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Bearish continuation for the Swissie?The price is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.8156 1st Support: 0.8055 1st Resistance: 0.8241 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Google: Bullish Momentum Indicates Short-Term Upside Potential Current Price: $174.67 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $178.80 - T2 = $182.50 Stop Levels: - S1 = $172.30 - S2 = $170.50 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Google. **Key Insights:** Google's parent company, Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL), has been the beneficiary of diversified revenue streams, particularly from its artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud services, which have sparked new growth possibilities. Alphabet has also strategically bolstered its market presence in explosive tech markets, such as India, ensuring its infrastructure investments and potential benefits from increasing global internet penetration. Technical indicators underline a solid investment outlook, with a pattern of higher lows and renewed resistance testing above its 200-day moving average. This makes Alphabet a prime candidate for bullish scenarios, with entry points near recent dips. **Recent Performance:** In the past month, Alphabet’s prices have sustained a consolidation phase between $172 and $180, following a rebounding rally from its earlier yearly lows around $150. Daily averaging ranges and patterns have attracted bullish investors near pivotal supports and upright triggers based from RSI oversold into Buy setups. With sustained over-moving averages metrics standing resilient, the $175-$180 swing zone holds market convictions and consolidation metrics forwards conservatively tending till rises stay near end breakout spaces. **Expert Analysis:** Wall Street analysts cite upward forces arising from notable technical pivots, especially Alphabet’s price forecast exceeding its outwards monthly forecasts parsed mid-year broad outperform signals both makes attractive Forecast futures ending pulls outset near target-Breaking triggers analysts till peak-going Predicted moves near Structural Customer maximized cycles... Recent... Recommendations supports-focused Shifting buysahead lower dynamizing recover structurally maintain until broad overcycle completing into sustained final intended Leftovers offerings changes peak $180—expected $184… 2025 includes movendes centered over-outcomes Left remaining compact investment toward quarterly areas extend major broader-final bull incentives segments projection financial cycles trade zones recap...
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
XAU/USD – Bearish Setup Developing After Complex CorrectionGold may be nearing the end of a complex double three (W)-(X)-(Y) corrective pattern, suggesting that the recent upside momentum could be exhausted and a larger degree bearish wave may be on the horizon. 🔹 Wave Structure Analysis The initial decline completed an ABC Zigzag correction, labeled as Wave (A)-(B)-(C). Price then rallied into a W-X-Y double three structure, with the second leg (Y) potentially complete as of the latest high. The rejection at the recent swing high indicates potential distribution and the start of a new impulsive decline. 🔻 Bearish Outlook If the count is valid, Gold may be starting a new bearish sequence, targeting lower support levels in the coming weeks. A break below the short-term support (~$3,340–$3,320) could confirm the onset of a downward move. Key bearish target zone: $3,120–$3,040, with potential extension toward $2,960 if momentum accelerates. 🛑 Invalidation Level A daily close above Wave (Y) high (~$3,513) would invalidate the bearish thesis and indicate further upside continuation or a new impulsive structure. 📌 Conclusion: Gold may have completed a complex corrective structure and is showing signs of weakness. If confirmed, this opens the door for a deeper corrective or impulsive move to the downside. Traders should watch for breakdown confirmation before entering shorts, with tight risk control above recent highs.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by MrLiquidonFX
WTI Technical Analysis – WTI (1H Chart) Structure & Momentum: WTI recently broke out of a short-term bullish structure, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, momentum appears to be weakening, with divergence showing between price action and volume (or internal strength), hinting at a potential short-term pullback. Liquidity & Reaccumulating: There’s a visible liquidity pool resting below the recent swing lows, around the $62 level, which aligns with a bullish order block or prior consolidation zone on the 1H chart. If price revisits this zone, it would likely be a liquidity grab followed by reaccumulating. ✅ Scenario Outlook: "WTI might pull back to the $62 area to clear resting liquidity and mitigate previous demand imbalances. If the level holds with strong bullish intent, we can expect a continuation toward higher levels—targeting the $67–$70 range in the coming sessions." Trade Setup Concept (SMC-style): Wait for price to sweep the $62 level. Look for a shift in market structure (CHOCH) on lower timeframes from bearish to bullish. Entry: Post-CHOCH confirmation above local high. SL: Below liquidity sweep. TP1: $66.80 TP2: $69.90 🛢️ Geopolitical Context: If Iran retaliates directly or if Strait of Hormuz tensions rise, crude could spike suddenly. But U.S. SPR releases or weak global demand data might offset rallies—watch macro data.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by ProSignalai
ETH/USD Rejection at Supply Zone – Bearish Move LoadingETH/USD is currently showing a potential short opportunity after rejecting the key supply zone around $2,640 – $2,645, a level that previously acted as strong resistance. 🔍 Key Observations: Price tapped into a visible Supply Zone (highlighted in blue) and is now consolidating below it. Strong resistance is confirmed by repeated rejections at $2,640. A clean support level lies at $2,576, which could act as the first target if sellers take control. Below $2,576, watch out for a potential drop toward the demand zone around $2,508 – $2,500, a level where bulls previously stepped in aggressively. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If ETH breaks below $2,576 with volume, expect momentum to build toward the $2,508 demand area. A break below $2,500 could open the door for further downside. 📌 Trade Idea: Entry: Below $2,576 on strong bearish candle TP1: $2,508 TP2: $2,500 SL: Above $2,645 🚨 Note: Confirmation is key. Watch for bearish candlestick formations or volume spikes before entering short. 🔔 Follow me for more clean setups and live trade ideas. #ETHUSD #Ethereum #CryptoTrading #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #Scalping #DayTrading #ShortSetup
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by FrankFx14
1
KASPA: $0.08 | Loyalty Check is Over - Blessing to Followhad this few moons ago got shaken out and bidded out when public took over pump it to sensational highs it is the fastes coolest layer 1 out there fairly allocated and decently priced in for both speculators investors and PERPS folks in the futures volume significant and fundamentally DEVS are growing so is community and yet under rated off the social scene think of this like AMAZON at early stages selling books strategy: time to hop on
CRYPTO:KASUSD
by senyor
Iran seeks peace, Israel strikes – Gold dip, buy opportunity🌍 Iran's peace overtures sent gold prices plummeting to 3382, but Israel is unlikely to accept the olive branch lightly. With no clear signs of de-escalation in the Middle East situation, it's advisable to continue going long at lower levels 📉→📈 Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu vows military strikes will continue until Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missile capabilities are fully dismantled—showing no signs of halting ⚡. While he claims regime change is not the objective, he notes that given the weakness of Iran's leadership, political upheaval could emerge as a collateral outcome of the operations 🌪️ 🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 3385 - 3390 🚀 TP 3410 - 3420 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_1
USDCHF → Retesting resistance will lead to a declineFX:USDCHF , having failed to reach its global target after breaking through support, is turning back to retest the zone of interest at 0.8157. A fall in the dollar could trigger a decline in prices... After breaking through support and falling to 0.8055, a correction is forming towards the zone of interest and liquidity at 0.8157. After reaching the local target, the price may return to the global target (liquidity zone) at 0.8042. The dollar returned to its downward phase at the opening of the session, to which the forex market reacted accordingly. Most likely, bearish pressure may also affect the USDCHF currency pair, which continues to follow the downward trend. Resistance levels: 0.8157 Support levels: 0.8055, 0.8042 A retest of resistance amid high volatility could form a false breakout (liquidity capture) before the decline continues within the downtrend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
