#004 DAX GERMANY 40: LONG Opportunity
GERMANY 40 – Possible Daily Reversal Starting: LONG on Strategic Support
Hello, I am Trader Andrea Russo, Founder of the SwipeUP Élite FX Method, and today I want to point out this investment on Germany 40 (DAX), in a long configuration from the 23,345 area.
🔍 Technical Context
In recent days, the DAX has undergone a strong correction that has brought the price from 24,800 to test the lows in the 23,200 area. This area corresponds to a long-term daily support level, already used in the past for institutional accumulations.
The price generated a strong bearish spike right at the opening of the cash session, but without closing below the previous lows. This behavior is often indicative of a pre-reversal bearish manipulation.
Confirming this scenario, a double bottom pattern has formed with positive divergence on the 8H and daily cyclical oscillators. In addition, volumes are growing right on the support: a typical signal of an invisible accumulation phase by institutional operators.
✅ Trade Strengths
Daily static support confirmed at 23,200–23,300, already defended several times in the past.
Manipulative spike evident in the first hour of cash opening, followed by rejection of the lows.
Bullish divergence on the cyclical indicators (WT_CROSS) in H8.
Favorable risk/reward ratio (~3.6:1), with well-defined technical stop loss.
Volatility under control: the VIX is stable and the US session opened without a selloff.
Neutral/positive macro environment: weak euro, expectations of monetary easing, low pressure on bonds.
Derivatives sentiment favorable: open interest rising in the 23,300–23,400 area on DAX futures.
🎯 Operating Levels
ENTRY: 23,345
STOP LOSS: 23,170
TAKE PROFIT: 24,007
📌 This positioning allows you to operate with limited risk and a realistic objective, perfectly compatible with standard technical movements on the German index in 2–3 days.
⏱️ Expected Timings
First directional candle expected within 8–16 hours (1–2 H8 candles).
Estimated duration of the trade: between 48 and 72 hours to reach the target.
🧠 Operating Conclusion
The long investment on DAX from 23,345 represents one of the clearest technical configurations seen in the last week on European indices.
The simultaneous presence of cyclical signals, manipulation, structure and static support offers a high probability of success.
The final target at 24,007 is technically and statistically achievable with rigorous management.
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Community ideas
Bullish bounce?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 127.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 0.6036
1st Support: 0.6002
1st Resistance: 0.6093
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SGX Iron Ore: Retest of 2025 Lows Back in PlaySitting in an established downtrend and with momentum indicators providing bearish signals, a retest of the 2025 lows may be on the cards for SGX iron ore.
A move below $93—where the price bottomed on Monday—would allow for shorts to be established targeting $91.75. A tight stop above would protect against reversal. Alternatively, if the price bounces towards downtrend resistance running from the May highs, bearish positions could be set with a stop above for protection.
If the trade target is achieved, either setup could be reevaluated with a more pronounced support zone located beneath $90.
Good luck!
DS
TSLA Failing at Gamma Wall! Will $322 Hold or Collapse Into $315🔬 GEX (Options Sentiment) Breakdown:
* Gamma Exposure Zones:
* Major Resistance (Gamma Wall): $327.50 → current rejection zone
* Second CALL Wall: $340 → unlikely unless gamma squeeze kicks in
* Strongest CALL Zone: $350 (very unlikely without broader tech rally)
* PUT Support Zones:
* $322.50 → HVL + initial gamma flip
* $315 = highest negative GEX / heavy PUT support
* $310 = 3rd PUT wall — deep flush risk
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: 25.2 (moderate)
* IVx avg: 70.5
* Calls Flow: 71.5% → bullish interest still high
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢🟢 (tilted bullish but with risk below $322.50)
* Interpretation:
* TSLA is trading below the Gamma Wall at $327.5 and just cracked the HVL zone at $322.5 — this is a bearish transition point.
* GEX model shows put acceleration below $322. If bulls don’t step in quickly, it could slide fast to $315 or even $310.
🧠 15-Minute SMC Breakdown:
* Current Price: $325.00
* Structure:
* Multiple CHoCHs and BOS levels near $330–$327
* Bearish wedge breakdown from consolidation just occurred
* Breakdown candle volume surging = institutional selling confirmed
* Entering demand zone (green box) near $324 → temporary bounce possible
* Trendlines:
* Broken wedge & horizontal support = confirms downside pressure
* If $322.50 fails, next liquidity is $315 (GEX + prior BOS zone)
⚔️ Trade Setups:
🟥 Bearish Setup (High Probability):
* Trigger: Continuation below $322.50
* Target 1: $315 (PUT support)
* Target 2: $310
* Stop-loss: Above $327.50 (Gamma Wall)
Price is transitioning below gamma support and into negative delta zone — watch for acceleration if $322.50 loses volume bid.
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Needs Reclaim):
* Trigger: Reclaim of $328
* Target 1: $331.20 (minor resistance)
* Target 2: $336–$340 (CALL wall / next GEX magnet)
* Stop-loss: Below $324.50
Would need strong market reversal and SPY/QQQ support for this to play out.
💭 My Thoughts:
* TSLA is transitioning into a bearish zone, especially with this CHoCH + GEX rejection from $327.5.
* Volume spike shows sellers are stepping in — bounces are sell opportunities unless reclaimed fast.
* Call buyers are still heavy (71.5%) — if this unwinds, downside could be even faster.
* Great setup for PUT spread or directional PUTs on breakdown.
🔚 Conclusion:
TSLA has rejected from the $327.5 Gamma Wall and now cracked a key support. With structure and options data aligned, a flush to $315 is on watch if $322.5 breaks cleanly. Bullish only above $328 with strength.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and execute trades based on your own strategy.
XAUUSD Elliotwaves update: Is wave 4 complete?On our previous view we were expecting a wave c to the upside that will complete wave B of higher degree. It looks like wave B is completed with an ending diagonal. Now what I am anticipating is price to drop to complete wave 4 in higher degree. However, if wave 4 is complete then the move up might be a leading diagonal for wave 1 of 5. But all in all the the current bias is to the downside and therefore to take advantage of the move to the downside one should find areas where price will find resistance for a possible sell opportunity.
GOLD - Bearish Continuation Story : Market formed a BEARISH DIVERGENCE on 1H time frame and then divergence played well as we can see market broke the neckline (HL) and then continued series of LH and LL (Dow Theory) TRIPLE TOP kind of formation can also be seen before it continued bearish divergence
Anticipate : I anticipate that market will continue series of LH and LL as there is no bullish divergence and no sign of reversal pattern.
Plan: We take our entry on the break of LL which is 3380 level, and then we continued to target TP1 and TP2 with our 1:1 & 1:2 R:R ratio.
once pending order is triggered, out Stoploss is defined which is slightly above the defined LH 3410 level.
Dear Followers, Keep following and like- if you want more (simple) analysis like these
GBPJPY BUY IDEACurrent trend - Uptrend
- Price broke major resistance on the H4 and Daily charts, but no retest was made on the lower TF (H1 & M30)
- Looking at a retest, turning resistance to support before a further upside move. Will be looking at Asian and London sessions for entries for a retest or any other signals the market gives
BTC/USD Likely a bullish order block or accumulation zone.Price Action: The market is in a downward correction after hitting a resistance area.
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📊 Key Marked Zones and Concepts
1. High Higher (Left Side):
Indicates previous higher high formed in an uptrend structure.
2. Demand Zone (Below High):
Area where buyers previously stepped in strongly.
Likely a bullish order block or accumulation zone.
3. BOS (Break of Structure):
Two BOS points are marked, confirming market structure breaks:
Left BOS: Marks transition from uptrend to a possible downtrend.
Right BOS: Confirms shift again or continuation of downward correction.
4. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
Indicates an imbalance in price action.
Price may revisit this zone to "fill the gap."
5. Resistance (Top Right):
Price reached this level and is rejecting downward.
Could be a short-entry zone, as indicated by the red-to-green risk box (risk-to-reward trade setup).
6. Support (Bottom):
A larger green support block exists far below current price (~$91,000–$82,000).
Possibly a target area for longer-term bears.
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🎯 Trade Setup Visible
Short Position Active:
Entry near resistance zone (~108K–110K).
Stop-loss above resistance (~115K).
Take-profit near $102,760 or lower, aligned with BOS and demand area.
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🧠 Interpretation
This analysis shows that:
The trader expects BTC to drop from the resistance zone.
The bearish BOS and FVG support a retracement or reversal.
Targeting a deeper correction toward support or earlier demand zones.
ETH didn’t rally — it cleared inefficiency and pausedThis isn’t the move. This is the setup for the move.
ETH tagged 2658.22 — premium — and stalled right where Smart Money pauses before redistributing or rotating.
Here’s how this lines up:
Price swept into the 0 fib (2658.22), then hesitated — that’s not weakness, that’s precision
Just below sits a clean FVG at 2594–2575, right between the 0.382–0.5 fibs
Below that: OB near 2527–2492 — last line of defense before momentum flips
Right now, ETH is offering a reactive pullback opportunity. If bulls hold 2594–2575 with a bounce, we rotate higher again. But if they don’t — 2527 becomes the decision zone.
Execution lens:
Ideal re-entry zone: 2594–2575
Invalidation: sustained close below 2555 = expect OB tap
If FVG holds, expect revisit of 2658 → extension toward 2680s
This setup isn’t done. It’s developing. Wait for price to speak — not hope.
For more plays built like this — mapped in advance, not after the fact — check the profile description
BTC SHORT TP:105,000 16-06-2025Back from a quick break and we’re jumping straight into action 😎
Short and sweet setup — we’re looking for a fast move down.
Entry: 106,500 – 107,000
Target: 104,800 – 105,100
RR: 3.0 average
Timeframe: 2H
Duration: 20–24 hours
Context: Quick and clean short after a small vacation break — let’s stack more green.
📌 Use a tight stop or adjust based on your strategy.
If the move doesn’t play out within the time range, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1546
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1497
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 1.1611
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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EURUSD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16075 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.15775..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
HYPE/USDT – 4H Chart Analysis PUMP TO $50??HYPE/USDT – 4H Chart Analysis
Volume (OBV Indicator):
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) has broken above its local resistance level, indicating a notable increase in bullish volume inflow. This supports the current upward momentum.
Market Structure:
High Time Frame (HTF): Still bullish.
Lower Time Frame (LTF): Currently consolidating within a bullish pennant pattern.
Price has recently closed just above the pennant’s resistance line, suggesting a potential breakout and continuation of the bullish trend.
Key Zones & Levels:
Supply Zone: Price is currently testing this zone. A successful hold and breakout above the previous swing high would confirm bullish continuation.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
A small FVG exists just beneath current price between key support/resistance levels. This may act as a short-term magnet for price (potential retracement).
Two larger FVGs on the 1D time frame lie below the current support and prior swing low. If price moves into these levels, it would likely be a liquidity sweep, trap, or fakeout scenario.
Psychological Levels: $40.00 and $45.00 are the next logical upside targets if bullish momentum continues beyond the swing high.
Trade Setup:
Entry: At the 0.28 Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop Loss: Just below the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
Take Profit (Partial): At the 0.618 Fibonacci extension, aligning with a psychological resistance zone.
Summary:
The breakout from the bullish pennant, combined with increasing volume (OBV breakout), suggests strong bullish momentum. As long as price holds above the pennant and key support, continuation toward $40–$45 remains the probable scenario. Any dip into the lower FVGs would likely be a liquidity event rather than a trend reversal.
(NOTE: This is not financial advice, it is recommended to always (DYOR) (Do Your Own Research)