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Technical Analysis: GBP/CHF (British Pound / Swiss Franc)Timeframe: Hourly (H1) – *Data as of Aug 01, 2025, 14:33 UTC+4* Source: OANDA via TradingView 1. Key Price Levels Current Price (C): 1.07357 (+0.09% from previous close). High/Low (H/L): 1.07386 / 1.07308 (narrow range, indicating consolidation). Resistance Levels: R1: 1.07514 (near-term resistance). R2: 1.08208 (stronger resistance). Pivot Point (P): 1.07723 (intraday benchmark). 2. Price Action & Trends Short-Term Trend: Slightly bullish (+0.09% gain), but trading near the day’s low (1.07308). Volatility: Low (tight range between 1.07308–1.07386). Support Zone: 1.07200–1.07335 (critical for bearish reversals). 3. Technical Indicators (Implied) Pivot Points (PVC): Price is below the pivot (1.07723), suggesting bearish pressure unless it breaks above. Resistance/Support: Bulls need to push above R1 (1.07514) to target R2 (1.08208). Bears aim for S1 (1.07335) or lower (1.07200). 4. Trading Signals Bullish Scenario: Break above 1.07514 (R1) could signal upward momentum toward 1.07723 (Pivot). Bearish Scenario: Drop below 1.07308 (today’s low) may extend losses to 1.07200. Neutral Zone: Price oscillating between 1.07308–1.07386 suggests indecision. 5. Risk Management Stop-Loss (S/L): Below 1.07200 for longs; above 1.07514 for shorts. Take-Profit (T/P): Longs: 1.07723 (Pivot) or 1.08000 (psychological level). Shorts: 1.07200 or 1.07000. 6. Conclusion Current Bias: Neutral-to-slightly bullish, but lacks strong momentum. Watch For: Breakout from the 1.07308–1.07514 range for directional clarity. Caution: Low volatility may lead to false breakouts; confirm with volume/RSI if available. Recommendation: Wait for a confirmed breakout with volume before entering trades.
Long
by Tdawly_Official
Gold deeper consolidation supported at 3266The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 3266 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 3266 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 3335 – initial resistance 3351 – psychological and structural level 3366 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 3250 – minor support 3230 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3266. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradeNation
S&P500’s Bullish Island Turns Risky: Elliott Wave Says “Top”The S&P500 Index( SP:SPX ) started to rise and even created a new All-Time High(ATH=$6,428) with the help of the Bullish Long Island Pattern , as I published in my previous idea on May 14, 2025 . The S&P500 Index is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , upper line of the ascending channel , the Important Resistance line , and the Yearly Resistance(1) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , the S&P500 Index appears to be completing microwave 5 of microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect the S&P500 Index to correct at least -4% and fall to the lower line of the ascending channel . First Target: $6,233 Second Target: $6,033 Note: Stop Loss(SL) $6,513 Do you think S&P500 Index can create a new ATH above $6,500 !? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), Daily time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by pejman_zwin
12
XAUUSD Live Trade with 11,641 USD ProfitsI managed to ride the momentum last night on XAUUSD and made over 11,641 usd profit on a live trading account. Gold usually create a range. It will create a top and a bottom then it will spend most of its time inside that range. That is pretty much how XAUUSD moves. If you can identify the top and the bottom then you can short it from the top and do a long trade on the bottom. The price will just travel from bottom to top and top to bottom. You can scalp your way to profits on this move if you can time it properly. Once in a while, a break from the top or the bottom happens. This is where you switch from trading the range to trading breakouts. When you trade breakouts, you must trade it with the knowledge that less than 15 percent of breakouts are successful. Failed breakouts are very common. You need to have some form of stoploss below your breakout levels. You will know that the breakout fails once your stoploss is hit. If the breakout is successful then ride it. Do not put some TP (target price or take profit price) rather just trail your profits. Move your stops a few pips behind the price. Just enough distance to let the price breathe. If the price reverses then it will hit your stops. If the breakout is strong then you will ride it for a while until it reverses. It will form another top and bottom again and move inside that range. Switch your approach again in trading long trades near the bottom and short trades near the top. Just remember to always have some stoploss on every trade and never try to predict what the market will do or how the price will move. Let the market do its thing and just react to its movements. Goodluck on your trades.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by tradersdenph
VIX: From “Calm Tension” to a ReboundWhy does a small uptick matter today… if we’ve already seen 60+ readings four times in the past 17 years? The first week of August 2025 brought back a familiar market force: volatility. The VIX, which tracks expected fluctuations in the S&P 500, jumped 21% in just a few days, rising from 17.4 to 20.37, with an intraday high of 21.9 on August 1. At first glance, the move may seem minor. But it broke through key long-term moving averages (SMA 50 and 200) and exited its recent comfort zone (14–19 pts). That alone is enough to make portfolio managers and traders pay attention again. 🔙 Historical context: when the VIX truly spiked 📅 Date 🔺 VIX intraday 🧨 Trigger Oct 1, 2008 96.40 Subprime mortgage crisis, Lehman collapse, AIG bailout Mar 2, 2020 85.47 COVID-19 global spread, border shutdowns Aug 5, 2024 65.73 Surprise Fed rate hike + overheated jobs data Apr 7, 2025 60.13 Panic over new U.S. tariffs on global partners Compared to those moments, today's VIX levels look “mild.” But the technical and macroeconomic signals suggest that volatility may be establishing a new baseline. 1. 📊 Breakdown: First week of August 2025 Weekly increase: from 17.4 → 20.37 (+21%). Technical breakout: monthly close above both the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA 19.25 and 19.45). MACD on the monthly chart has flipped positive for the first time since March 2023. Key drivers: 🏛️ The Fed left interest rates unchanged on July 30, but two dissenting votes favored a rate cut. 👷‍♂️ Softening jobs data: July NFP came in at only +73,000 jobs (vs. +110,000 expected). 🧾 New U.S. tariffs, announced on August 1, reignited inflation concerns. 2. ⚖️ Comparing August 2025 to the August 2024 storm Factor August 2024 August 2025 (Week 1) 🔺 VIX peak 65.73 21.9 🏛️ Fed stance Surprise 25 bp rate hike Rates unchanged, internal division 👷 Labor market Hot, wage pressures Cooling down 📉 S&P 500 reaction −12% in 3 weeks Approx. −3% decline underway 💧 Market liquidity Very low (pre-market) Normal Conclusion: 2024 was a systemic shock. 2025 is more of a volatility warning sign—but one that matters for risk management. 3. 📍 Technical signals to monitor The monthly MACD just turned positive, which historically precedes sustained volatility spikes. Key short-term range: 18–22 pts. A sustained close above 22 could trigger heavy selling in high-beta stocks. Options expiration (OPEX, Aug 16) may amplify moves via gamma flows. 4. 🔮 What could move the VIX next? 📅 Date 📌 Event ⚠️ Volatility Risk Aug 14 Core CPI (July) Reading above 0.3% m/m could reignite hawkish Fed bets Aug 22–23 Jackson Hole Symposium Powell’s speech could reset the policy outlook End of Aug Q2 GDP revision Confirm whether slowdown = soft landing or stagflation 📌 Note: The VIX cannot be traded directly. Exposure is typically obtained through futures, options, or ETNs—each with specific risks like contango, low liquidity, and roll decay. 📌 Final thoughts The VIX doesn’t need to hit 60 to send a message. The fact that it’s breaking above long-term averages, reacting sharply to macro data, and threatening key levels is enough to suggest that the era of ultra-low volatility may be ending. History shows us that major VIX spikes come fast and unannounced. If you remember 2008, 2020, or even April 2025—you know that preparation beats prediction.
TVC:VIX
by SHGTrading
XAUUSD TRADE UPDATE MISSED TRADE Hey everyone here’s a trade recap of the week at first we were interested to take buys at 3254 zone as first entry and scale in at 3287 zone but price pulled down slightly missed the first entry and I didn’t execute & the second entry didn’t execute that too and market skyrocket if price activated the first entry we would’ve caught a huge trade today,the first one didn’t activated so I didn’t execute the second entry which is the 3287 zone that buyers came in so we move on and I will keep on sharing potential good setups and have a beautiful weekend guys….
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by THATGUYMAZINO
GBP/JPY Clears July LowGBP/JPY clears the July low (195.37) as it tumbles to a fresh weekly low (195.34), and a close below the 195.70 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 196.60 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region may push the exchange rate toward the June low (192.73). Failure to hold above the 192.40 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 193.50 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) zone may lead to a test of the May low (190.33), but the selloff in GBP/JPY may turn out to be temporary if it defends the rebound from the June low (192.73). GBP/JPY may attempt to retrace the decline from the July high (199.98) should it hold/close above the 195.70 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 196.60 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region, with a close above the 199.80 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to 200.50 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region opening up 201.20 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement). --- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
#QQQ Weekly Chart – Technical Breakdown As of August 1, 2025QQQ Weekly Chart – Technical Breakdown 🧠 Key Observations Bearish Weekly Rejection A red candle at the recent high ($574.63) suggests buyers are taking profits. Short-term reversal likely in play. First Reaction Zone: 0.236 Fib at $533.87 is the first potential bounce zone. Aligned with: Fair Value Gap (FVG) Upper range of the Weekly Order Block (OB) Deeper Demand Zone: If $533 fails, the Weekly Order Block becomes critical. That zone stretches down toward $520–$508 (Fib 0.382). Strong historical reaction area — may attract long setups if macro aligns. RSI Divergence Risk: RSI shows some signs of flattening. Still above 59, so momentum is intact — but weakening. 📉 Pullback Path (Base Scenario): Potential move to $533 → $520, consolidating inside the order block From there, bullish continuation back toward $575+ Invalidated below $500, where structure breaks 📈 Mid-Term Bullish Bias Intact Strong uptrend, higher lows still in place Any dip into the OB + FVG zone = buy-the-dip opportunity.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by TexasSadr
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BULLISH Outlook – August 1, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team. With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum. 🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update. 🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hello. This is SeoVereign. My fundamental view on Bitcoin, as mentioned in the previous idea, is that I am anticipating an overall downward trend. In the mid- to long-term, I believe the downward pressure will gradually increase, and this is partially confirmed by various indicators and the overall market sentiment. However, before we fully enter this downward phase, I have been judging that one more upward wave is likely to remain. I have focused my strategy on capturing this upward segment, and I have recently reached a point where I can specifically predict the development of that particular wave. If this upward move unfolds successfully, I plan to set my take-profit range conservatively. The reason is simple: I still believe there is a high possibility that the market will shift back into a downtrend afterward. The core of this strategy is to minimize risk while realizing profits as efficiently as possible toward the tail end of the wave. The relevant pattern and structure have been marked in detail on the chart, so please refer to it for a clearer understanding. In summary, I view this rise as a limited rebound that could represent the last opportunity before a downturn, and I believe this idea marks the beginning of that move. I will continue to monitor the movement and update this idea with additional evidence. Thank you.
Long
by SeoVereign
Gold Slips After Powell Speech Below 3320 Bearish Pressure BuildGOLD Overview Market Context: Gold declined from the 3333 level, as anticipated in yesterday’s analysis, ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s speech. Powell reiterated that it is still too early for rate cuts, citing persistently high inflation, which supported the U.S. dollar and pressured gold. Technical Outlook: As long as gold trades below the 3320–3310 zone, the bearish momentum is expected to continue, with the next target at 3285. A confirmed break and stability below 3285 could open the way toward 3255. To regain bullish traction, the price must stabilize above 3320. Support Levels: 3285 • 3255 Resistance Levels: 3333 • 3349
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi