Get started

Community ideas

Bitcoin - Plan for summer 2025 (no new ATH, big range!)Bitcoin's price action is statistically very boring during summer seasons! Usually high volatility kicks in in September. I think we cannot really expect a new all-time high in the next few weeks. Instead, we should see a big range. Why? Let's take a look at technical analysis. On the chart we can clearly see a blue trendline, and price went below this trendline at the end of May. This indicates that the uptrend is over and a consolidation/distribution phase is in progress. This phase is usually represented as a bull flag, triangle, rectangle, or wedge. When we look at the current price action, it looks like a bullish flag consolidation pattern. In this case we will probably see multiple liquidity sweeps below the previous swing lows to kick out early longs. There are 2 types of traders. The first one they love to trade ranges, and the second they love to trade breakouts and higher volatility environments. Currently I think Bitcoin is creating a range, so do not expect any crazy movements until this range is valid. Bullish flags are usually bullish patterns, but often they break down and act like bearish patterns. So what would happen if this bullish flag breaks down? That would send the price of Bitcoin to the 0.618 FIB, which is at 88,882 USDT. What is this bullish flag breaks out? That would send the price of Bitcoin to 116,000 to 125,000, but to establish this price we first need to see low of the bull flag, which is not confirmed yet. I will definitely inform you in one of my next analyses, so write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. At the end of each post, I share my professional trading tips: "If you realize you’ve made a poor trading decision, exit before the stop loss forces you out." Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by paltena
GOOGL in the Crossfire! Tug-of-War Ahead of FOMC Jun 17GOOGL in the Crossfire! Rejection from Supply + Gamma Tug-of-War Ahead of FOMC 🧠 🧬 GEX Options Sentiment Overview: * Gamma Levels and Flow: * Major CALL Wall: $180 (Gamma Wall + NET GEX High) * 2nd CALL Wall: $175 — currently acting as resistance. * PUT Support Zone: $172.5 (strong PUT defense), below this is a void down to $170 and $165 walls. * Gamma Pockets: $177.5 and $182.5 are mid-to-high call gamma clusters. * Current GEX Stats: * IVR: 16.7 (elevated) * IVx avg: 32.2 * Calls Flow: 19.6% bullish → Options positioning tilted positive. * GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢 (modestly bullish) * Interpretation: * GOOGL is coiling near a gamma inflection point between $172.5 and $177.5. Below $172.5 opens the door to gamma-accelerated selling. * $180 remains unreachable without broad market strength, and rejection from current zone is likely unless buyers reclaim momentum quickly. 🧠 15-Minute SMC Price Structure: * Current Price: $175.42 * Market Structure: * Rejected off supply zone just under $177.50. * CHoCH occurred below the previous demand zone, showing weakness. * Price is resting between $174.50 (mid-support) and $176.94 (resistance). * Volume surged during rejection — suggests real selling activity. * Trendlines & Zones: * Demand box rests near $171.50–172.50, aligning with the GEX PUT support zone. * Multiple BOS/CHoCH transitions signal market indecision — chop expected unless breakout confirmed. 📊 Intraday Trade Scenarios: 🟩 Bullish Setup: * Trigger: Reclaim of $176.94 with strong volume. * Target 1: $177.80 (intraday high) * Target 2: $180 (Gamma Wall) * Stop-loss: Below $174.50 Breakout above supply will force dealers to unwind hedges, possibly leading to a sharp move toward $180. 🟥 Bearish Setup: * Trigger: Breakdown below $174.50 * Target 1: $172.50 (PUT support + demand box) * Target 2: $170 (GEX support) * Stop-loss: Above $176.50 Failure to hold $174.50 likely accelerates momentum into $172 zone. Watch volume for confirmation. 📌 Key Takeaways & Thoughts: * GOOGL is caught in a range between $172.50 and $177.50. This is a gamma compression zone. * Options flow leans bullish, but price structure favors caution. * Intraday traders should avoid trading the middle — wait for breakout or breakdown. * If SPY/QQQ bounce, GOOGL may reclaim $177+. Otherwise, watch for weakness below $174. 🛑 Conclusion: GOOGL is at a pivotal inflection point. SMC shows a failed breakout from supply, while GEX reflects strong resistance above. It’s best to stay reactive, not predictive — trade with volume confirmation at key levels. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by BullBearInsights
6.17 Gold Trend after the Big Drop6.17 Gold Trend after the Big Drop Yesterday, gold continued to fall after rising, and the bulls lacked effective momentum to fight back. During the US trading session, the geopolitical risk aversion sentiment temporarily eased and accelerated the break, making it more difficult to rise in the short term. In addition to the current decline in oil prices and gold prices, the conflict between Iran and Israel may end with one side kneeling down and surrendering. If this happens, the current gold price will continue to fall. The current technical side shows that the hourly moving average tends to flatten, and yesterday's low of 3383 has become a key support level. The opening rebound touched the 3403 line and then fell under pressure again, proving that this area is a range of fluctuations between long and short watersheds. If it cannot stand above 3400 before the opening of the US market, the bears will rely on the moving average to launch a new round of offensives, with the lower targets of 3375 and 3360. If there is no good news at present, it is recommended to rebound high short strategy. Thank you for your attention, I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmilyShared256111
$BTC Holding But Still Bearish Bias Due to War Risk Bitcoin is trading around $106K, but fear from escalating US–Iran–Israel tensions is keeping the market cautious. 🔸 Key Support Zone: $99,763 – $103,112 As long as BTC stays above this area, it's safe. But if broken, expect a move toward $90,209. 🔸 Upside Target: $110K (Paused) Breakout chances remain low unless global tensions ease. 🔸 Risk Level: $99K A daily close below this flips the chart fully bearish. 🔸 Action Plan: We're still in a short bias zone due to war fears. Hedge remains active. Stay light, stay alert — volatility can spike fast.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
Fed Rate Decision May Trigger a Decline in Gold PricesDespite heightened tensions in the Middle East providing safe-haven support, gold failed to break through the 3450–3455 resistance zone today and instead pulled back to the 3400–3386 support area. This decline was mainly driven by two factors: Iran expressed willingness to resume nuclear talks, easing geopolitical tensions and weakening safe-haven demand. Growing expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged this week strengthened the DXY, reducing gold's appeal. That said, inflation concerns persist, offering medium-term support to gold. On the technical front, the 3378–3340 consolidation zone may serve as secondary support, while stronger trend support lies in the 3310–3289 range—a level that may only be tested under extreme bearish conditions. For now, the primary support to watch is 3386–3373, with short-term rebound resistance around 3400–3420. Trading Suggestion: Ahead of the Fed’s rate decision tomorrow, consider buying on dips, as today’s decline may lead to a technical rebound. Then reassess the market’s response to key support and resistance levels to determine further action.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Arthur3017
Markets rally as missiles fly | how long can risk be ignored? Markets may be underpricing Israel and Iran risk. Despite continued fighting—including high-impact strikes and rising casualties—global equities moved higher to start the week. U.S. indices led the advance, with the Nasdaq gaining 1.5%, followed by the S&P 500 and Dow. Earlier in the session, European and Asian markets also closed higher, with Germany’s DAX up 0.8% and Japan’s Nikkei rising 1.3%. Now Asian markets are set to open for the second trading day of the week. Tensions escalated further on Monday as Israel launched drone strikes on Iran’s state-run IRINN television headquarters in Tehran, interrupting a live broadcast. Additional Israeli attacks hit the South Pars gas field. In retaliation, Iran launched a fresh wave of missile attacks into Israel, killing at least five people.
ASX24:AP1!
by BlackBull_Markets
TPR: Navigating the Ascending ChannelTechnical Analysis: Ascending Channel in Play : TPR has been consistently trading within a well-defined ascending channel since its March lows, indicating a strong intermediate-term uptrend with a clear pattern of higher lows and higher highs. Critical Resistance Test at 85-88 : The stock is currently challenging immediate intermediate resistance at $85.00 (red band). A more significant overhead resistance zone between $86.00 and $88.00 (gray band), encompassing prior highs, needs to be decisively overcome for further upside. Layered Support Structure : Immediate dynamic support is provided by the lower trendline of the ascending channel, which converges closely with a horizontal intermediate support level at $80.00. A stronger, long-term key support zone is identified between $75.00 and $77.00, bolstering the bullish structure. Projected Breakout & Upside Target : The chart suggests a potential scenario where TPR pushes through the 86-88$ resistance. A confirmed breakout could propel the stock towards its upside target of 93−95$, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Confirmation & Risk Management: For a validated long position, a strong daily close above 88$ on increased volume would be ideal confirmation. A sustained break below the 88$ on increased volume would be ideal confirmation. A sustained break below the 75-77$ key support would invalidate the current bullish outlook and suggest a deeper correction. Fundamental & News Context: Tapestry (TPR) is a global house of luxury brands including Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. The company benefits from resilient demand in the affordable luxury segment and the ongoing recovery in international markets, particularly China. The most significant fundamental catalyst is the proposed acquisition of Capri Holdings (parent of Versace, Michael Kors, Jimmy Choo). This move, if approved by regulators, is expected to create a diversified, global luxury powerhouse with enhanced scale and market positioning, though integration and regulatory risks remain. Strong brand performance and strategic growth initiatives underpin the long-term outlook. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
NYSE:TPRLong
by ManiMarkets
$MSTU – Breakout Brewing or Bull Trap? Here’s My TakeSwing Setup | Risk/Reward 3:1 | Watching MACD & Ichimoku 📊 This is a leveraged ETF that tracks NASDAQ:MSTR , and it’s setting up for a potential breakout. Here’s the breakdown: 🔍 Chart Context: Price: $8.11 (as of June 11, 2025) Target: $11.40 area (+40.57%) Stop: $7.07 (–12.82%) R:R: 3.16 – attractive setup for swing or momentum traders. 📈 Technical Breakdown: ✅ MACD Histogram just flipped positive. That’s a momentum shift after weeks of red. We’re at the zero line—any crossover here historically leads to explosive moves in leveraged ETFs like this. ✅ Ichimoku Cloud: Price is above the cloud, which is thin and transitioning to bullish. Lagging span (Chikou) is starting to clear previous price action. This is a classic bullish continuation signal—only if price confirms. ✅ Structure: Consolidation zone forming a base at ~$8.00. We've had several failed breakdowns, and bulls have absorbed the selling. If it clears $8.50 with volume, I expect short-covering and fresh entries to flood in. ⚠️ Resistance Zones: $9.15: Local high and volume shelf $11.40: Target based on prior impulse leg (April rally leg cloned) 💡 Strategy: I’m long with size, aiming for a 40%+ move, using MSTR’s volatility as tailwind. Stop is below recent higher low — invalidation is clean. If it breaks $8.50 with strength and MSTR joins the move, I’ll consider adding. 🔄 This is a leveraged play—don’t diamond hand it. Monitor daily. It can move 10-15% in a single session. Drop your thoughts or alternative plays. Are you using MSTU or trading NASDAQ:MSTR directly?
CBOE:MSTULong
by aaronkaltman
Wall Street Eyes Volatility: Dow Jones Tests Reversal ZoneUS30 (Dow Jones Index) — Clashing Forces of Risk & Reality Technical Outlook — 16 June, 2025 | 1H Chart Current Market Condition: The Dow Jones (US30) has staged a recovery from the recent dip, but price is stalling at the Previous Day High (~42,588), a key confluence zone with the broken rising trendline, 50 EMA, and overhead supply. This hesitation comes amid heightened global risk aversion triggered by the intensifying Iran–Israel conflict, adding pressure to global indices as investors rotate into safer assets like treasuries and gold. Despite intraday rebounds, equity bulls are showing signs of fatigue at resistance zones. Markets are also bracing for upcoming US economic data and Fed commentary, which may further amplify intraday volatility. Key Technical Highlights: Price rejected from the confluence of PDH (~42,588), horizontal supply zone, and old rising trendline (yellow). Currently hovering just under the 50 EMA; failure to hold could initiate a rotation back toward PD Low. Stochastic RSI nearing overbought — suggests possible local top if no momentum breakout follows. EMA 200 and the Previous Day Low at ~42,053 remain critical intraday supports. Overall structure forming potential lower high under bearish macro cloud. Trade Plan: 🔼 Bullish Breakout (Intraday Long): Trigger: Break and sustained hold above 42,600 with rising volume Target: 42,900 → 43,100 Stop Loss: Below 42,450 (to avoid whipsaws) 🔻 Bearish Rejection (Intraday Short): Trigger: Clean rejection from PDH + trendline with bearish engulfing Target: 42,100 → 42,050 → 41,850 Stop Loss: Above 42,650 ⚖️ Neutral / Range Trade: Play the range between PDH (~42,588) and PDL (~42,053) until breakout. Scalp based on price reaction at either boundary with tight stop loss. 🛡️ Risk Management Note: Global uncertainty tied to war escalation and Fed policy expectations make this a headline-driven market. News risk can spike volatility and invalidate technical setups. Trade with reduced size and increased caution, especially around US market open and geopolitical news cycles. 📢 If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
BLACKBULL:US30
by MarketsPOV
Crude oil continues to decline - latest market trend analysisThe international oil market is currently experiencing a classic upward cycle of "geopolitical risk premium". In the short term, oil prices will be highly sensitive to any news regarding the security of the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil has continued its volatile upward trend in the short term, surging to test the price near $74. The moving average system is bullishly aligned with oil prices, and the objective short-term trend direction remains upward. In early trading, oil prices hit a new high near $75.30, but then surged and fell, closing with a bearish real body K-line. The short-term momentum still favors the bulls, and it is expected that the intraday trend of crude oil will continue to maintain a high-level volatile upward rhythm. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: buy@68.5.0-69.5 TP:73.0-74.0
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by Ashbur
TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor)-Breakout Play with Strong FundamentaTicker: TSM (NYSE) Recommendation: BUY Current Price: $216.62 Entry Zone: $216 - $218 (Breakout confirmation) Stop Loss: $190 (Key support level, -12.3% from entry) Take Profit: $270.04 (+24.7% upside) Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 📈 Technical Analysis Trend: Strong bullish momentum across all timeframes (Daily/4H/1H). Key Levels: Support: $200 (SMA-50), $190 (Major swing low). Resistance: $218 (Bollinger High), $270 (Fibonacci extension). Indicators: RSI (Daily): 72.98 (Approaching overbought but with room to run in strong trends). MACD: Bullish crossover, positive momentum. Volume: Rising on upward moves, confirming buyer interest. 💡 Fundamental Catalyst Strong Growth: Revenue +33.8% YoY, Net Income +36% YoY. Undervalued Metrics: P/S Ratio of 0.35 (Sector avg: ~5.0). Low Debt: Debt-to-Equity of 0.22, Interest Coverage Ratio of 174x. 🎯 Why This Trade? Breakout Potential: TSM is testing multi-week highs with volume support. Semiconductor Sector Strength: NVDA/AMD leading sector rally, TSM as a key supplier. High Reward/Risk: Clear SL level with 2x upside potential. ⚡ Trade Management Add-on: Consider adding at $225 if momentum continues. Trailing Stop: Move SL to breakeven at $220 if price reaches $240. Watchlist: Monitor NASDAQ/SOX index correlation. 📉 Risks: Broad market pullback. Geopolitical tensions (Taiwan exposure). ✅ Verdict: TSM combines technical breakout strength with undervalued fundamentals. A high-conviction trade for swing traders. Like & Follow for more data-driven ideas! 🔥 #TSM #Semiconductors #Breakout #Investing
NYSE:TSMLong
by marjaku
Gold trend remains unchanged, adjustment is accumulating Last Friday, driven by the risk aversion sentiment in the Middle East, gold surged to 3445 in the Asian session and then fell under pressure. It stabilized and fluctuated at 3408 in the European session, and continued to fluctuate after probing 3346 for the second time in the US session. On Monday morning, it opened high and touched 3352 (upper track of the daily channel) and then came under pressure, but it was still mainly low-long under the support of risk aversion sentiment, and we need to be vigilant about the risk of event evolution. Technical analysis The weekly MACD high-level golden cross is shrinking, and the dynamic indicator STO is overbought, indicating that the shock is strong. Key position: pressure: 3470 (parabolic turning point), 3500 (previous high). Support: 3365-3352 (weekly MA5/MA10 and naked K support). The daily MACD golden cross is large, STO is overbought, and it is strong in the short term. Key position: pressure: 3403-3398 (previous high conversion position). Support: 3387 (MA5), 3365 (MA10). 4-hour MACD high-level shrinking, STO adhesion, high-level oscillation. Key position: Support: 3418-19, 3408 (short-term bullish defense line), followed by 3393-3378-3360. Moving average support: 3437 (MA5), 3423 (MA10). Hourly MACD dead cross shrinking, STO downward, oscillation consolidation. Key support: 3331-3324 (middle track and MA30 overlap). Trading strategy: Risk aversion is the main focus, but be wary of technical callbacks. Short order opportunity 3446-48 light position short, stop loss 3453, target 3436-30-25. 3465-70 area short, stop loss 3475, target 3455-3440-3430. Long order opportunity 3422-24 long, stop loss 3414, target 3432-45-52-65. 3394-96 long (stable), stop loss 3385, target to be determined (hold if it breaks through 3400). Key observation points Break above 3470: or test the 3500 mark. Break below 3360: beware of a deep correction to the 3324-30 area. Note: If the situation in the Middle East eases, long positions need to be adjusted in time; if it deteriorates suddenly, follow up with safe-haven buying.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Trend_Trading_xau