Silver XAGUSD is forming a bullish IB pattern The market of silver XAGUSD is in Up trend
it formed a correction wave
near the previous levels of multi bullish price action between 36 and 36,30
this market is forming an IB pattern
buy stop order must be place at the HH of the MB at the price 37.35
SL 36
TP 39
Community ideas
BTC Dominance and Altcoins SituationBitcoin dominance has reached a key support on the daily time frame. The NEW RSI indicator still sees the market as bearish but is pulling back. We will probably not see the growth of major altcoins like Ethereum for a few days. This analysis is not a financial recommendation in any way.
CAD/CHF: Bearish Trend Resumes After Retest of Downtrend LineCAD/CHF continues to respect its prevailing downtrend, with price reacting from the descending trendline and showing signs of renewed bearish pressure. Fundamentals support further downside as CAD remains weighed by weak domestic data, while CHF holds steady as a safe-haven currency amid global tariff concerns.
Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
Trend: Strong downtrend structure, with repeated rejections from the descending trendline.
Current Level: 0.5829, consolidating after failing to break above 0.5863 resistance.
Key Support Levels:
0.5786 (near-term support and first bearish target).
0.5736 (secondary support and next major target).
Resistance Levels:
0.5863 (immediate resistance at descending trendline).
0.5910 (upper resistance if a breakout occurs).
Projection: Likely pullback toward 0.5863 (retest zone) before continuation to 0.5786 and possibly 0.5736.
Fundamental Analysis
Bias: Bearish.
Key Fundamentals:
CAD: Weak Canadian manufacturing PMI and trade risks from US tariffs limit CAD upside.
CHF: Swiss Franc remains supported by safe-haven demand amid tariff uncertainty.
Oil Prices: Stable oil offers partial CAD support but insufficient to change the broader trend.
Risks:
A sharp rise in oil prices could strengthen CAD.
Global risk-on sentiment could weaken CHF and lift CAD/CHF.
Key Events:
BoC policy updates.
SNB stance and global risk sentiment shifts.
Oil market data.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
CAD/CHF is a lagger, following CAD’s performance relative to oil and CHF’s safe-haven flows.
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
CAD/CHF remains bearish, with price respecting the downtrend and targeting 0.5786 initially. A break below this level opens the door to 0.5736. The key watchpoints are oil price fluctuations, global risk sentiment, and potential safe-haven demand for CHF.
Dollar Falls as Traders Price In Two 2025 Rate Cuts on Weak JobsDollar Falls as Traders Price In Two 2025 Rate Cuts on Weak Jobs Data
Introduction
In a significant turn of events for the global currency markets, the U.S. dollar has taken a sharp tumble as traders brace for a more dovish Federal Reserve. A weaker-than-expected U.S. employment report for July 2025 has prompted market participants to price in two interest-rate cuts by the Fed before the end of the year. This shift in monetary policy expectations comes during a time of heightened global uncertainty, much of it triggered by President Donald Trump's aggressive trade policies, which have already disrupted the $7.5 trillion-a-day foreign exchange market.
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, a key gauge of the dollar’s strength against major currencies, plunged as much as 1%—marking its worst single-day performance since April 21, 2025. The greenback’s decline was mirrored by strong gains in rival currencies, with the Japanese yen appreciating 2.2% and the euro climbing more than 1% against the dollar.
This article delves into the recent developments surrounding the U.S. dollar, the implications of weak jobs data, the Federal Reserve’s likely response, and how Trump’s trade policies are shaping the broader economic landscape.
________________________________________
Weak Jobs Data Sparks Policy Shift
The July 2025 employment report came in well below expectations. Non-farm payrolls growth fell short, and revisions for May and June showed fewer jobs were added than previously reported. These figures suggest that the U.S. labor market is cooling more rapidly than anticipated, raising concerns about the sustainability of the post-pandemic economic recovery.
According to Helen Given, a foreign exchange trader at Monex Inc., “It’s now clear that the U.S. labor market is cooling fairly sharply. There’s a good chance that Trump’s crusade against Chair Powell ratchets up further in the coming days, and there could be further losses for the dollar to come as a result.”
The disappointing employment data has led traders to adjust their expectations for U.S. monetary policy. Futures markets are now pricing in two 25-basis-point rate cuts by the end of 2025, a stark reversal from the earlier outlook that suggested the Fed would remain on hold or even consider tightening if inflation remained sticky.
________________________________________
The Federal Reserve’s Dilemma
The Federal Reserve now finds itself in a precarious position. On one hand, inflation has moderated in recent months, giving the central bank more room to maneuver. On the other hand, a weakening labor market could indicate a broader slowdown that might require immediate action to prevent a recession.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has come under increasing political pressure from President Trump, who has publicly criticized the Fed for keeping rates too high. Trump argues that rate cuts are necessary to support U.S. exporters and counteract the negative effects of his own tariffs and trade restrictions.
Historically, the Fed has maintained its independence from political influence, but in an election year, the pressure to act can become intense. If the Fed moves to cut rates, it will be seen as responding to both economic data and political dynamics—a delicate balancing act.
________________________________________
The Global Currency Market Reacts
The ripple effects of the dollar’s decline are being felt across the globe. The $7.5 trillion-a-day foreign exchange market, already under strain from geopolitical uncertainty and shifting central bank policies, has seen increased volatility in recent weeks.
The Japanese yen, often viewed as a safe-haven currency, surged 2.2% against the dollar following the release of the jobs data. Meanwhile, the euro gained over 1%, reflecting investor sentiment that the greenback’s era of dominance may be waning—at least for now.
Emerging market currencies also found some relief, as a weaker dollar generally eases pressure on countries with large dollar-denominated debts. However, the overall picture remains complex, as trade tensions and capital flow volatility continue to weigh on risk sentiment.
________________________________________
Trump’s Trade Policies: A Double-Edged Sword
President Trump’s trade strategies have been a central feature of his second term in office. From imposing tariffs on Chinese imports to renegotiating trade agreements with the European Union and Canada, Trump has sought to reshape the global trading system in favor of American manufacturers.
Yet these policies have produced mixed results. While some sectors have benefited from protectionist measures, others—particularly those reliant on global supply chains—have suffered from rising costs and retaliatory tariffs. The uncertainty generated by these policies has also dampened business investment, slowed global trade, and disrupted financial markets.
“The dollar had tumbled this year as Trump’s aggressive trade policies rocked the $7.5 trillion-a-day currency market, weighing on global growth outlook,” Bloomberg reported.
Investors are increasingly concerned that continued trade friction, combined with growing political pressure on the Fed, could lead to policy missteps that undermine the U.S. economy and erode confidence in the dollar.
________________________________________
Market Implications
The dollar’s recent decline has far-reaching implications for various asset classes:
1. Equities
U.S. equities have shown mixed reactions. While lower interest rates are typically supportive of stock prices, the underlying reason—economic weakness—has investors on edge. Sectors such as technology and consumer discretionary are expected to benefit from cheaper borrowing costs, but cyclical sectors may struggle if growth slows further.
2. Bonds
Treasury yields have fallen sharply as traders anticipate rate cuts. The 10-year yield dropped below 3.8%, its lowest level in months. The yield curve has also flattened, a potential warning sign of slowing economic momentum.
3. Commodities
A weaker dollar typically supports commodity prices, as most are priced in dollars. Gold, oil, and industrial metals all saw gains in the wake of the jobs report. However, demand-side concerns stemming from a global slowdown could limit the upside.
4. Emerging Markets
For emerging markets, a softer dollar offers both relief and risk. On the positive side, it reduces debt servicing costs and can attract capital flows. On the negative side, if the dollar’s weakness reflects a broader global slowdown, risk appetite could remain subdued.
________________________________________
Looking Ahead: What to Watch
As markets digest the latest economic data and policy signals, several key developments will be closely monitored:
1. Upcoming Fed Meetings
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet again in September. Markets will be keenly watching for any changes in tone or new forward guidance. A rate cut in September now appears increasingly likely, especially if subsequent data confirms a labor market slowdown.
2. Inflation Trends
While inflation has moderated, it remains a key concern for policymakers. If inflation rebounds unexpectedly, it could complicate the Fed’s ability to cut rates without stoking price pressures.
3. Geopolitical Risks
Trade tensions, particularly with China and the EU, remain unresolved. Any escalation could further destabilize markets and weigh on the dollar. Additionally, developments in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and Southeast Asia could add to the uncertainty.
4. U.S. Presidential Politics
With the 2026 presidential election campaign already underway, Trump’s rhetoric and policy decisions will continue to influence market sentiment. His ongoing criticism of the Fed could erode confidence in U.S. institutions, particularly if it leads to perceived politicization of monetary policy.
________________________________________
Conclusion
The sharp fall in the U.S. dollar following weak July jobs data marks a pivotal moment in 2025’s economic narrative. With traders now pricing in two Federal Reserve rate cuts by year-end, the stakes have never been higher for policymakers, investors, and political leaders.
While a softer dollar can provide some temporary relief to exporters and boost inflation expectations, it also reflects deeper concerns about the strength of the U.S. economy and the unintended consequences of aggressive trade policies. President Trump’s confrontational approach to global trade, combined with mounting pressure on the Fed, is creating a complex and potentially volatile environment for markets.
As the year progresses, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve’s response, the resilience of the U.S. labor market, and the evolving political landscape. In a world where headlines can move markets in seconds, clarity, stability, and sound policy have never been more critical.
________________________________________
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
Time to catch its breathAfter the break to lower prices in the daily S&P 500 chart, the expectation for Monday is for the market to stop and catch its breath which means are not looking for a big day down on Monday but rather a sideways so only slightly lower move without new fundamental information to stimulate the market.
$EUIRYY -Europe CPI (July/2025)ECONOMICS:EUIRYY
July/2025
source: EUROSTAT
- Eurozone consumer price inflation held steady at 2.0% year-on-year in July 2025, unchanged from June but slightly above market expectations of 1.9%, according to preliminary estimates.
This marks the second consecutive month that inflation has aligned with the European Central Bank’s official target.
A slowdown in services inflation (3.1% vs 3.3% in June) helped offset faster price increases in food, alcohol & tobacco (3.3% vs 3.1%) and non-energy industrial goods (0.8% vs 0.5%).
Energy prices continued to decline, falling by 2.5% following a 2.6% drop in June.
Meanwhile, core inflation—which excludes energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco—remained unchanged at 2.3%, its lowest level since January 2022.
Opening (IRA): SMH September 19th 260 Covered Call... for a 253.21 debit.
Comments: One of the higher IV ETF's at the top of my board. Selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Break Even/Buying Power Effect: 253.21
Max Profit: 6.79 ($679)
ROC at Max: 2.68%
50% Max: 3.39 ($339)
ROC at 50% Max: 1.34%
Litecoin H4 | Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci supportLTC/USD is falling towards the overlap support and could bounce to the take profit
Buy entry is at 101.85, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 97.43, which is a pullback support that aligns with hte 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 110.38, an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Dogs 5X Leveraged Trade-Setup (8,410% Profits Potential)Dogs continues to consolidation at bottom prices producing higher lows. With each passing day/session and candle, DOGSUSDT gets closer and closer to a strong bullish breakout. If you remember recently this pair produced for us more than 800% profits with 7X, the entire move was about 150% strong, between April and May. The move that will develop now will be many times stronger. With a leveraged position we can easily aim for 300-500% profits. So 5X lev. can easily do 1,500 to 2,500%. But this is only the start, the move that is developing now is a major advance, bull market type of situation, and this can result in more than 1,000% growth for Dogs and many other altcoins. This can mean really high profits with leverage.
Leverage increases the risk of default and makes the game that much more complex, so you should avoid it if you want peace of mind. If you don't mind the extra risk and stress, you can go for the higher profits. Timing right now is great.
Once or twice per year only we get this major positive entry, high probability entry. It doesn't happen often. Only once in a while the market forms a clear bottom, a support zone, and from this bottom a new bullish impulse is launched. Only once every several years, the time is now.
This is a strong chart setup. Dogs has been sideways now for a full six months. Six months sideways is the perfect time duration for a 1,000% bullish jump. Give or take 5X, we are looking at 5,000% potential for growth.
Patience is key. The market will bless us with endless opportunities like this. I will show you another one right away.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
S&P Correction Window is official - VOLATILITY AHEADIt's that time of year where the pre-summer push wraps and the summer lull and potential
pause gets underway.
July 31 finished on a bit of a sour note with over 67% of stocks declining today and US indexes finishing RED despite the big gaps and bullish pops on MSFT and META post earnings.f
SPX Key Levels
-watch the 21 day moving average
-watch the 50 day moving average
-more dynamic support in the 100/144/200 moving average cluster
I'll be taking bites at the 5/10/15% correction levels with options and looking for this dip
to be bought by retail and institutions.
Will August 1 US Tariff Deadline matter? After Japan and Eurozone came in and said a deal is being done, I was thinking this would be a dud. BUT, Dr. Copper says "maybe" on the global
tariff deadline with the largest single day move in history (bearish). Being the perfect time of year for a correction (the other being Feb-Apr), and the technicals looking so clean for an
orderly pullback, VIX may float higher and make things more interesting in the next 30-60 days.
Strategies matter, I'll be trading risk defined, but there are great opportunities ahead. A pullback is sure better than literally watching all-time highs every single day.
Thanks for watching!!!
I maintain my #3,277.80 and #3,252.80 TargetsI didn't engaged any re-Sell orders throughout yesterday's session and re-Sold Gold on #3,295.80 ahead of Asian session, with plan to keep orders over-night. However due NFP, Gold might be stationary / ranging until the news as I closed both of my orders on #3,291.80 / each #9.000 Eur Profit and my #3,300.80 pending Sell limit has been triggered over-night which is now running in Profits with Stop on breakeven. I do expect #3,277.80 and #3,252.80 Targets to be met within #1 - #3 sessions and if there aren't NFP numbers, I would keep all three orders / set of Selling orders maintaining my first #3,277.80 Target. Due the news, Gold might fluctuate within Neutral Rectangle until the news.
Technical analysis: My earlier Selling configuration / Technical expectations was confirmed on Hourly 4 chart under prolonged weakness and Price-action respecting the trend-line guarding the downtrend (very Bearish formation) as Hourly 1 chart is already an aggressive Descending Channel (width opened on Williams) that should reach it’s next local Low’s (currently Trading slightly below Double Bottom) and Oversold state near my take Profit of #3,252.80 benchmark. If the bands are widened Traders may witness #3,277.80 test, also if gets invalidated and #3,270.80 gives away, #3,252.80 mark extension test is inevitable. In any case I will update my Targets or levels of Profit taking if I decide to exit earlier than #3,252.80 benchmark to be in accordance with the Daily chart’s period / I already ride Selling wave since #,3,300's and my Profit will be already good to ignore.
My position: DX is soaring, Gold is under Bearish Technical developments and #3,252.80 benchmark is my final Target of current Selling leg. Only factor which can reverse this Intra-day but not postpone is NFP. I expect downside Jobs surprise which may reverse DX from local High's however hot upside surprise will make Gold test #3,252.80 Intra-day. NFP or not I do believe Gold is Bearish. Trade accordingly.
PLTR Pressured at Key Support — Can $155 Hold? 8/1PLTR Pressured at Key Support — Can $155 Hold or Is a Break to $150 Next?
🔍 GEX & Options Flow Insight (1st Image Analysis)
PLTR has been sliding after failing to hold its $160+ range and is now testing the $155–156 gamma support. The GEX profile still shows moderate call dominance, but support is thin below this level, meaning a break could bring swift downside.
* Call Walls & Resistance:
* 📍 $160.14 → 2nd Call Wall (59.02% GEX)
* 📍 $161.44 → Gamma Wall / Highest positive NET GEX
* 📍 $162.50 → 3rd Call Wall resistance
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 🛡️ $155.94 → Current gamma pivot and support
* 🚨 $153.06–$154.91 → 2nd Put Wall & HVL zone — break here risks slide to $150
* 📉 $146.00 → 3rd Put Wall & major downside target
* Volatility Insight:
* IVR 36.1, IVx Avg 73 → Elevated volatility
* Call flow 37.5% → Still skewed bullish, but waning
* GEX sentiment: 🟢🟡🟢 = Cautiously bullish gamma positioning but losing ground
✅ Option Trading Suggestion:
Bias: Bearish if $156 fails; bullish recovery possible only above $160
Strategy: Bear put spread if $156 breaks
* Entry Idea: Buy 155P / Sell 150P (Aug 2 or Aug 9 expiry)
* Invalidation: Strong reclaim above $160
* Target: $153 → $150
Why this works: PLTR is nearing a key gamma inflection. Below $156, dealers may need to hedge by selling, fueling a sharper drop. Bulls need to defend this pivot.
🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) (2nd Image Analysis)
Market Structure & SMC:
* 🟥 CHoCH confirmed after rejection at $160+
* ❌ Broke out of ascending structure to the downside
* Sitting just above prior BOS zone at $155
Trendline Dynamics:
* Broken short-term uptrend now acting as resistance
* Downward-sloping structure points toward $153–150 retest
SMC Zones:
* 🟩 Demand Zone: $155–$153 → Current defense area
* 🟥 Supply Zone (Purple Box): $160–$162.5 → Strong resistance cluster
🔄 Price Action & Key Levels
* Support:
* ✅ $155.94 → Gamma pivot / current defense
* ✅ $153.06–$154.91 → Last key support before major drop
* 🚨 $146.00 → Next downside target
* Resistance:
* 🚩 $160.14 → First upside target if bounce
* 🚩 $161.44–$162.50 → Gamma & call wall zone
🧭 Scalping / Intraday Trade Setup
🟥 Bearish Setup (Preferred):
* Entry: Breakdown under $156
* Target 1: $153.50
* Target 2: $150
* Stop: Above $158
🟩 Bullish Reversal Setup:
* Entry: Reclaim of $160 with volume
* Target 1: $161.44
* Target 2: $162.50
* Stop: Below $158
🔁 Summary Thoughts
* PLTR is at a critical gamma support level.
* A failure here brings a quick shot to $153–150.
* Bulls must defend $156 and reclaim $160 to flip structure back bullish.
* Options positioning still leans bullish but is weakening, meaning downside acceleration risk is real.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
EUR/AUD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
EUR/AUD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.777
Target Level: 1.768
Stop Loss: 1.782
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AMZN Earnings Flush — Gamma Flip to the Downside. 8/1AMZN Earnings Flush — Gamma Flip to the Downside, Eyes on $215 Support!
🔍 GEX & Options Flow Insight (1st Image Analysis)
AMZN collapsed post-earnings, breaking through major gamma support levels and flipping into a negative gamma environment. Price is now pressing against a critical $215–218 demand zone, with GEX showing heavy put concentration.
* Call Walls & Resistance:
* 📍 $230.00–$234.00 → Former gamma pivot now acting as strong resistance
* 📍 $237.50 → Prior support zone; now a sell wall
* 📍 $244.00 → Highest Positive NET GEX / Gamma Wall (too far for immediate recovery unless momentum shifts)
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 🛡️ $222.18 → 2nd Put Wall resistance-turned-support
* 🚨 $218.00 → Current price — key defense line
* 📉 $215.50 → Hard put wall support — losing this could accelerate selloff toward $210
* Volatility Insight:
* IVR 24.4, IVx Avg 50.6 → Elevated IV post-earnings
* Call flow 23.2% → Bearish options flow bias
* GEX sentiment: 🔴🟡🔴 = Negative gamma = higher volatility risk to downside
✅ Option Trading Suggestion:
Bias: Bearish unless AMZN reclaims $224+
Strategy: Bear put spread
* Entry Idea: Buy 220P / Sell 215P for Aug 2 or Aug 9 expiry
* Invalidation: Strong daily close above $224
* Target: $215 → $210
Why this works: Negative gamma positioning means market makers hedge by selling into weakness, accelerating downside moves. The inability to reclaim $224 confirms the bearish structure.
🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) (2nd Image Analysis)
Market Structure & SMC:
* 🟥 CHoCH confirmed after earnings drop
* ❌ Lost all recent BOS levels in one sharp flush
* Price trapped under former OB resistance at $224–230
Trendline Dynamics:
* Broke out of prior bullish channel to the downside
* New descending channel forming with lower highs
SMC Zones:
* 🟩 Demand Zone: $215.50–$218.00 → Immediate defense
* 🟥 Supply Zone (Purple Box): $224–$230 → Sell wall
🔄 Price Action & Key Levels
* Support:
* ✅ $218.00 → Current defense
* ✅ $215.50 → Last line of gamma support
* 🚨 Below $215.50 → Sell momentum can accelerate to $210
* Resistance:
* 🚩 $224.00 → First reclaim needed for relief rally
* 🚩 $230.00–$234.00 → Heavy resistance
🧭 Scalping / Intraday Trade Setup
🟥 Bearish Setup (Preferred):
* Entry: Failed reclaim of $224
* Target 1: $218.00
* Target 2: $215.50
* Stop: Above $224
🟩 Bullish Reversal Setup:
* Entry: Strong reclaim of $224 with volume
* Target 1: $230.00
* Target 2: $234.00
* Stop: Back under $222
🔁 Summary Thoughts
* AMZN flipped from bullish gamma to negative gamma — puts are now driving price action.
* As long as price stays under $224, rallies are sell opportunities.
* Losing $215.50 risks an accelerated drop to $210 or lower.
* Bears remain in control unless buyers step in aggressively at support.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
U.S. NATURAL GAS SUCCESSFULLY REBOUNDED FROM FIRM SUPPORT.U.S. NATURAL GAS SUCCESSFULLY REBOUNDED FROM FIRM SUPPORT.
Yesterday the natural gas storage report came out higher than expected. U.S. natural gas inventories increased by 48 billion cubic feet last week to 3,123 Bcf, increasing the surplus over the five-year average to 195 Bcf from 171 Bcf the week before, the EIA reports. The storage increase was bigger than the 24 Bcf average for the week, and above the 36 Bcf estimate. However, the price rised on 2.35% afterwards, supported by increased volume, which indicates the strength of the level. The upward movement towards the 3.3000 level is highly expected.
Additionally, seasonals suggest us that current prices may become the lowest till the end of the year. Historically, since August the natural gas prices increase in anticipation of a new heating season and higher energy demand (pic2).
BLACKBERRY BBBREAKOUT OF DESCENDING TRENDLINE COULD SEE 22$-24$
BlackBerry today is a Canadian technology company specializing in cybersecurity software and Internet of Things (IoT) services for enterprises and governments worldwide. Formerly renowned as a mobile device manufacturer, BlackBerry Limited (formerly Research In Motion, RIM) exited the smartphone business in 2016 and now focuses on secure communications, endpoint management, and embedded systems, especially for industries like automotive, healthcare, and government.
Company Profile & Business
Headquarters: Waterloo, Ontario, Canada
Core products: Cybersecurity solutions, BlackBerry Unified Endpoint Management (UEM), QNX operating systems, secure messaging (BlackBerry Messenger Enterprise, BBMe), and automotive software platforms.
Global presence: Products and services are sold worldwide across the Americas, Europe, Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific.
Recent Financials & Stock
Stock ticker: NYSE/TSX: BB
Recent price: As of July 30, 2025, BlackBerry closed at $3.74 per share, reflecting a decline from earlier in the month. Price targets for the company now range from $2.71 to $4.75, with analysts citing positive revenue growth and the company's first positive cash flow in three years after its recent quarterly results.
Business momentum: The company recently posted about 10% higher revenue compared to forecasts for the third quarter fiscal year 2025, with a shift to positive earnings and cash flow—highlighting improvements in its cybersecurity and IoT software businesses.
Notable News & Developments
End of smartphones: BlackBerry-branded mobile devices are officially discontinued. The company fully exited the hardware business by 2018 and stopped supporting BlackBerry 10 in 2022.
Nostalgia revival: In 2025, a separate company (Zinwa Technologies) is reviving classic BlackBerry devices (like the BlackBerry Classic and Passport) by retrofitting them with modern Android internals. These are not officially affiliated with BlackBerry Limited, but appeal to enthusiasts for the classic design and QWERTY keyboard, albeit with privacy caveats due to non-BlackBerry software.
Enterprise focus: BlackBerry remains a leader in secure software for businesses, including automotive OS (QNX), endpoint security, and secure messaging. Major clients include automotive OEMs, financial corporations, and government agencies.
Quick Facts Table
Aspect Details
Industry Cybersecurity, IoT software, enterprise services
Founded 1984 (as Research In Motion, Canada)
Consumer Phones Discontinued; brand revived unofficially by others
Current Stock Price $3.74 (July 30, 2025)
Latest Product Focus Automotive software, secure endpoint management
BlackBerry is no longer a phone maker, but remains a significant player in secure enterprise and automotive software, with stock prices and business outlook reflecting its transition into these fields.
