trade tariffs remains highly uncertain. The fact that the decision was anticipated by markets is reflected in price action on the charts. Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart A brief spike in volatility occurred on the USD/JPY chart this morning, but it did not significantly alter the broader structure of price movements, which in June have formed a contracting triangle pattern. In recent days, the pair has been climbing from the lower boundary of the triangle toward the upper edge, forming a short-term ascending channel (highlighted in blue). However, in the near term, this bullish momentum may weaken as the USD/JPY rate approaches the upper boundary of the triangle, which coincides with the psychologically significant level of 145 yen to the dollar (indicated by arrows). From a medium-term perspective, traders should watch for a potential breakout from the triangle pattern, which could trigger a meaningful trend. One possible catalyst could be news of a trade agreement between the United States and Japan. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Have you seized the golden opportunity again and again?Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It only rushed up at the opening, and quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support, and the weekly MA5 support is long. The rebound focuses on the 3403-3408 resistance card. The rebound can be followed by the short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does. From a technical point of view, the current macd high dead cross in 4 hours has a large volume, and the smart indicator sto is oversold, which represents the 4-hour shock trend. The current bollinger band three-track shrinkage in 4 hours also represents the range compression. At present, the upper pressure of 4 hours is located at the adhesion point of the middle rail and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, while the support corresponds to the moving average MA30 and MA10 near the 3380-3363 line. From the current 4 hours, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current macd dead cross of the gold 1-hour line is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator sto is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to fluctuate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion pressure of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel