AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D16 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly Order block rejection
✅15' Order block
✅Daily order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Community ideas
USDJPY Bearish BreakdownChart Overview
The USDJPY pair on the 2-hour chart is currently forming a descending triangle pattern — a typical bearish continuation setup.
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Key Observations:
Resistance Line (Upper Trendline): Price is repeatedly rejected from lower highs.
Support Line (Lower Horizontal): Price maintains support around the 144.00–144.20 region.
Bearish Bias: The red arrow projection suggests a breakdown from the triangle, with a potential move toward 140.00 if the lower support fails.
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Potential Bearish Scenario:
1. Break below ~144.00 confirms the triangle breakdown.
2. First target around 142.00, second target near 140.00.
3. Stop-loss ideally above 145.00 if entering short.
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Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
AUDUSD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.653.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.657.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Continue to try to short gold,It's expected to touch 3355-3345 Gold has broken through 3380 twice, but recovered quickly, indicating that the bulls still have some defensive power. At present, gold has touched 3400 again; it can be seen that the bulls' potential defense is still good, but it is not enough to support the continued rebound of gold in the short term. Obviously, gold is still under pressure in the 3410-3420 area in the short term. If gold cannot break through this resistance area in the short term, gold may continue to maintain a volatile state and continue to seek strong support downward. Only after gold breaks through the 3410-3420 area, it is expected to continue to rise and touch the area near 3450 again.
When gold tested the support near 3380 several times during the day and tried to break through this area, after gold failed to break through the 3410-3420 area in the short term, I think gold will be more likely to choose a downward direction, or even continue to test the 3355-3345 area. Therefore, for short-term trading, before breaking through the 3410-3420 area, we should not chase gold too much, and we can try to short gold in this area appropriately.
USNAS100 - Mideast Conflict & Fed Uncertainty Pressure FuturesWall Street Futures Edge Lower Amid Prolonged Mideast Conflict
U.S. stock index futures slipped slightly on Tuesday as the ongoing Middle East conflict entered its fifth day, weighing on global sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy meeting.
Technical Outlook:
Price action remains in a sensitive zone, but the bias stays bearish below 21930.
🔻 A confirmed 1H close below 21790 would likely trigger a deeper move toward 21635, and potentially 21470.
🔺 On the upside, a break above 21930 would indicate renewed bullish momentum, opening the path toward 22065 and 22200.
📌 If price holds above 21790, a test of 21930 is likely.
Any positive geopolitical developments or ceasefire negotiations could spark a stronger upside move.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 21790
• Resistance: 21930 / 22065 / 22200
• Support: 21635 / 21470 / 21375
XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. Taking a look at the current 2 hour chart, I have marked the area of interest that I am watching to see if we push up or reject and move down some more. I am looking for quick, scalp trades today and over the next few days. This week should be a good week. Trade the trend and let's see how things play out. Pre NY volume starts coming in about 15 minutes from this post. Big G gets a shout out. Thank you so much for checking out my chart.
Ethereum (ETH): Stonger Than Bitcoin For SureEthereum is doing much better compared to Bitcoin, that's for sure, but it does not mean that ETH is not struggling.
We see the pressure that sellers are putting on, trying to regain the control over the 200EMA, which is a crucial area for us right now.
So while we keep our target at $3000 (first target), we also keep close attention to that moving average, where if we lose dominance, we might be heading to lows here...
Swallow Academy
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
BTC/USDT – Rising Wedge Breakdown Looms Near $110K
Idea Summary:
Bitcoin is compressing in a rising wedge on 1D/4H timeframes, approaching resistance around $ 110K–$ 112K. We’re seeing bearish divergence on RSI and MACD, declining volume, and sentiment cooling—signaling a potential breakdown.
Key Confluences:
• Rising wedge pattern (bearish reversal during uptrend) with converging trendlines and falling volume
• RSI divergence: price rising, RSI flattening/declining
• Volume behavior: weaker rallies, distribution-style setup near highs
• Sentiment neutralizing: Fear & Greed Index slipped from ~74 to ~55–60
• Macro backdrop: U.S. inflation cooling, Fed pause in rate hikes → but upcoming FOMC brings volatility risk
Conclusion:
BTC is near a wedge apex with short-term bearish structure forming. A breakdown could test $ 90K–$ 75K, whereas a break above $ 112K invalidates the setup. 📉
Trigger zones:
• Breakdown < $ 105K → triggers short
• Breakout > $ 112K → stop out & pause
💬 Thoughts? Breakdown or breakout next?
WTI US OIL 17 JUNE 2025 TRADE IDEAThe WTI Crude Oil (US Oil Spot) chart shows price action still trading within a long-term descending channel, bounded by dynamic resistance and support dating back to mid-2022. Currently, price has bounced strongly off the $67–$58 demand zone, rallying toward the descending trendline around $76–$78, which also aligns with key historical supply levels. This area poses a significant challenge for bulls and may trigger short-term rejection. However, the recent impulsive bullish leg suggests renewed demand, possibly driven by geopolitical uncertainty and speculation of potential supply disruption.
From a Smart Money Concept (SMC) perspective, WTI recently swept liquidity below the $58.69 low and formed a bullish Change of Character (ChoCH) as price broke through short-term structure levels. This confirms that smart money may have accumulated long positions in the discount zone. The rally targeting the $76.77–$78.30 range appears to be part of a mitigation move toward a supply zone, and traders may anticipate either a reversal or continuation depending on how price reacts near that level.
Macro & Geopolitical Context:
This bullish momentum in crude oil comes amid elevated tension between Iran and Israel, which historically injects volatility into energy markets. Any escalation could threaten oil production or export routes in the Middle East, particularly the Strait of Hormuz, through which a significant percentage of global oil supply flows. Such events can drive speculative and fundamental buying in oil, pushing prices higher in anticipation of reduced supply. However, oil traders must also remain aware of OPEC+ policy decisions and U.S. inventory data, which can quickly shift sentiment.
Trade Outlook:
Bias: Bullish until $76–$78 zone; watch for rejection or breakout.
Entry: Pullback entries between $70–$71 with bullish confirmation are ideal.
Stop Loss: Below $66 or invalidation at $64 (below structure support).
Take Profit: Conservative TP around $76.77; extended target at $78.30–$79.37.
Alternative View: Strong rejection at the descending trendline may result in a return to the $67 or even $58 support if risk-off sentiment declines or supply concerns ease.
In summary, oil is currently reacting to both technical and geopolitical catalysts. While the technical structure suggests a short- to medium-term bullish move toward the upper channel resistance, sustained upside will depend heavily on how the Iran–Israel conflict unfolds, and whether market participants anticipate further disruptions to global oil supply.
XAUUSD:A long trading strategy
Yesterday was affected by the easing signal gold high continued to correction, fell back to 3400 again, the trend exceeded personal expectations. Gold received another boost after the president's news, and rebounded slightly in the Asian session. In this eventful autumn, the market is subject to frequent news factors, the trend is slightly turbulent, to be ready to sweep back and forward.
Today's overall volatility is expected to have a contraction, individual expectations of the final close of the small negative line is more likely
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3380-85
TP:3404-3410
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Phemex Analysis #90: Pro Tips for Trading Notcoin (NOT)Notcoin ( PHEMEX:NOTUSDT.P ) is rapidly becoming a standout token in the Web3 gaming sector, supported by a massive and highly engaged community comprising 13 million Telegram subscribers, 35 million game players, and 6.2 million active wallets. This impressive scale positions Notcoin as one of the largest gaming platforms in the Web3 space.
Recently, Notcoin has announced ambitious plans to enhance and expand its gaming ecosystem, making its existing popular games just a starting point for a much broader suite of offerings. This strategic expansion is designed not only to retain existing players but also to leverage Telegram's extensive user base to continually attract new users.
Furthermore, the introduction of innovative games and fresh reward mechanisms aims to build a more sustainable and enduring play-to-earn model, reducing dependency on short-lived hype and laying down foundations for consistent long-term growth.
Given these exciting developments, let's explore several possible trading scenarios that could unfold in the coming days.
Possible Scenarios
1. Breakout Rise Above $0.0032 (Bullish Scenario)
If Notcoin manages to maintain a stable footing above the critical support at $0.002, it could validate a clear "cup and handle" formation—a widely recognized bullish reversal pattern. A decisive breakout above the resistance level at $0.0032, especially if accompanied by strong trading volume, would signal the potential start of a significant bullish move.
Pro Tips:
Entry Strategy: Consider entering or scaling positions only once the breakout above $0.0032 is confirmed with substantial trading volume.
Short-Term Targets: Aim to take partial profits near key resistance zones at $0.0065 and $0.0084 to lock in gains effectively.
2. Retesting the $0.0016 Support Level (Neutral Scenario)
If the $0.002 support level fails to hold firmly, Notcoin’s price could pull back toward a critical lower support at $0.0016. Monitoring trading volume at this stage is crucial—if the decline occurs on low volume, it may indicate a temporary shakeout rather than sustained bearish pressure.
Pro Tips:
Volume Analysis: Pay close attention to trading volume. Low volume during a retest of $0.0016 would suggest weakening selling pressure and potential rebound.
Cautious Accumulation: Consider cautiously accumulating positions only after seeing clear stabilization around $0.0016.
3. Bearish Drop Below $0.0016 (Bearish Scenario)
Should Notcoin breach the crucial support at $0.0016 accompanied by high selling volume, this could signal significant bearish momentum. In this scenario, traders should exercise extreme caution and avoid immediate long positions.
Pro Tips:
Market Observation: Step back and remain cautious; staying on the sidelines could prevent unnecessary exposure to further declines.
Risk Management: Wait patiently for clear bullish reversal signals before re-entering the market or accumulating positions again.
Conclusion
Notcoin (NOT) is at an exciting yet pivotal moment, backed by robust community engagement and an evolving, sustainable gaming ecosystem. Traders should carefully monitor the outlined technical scenarios, apply disciplined risk management strategies, and keep a keen eye on trading volume as a key indicator. By approaching Notcoin strategically, traders can effectively navigate volatility, optimize potential rewards, and confidently capitalize on opportunities as they unfold.
🔥 Tips:
Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
EURUSD – Healthy pullback within a strong uptrendEURUSD is undergoing a temporary correction after a strong bullish move, but the pair remains above key technical support levels such as the EMA34 and the ascending trendline. The 1.15070 zone now acts as a potential buy area—where demand may return if confirmation signals appear.
Market sentiment is leaning toward the expectation that the Fed may cut interest rates soon due to weaker-than-expected U.S. retail sales data, which has weighed on the USD and indirectly supported the euro. Meanwhile, the ECB continues to maintain a stable policy stance, further reinforcing the current bullish trend.
If the price holds above the green support zone, the next target could be around 1.15940. If this support breaks, traders should watch price behavior at the trendline before making the next trading decision.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D17 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅15' order block
✅4 hour order block identified
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Off the 61.8% FibBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 1.3594, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 1.3555, an overlap support level aligning with the 78.6% Fib retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 1.3631, a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
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BTCUSD – Range Scalping Zones IdentifiedPrice tapped into a previous short zone near 108.6 and showed rejection. We’re watching for downside follow-through toward the 104.2 to 104.5 range where a potential long opportunity may form.
This chart outlines clean range-based levels for scalping. These zones line up with prior liquidity sweeps and local structure shifts. Scalpers can look to react at these levels depending on how price behaves when we get there.
Ideal for traders on lower timeframes like the 15m, but the concept applies across intraday setups. Always wait for confirmation before entering.
Gold under pressure: imminent rally or programmed pullback? \ Gold under pressure: imminent rally or programmed pullback? The 3,400\$ crossroads\
\ Good evening, fellow traders – welcome back to this scorching summer… on the charts!\
Yes, it’s been a while since my last post. But you know how it goes: when gold is silent, it’s usually loading up a big move.
Meanwhile, I hope my previous analyses have kept you company — and more importantly, brought you value.
Spoiler: \ I haven’t missed a single one.\
Before we begin: \ drop a boost and leave a comment\ . The community is our most precious gold.
📍 \ Current Context\
XAU/USD is walking a tightrope between \ 3,400\$ and 3,440$\ .
This is a pivotal level, surrounded by international tension, a weakening dollar, and volatile economic expectations.
The question is simple: \ Are we heading for new highs? Or dipping to refuel first?\
🐂 \ Bullish Scenario: eyes on 3,440$\
A clear breakout above \ 3.440$\ could trigger the next leg up.
🎯 \ Target: 3,500\$ (new all-time high)\
• Geopolitical stress between \ Iran and Israel\ remains unresolved
• The \ US dollar\ is sluggish, inflation is creeping back in
• Markets are betting on a \ Fed rate cut\
• Gold? It smells fear better than anyone
🐻 \ Bearish Scenario: 3,400\$ must hold\
If buyers can’t defend the \ 3.400$\ level, we could see a step-by-step correction toward:
📉 \ Bearish Targets:\
• 3,295\$
• 3,245\$
• 3,120\$
• 3,070\$
As long as price stays below \ 3,440$\ , every bounce remains \ a selling opportunity, not a moonshot fantasy\ .
🌍 \ Geopolitical Snapshot (16/06/2025)\
• Iran and Israel keep exchanging “gifts” — drones, missiles, and tension
• The dollar is losing safe-haven status, giving gold the spotlight
• Oil is back above \ 73$\ , triggering renewed inflation concerns
• The Fed is increasingly likely to \ cut rates\ , weakening the dollar and reinforcing gold’s strength
📊 \ Operational Summary\
| \ Direction\ | \ Trigger Level\ | \ Target\ | \ Strategy\ |
| --------------------- | ---------------------- | ----------------- | ------------------------ |
| \ LONG (Buy)\ | Break above 3,440\$ | 3,500\$ | New ATH |
| \ SHORT (Sell)\ | Below 3,400\$ | 3,295\$ → 3,070\$ | Technical pullback setup |
🎯 \ Conclusion: the plan exists – just not the one you’re expecting\
Gold is standing at a major crossroads. Either it breaks out… or catches its breath.
But remember: \ we’re traders, not prophets. We don’t predict — we react.\
I’m watching closely, ready to strike… with the right foot forward. Are you?
\ Share your thoughts in the comments.\
\ Drop a boost and support those who help you see beyond the candles every single day.\
\ PipGuard\
Bullish bounce?USD Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 97.81
1st Support: 97.19
1st Resistance: 98.69
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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