Oil Surges on Israel-Iran Nuclear Strike Fears🛢️ Israel’s attacks on Iran’s nuclear sites are pushing oil ( BLACKBULL:WTI , BLACKBULL:BRENT ) higher! Bloomberg reports Trump’s G-7 exit and Tehran evacuation warning as Israel-Iran strikes intensify (June 17, 2025). Analysts warn of Strait of Hormuz risks, with 17M barrels/day at stake. 4H Chart Analysis: Price Action: WTI ( BLACKBULL:WTI ) broke $75 resistance (June 2025 high), exiting a 3-week range. Brent ( BLACKBULL:BRENT ) mirrors at $78. Volume: 4H volume spiked 15% vs. prior week, confirming breakout buying. Key Levels: Current Support: $75 (WTI), $78 (Brent) – former resistance, now support. Next Support: $73 (WTI), $76 (Brent) – prior range lows, tested twice in June. Context: Oil gained 2% this week, driven by Middle East supply fears, with WTI at a 1-month high. Trading Insight: The $75/$78 breakouts signal bullish momentum. $73-$76 is a key support zone for dips. Watch Iran retaliation news and volume for supply disruption clues. What’s your 4H oil trade? Post your setups! 👇 #OilPrice #WTI #Brent #IsraelIran #TradingView
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by DCAChampion
XAUUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 3375.66, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement. Our take profit will be at 3408.11, which is a pullback resistance level. The stop loss will be placed at 3344.72, an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDLong
by Tradu
UNH - Bullish Trade IdeaUNH Trade Plan : Entry Zone Momentum Breakout Entry (Candle Trigger): Reclaim of 314.76 level (15m) with bullish engulfing candle or strong candle 12cloud (15m/30m). Ideal Pull Back Entry Range (Micro Pullback): $310.50 – $312.20 (deep liquidity pocket + 1H bullish order block). Entry refinement = Wait for 15m or 30m candle signal + WTMA inverse Arc or Level 3 Floating candle 🛡 Stop Loss / Take-Profit Ladder Stop Loss Zone: $308.65 (under VWAP band and bottom of HTF breaker) TP Ladder: TP1: $317.35 → Weak high sweep TP2: $320.63 → Final breakout retest TP3: $324.18 → Macro swing target (2H FVG supply hit)
NYSE:UNHLong
by Shon_TheWolf
XAUUSD Buy Idea using EMA/ Purple Shift Zone Strong rejection observed at 3375 on both the 1H and 4H timeframes . This level aligns with the EMA200 on the 1H and EMA50 on the 4H, providing solid confluence for a potential buy setup. Next target: 3402. If price breaks above this level, a move towards 3420 is possible- Final target is around 3500 but who knows when we'll get there. A cross of the Yellow Line (EMA5) above the Red (EMA13) would add further confirmation for the long, where I may consider adding to the position. Let’s see how the price action develops. Good Luck Just My Idea!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by wako1234
1
Take a bullish position on TSLA as price action confirms upside Current Price: $325.31 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $335.00 - T2 = $345.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $320.00 - S2 = $315.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla. **Key Insights:** Tesla has shown substantial resilience in the tech-heavy market, with bullish sentiment linked to its innovative product lineup, particularly autonomous vehicles and the forthcoming robo-taxi launch. Institutional investors have actively increased positions, signaling long-term confidence in Tesla’s disruptive growth narrative. However, mixed profitability metrics and emerging competition in the global EV space keep valuations under scrutiny. Tesla’s price action around $325.31 suggests that the optimism surrounding potential catalysts outweighs near-term concerns, with technical momentum favoring further upside gains. **Recent Performance:** Tesla has demonstrated significant strength in recent trading sessions, successfully recovering from a minor pullback that aligned with broader market volatility. The stock climbed steadily from its $300 support level and has outperformed the broader tech sector during a period of overall market uncertainty. Heavy volume and speculative trading suggest strong engagement from both institutional and retail participants. **Expert Analysis:** Technical outlook for Tesla indicates bullish divergence on the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) coupled with a successful retest of its 50-day moving average. These factors affirm that momentum remains firmly to the upside. Analysts highlight Tesla’s ability to set remarkable trends within the EV sector, backed by advancing autonomous technologies and renewable energy solutions. Near-term resistance sits at $335, where a breakout would likely trigger further upward movement toward $345. **News Impact:** Recent news regarding Tesla’s upcoming robo-taxi launch in June has considerably bolstered investor sentiment. Market participants view this innovation as a key milestone that could redefine Tesla’s growth trajectory. However, declining EV sales in Europe and the United States remain a concern, potentially capping excessive bullish momentum. Traders should watch for more clarity on macroeconomic factors influencing demand. **Trading Recommendation:** Tesla’s combination of technical strength and ground-breaking product developments underpins a favorable trading outlook. A long position with well-defined stops below $320 offers an attractive risk/reward setup, targeting $335 and $345 sequentially. While global sales trends warrant close monitoring, Tesla’s leadership within the EV and tech space supports a bullish thesis in the short term.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
