Ping An Group (2318) is on the long riseHere is my Elliott Waves analysis for 2318 on HKEX. I did it for all history of the group and believe that we are at the start of wave 3 of very very big 3 now, which means it is going to be multi-year rise, of course, if the count is correct.
After making a long correction, which I labeled as W-X-Y, the stock started to print a leading expanding diagonal. I detected this pattern in a number of stocks in China as situation started to improve with government support (JD is an example, see my previous idea).
I believe that correction is 99% behind as we gapped up today on decent volumes from the bullish flag upper edge. And this today's move pushed the price above 200 Weekly EMA and closed there.
Bullish cross of 50 to 100 EMAs on weekly is coming right now.
I don't want to wait for EMAs to perfectly line up as now there is enough evidence for we are set to go higher long term.
Full big picture labelling can be found here:
Community ideas
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 1, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for August 1, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📦 U.S. Imposes New Tariffs as Deadline Passes
Fresh tariffs rolled out on August 1 hitting major exporters: 25% on Indian goods, 20% on Taiwan, 19% on Thailand, and 15% on South Korea. Canadas tariff elevated to 35%, though Mexico got extra negotiation time. Global equity markets slipped modestly, led by declines in Asia-Pacific regions. AMEX:SPY futures also eased on mounting geopolitical and trade pressures.
🏦 Fed Uncertainty Mounts Despite Calm GDP
Despite robust Q2 GDP growth and a hold on interest rates this week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell faced growing unrest. Comments acknowledged downside labor risk amid trade uncertainty—investors are now assigning just a 39% chance of a rate cut in September.
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Friday, August 1:
8:30 AM ET – Nonfarm Payrolls (July):
Payrolls rose by 106,000, less than June’s 147,000 but still positive. Wage growth slowed, easing inflation concerns slightly.
8:30 AM ET – Unemployment Rate:
Unemployment ticked up to 4.2%, from 4.1% in June—reflecting modest labor softness.
8:30 AM ET – Average Hourly Earnings (MoM):
Wages rose +0.2%, down from +0.4% in June, signaling wage pressure easing.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #jobs #Fed #tariffs #inflation #technicalanalysis
AUD/USD – Potential Bounce Buy SetupOANDA:AUDUSD
Timeframe: 30m
Type: Counter-trend / Bounce from Support
Risk Level: Medium to High
Possible Reward: 4+
🔹 Setup:
Price is testing the lower boundary of the recent support zone (0.6432 – 0.6420), aligning with the previous channel structure visible on the 8h chart. The descending move has shown initial signs of exhaustion, suggesting a potential bounce.
📈 Entry:
Current price zone 0.6432 – 0.6445
🎯 Targets (TP):
TP1: 0.64624
TP2: 0.64797
TP4: 0.65158
⛔ Stop Loss (SL):
0.64250 (below recent swing low and liquidity pool)
8H chart Overview:
Previous Position from top of Channel:
#AUDUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #PriceAction #MJTrading #ChartDesigner
Psychology Always Matters:
BTCUSD Daily Analysis – Key Entry & DCA ZonesBitcoin is currently pulling back after a strong bullish move, now hovering near $115K. The correction opens a potential window for smart entries based on prior market structure and order block analysis.
🔍 Bullish Order Block (OB):
✅ Zone: $107,534 – $109,756
This area previously served as a breakout zone after consolidation. A retest of this region could act as strong support, making it a prime candidate for short- to mid-term bullish setups.
🟧 DCA Zone (Long-Term Accumulation):
✅ Zone: $98,543 – $103,297
Ideal for long-term investors looking to build exposure gradually. Dollar-cost averaging in this zone allows entry at historically undervalued levels in case of a deeper pullback.
🧠 Trading Insight:
Patience pays. Let price come to your levels rather than chasing. Use alerts and consider scaling into positions with proper risk management.
📌 Chart Context: 1D | COINBASE
📆 August 2025
📈 TA by: @NFX_Solutions
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #OrderBlock #TradingView #CryptoStrategy #DCA #SwingTrade #SupportZone
XAUUSD Intraday Technical Analysis – Bullish Breakout SetupGold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of bullish recovery after a sharp sell-off, with current price action around 3305.86 USD hinting at a potential breakout on the 1-hour timeframe.
- Technical Overview
Price structure: After a steep decline, gold formed a base near the 3284–3299 zone and is now climbing back, with a potential inverse head-and-shoulders formation taking shape.
EMA cluster: Price is approaching the confluence of the EMA 50, EMA 100, and EMA 200, currently acting as dynamic resistance around 3309–3323. A break above these levels may confirm bullish strength.
Fibonacci retracement: The bounce appears from the 0.874 extension, indicating the end of the previous bearish leg.
Volume analysis: Increasing bullish volume supports the idea of a potential breakout.
- Key Levels to Watch
Zone Type
Price Level (USD)
Remarks
Immediate Resistance: 3,309 – 3,323 - Major test zone; overlaps with EMA 50/100
Major Resistance : 3,337 – 3,340 - Previous high; if broken confirms bullish continuation
Support Zone: 3,299 – 3,302 - Intraday support turned demand zone
Critical Support: 3,284 – 3,285 - Recent swing low; invalidates bullish view if broken
- Intraday Strategy Suggestion
Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout
Entry: Buy on breakout and retest of 3,309–3,323
SL: Below 3,299
TP1: 3,337
TP2: 3,355
- Confirmation by strong bullish candle closing above EMA cluster and above resistance zone.
Scenario 2 – Buy on Pullback
Entry: Buy limit at 3,300–3,302
SL: Below 3,284
TP1: 3,323
TP2: 3,337
- Look for RSI divergence or bullish engulfing candle at support for higher conviction.
- Final Note
The bulls are attempting to reclaim momentum after a major correction. If gold can sustain above the 3,309 resistance and hold the 3,300 base, a short-term bullish reversal could materialize.
HYPEUSD – Range Break Then PauseHYPE consolidated tightly under the 200 SMA, then broke out in a clean trend shift, moving from ~$41 to ~$44. RSI climbed into the 70s before pulling back, showing short-term exhaustion. It’s now hovering just below resistance at $44.08. This area is a test zone: breakout continuation or fade.
Analysis BTC/USD Daily ChartAnalysis BTC/USD Daily Chart
**Chart Overview (Daily Timeframe)**
**Current Price**: \~\$114,937
**EMA 7**: \$116,896 (short-term)
**EMA 21**: \$116,561 (medium-term)
**Trendline**: Price is testing the long-term ascending trendline
**Key Zones:**
* **Support 1 (S1)**: \~\$110,000
* **Support 2 (S2)**: \~\$102,000
* **Immediate Resistance Zone**: \~\$116,000–\$120,000
**Bullish Scenario**
**Conditions**:
* Price **holds above the ascending trendline**
* A strong **bounce from current level (\~\$115K)** or a reclaim above **\$116K**
**Buy Setup**:
* **Entry**: \$115,000–\$116,000 (if bounce confirmed)
* **Stop-loss**: Below \$114,000 or the ascending trendline
* **Targets**:
* TP1: \$120,000
* TP2: \$125,000
* TP3: \$132,000+
**Confirmation**:
* Bullish candle formation near the trendline
* Reclaim of EMAs (especially EMA 7)
**Bearish Scenario**
**Conditions**:
* Price **breaks below the ascending trendline** and **closes below \$114K**
* Rejection from \$116K zone with a strong red candle
**Sell Setup**:
* **Entry**: Below \$114,000 (on confirmed breakdown)
* **Stop-loss**: Above \$116,000
* **Targets**:
* TP1: \$110,000 (S1)
* TP2: \$105,000
* TP3: \$102,000 (S2)
**Invalidation**:
* Quick recovery above \$114.5K and trendline reclaim = possible fakeout
**Bias**
**Neutral to Bullish**, as price is **at trendline support**.
Watch closely for **price reaction at current levels** for the next directional trade.
GOLD - Monthly breakout retest may confirm multi-year bull cycleHello everyone, what are your thoughts on the long-term outlook for XAUUSD?
Looking at the monthly chart (1M), we can clearly see that XAUUSD has broken out of the long-standing ascending channel that has held since 2015 — a major signal suggesting the start of a new bullish cycle. Price is now retesting the previously broken trendline, hinting at the possibility of a fresh upward leg to resume the longer-term bullish trend we've seen recently.
Personally, I'm targeting $3,600 in the medium term, and potentially $4,000 by 2026–2028 if institutional capital continues to rotate back into safe-haven assets like gold.
What about you — do you think BTC/USD will rise or fall in the coming years?
And what’s your target for it?
A PICTURE IS WORTH A THOUSAND WORDS.The two charts are only separated by name, both are working out a correlated fractal structure.
The exact position of Solana compared to the Tesla fractal is much elusive. Two possible considerations of current structure in Solana fit equally into the past trend already completed by Tesla
The two possible scenarios are indicated on the chart above,
1. If the 21st July 2025 top in Solana corresponds to the 4th April 2022 point on Tesla, the price action will favourably follow the white line.
2. If the 21st July 2025 top in Solana rather aligns with the 17th July 2022 point on Tesla, then price will likely make a minor correction and move higher as indicated by the gold line.
Please note, the year dates below the lines are not to be considered, the lines are just for illustrations only. Also note that the extent of corrections or expansions in fractals are not necessarily the same, they only share similar structural forms.
Trade safe, good luck
JSTUSDT Forming Bullish MomentumJSTUSDT has recently gained attention among traders as it moves closer to a key breakout level. The chart shows a series of higher lows, indicating underlying bullish momentum despite short-term rejections near resistance zones. The price action reflects a coiling structure with tightening price ranges, hinting at an imminent breakout. Volume has remained consistent, which is often an early sign of accumulation and growing investor interest.
As JSTUSDT continues to test its resistance zone, a successful breakout could lead to a sharp upside move. The projected gain of 20% to 25%+ aligns with the measured move from recent consolidation zones. This movement is supported by market interest in JST, which is a core part of the TRON ecosystem, providing decentralized finance capabilities like stablecoin lending and borrowing. The project’s integration and use within the TRON network continue to attract both retail and institutional investors.
Technically, the price is respecting key support and resistance levels, with clear zones marked out on the chart. The support zone has held strong on multiple tests, making it a potential launchpad for the next leg up. With volume backing the setup, and favorable sentiment across broader market conditions, JST is well-positioned for a breakout rally.
Short-term traders and mid-term investors should keep JSTUSDT on their watchlist, especially as momentum builds near the upper resistance area. If the breakout confirms with a daily close above resistance backed by volume, it may trigger rapid price movement.
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VICUSDT Forming Descending WedgeVICUSDT is currently displaying a classic descending wedge pattern, which is often recognized as a bullish reversal signal in technical analysis. This pattern typically emerges after a prolonged downtrend, and when paired with good volume — as we’re now seeing — it suggests that selling pressure is weakening and a breakout to the upside could be imminent. VIC has respected its wedge boundaries well, and now it's approaching the breakout zone, making this an ideal time for technical traders to watch closely.
Volume has been steadily increasing, which supports the idea of accumulation at the current levels. This convergence of price and volume dynamics signals that smart money may be positioning itself ahead of a potential rally. Based on the measured move from this wedge pattern, a 140% to 150% gain could be on the horizon once confirmation of breakout is secured. The price is also hovering near historical support, which adds another layer of confluence to the bullish outlook.
With investor interest rising and sentiment shifting, VICUSDT has the potential to outperform in the coming sessions. Altcoins that consolidate in well-defined reversal patterns and attract volume are often primed for explosive moves. Traders looking for setups with strong technical structure, breakout confirmation, and momentum alignment may find VICUSDT to be one of the top candidates for mid-term gains.
This is a high-reward opportunity for patient and disciplined traders. Keep an eye on resistance breakout levels and volume surges, as they may trigger the start of a powerful trend reversal.
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GOLD (XAUUSD) -Monthly Analysis & Trading Plan (Aug 2025)GOLD (XAUUSD) -Monthly Analysis & Trading Plan (Aug 2025)
Title: XAUUSD: Correction in Progress, Patience is Key for the Next Move
Chart: XAUUSD Monthly (1M)
Analysis Type: ICT/SMC, Price Action, & Moving Average
Summary:
After a historic and powerful bull run that saw Gold (XAUUSD) breach all-time highs in the first half of 2025, the market has entered a significant corrective phase. The massive red candle in June signaled a strong reversal of momentum, and the current July candle confirms that sellers remain in control, albeit with less intensity. This is a critical juncture for long-term traders, and a strategic approach is required.
Key Observations & Analysis
1. **Price Action & Market Structure:**
The move from late 2024 through May 2025 was a textbook "impulsive leg." The sharp reversal in June 2025, with a powerful bearish candle, likely acted as a **liquidity grab** or a **high-volume distribution event**, trapping late buyers. The market is now in a clear **break in market structure (BOS)** to the downside on this long-term timeframe, suggesting the correction is not over.
2. **ICT/SMC Concepts:**
* **Imbalance/Fair Value Gap (FVG):** The rapid bullish move created significant imbalances on the monthly chart. Price often returns to fill these gaps. The current correction is likely heading to fill or test these inefficiencies.
* **Order Block (OB):** The massive bullish move in late 2024/early 2025 likely created a strong bullish order block. The current sell-off is heading toward this potential institutional demand zone.
* **Liquidity:** The lows from late 2024 and early 2025 will be key liquidity pools. Smart money will likely be targeting these areas for a potential reversal or accumulation.
3. **Moving Average Analysis (MMA):**
* The price is currently trading above both the purple and yellow moving averages, which are still pointing upward. This confirms the long-term trend remains bullish, and the current move is a correction within that trend.
* The **purple moving average** is a key support level to watch. A test of this level would be a high-probability event, and its reaction will be crucial for the next major move.
Suggested Entry & Exit Levels
1. Aggressive Entry (Short)
Rationale
The bearish momentum, though slowing, is still the dominant force. An aggressive trader could look for a continuation of the short-term bearish trend.
Entry/b]
A short entry could be considered on a pullback to the recent highs around **$3,400 - $3,500** if a strong bearish candlestick pattern forms on a lower timeframe (e.g., weekly or daily).
Stop Loss
A tight stop-loss placed just above the recent high, for example, **$3,600**. This is a high-risk entry, so position sizing should be small.
Target
The first major target would be the **moving average support level**, roughly in the **$3,000 - $3,100** zone. The ultimate target for a full correction would be the order block from late 2024, around **$2,800**.
2. Conservative Entry (Long)
Rationale
The long-term trend is still bullish. The current move is a correction. The most prudent approach is to wait for a high-probability long entry at a key support level.
Entry/b]
Wait for price to reach the **purple moving average support zone (around $3,000 - $3,100)**. Look for a clear reversal signal on this level, such as a large bullish "pin bar" or "engulfing candle" on the monthly or weekly chart. This would be a high-probability demand zone for a reversal.
Stop Loss
A stop-loss should be placed below this key support level, perhaps around **$2,850 - $2,900**, giving the trade room to breathe.
Target
The first target for a new bullish leg would be the New swing high around **$3,800**. The ultimate long-term target would be a new all-time high above **$4,000**.
Conclusion
The Gold market is in a crucial phase. The bullish party from earlier in 2025 is over for now, and a healthy correction is underway. **The most logical and safe approach is to wait for the market to complete its corrective move.** Do not attempt to catch a falling knife. Instead, be patient and wait for price to reach a key institutional demand zone (our moving average support or the late 2024 order block) and show a clear sign of reversal. This will present a high-probability, low-risk long entry for the next impulsive move up.
Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Please perform your own due diligence and risk management. Trading involves a significant risk of loss.
$NVDA ~ An Elliott Wave Breakdown.Earlier in the main wave, our Wave 2(Black) was a Zigzag hence a Flat was expected for Wave 4(Black). Wave B(Blue) closed beyond Wave 3(Black) and our Wave 4 made a 5 wave move(Shown in Red) that retested at the 261.8% Fib. level. With Wave C(Blue) complete, it was coined Wave 4(Black). Wave 5(Black) was launched and has a 5 wave move shown in Green. With a Zigzag for Wave 2(Green), a Flat should be expected for Wave 4(Green). Wave 3(Green) has 5 waves with a triangle for Wave 4(Blue). A confirmation at its current location(423.6% Fib. level) would mean that Wave 3(Green) is complete and a Wave A(Black) of the previously mentioned Flat should be anticipated. Please check my detailed breakdown for a broader perspective into the same.
NB: The placement of Wave A(Black) of the Flat mentioned above is purely for demonstrative purposes.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USOUSD is falling towards the support levle which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 68.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 65.68
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing low support.
Take profit: 71.06
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
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AMD Projection and Entry PointThis is speculation just like before, which played out very well so this is me having another shot at it.
Going off of the prior cycle AMD went through and comparing it to the one it's currently in, you can see a lot of similarities.
Learning from it's past and seeing how it likes to react to certain Fib levels, you can see that the 76.40% has been respected as a major level of resistance which resulted in its short retracement back in June '23 , It also acts as a very strong level of support as shown in August '24.
Assuming AMD rejects at the current 76.40% level again, using the prior 76.40% you can see it aligns perfectly with the golden ratio I have setup as my buy entry.
It all lines up too perfectly that in my mind, I'm certain it will play out. But of course it's all speculation, and the markets do as they please.
Gold: final pullback or bull trap?On the 1H chart, gold (GOLD) is forming a bullish flag after a sharp decline, which may just be a corrective move within a broader downtrend. The price is now approaching the key resistance zone around $3313–$3317 - this area holds the POC, broken trendline, and the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci retracement from the last drop. This is the decision-making zone.
If bulls fail to push above it, we expect a move down toward $3268 - the next strong support and potential buy zone, also confirmed by Fibonacci and local demand. Stochastic divergence and slowing volume suggest a possible rebound from that level. However, if the price breaks and holds above $3317, this would indicate a local trend reversal, with targets at $3333 and $3374.
Watch the $3317 zone closely - bulls have yet to prove this is more than just a bounce.
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Min Chart Analysis – August 1, 2025Structure Summary:
CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed after price broke the previous lower high, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Price has since formed a bullish falling wedge (blue trendlines), a classic continuation pattern after CHoCH.
Volume spikes during reversal attempts suggest accumulation.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Breakout above wedge resistance.
Stop Loss: Below recent swing low near 3280 area (red zone).
Target: Around 3315–3320 zone (blue box), aligned with previous demand-turned-supply area.
📌 Outlook:
Bullish breakout expected if momentum sustains.
Watch for confirmation candle with volume above the wedge.
Clean R:R setup with tight SL and wide TP potential.
📊 Technical Bias: Bullish
❗Risk Management: Adjust position size based on lot exposure and account size.
Accumulate waiting for btc price increase💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE – End of July (31/07)
📊 BTC Technical Analysis (4H Timeframe – End of July)
✅ Positive Signals:
• BTC has broken out of the consolidation triangle pattern (blue diagonal line), indicating a potential strong uptrend.
• The current price is retesting the breakout support zone around 117,800–118,000 → showing a good reaction and creating upward momentum.
• MA50 and MA200 are starting to slope upwards → confirming increasing buying strength.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
• If BTC holds above 118,000, it is likely to move toward the nearest resistance zone at 119,900.
• After breaking 119,900, the next targets are:
→ 122,792 (Fibonacci 1.618)
→ Further target: 127,900 (Fibonacci 2.618)
🛑 Risk Note:
• If the price drops below 117,000, it’s important to monitor again, as it may retest a deeper support zone around 114,500.