NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
NZD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.607
Target Level: 0.603
Stop Loss: 0.610
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CAD)) Bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD on the 3-hour timeframe, using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and classic technical analysis. Here's a breakdown
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Key Technical Insights:
Overall Trend:
The pair is in a clear downtrend, confirmed by:
Lower highs and lower lows
Price trading below the 200 EMA (currently at 1.37402)
Respect for the downtrend channel
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Resistance Zones:
1. Upper Resistance Zone (~1.38400 โ 1.38750):
Strong historical sell area (price sharply reversed here in late May)
2. Mid Resistance Zone (~1.36450 โ 1.36750):
Price reacted twice here and dropped.
Aligns with the downtrend line and was recently tested again (red arrow).
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Bearish Projections:
After the latest pullback into the resistance zone, price is expected to:
Reject the zone
Continue following the descending structure
Target marked around 1.35034, which coincides with:
Previous low
Lower boundary of the descending channel
Mr SMC Trading point
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Chart Tools & Features Used:
Trendlines: Clearly marking the downtrend channel
200 EMA: Used as dynamic resistance
Fib-like measured move: Mirrored previous impulse moves (-1.61%) suggesting a symmetric drop
Arrows: Indicating reaction points from resistance
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Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish
Invalidation: Break and hold above 1.36500 would weaken the bearish outlook.
Next Move: Potential sell setups on lower timeframe retests or bearish confirmations within the resistance zone.
Please support boost ๐ this analysis)
GBP_CAD RISKY LONG|
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GBP_CAD is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 1.8380
After trading in a local downtrend for some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 1.8426
LONG๐
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDZAR-CAUTIOUS SELL strategy 6 hourly chart GANNthe pair is drifting lower in silent mode :) it feels we may have an attempt to break 17.7500 area and if successful on close, the possible should-head-shoulder top may be something to think about. Medium term i see still see higher, however, short-term we are not out of the woods as yet, and the USDX is under pressure as well, so like we will embark lower.
Strategy SELL @ 17.8150-17.8500 and take profit near 17.5750 for now.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Technical Outlook-17 June 2025Goldโs 4-hour chart shows a clear uptrend: price is making higher highs and higher lows, trading above key moving averages and an upward trendline
Analyst ManiMarkets notes โa remarkably robust and sustained uptrendโฆ printing higher highs and higher lowsโ since late 2024. The nearest major hurdle is around the $3,500 all-time high.
The current structure remains bullish: we have not seen a sustained break of the uptrend, so the overall bias is bullish. In Smart-Money terms, recent price action shows no bearish break of structure on 4H (no BOS), and price is simply consolidating near highs โ a bullish sign.
Key zones to watch:
Demand/Order Block (~$3,374โ3,380): Around $3,375 is a swing-low and past demand area. It lines up with the 4H EMA50 and 1H EMA200, a classical support confluence.
A strong bullish โorder blockโ (heavy buying zone) sits here โ a typical smart-money support area.
Pivot Point (~$3,389): Using the classic pivot formula
On the recent 4H range gives Pivot โ 3,389. This acts as a short-term balance point.
Resistance (โ$3,400โ3,405): Gold has multiple prior highs around $3,400โ3,405 (e.g. the overnight high ~$3,405 and the last swing high ~$3,405) which have been repeatedly tested. Traders are watching a break above ~$3,405 for follow-through. (A recent idea noted gold โbounced off supportโ near $3,390 and is โlooking for a clean sweep of the highs at 3405โ.)
Major Resistance ($3,500): The all-time peak around $3,500 is a big psychological barrier.
We expect stiff supply if price approaches 3,500.
Using these levels, the pivot-based support and resistance on the 4H chart are:
Pivot Point: ~$3,389
R1: ~$3,406 (Pivot + 1รrange)
R2: ~$3,421 (Pivot + 2รrange)
R3: ~$3,437 (Pivot + 3รrange)
S1: ~$3,374 (Pivot โ 1รrange)
S2: ~$3,357 (Pivot โ 2รrange)
S3: ~$3,342 (Pivot โ 3รrange)
(These are rough levels using the standard formula on the last 4H high/low.)
Beyond numbers, price-action is key: we look for bullish patterns at support (e.g. bull-engulfing or pin-bar at ~$3,375โ3,380) and cautious action near resistance. A brief โliquidity grabโ happened at the $3,375 area recently (price wiggled below and then shot back up), which in Smart-Money jargon sweeps stops.
That suggests larger players may have been absorbing buying interest. In short, the tape looks healthy for bulls unless $3,375 breaks decisively. A break of the $3,400โ3,405 highs would be a bullish BOS (break of structure), targeting the next supply zone.
Trade Setups (1H, Aligned with Bullish Bias)
Below are three high-probability long setups on the 1-hour chart (in line with the 4H uptrend).
Each is sized for a ~$10 stop from the entry zone.
Buy near $3,374โ3,380 (Demand Zone):
Entry: $3,374โ3,380 area (around Pivot S1 and the recent swing low).
Direction: Buy.
Stop: ~$3,364 (just below this zone, ~$10 lower).
Targets: ~$3,402 (near Pivot R1/previous high), and then ~$3,420 (around next resistance).
Reason: This zone is a confluence of support โ it was a recent 4H low and aligns with EMAs (1H EMA200/4H EMA50)
It acts like a โbull order blockโ where buyers stepped in
A strong bounce from here keeps the bullish structure intact.
Trigger: Look for a bullish reversal candle on 1H (e.g. an engulfing or pin-bar) forming near $3,375. This confirms rejection of lower prices and signals a buy setup.
Chart: Example 1H gold chart. Blue shaded area marks the ~$3,374โ3,380 buy zone (Pivot S1/EMA support). A bullish reversal candle here would trigger a long entry, targeting $3,402 then $3,420.
Buy break-&-retest at ~$3,402โ3,408:
Entry: After a close above ~$3,405, look to buy on a pullback into $3,402โ3,408 (just above the old high).
Direction: Buy.
Stop: ~$3,392 (about $10 below the entry zone).
Targets: ~$3,430 (next swing high) and ~$3,450 (round level/upper channel).
Reason: A decisive move above ~$3,405 would mark a BOS (break of the prior high), shifting structure higher. That resistance then becomes support on a retest. This is a classic โbreakout retestโ entry. (As noted, highs around 3,405 have been tested repeatedly, so breaking them signals strength.)
Trigger: Wait for a 1H candlestick to close firmly above 3,405, then buy on the next pullback into the $3,402โ3,408 range with a bullish candle or dip-buy signal.
Buy on pullback to ~$3,385โ3,390 (minor higher low):
Entry: $3,385โ3,390 if price dips but holds above the 4H pivot (~3,389).
Direction: Buy.
Stop: ~$3,375 (below the entry zone, about $10 down).
Targets: ~$3,420 and ~$3,450 (same as above levels).
Reason: If the market skips Setup 1 and 2, any 1H pullback that still holds above the pivot (creating a higher-low) is another opportunity. Buying this higher-low keeps us aligned with the 4H uptrend. Essentially, we allow price to re-test the pivot area as new demand.
Trigger: A bullish reversal pattern on 1H in the $3,385โ3,390 area (for example, a hammer or bullish engulfing) would mark a higher-low and signal a long entry.
Each setup has a tight stop (~$10) just beyond the support zone, and logical profit targets at nearby resistance levels. All assume the 4H trend stays intact. If support fails (e.g. a clean break under $3,374), be ready to reassess.
Takeaway: Goldโs 4H trend is bullish, so focus on buying dips into identified support zones (not shorting). Use tight stops beyond those zones and aim for the next resistance. In practice, that means looking to go long around ~$3,375โ3,380 and ~$3,405 (on a clean breakout), riding any bullish continuation toward $3,430โ$3,450, while managing risk at each step.
AUD/JPY Bulls Eye 95+ After Bullish ReversalAUD/JPY bounced sharply on Thursday, snapping a 3-day losing streak with a solid bullish-range session. The rally kicked off from a bullish pinbar above 92, where the higher low reinforces support and the broader bullish case.
The 1-hour chart shows a clean breakout from an inverted head and shoulders pattern, pointing to a target around 95.50. With resistance at the April high (95.30), March high (95.75), and the 96 handle, thereโs still room for bulls to run.
Dips toward 94 may offer opportunities to join the trend โ but a break back below the neckline would shift the tone back to risk-off.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,600Gold moving perfectly, according to our bullish analysis which I posted for you all last week. Gold been bullish for a technical perspective for a while, now we're seeing the elite push out the fundamental factor of the Israel attack on Iran, to help Gold keep moving up.
Gold is still within a 'Bullish Accumulation' phase, hence why it's not moving up very strong. Bare in mind, we are in the FINAL WAVE 5 bullish move on a HTF, so we can experience choppy price action.
ORDIUSDT 1D#ORDI โ 2x Rally on the Horizon? ๐
#ORDI is trading inside a Descending Broadening Wedge on the daily chart โ a bullish reversal pattern.
A breakout above the wedge resistance and the daily MA50 could trigger a strong upward move.
If confirmed, the upside targets are:
๐ฏ $11.237
๐ฏ $12.975
๐ฏ $14.713
๐ฏ $17.188
โ ๏ธ Always use a tight stop-loss to manage risk and protect your capital.
Hanzo / Nas100 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )๐ฅ Nas100 โ 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
โก๏ธ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout โ no emotion, no gamble.
๐Bullish After Break : 21810
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
๐Bearish After Break : 21640
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
โ๏ธ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
โ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected โ mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isnโt noise โ this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
๐ฉธ Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent โ AI pattern scan active.
โ If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
โ If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
๐ฆธโโ๏ธ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
GBPCAD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
GBPCAD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.8449 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.8496
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Nifty 50 at a Turning Point? Key Levels & Market Outlook AheadThe Nifty 50 ended the week at 24,718.60 with a rejection of (-1.14%)
If Nifty sustains below 24,641, selling pressure may increase. However, a move above 24,798 could restore bullish momentum.
Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
๐น Price Action Pivot Zone:
The crucial range to watch for potential trend reversals or continuation is 24,641 -24,798.
๐น Support & Resistance Levels:
Support:
S1: 24,407
S2: 24,094
S3: 23,570
Resistance:
R1: 25,035
R2: 25,352
R3: 25,888
Market Outlook
โ
Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 24,791 could attract buying momentum, driving Nifty towards R1 (25,035) and beyond.
โ Bearish Scenario: A drop below 24,641 may trigger selling pressure, pushing Nifty towards S1 (24,407) or lower.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Bank Nifty Weekly Insights: Key Levels & TrendsBank Nifty ended the week at 55,527.35 with a loss of -1.86%
Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
๐น Price Action Pivot Zone:
The critical range to monitor for potential trend reversals or continuation is 55,410 to 55,645
๐น Support & Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
S1: 55,058
S2: 54,588
S3: 54,119
Resistance Levels:
R1: 56,000
R2: 56,474
R3: 56,947
Market Outlook
โ
Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above 55,645 could trigger buying momentum, potentially driving Bank Nifty towards R1 (56,000) and beyond.
โ Bearish Scenario: If the index falls below 55,410, selling pressure may increase, pulling it towards S1 (55,058) and lower levels.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Monday trades of the day๐ฅ These are the scalps Iโve got my eye on today. ๐ฅ
Mostly looking at continuation longs โ unless structure tells a different story.
๐ก Key Plan:
For each long setup, Iโll wait for an internal market structure (MS) flip before pulling the trigger. No confirmation, no entry. Precision is the priority.
๐
Class Schedule:
Monddaday | After 6 PM
Gold is rising in the shock!
From the analysis of the 1-hour chart, pay attention to the long-short watershed of 3360-3365. If it stabilizes at this position, it is expected to further bottom out and rebound. The upper short-term resistance is around 3410-3420, and the support is 3377-3380. Rely on this range to see the wide range of long and short shocks during the day. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, and pay attention to it in time.
Buy gold when it falls back to the 3375-3383 range, and continue to buy when it falls back to the 3360-3364 line. The target is 3415-3420, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Potential Scenarios (Neutral Outlook):1. Overall Trend (Short-Term):
From early June onward, the trend has shown a clear upward movement, especially after June 11, suggesting bullish momentum.
However, in the most recent candles (last 24โ36 hours), there is a consolidation/sideways movement, potentially indicating a pause or reversal.
2. Key Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance Zone: Around 3,460โ3,470 (the recent high before price pulled back).
Support Zone: Near 3,380โ3,390, previously tested before the last push upward.
3. Price Structure & Patterns:
There was a strong rally from June 11โ13, followed by a pullback and consolidation.
This could be forming a bullish flag or pennant, which often precedes a continuation upward if confirmed by volume or breakout above resistance.
4. Recent Candlestick Behavior:
Current candles are small-bodied with wicks on both sides โ this suggests indecision or low momentum, often found before a breakout or reversal.
๐งญ Potential Scenarios (Neutral Outlook):
Bullish Continuation: A breakout above the recent high (~3,460) could resume the uptrend toward 3,500+.
Bearish Reversal: A drop below the 3,380 support area could trigger a correction toward 3,340 or lower.
๐ Note: Watch for upcoming economic events marked on the chart โ especially those with the U.S. flag, as USD news often significantly affects XAU/USD.
EURUSD Has breakout the ascending channel bullish strong now EURUSD Breakout Alert!
EURUSD has broken out of the descending channel with strong bullish momentum from the key support level at 1.15100.
๐ Technical Outlook (4H Time Frame):
๐น Key Support: 1.15100 (confirmed bounce)
๐น 1st Resistance Target: 1.16300
๐น Bullish Order Block: 1.12900 โ strong demand zone below
This breakout signals potential continuation to the upside. Stay tuned as price action develops! ๐ฅ
๐ Like, Follow, Comment & Join us for more real-time updates!
Trade smart, stay informed ๐
โ Posted by Livia
Bitcoin - Plan for summer 2025 (no new ATH, big range!)Bitcoin's price action is statistically very boring during summer seasons! Usually high volatility kicks in in September. I think we cannot really expect a new all-time high in the next few weeks. Instead, we should see a big range. Why? Let's take a look at technical analysis.
On the chart we can clearly see a blue trendline, and price went below this trendline at the end of May. This indicates that the uptrend is over and a consolidation/distribution phase is in progress. This phase is usually represented as a bull flag, triangle, rectangle, or wedge. When we look at the current price action, it looks like a bullish flag consolidation pattern. In this case we will probably see multiple liquidity sweeps below the previous swing lows to kick out early longs.
There are 2 types of traders. The first one they love to trade ranges, and the second they love to trade breakouts and higher volatility environments. Currently I think Bitcoin is creating a range, so do not expect any crazy movements until this range is valid.
Bullish flags are usually bullish patterns, but often they break down and act like bearish patterns. So what would happen if this bullish flag breaks down? That would send the price of Bitcoin to the 0.618 FIB, which is at 88,882 USDT. What is this bullish flag breaks out? That would send the price of Bitcoin to 116,000 to 125,000, but to establish this price we first need to see low of the bull flag, which is not confirmed yet. I will definitely inform you in one of my next analyses, so write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response.
At the end of each post, I share my professional trading tips: "If you realize youโve made a poor trading decision, exit before the stop loss forces you out."
Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Could BOJ's "HOLD" on Rates Turn AUDJPY "On Its Head"?Here I have a Multi-Timeframe analysis on OANDA:AUDJPY which is giving multiple signs of Higher Prices potentially to come!!
First on the Daily we can see that Price formed a Hammer Candle after testing the March 11th Support Zone and as the next Daily candle forms (Today), we are already seeing a Bullish Confirmation candle begin!
*Bullish Engulfing would be a textbook Confirmation Candle!
Now zooming into the 4Hr / 1 Hr Charts, this Hammer is formed by what looks to be a very Strong Reversal Pattern, the Inverted Head and Shoulders!
Now we are still waiting for the Confirmation of the Pattern where Price needs to rise to the "Neckline" or Resistance Level.
Once Confirmed, we will look for a Breakout of the Pattern and if Validated, could deliver great Long Opportunities as a Breakout and Retest of the Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern!
If the Pattern is Successful, we could expect the Price Target to be at the next level of Resistance being the 95.3 - 95.6 Area!
Fundamentally, the BOJ begins the week with Policy Rate decision Monday evening where they forecast a HOLD on Interest Rates, staying at .5%. This could have drastic implications on the JPY, potentially weakening it.