The best opportunity is when crude oil falls 💡Message Strategy Crude oil futures fell in the European session on Monday (June 16), giving up earlier gains, as a new round of hostilities between Israel and Iran had limited impact on oil production and exports. WTI briefly rebounded to $77.49, close to last week's high, which was also our second profit target, but failed to break through the key resistance level near $78.09. Oil prices surged 7% on Friday, driven by geopolitical risks, pushing crude to its highest level since January. However, Monday's reversal reflected the lack of immediate threats to supply routes, especially the strategically important Strait of Hormuz. If Iran's production drops sharply due to the conflict, the global oil supply buffer will be quickly exhausted and oil prices may usher in a new round of surges. Faced with this complex situation, investors, oil-producing countries and consumers need to be prepared to meet the possible energy storm. This is also the reason why we repeatedly emphasize that crude oil should be long when it falls. We can foresee its upward momentum, and the pullback is only in a moment without any signs. 📊Technical aspects The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil continued to fluctuate upward, and the price near 74 was tested. The moving average system relies on the bullish arrangement of oil prices, and the short-term objective trend direction remains upward. In the morning, the oil price hit a new high near 75.30, and then fell back and closed with a negative real candlestick. The short-term momentum is still bullish, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will continue to maintain a high-level oscillating upward rhythm. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position:69.50-70.50 The first target is around 73.00 The second target is around 75.00
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
XAU/USD:Iran's Peace Moves Spark Market TurbulenceI. Iran Signals De-escalation US media reports suggest Iran, under Israeli airstrike pressure, has used Arab intermediaries to send peace signals to the US and Israel—demanding the US stay out of airstrikes as a precondition for restarting nuclear talks, and stressing to Israel that violence control serves mutual interests. II. Israel Stays Resolute Israeli warplanes freely overfly Iran's capital, with Iran's counterattacks proving ineffective. Israel remains focused on dismantling Iran's nuclear facilities and weakening its theocratic regime, showing no short-term incentive to cease fire. III. Gold's Reaction and Strategy Iran's peace overtures triggered gold's plunge to $3,382. Yet with no tangible Middle East de-escalation, dip-buying is advised, with attention on the $3,400 support level. XAUUSD buy@3380-3390 tp:3400-3410 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
FetchAI New All-Time High —656% Profits Potential MappedSupport here is well defined, it is a long-term situation. Resistance in late 2023 and early 2024; resistance in late April 2025; support in early May and mid-June. This is the red line on the chart. In early 2024 there was a small rounded bottom pattern below this long-term support line. After resistance was conquered a major bullish wave appeared, more than 400%. In early to mid-2025 a big rounded bottom pattern appeared below this long-term support line. Below support it is resistance; it has been conquered as resistance and now FETUSDT trades above. This opens the doors for massive growth, really massive. This chart setup is calling for a new all-time high. You can find several targets mapped on the chart. » 221% is an easy target, easy profits; high certainty-high probability. This is around $2.30. » $3.77 is a shy new all-time but I believe this is also high probability. This target gives 426% profits potential. » The standard 2025 all-time high projection sits around $5.42. From current price, this gives a total of 656%. If we take the same target and use the April bottom as the startup point, we get 1,471%. This would be the total growth of a bullish wave that peaks at $5.42 in late 2025, but there can be more. Prepare for the best, hope for the best. The best is yet to come. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
About the chart that shows a sideways movement... Hello, traders. If you "follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- When you study charts, you will realize how difficult it is to move sideways. Therefore, depending on how long the sideways movement was before the big wave, the size of the wave is also predicted. However, in the charts showing sideways movement, the price range and wave size are often known after the wave appears. This shows that the location of the sideways movement and the size of the sideways wave are important. - Looking at the chart above, we can say that it is showing a sideways movement. However, since the price is located at the lowest price range, it is better to exclude this chart. The reason is that if it is showing a sideways movement at the lowest price range, it is likely that the trading volume has decreased significantly due to being excluded from the market. This is because it is likely to take a long time to turn into an upward trend in this state. - Looking at the chart above, the price is showing a sideways movement while maintaining a certain interval after rising. The sideways movement is about 31%, so it may be ambiguous to say that it is actually sideways. However, if the price moves sideways while maintaining a certain interval after rising, it means that someone is trying to maintain the price. Therefore, when it shows a movement that breaks through the sideways section, it should be considered that there is a possibility that a large wave will occur. The wave can be either upward or downward. Therefore, it is necessary to be careful not to jump into a purchase with the idea that it will definitely rise in the future just because it moves sideways. A box section is set at both ends of the sideways section. Therefore, it is recommended to proceed with a purchase in installments when it shows support after entering this box section. In other words, it is important to check the support in the 1.5-1.9669 section or the 25641-2.6013 section. You can see that the HA-Low indicator and the HA-High indicator are converging. Therefore, if this convergence is broken, it is expected that a trend will be formed. - Like this, you should measure the price position of the sideways movement and the width of the sideways movement well and think in advance about whether to proceed with the transaction when it deviates from that range. Otherwise, if you start trading after the wave has already started, you may end up giving up the transaction because you cannot overcome the wave. Since it is not known when the movement will start once the sideways movement starts, individual investors easily get tired. Therefore, when the coin (token) you want to trade shows a sideways movement, it is recommended to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit while conducting short-term trading (day trading). If you do this, you will naturally be able to see how the sideways waves change, and you will be able to hold out until a big wave starts. I think there are quite a few people who are not familiar with day trading and say they will buy at once when the wave starts. If you can hold out well against the wave, you will get good results, but there is a possibility that the trade will fail 7-8 times out of 10, so if possible, it is good to get used to the feeling by day trading coins (tokens) that show this sideways pattern. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
XAUUSD: The beginning of range trading.Last week, I perfectly predicted the sharp rise in the market. At the beginning of this week, XAUUSD reached a high of 3451, which is the front pressure position. Due to the cooling of risk aversion in the international market, the New York market fell back to 3373 on Monday. XAUUSD did experience a typical "news-driven callback", and the analysis of technical and fundamental aspects is very critical. The following is a professional analysis and operation suggestions for the current market: Key points and technical structure 1. Pressure level: 3450 area - The previous high pressure is effective. This is the resonance resistance area of ​​the upper track of the daily level channel + Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level, and the demand for long profit-taking is concentrated. 2. Support level: 3370-3380 area - Currently falling back to 3373, here is: - 50-day moving average dynamic support - 4-hour chart previous low level support platform - Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level - If the daily closing is above 3380, the technical structure is still a healthy correction. News-driven logic - Negative factors: Geopolitical situation and peace talks ➜ Risk aversion cools down ➜ Gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset decreases. - Potential risks: The progress of peace talks may be repeated (such as the situation between Israel and Hamas and Russia and Ukraine). If the negotiations fail, safe-haven buying will return quickly. Need to keep an eye on news sources. Key signals for long-short game Long signal: long lower shadow candlestick appears in 3370 area, US dollar index (DXY) falls below 105.0 Short signal: rebound fails to break through 3400 integer mark, US bond yield rises above 4.3% Trading strategy suggestion - *Long order opportunity*: 3370-3380 light position to try long, stop loss 3355 (below the previous low), target 3400/3420. - *Short order opportunity*: 3415-3425 to arrange short orders in batches, stop loss 3440, target 3390. 2: Break down - Trigger condition: daily closing price <3365 The callback is upgraded to a deep correction - Target: 3340→ 3300 (psychological barrier + trend line support) - Operation: Chasing short needs to wait for a rebound to around 3400, stop loss 3420. 3: Restart the rise (probability 10%) - Trigger condition: Break through 3440 and stand firm for 1 hour - Possible driving force: Geopolitical conflict escalates/Fed rate cut expectations rise - Target: 3480 (historical high psychological resistance) → 3500 - Operation: After breaking through 3440, step back to 3425 to chase longs, stop loss 3405. Key event risks this week 1. Wednesday: US May CPI data (core CPI expected to be 3.5%) - If data > expectations: expectations of rate hikes rise → bearish for gold - If data < expectations: expectations of rate cuts come earlier → bullish for gold 2. Thursday: Fed interest rate decision + Powell press conference - Pay attention to the dot plot's hints on the number of rate cuts in 2024 (current market pricing is about 2 times) 3. Geopolitical headlines: progress in the Iran nuclear agreement, black swan risks in the French election Position management principles 1. Total risk exposure ≤ 5% of account net value 2. Reduce positions by 50% 3 hours before key events (avoid instantaneous fluctuations in CPI/FOMC) 3. Breakout strategy stop loss setting: 15 points outside the previous high/low to prevent burrs Conclusion: The effectiveness of the current 3373 support needs to be verified by Wednesday's CPI data. It is recommended that the London market operate in the 3370-3420 range and reduce positions before the US market to wait for data guidance. If you hold long positions, 3380 is the last line of defense; if you hold short positions, consider taking profits in batches above 3400. The medium-term bullish trend of gold has not been broken, but the risk aversion premium needs to be digested in the short term. If you need a more detailed entry point analysis or position management to solve your long-term loss problem, please feel free to tell me your trading cycle and risk preference, and I will provide you with a customized strategy.
TVC:GOLD
by Ludvig_Band_King
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 17, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continues to experience significant pressure against the US dollar (USD), showing a three-day decline and trading above the key psychological level of 145.000. This weakening is largely due to growing market expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may delay raising rates until the first quarter of next year. The main reason for this delay is said to be the continuing uncertainty surrounding future US tariff policy, which could have a significant impact on global trade flows and Japan's economic growth. Moderate but steady growth in the US dollar is also contributing to the strengthening of the USD/JPY position, pushing the pair to new highs during the Asian trading session. However, market participants are cautious about aggressive bearish bets against the yen ahead of the upcoming Bank of Japan monetary policy meeting. This meeting is seen as a critical event that could provide additional signals about the central bank's long-term policy outlook. Any hints of a change in tone or new assessments of the economic situation will be carefully analyzed by traders. In addition to central bank decisions, growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may help limit deeper losses for the Japanese yen. As a traditional “safe haven,” the yen typically attracts investors during periods of global instability, which may offset some of the negative impact of interest rate differentials. In addition, the outlook for the USD/JPY pair is influenced by the growing recognition that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may lower borrowing costs in 2025. Expectations of future Fed rate cuts could hinder further strengthening of the US dollar and thus limit the upside potential of the USD/JPY pair. Overall, the market remains in anticipation of key decisions that will determine the future trajectory of one of the world's most actively traded currency pairs. Trading recommendation: SELL 144.550, SL 145.000, TP 143.600
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bearish drop?The Cable (GBPUSD) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.3592 1st Support: 1.3536 1st Resistance: 1.3629 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets