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6/16/25 - $crcl - I'm short6/16/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:CRCL I'm short - it's much easier to find shorts in this tape than the converse - NYSE:CRCL is the chitstablecoin that broke a few yrs ago and nobody serious in "crypto" (when i mention "serious" i mean bitcoiners) uses - they basically hold deposits and give you a USD-style token and earn the spread - but if you look at financials... they don't make nearly as much $ as they should on these deposits - ofc they'll tell you they're doing a lot of other silly things - "yes" stables and the stables economy r red hot (hence the stonk price reaction). also kudos to them for IPO'ing in this window. it was really a great time to do it. so hats off. - but what is an inferior stable (USDT/ tether is the only legit product on the market) worth? - multiple hundreds of times PE? - 10x book? - guys... this is basically a one-trick-pony-bank, they aren't reinventing the wheel, and most products built around USDC won't likely be launched by circle b/c the org is slow/ expensive and will be highly regulated to doing such things in a reasonable window of time - so will it go higher? idk. idc. i'm looking for shorts. - this one is a bit OTM for oct. it's a helluva expensive short, probably for good reason - but i don't think this valuation holds - and it's great offset/ hedge to my monster OTC:OBTC stack, which i expect a convert in the next 2-3m to ETF, which means 15% upside on this holding. so i need an offset here, hence i'm looking for some beta-adjacent hedges. V
NYSE:CRCLShort
by VROCKSTAR
12
3M CLS I KL - FVG I Model 2 I Target 50% CLSHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️ 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Long
by David_Perk
6
Iran-Israel Affected Btc MarketThe conflict between Israel and Iran has escalated since the initial strike on Friday. After sustaining a wide-scale strike on nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders, Iran retaliated by launching drones and missile attacks on Israel. Reuters reports that Iran has rejected calls for a ceasefire, while Israel has vowed to make Tehran pay for Monday's dawn attacks on Tel Aviv and Haifa. The world remains on edge amid looming escalation.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by MrAlex_17
4
XAUUSD Hello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold has broken above a major resistance level, and price has closed firmly above this zone, signaling strong bullish momentum and a shift in market sentiment. We expect a brief pullback in the short term, followed by a resumption of the upward move toward higher targets and new highs. As long as price remains above the identified support level, the bullish outlook remains valid. Is gold ready for its next leg up after the pullback? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HAMED_AZ
19
GOLD - Price will bounce from support area and start to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some days ago price declined to $3220 level and then started to grow, and soon reached $3380 level and even broke it. Then price started to trades inside wedge, where it at once started to decline and in a short time declined to support line of wedge. After this, Gold rose and broke $3220 level and continued to move up in wedge, where it also made two gaps before. Price rose to $3380 level and some time traded very close to this level, but later corrected to support line. Next, price made a strong impulse, breaking $3380 level and exiting from wedge as well, and continued to grow. Recently, Gold started to fall, so I think that it will fall to support area and then bounce up to $3500 If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
7
XAU/USD) Back support level Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar) – 2H Timeframe: --- XAU/USD Bearish Rejection from Resistance – Short-Term Sell Setup Key Observations: 1. Rejection from Upper Channel & Resistance Zone: Price was rejected sharply after touching the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the newly established resistance zone (~3400–3420). A strong bearish candle confirms selling pressure at the top. 2. Support Retest in Progress: The price is currently descending toward the EMA 200 and the KYY support zone (approximately 3343–3348). The previous bounce originated from this level, making it a significant retest zone. 3. EMA 200 as Confluence: The 200 EMA (currently at 3346.92) aligns with the support zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce or at least temporary pause in bearish momentum. 4. RSI Bearish Signal: RSI has dropped below 50, confirming a momentum shift toward the downside. Still above oversold territory, suggesting more downside room. --- Trade Idea: Bias: Bearish (Short-Term) Entry Zone: Around 3390–3400 (confirmed rejection area) Target Zone: 3348 – 3343 (KYY support + EMA 200) Stop Loss: Above 3425 (just above resistance zone) Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary: Gold has faced a clear rejection at a key resistance zone within an ascending channel, and is now targeting the EMA 200 and previous structural support. Short opportunities could be considered toward the 3343–3348 zone, with RSI and price action supporting the move. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
FX:XAUUSDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
6
Euro can turn around and start to fall to support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing this chart, we can see how the price earlier dropped toward the 1.1360 support level and successfully broke it. Then we saw a short recovery move, but the price once again returned to the downside and retested the support line from below. After that, the market created a strong upward impulse, broke back above the 1.1360 level, and entered a phase of consolidation inside a range. This range held for some time, with price respecting both its upper and lower boundaries. Eventually, we saw a breakout from this consolidation, followed by another strong bullish impulse and a steady climb above the 1.1530 zone, where price is currently trading. However, the price has now approached a critical structure and is showing signs of weakening momentum. In my mind, the Euro may attempt one more small move up but then turn around and start declining toward the 1.1530 support level, breaking the ascending support line as well. That's why my TP is this support level, which coincides with the support area. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by LegionQ8
7
Smart Money Just Flipped Bearish on USD/CAD. Are You Still Long?🧠 1. COT Context & Institutional Flows 🇨🇦 CAD COT Report (CME) – June 10, 2025 Non-Commercials (speculators): net short 93,143 contracts (19,651 long vs. 112,794 short), with a short reduction of -14,319 → early bearish unwinding. Commercials: net long 91,207 contracts (223,285 long vs. 132,078 short), with strong accumulation (+27,999 longs). 🔄 Net open interest change: +18,436 → renewed institutional interest on the long CAD side. 🇺🇸 USD Index COT Report (ICE) – June 10, 2025 Non-Commercials: net long 1,402 contracts (17,027 long vs. 15,625 short), with a +1,279 increase in longs → modest USD support. Commercials remain net short -35 contracts, no clear shift. 🔄 Total open interest +2,652 → mild bullish interest in USD. 📌 Implication: Strong institutional support for CAD, USD mildly supported. Net positioning favors downside pressure on USD/CAD. 💹 2. Technical Analysis & Price Action Primary trend: clearly bearish from the 1.38 zone. Current price: 1.3552, testing a macro demand zone (1.3470–1.3540). Daily RSI remains deeply oversold → possible technical bounce, but no reversal structure confirmed. Recent candles show lower highs and lower lows, with no bullish momentum. 📌 Implication: The bearish trend remains in control. A technical rebound is possible, but bias stays short as long as price trades below 1.3640. 📈 3. Retail Sentiment 77% of retail traders are long USD/CAD, with an average entry at 1.3646. Only 23% are short, positioned better at 1.3790. 📌 Implication: Retail is heavily long → contrarian bearish signal confirmed. 📊 4. Seasonality June is historically weak for USD/CAD: 5Y Avg: -0.0118 2Y Avg: -0.0081 The June seasonal curve shows a stronger downside acceleration into the second half of the month. 📌 Implication: Seasonality adds downward pressure into month-end.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
5
GBPUSD H1 compression BUY/HOLD TP1 +100 TP2 +200 pips low risk🏆 GBPUSD Market Update 📊 Technical Outlook Short-term: BULLS active; resistance forming mid‑1.3600s, consolidation below 1.3600s Mid-term: Neutral to slight bullish bias; bulls seek 1.3600–1.3700/1.3730 zone Status: Narrow trading range (tight band) ahead of key UK CPI, Fed & BoE meetings 🔥 Latest Forex Updates GBP/USD is consolidating in a narrow range around the mid‑1.3500s ahead of this week’s UK CPI and central bank meetings. The pair holds defensive below 1.3600, with dovish BoE bets capping gains while the Fed is expected to stand pat. GBP/USD sits near a 40‑month high (~1.3600), boosted by geopolitical risk tone, but lacking momentum to break much higher. GBP/USD hit ~1.3600 after rebounding from 1.3515 amid renewed Middle East tensions and a weaker US dollar. Live charts show a mild bullish tilt, awaiting central bank outcomes. 💡 Trade Recommendation Buy GBPUSD at 1.3530 (recommended entry near 1.3530) Take Profit at 1.3730 → +200 pips profit target Stop Loss: 50 pips (around 1.3480) This trade aligns with the current structure: shallow dip followed by rebound, positioning ahead of central bank catalysts. Momentum above resistance could propel GBP/USD toward 1.3730. 📌 Market Overview Metric Details Current Price ~1.3565–1.3600 24H Range 1.3515–1.3600 Central Event Risks UK CPI (Wed), US Retail Sales & Fed (Wed), BoE (Thu) Geopolitical Middle East tension supports USD weakness, aiding GBP 📈 Forecast Highlights Support Levels: ~1.3530 (100‑period SMA), ~1.3460, ~1.3425 Resistance Levels: 1.3600, 1.3630 static ceiling, followed by ~1.3700–1.3730 for bulls 🧭 Final Take GBP/USD sits in a tight range, awaiting central bank clarity. The recommended long trade at 1.3530 aims to capitalize on upside momentum toward 1.3730, supported by technical confluence and a softer USD. Manage risk with a 50‑pip stop loss.
Long
by ProjectSyndicate
18
EURO - Pirce can make movement up and then drop to $1.1420Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 After entering the wedge, Euro began to slow down, creating a tightening structure between support and resistance. Price corrected toward the support line of the wedge, where it briefly paused and bounced with weak momentum. The bounce triggered a breakout above local resistance, but buyers failed to hold the price at higher levels. Soon after, the market reversed from the wedge’s upper boundary and began forming a bearish rejection pattern. Now price trades just below the recent highs, showing fading demand and early signs of short-term reversal. I expect Euro to move lower and reach the $1.1420 support level — my current target in this scenario. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by WalterMoon
15
Bitcoin Or Gold? Real Safe Haven In Middle East tension When the world shakes, where does money go— Bitcoin or gold ? You may think crypto is the ultimate safe haven… but data tells a different story. This breakdown compares digital dreams vs. physical trust —with charts, tools, and the psychology behind every move. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: Contrary to common expectations, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience amid recent geopolitical tensions, refraining from a sharp sell-off. This price behavior signals a potential shift in market psychology—something I’ll explore further in an upcoming educational post. Based on my previous analyses, I continue to anticipate an upward breakout above the $110K resistance zone in the current structure. Now , let's dive into the educational section, 📌 Gold: The Legacy of Trust For thousands of years, gold has been the go-to safe asset. In wars, inflation, sanctions, and crashes—it remains the mental anchor of value. Tangible, historic, and out of government control. 🪙 Bitcoin: Revolutionary but Unstable Bitcoin promises freedom, decentralization, and anti-inflation. But during actual crises, trust wavers. High volatility, regulatory risk, and lack of a long history make investors hesitate when fear hits hard. 🛠️ TradingView Tools That Reveal Where Smart Money Flows One reason TradingView stands out is its wide set of tools that help you track market psychology—not just price action. When it comes to analyzing the Bitcoin-vs-Gold battle during global crises (like the Iran-Israel war), these tools are essential: Correlation Coefficient: This shows how closely BTC and gold move together. In panic moments, it helps reveal where the real trust is flowing. On-Balance Volume (OBV): Key for spotting where big money is headed. If OBV on gold rises while BTC’s falls, smart money isn’t betting on crypto just yet. Fear & Greed Index Logic (DIY): While not a native TradingView tool, you can mimic it by combining volatility and volume indicators to reflect market emotion. Overlay XAUUSD and BTCUSD: Place both on a single chart with “percentage scale” enabled. You’ll see exactly which one holds up better during chaos. Marking Geo-Political Events: Tag key events (like missile strikes or sanctions) on your charts. Track how Bitcoin and gold react immediately after. 📊 How Investors React in Crisis During events like an Iran-Israel war, data shows money often flows into gold—not BTC. When panic peaks, people run toward the “known,” not the “new.” 🧠 The Illusion of Crypto as Safe Haven We want to believe BTC is the new gold. But the human mind—under threat—defaults to ancient instincts. Fear doesn’t innovate. It runs to what it knows: shiny, physical, historical gold. 💡 When Will Bitcoin Truly Compete? When the next generation fully embraces digital assets. When institutions store BTC alongside gold. When BTC no longer crashes on scary headlines—that’s when the shift becomes real. ⚠️ Lessons from War Wars reveal that markets don’t behave rationally in fear. Even if Bitcoin makes sense on paper, emotion drives flows. Right now, that flow still favors gold. 🔍 What to Watch Next If, during a future conflict, Bitcoin drops less—or even rises while gold does—you may be witnessing a turning point. Until then, keep tracking both with your TradingView setups. 🧭 Final Takeaway Gold still owns the trust game in a crisis. Bitcoin is on its way but hasn’t crossed that psychological line. If you’re a smart trader, know how to read both—and move before the herd does. ✨ Need a little love! We put so much love and time into bringing you useful content & your support truly keeps us going. don’t be shy—drop a comment below. We’d love to hear from you! 💛 Big thanks, Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
Education
by MadWhale
3
OANDA:USDJPY Buys SetupThe market has recently rebounded from a key support zone, showing strong bullish momentum and forming higher lows—a classic sign of accumulating demand. Price action suggests a potential breakout to the upside, possibly driven by liquidity resting above recent swing highs. If history is any guide, this pattern could signal further continuation in the direction of the trend. Trade Setup (Risk Parameters): Entry: 144.372 Stop Loss: 143.599 Target Levels: Take Profit 1: 145.889 Take Profit 2: 148.508 This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, aligning with recent market structure and momentum. As always, manage risk appropriately and monitor price action closely. Let me know your thoughts in the comments. If this analysis resonates with your trading style, consider giving it a boost and follow for more high-probability setups. Stay disciplined and trade safe!
Long
by TradesbyJV
3
BITCOIN → Buyback bar. Chance of growth to 108,000BINANCE:BTCUSDT is trading in a fairly wide range of 100,600 - 110,400. The market is stagnating due to fundamental uncertainty, but the risks of a decline are quite high... After the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East, Bitcoin broke the bullish structure on the market and managed to test the local level of 102500, from where a fairly aggressive phase of buying out the fall began within one trading session. The market is defending the structure quite aggressively. The chart shows a local range forming with strong levels at 102500 and 106200. Accordingly, the price may remain in this range for a long time (in which case an intraday trading strategy can be considered). However, if Bitcoin starts to stick to one of the boundaries, then we can consider the price leaving the range, but based on the structure of the uptrend, correction, and the formation of a buyback bar, it would be logical to see an attempt to break through resistance with the aim of continuing growth. Resistance levels: 106200, 108200, 110400 Support levels: 102500, 100600 On D1, there are no prerequisites for a strong decline. The market is buying up knives and trying to stay afloat (in consolidation). In the medium term, there may be an attempt to retest 102500 - 100600 due to the liquidity pool. But locally, the market may form an attempt to grow to 108200 Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
37
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan Explained⚠️GOLD is currently at a crucial daily horizontal support level. It is consolidating within a horizontal range on the 4-hour chart, showing a positive bullish reaction and testing the range's resistance. A breakout above this resistance with a 4-hour candle close would signal strong bullish momentum, potentially leading to further gains, with the next target at 3437. Conversely, a bearish breakout below the support could initiate a downward movement.
TVC:GOLD
by linofx1
3
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Although many were anticipating a strong move upside on the open, we stuck to our guns and the algo which gave us the bias level as bearish below. Although we wanted a little bit higher, this worked well today with nearly all our bearish below target being completed again in one day apart from the remaining 3380. For this reason, we'll stick with the plan for now with resistance now being the 3406 level which if held can force us down further into the level given before a potential RIP. With FOMC around the corner, we can expect some choppy and ranging price action tomorrow so tread carefully on the markets if you're less experienced. KOG’s bias of the week: Bearish below 3465 with targets below 3425✅, 3420✅, 3410✅ and 3406✅ Bullish on break of 3465 with targets above 3477, 3485, 3492, 3495 and 3503 Red Boxes: Break above 3435 for 3443, 3448, 3465 and 3476 in extension of the move Break below 3420 for 3410✅, 3406✅, 3397✅, 3385✅ and 3380 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
4
BTC/USD 3H CHART PATTERNThe BTC/USD 3-hour chart shows a bullish reversal forming from a higher low structure along a rising trendline, indicating increasing buyer strength. Price action has broken above the Ichimoku cloud and is now testing resistance levels, suggesting bullish momentum. The chart also highlights confluence with dynamic support from the 250 and 370-period DEMA indicators, adding to the strength of the uptrend. A breakout above current resistance may lead to continuation toward the marked target zones. Overall sentiment favors a bullish move with clear upside potential if momentum sustains and no major rejection occurs from the resistance zones. Entry Point: 106,600 First Target: 110,360 Second Target: 112,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Trend_logic
11
BTC/USD.4H CHART PATTERN.> Buy at 106,800 Resistance at 105,700 But resistance should be above the current price, not below. If 105,700 is below 106,800, it would typically be support, not resistance. Corrected Interpretation: Here's how your setup likely looks: Buy Entry: 106,800 Support (not resistance): 105,700 Target 1: 110,000 Target 2: 112,000 --- Strategy Summary: Level Type 105,700 Support (Stop-loss zone) 106,800 Entry 110,000 Target 1 112,000 Target 2 --- Trade Notes: If BTC holds above 105,700, your long position is technically supported. A break below 105,700 might invalidate the bullish setup — consider a stop-loss below that. Momentum toward 110K–112K is possible if the market breaks out of short-term consolidation or reacts positively to macro news. Would you like a chart or confirmation based on technical indicators (RSI, trendlines, volume, etc.)?
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Money_Magnet5
10