Zinwa Technologies is a Chinese technology company that has gained attention in 2025 for its project to revive classic BlackBerry smartphones, specifically the BlackBerry Classic (also known as the Q20), under its own branding. Unlike BlackBerry Limited (which no longer makes hardware), Zinwa has purchased batches of old BlackBerry Q20 devices—both new-old-stock and used units from supply chains in Hong Kong—and is refurbishing them with entirely new internal components while retaining the iconic design features such as the physical QWERTY keyboard and 720x720 touchscreen.
Key Details on Zinwa Technologies’ BlackBerry Revival:
Project Name/Models: The updated phone is called the Zinwa Q25 (2025 is referenced in the model name). Zinwa is also planning to modernize other BlackBerry devices, including the KEYone (“K25”) and the Passport (“P25” or “P26”).
What’s Modernized?: The original shell, keyboard, notification LED, and display remain, but Zinwa installs a new motherboard with a MediaTek Helio G99 processor, 12GB RAM, 256GB storage (expandable), a 50MP rear camera, 8MP front camera, a new 3,000mAh battery, and global 4G LTE support. There is a USB-C port, headphone jack, microSD support, and the phone runs Android 13 (with no confirmed plans for updates to later Android versions).
How It’s Sold: Two options are offered—a fully assembled Zinwa Q25 smartphone for $400, or a $300 conversion kit for those who already own a BlackBerry Classic and want to upgrade themselves. Both are expected to ship in August 2025.
Nostalgia Meets Modern Tech: The initiative targets fans of physical keyboards and retro gadgets as well as a new wave of Gen Z users seeking “digital detox” devices. The device is positioned as a niche product for enthusiasts rather than a mass-market flagship.
No Connection to BlackBerry Limited: Zinwa Technologies has not acquired the BlackBerry brand or company; its project is independent and relies on recycling and upgrading old BlackBerry hardware.
Future Plans: Zinwa has stated it may refresh additional BlackBerry models based on demand and feedback, following the Q25 release.
In sum, Zinwa Technologies is bringing back the BlackBerry Classic as a refreshed, Android-powered device for technology enthusiasts and nostalgia seekers, reflecting a trendy intersection of retro design and modern smartphone capabilities in 2025.
#BB
META’s Monster Gap — Gamma Ceiling. 8/1META’s Monster Gap — Gamma Ceiling at $785 or Room to Run Past $800?
🔍 GEX & Options Flow Insight (1st Image Analysis)
META ripped higher on earnings momentum, gapping from the $690s into the $770s, and is now stalling just under the Gamma Wall / Highest Positive NET GEX at $784.69. Options positioning shows bullish gamma support but overhead resistance could trigger a stall or pullback before another leg up.
* Call Walls & Resistance:
* 📍 $784.69 → Highest positive NET GEX / Gamma Wall
* 📍 $800.00 → GEX10 & GEX9 ceiling = ultimate squeeze target if momentum continues
* Put Support Zones:
* 🛡️ $750.00 → Key 2nd Call Wall zone now acting as gamma support
* 📉 $700.00 / $691.30 → HVL zone + hard put support
* 🚨 Breakdown below $691 opens the door to a deep retracement
* Volatility Insight:
* IVR 5.6, IVx Avg 31.6 → Low IV = cheaper premium for directional plays
* Call flow 11.6% = Not euphoric, but bullish sentiment
* GEX sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 = Long gamma environment, supportive of dips
✅ Option Trading Suggestion:
Bias: Bullish but extended — watch for consolidation before breakout
Strategy: Debit call spread (protects from IV crush)
* Entry Idea: Buy 780C / Sell 800C for Aug 2 or Aug 9 expiry
* Invalidation: Breakdown under 750 with volume
* Target: 785 → 800 on continuation
Why this works: META is riding strong bullish gamma positioning. As long as it holds above $750, dealer hedging supports price. Break above $785 could trigger short gamma acceleration to $800. But extended after earnings, so controlled size is key.
🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) (2nd Image Analysis)
Market Structure & SMC:
* ✅ BOS + CHoCH sequence with a massive impulsive move from liquidity grab under $700
* 📈 Price is currently in the supply zone (purple box $768–$784) from historical resistance alignment
* 📊 First consolidation post-gap — watching for either breakout or gap-fill attempts
Trendline Dynamics:
* Strong bullish breakout from long consolidation
* Price is riding the upper slope of a sharp post-gap channel
SMC Zones:
* 🟩 Demand / OB Zone: $750–$724 → Ideal dip buy zone if retested
* 🟥 Supply Zone (Purple Box): $768–$784 → Current battle zone
🔄 Price Action & Key Levels
* Support:
* ✅ $750 → Former resistance, now key support
* ✅ $724 → Fib retracement confluence
* 🚨 $700 / $691.30 → HVL & hard gamma put wall
* Resistance:
* 🚩 $784.69 → Gamma Wall + supply top
* 🧨 $800 → Ultimate squeeze ceiling
🧭 Scalping / Intraday Trade Setup
🟩 Bullish Setup:
* Entry: $770–$772 dip reclaim
* Target 1: $784.69
* Target 2: $800 extension
* Stop: Close under $750
🟥 Bearish Pullback Setup:
* Entry: Rejection at $784.69
* Target 1: $760
* Target 2: $750
* Stop: Breakout above $785
🔁 Summary Thoughts
* META just printed a post-earnings breakout that could keep running into $785–$800 if gamma fuel continues.
* First consolidation after the gap is critical — if bulls defend $750, breakout setups remain strong.
* Caution chasing highs; better reward/risk comes from pullback buys into $750–$760.
* Dealers are long gamma, which supports range-bound chop with bullish bias.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
RPLUSDT Forming Strong Bullish StructureRPLUSDT is currently showing a strong bullish structure, with price action reclaiming a key support zone after a temporary retracement. The chart reveals a textbook market cycle with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a possible continuation of the uptrend. The current price level is sitting just above a key demand zone, previously tested and confirmed as strong support. This confluence area may act as a springboard for a potential move toward the 60% to 70% target gain zone, aligning with broader bullish sentiment seen across mid-cap altcoins.
Volume indicators are supportive of this move, suggesting that accumulation is underway. Increased investor interest in RPL is likely tied to its integral role in Ethereum’s liquid staking ecosystem, as Rocket Pool continues to gain adoption. With ETH staking steadily growing, projects like RPL tend to benefit from fundamental tailwinds. This kind of sector strength combined with favorable technicals gives the current setup more credibility and potential for follow-through.
The technical projection suggests that if momentum holds and buyers maintain control above the support range around $6.70–$7.00, then the next leg could push RPLUSDT beyond $12.00. That represents a 70%+ move from current levels, which aligns with the Fibonacci extension and measured move projections derived from previous breakout zones. Traders should keep a close eye on volume confirmation and potential breakout candles above minor resistance near $7.50.
This setup offers a well-defined risk-to-reward ratio for swing traders and position holders alike. With the current crypto market regaining traction, RPL is positioned as a high-potential candidate for strong upside if broader conditions remain favorable.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
FUNUSDT Forming Bullish ReversalFUNUSDT is currently forming a bullish reversal pattern, signaling a potential shift in market momentum after a prolonged consolidation. This pattern, combined with a steady increase in trading volume, suggests growing investor interest and the possibility of an upcoming trend reversal. The structure aligns well with historical price action, where FUN has previously bounced from similar technical setups, making this an attractive chart for swing traders and medium-term investors.
The volume profile shows accumulation behavior, typically seen before major breakouts. This reflects the confidence of larger market participants entering at lower levels. If FUNUSDT confirms the breakout above resistance zones, the next leg up could lead to a potential price surge of 140% to 150% from current levels. Given its relatively low market cap and recent technical developments, the upside potential remains significant if momentum sustains.
What adds to the bullish thesis is the overall pattern integrity supported by clear trendline reactions and support zone validation. FUN has also maintained a healthy base formation, which often precedes explosive upward moves. A close above key resistance with volume confirmation would likely attract more traders and potentially push FUN into price discovery territory.
Keep this altcoin on your watchlist as it presents a high-reward setup supported by solid technical foundations and increasing trader sentiment.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!