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PIAHCLA LONG TRADE 05-06-2025PIAHCLA LONG TRADE PIAHCLA has been trading in a converging channel since June 2024. Recently, the stock gave a breakout from this channel, preceded by a selling climax and a strong upward reversal (spring-like motion) supported by good volume gradient. The breakout has also created an IFDZ, which will act as a barrier against downward movements. Considering these factors, we believe this trade setup has high probability and is relatively safe. 🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – PIAHCLA🚨 - BUY1: 19.5 (current level) - BUY2: 18.9 - BUY3: 18.3 - TP1: 21.6 - TP2: 23.7 🛑 STOP LOSS: BELOW 17.1 DAILY CLOSE 📊 RISK-REWARD: 1:4.5 Caution: Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions. PLEASE BOOST AND SHARE THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
PSX:PIAHCLALong
by Mushtaque77
XAU/USD(20250617) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3419 Support and resistance levels: 3486 3461 3445 3394 3378 3353 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3445, consider buying in, the first target price is 3461 If the price breaks through 3419, consider selling in, the first target price is 3394
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
Oil Extends Rally as Israel-Iran Conflict Stokes Supply FearsBrent jumps 5.5 %, bullion hits fresh records, but analysts still see $65 crude by Q4 if key shipping lanes stay open The crude-oil market loves nothing more than a geopolitical headline, and the one that flashed across terminals this past weekend was a whopper: escalating hostilities between Israel and Iran. Within minutes of the first wire stories, Brent crude vaulted 5.5 % to an intraday high of $76.02 a barrel—its largest single-session pop since Russia invaded Ukraine in early 2022—before giving back part of the gain to settle just under $76. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) traced a similar arc, peaking at $74.11 and closing fractionally lower. At the same time, investors stampeded into traditional havens. COMEX gold pierced $2,450 an ounce for the first time, while silver sprinted above $33—blowing past the decade-old high set during the meme-metal frenzy of 2021. The twin moves in energy and precious metals underscore how fragile risk sentiment has become even as global demand growth, OPEC discipline, and U.S. shale resilience point to a more balanced physical market later this year. Below we dissect the drivers of crude’s latest surge, explore the scenarios that could push prices back toward—or away from—the $65 handle by the fourth quarter, and explain why bullion refuses to loosen its grip on record territory. ________________________________________ 1. What Sparked the Spike? 1. Tit-for-tat escalation. Reports of Israel striking Iran-linked assets in Syria and Iran responding with drone attacks near the Golan Heights raised fears of a direct Israel-Iran confrontation—a worst-case scenario that could spill into the Strait of Hormuz and threaten 20 % of global seaborne oil. 2. Thin pre-holiday liquidity. Monday volume was 30 % below the 20-day average with several Asian markets closed, exaggerating price swings and triggering momentum-chasing algos. 3. Options market gamma squeeze. Dealers short upside calls scrambled to hedge as spot pierced $75, accelerating the melt-up. Open interest in $80 Brent calls expiring in June ballooned to 45,000 contracts—four times the 3-month norm. ________________________________________ 2. How Real Is the Supply Risk? While the headlines are chilling, physical flows remain intact for now: • Strait of Hormuz: No tankers have been impeded, insurance premia have widened only 25 ¢ per barrel—well below the $3 spike seen after the 2019 Abqaiq attack in Saudi Arabia. • Iraqi-Turkish Pipeline: Still shuttered for unrelated legal reasons; volumes have been offline since March 2023 and are therefore “priced in.” • Suez Canal / SUMED: Egyptian authorities report normal operations. In short, the rally is risk premia, not actual barrels lost. That distinction matters because premia tend to deflate quickly once tension plateaus, as the market witnessed in October 2023 after Hamas’s initial assault on Israel. ________________________________________ 3. Fundamentals Point to Softer Prices by Autumn Four forces could push Brent back into the $65–68 corridor by Q4 2025 if the geopolitical situation stabilizes: Force Current Status Q3–Q4 Outlook OPEC+ Spare Capacity ~5.5 mbpd, most in Saudi/UAE Ability to add 1–2 mbpd if prices spike U.S. Shale Growth 13.3 mbpd, record high +0.6 mbpd y/y, breakeven $47–55 Refinery Maintenance Peak spring turnarounds remove 1.5 mbpd demand Units restart by July, easing crude tightness Global Demand +1.2 mbpd y/y (IEA) Slows to +0.8 mbpd on OECD weakness Add seasonal gasoline demand ebbing after August, and the supply-demand balance tilts looser just as futures curves roll into Q1 2026 deliveries—a period typically beset by refinery slowdowns and holiday travel lulls. ________________________________________ 4. Scenario Analysis: Three Paths for Brent 1. Escalation (20 % probability) • Direct Israeli strike on Iranian territory → Tehran targets Hormuz traffic • 3 mbpd disrupted for one month • Brent overshoots to $100+, backwardation widens above $10 • Biden releases 90 mb from the SPR; OPEC signals emergency meeting 2. Containment (60 % probability) • Hostilities remain proxy-based in Syria/Lebanon; shipping unscathed • Risk premium bleeds off; Brent drifts to $70–72 by July • By Q4 oversupply emerges; prices test $65 3. Detente (20 % probability) • U.S.-mediated cease-fire; hostages exchanged • Iran de-escalates to focus on reviving JCPOA talks • Risk premium collapses; Brent revisits mid-$60s by August and low-$60s into winter ________________________________________ 5. Why Gold and Silver Are On Fire The precious-metals rally is less about oil and more about real yields and central-bank buying: • Real 10-year U.S. yield sits at 1.05 %, down from 1.55 % in February, boosting gold’s carry cost competitiveness. • PBoC & EM central banks added a net 23 tonnes in April—the 17th straight month of net purchases. • ETF inflows turned positive for the first time in nine months, adding 14 tonnes last week. Silver benefits from the same macro tailwinds plus industrial demand (solar panel capacity is growing 45 % y/y). A tight COMEX inventory cover ratio—registered stocks equal to just 1.4 months of offtake—amplifies price sensitivity. ________________________________________ 6. Cross-Asset Implications 1. Equities: Energy stocks (XLE) outperformed the S&P 500 by 3 % intraday but could retrace if crude fizzles. Miners (GDX, SILJ) may enjoy more durable momentum given new-high psychology. 2. FX: Petro-currencies CAD and NOK rallied 0.4 % vs. USD; safe-haven CHF gained 0.3 %. JPY failed to catch a bid, reflecting carry-trade dominance. 3. Rates: U.S. 2-year yields slipped 6 bp as Fed cut odds edged up on stagflation fears, but the move lacked conviction. ________________________________________ 7. What Could Invalidate the Bearish Q4 Call? • OPEC+ Discipline Frays: If Saudi Arabia tires of single-handedly absorbing cuts and opens the taps, prices could undershoot $60—but Riyadh’s fiscal breakeven (~$82) makes this unlikely. • U.S. Election Politics: A new White House may re-impose harsher sanctions on Iran or ease drilling restrictions, tilting balances either way. • Extreme Weather: An intense Atlantic hurricane season could knock Gulf of Mexico output offline, squeezing physical supply just as refineries demand more feedstock. ________________________________________ 8. Trading and Hedging Playbook Asset Bias Vehicles Key Levels Brent Crude Fade rallies toward $80; target $68 by Oct ICE futures, Jul $70 puts Resistance $78.80 / Support $71.30 WTI Similar to Brent NYMEX CL, calendar-spread (long Dec 24, short Dec 25) Resistance $75.20 Gold Buy dips if real yields fall below 0.9 % Futures, GLD ETF, 25-delta call spreads Support $2,390 Silver Momentum long until $35; tighten stops Futures, SLV ETF, 2-month $34 calls Resistance $36.20 Energy Equities Pair trade: long refiners vs. short E&Ps ETFs: CRAK vs. XOP Watch crack spreads Risk managers should recall that correlation spikes under stress: a portfolio long gold and short crude looks diversified—until a Middle-East cease-fire nukes both legs. ________________________________________ 9. Macro Backdrop: Demand Still Fragile Even before the flare-up, oil demand forecasts were slipping: • OECD: Eurozone PMIs languish below 50; German diesel demand –7 % y/y. • China: Q2 refinery runs flatlining; teapot margins < $2/bbl. • India: Bright spot with gasoline demand +9 %, but monsoon season will clip growth. On the supply side, non-OPEC production is rising 1.8 mbpd this year, led by Brazil’s pre-salt, Guyana’s Stabroek block, and U.S. Permian efficiency gains. Unless Middle-East barrels exit the market, the call on OPEC crude will shrink from 28 mbpd in Q2 to 26.7 mbpd in Q4, forcing the cartel to decide between market share and price. ________________________________________ 10. Historical Perspective: Geopolitical Risk Premiums Fade Fast Event Initial Brent Jump Days to Round-Trip Barrels Lost? 2019 Abqaiq Attack +15 % 38 < 0.2 mbpd for 30 days 2020 U.S.–Iran (Soleimani) +5 % 10 None 2022 Russia-Ukraine +35 % Still elevated > 1 mbpd rerouted Based on precedent, a 5–7 % surge without real supply disruption typically unwinds within six weeks. ________________________________________ 11. Outlook Summary • Base Case: Containment; Brent averages $70–72 through summer, melts to $65–68 Q4. Gold consolidates above $2,350; silver churns $30–34. • Bull Case (Oil): Hormuz threatened; Brent $100+, gas prices soar, Fed forced to juggle inflation vs. growth. • Bear Case (Oil): Cease-fire + soft demand; Brent breaks $60, OPEC+ grapples with fresh round of cuts. • ________________________________________ 12. Conclusion The Israel-Iran flashpoint has injected a fresh geopolitical premium into oil and turbo-charged safe-haven metals, but history suggests emotion-driven rallies fade quickly when physical barrels keep flowing. Unless missiles land near Hormuz or an errant drone strikes a Saudi export terminal, the structural forces of rising non-OPEC supply and cooling demand should reassert themselves, dragging Brent back toward the mid-$60s by year-end. For traders, that means respecting the tape today but planning for mean reversion tomorrow—selling gamma-rich call structures in crude, rolling stop-losses higher on bullion longs, and watching like hawks for any hint that shipping lanes are no longer merely a headline risk but a tangible bottleneck. Until that line is crossed, the smart money will treat each price spike not as the dawn of $100 crude, but as an opportunity to hedge, fade, and position for a calmer, cheaper barrel in the months ahead.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 101,082.81 1st Support: 94,030.59 1st Resistance: 110,969.18 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/06/2025)Today, a slightly gap-up opening is expected in Bank Nifty near the 55,550–55,600 zone. If Bank Nifty sustains above this zone, it may attempt an upside move toward 55,750, 55,850, and potentially 55,950+ levels during the session. If Bank Nifty starts trading above 56,050, a further bullish rally can be seen, taking it higher toward the 56,250, 56,350, and 56,450+ zones. On the downside, if Bank Nifty slips below the 55,450–55,400 zone, it may face further selling pressure, leading to a possible move toward 55,250, 55,150, and 55,050 levels.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradZoo
$SPY – Bearish Momentum Meets Spiral Timing🌀 AMEX:SPY – Spiral Timing, Macro Tension, and Bearish Momentum Brewing Not financial advice. Short-term sentiment shifted bearish. I’ve been tracking AMEX:SPY using both Fibonacci retracements and Fib spirals across the daily and weekly timeframes, and we’re now at a critical inflection zone. My sentiment has shifted more cautiously bearish in the short term, while acknowledging upside remains intact on the longer timeframes. 🔍 Macro Backdrop: Pressure Building CPI Data (May) came in at 2.4%, slightly higher than April’s 2.3%, but still below forecast — showing inflation is sticky but not accelerating. Geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran flared again over the weekend, adding risk-off pressure to already fragile sentiment. Market volatility remains high, with trillions of dollars swinging across a narrow window — validating shorter Fib cycles and accelerated price exhaustion. 🧭 Daily Chart Analysis: December 2024 High → April 2025 Low I used a bearish Fib retracement from the December 2024 highs to the April 2025 lows. SPY has now retraced nearly 100% of that drop, currently hovering between the 0.786 and 0.886 retracement levels — which often act as exhaustion zones in corrective rallies. The Fib spiral from the April low shows we’ve lost the initial vertical trendline that marked the recovery leg — a shift in momentum tone. MACD has remained flat for 16 sessions, with a bearish divergence confirmed on Friday (6/13/25). Momentum, which briefly turned positive on Thursday, flipped sharply back negative by week’s end. 📆 Weekly Chart Structure: March 2020 → Feb 2025 The weekly spiral, drawn from the March 2020 low to the February 2025 high, reflects a similar pattern: → Price is moving beyond the arc and approaching the vertical time marker, a zone where reversals or expansions often occur. Long-term trend remains bullish, but short-term action suggests compression ahead of a possible pullback. 🔥 Spiral Interpretation Reminder: The Fib spiral doesn’t predict direction — it identifies time-based pressure points. When price crosses the arc or vertical band, volatility often follows. 🎯 Key Trade Levels: Breakdown Watch: → Close below $595, then $587 could trigger downside toward $560 (0.618) and $545 (0.5) levels from the retracement Breakout Watch: → A confirmed breakout above $609 (full retrace from the Fib) would invalidate the short-term bear thesis and resume bullish continuation 🤔 Positioning Outlook: I’m tactically bearish here. The technicals show: Momentum divergence Fib exhaustion Spiral confluence Macro pressure mounting I don’t think the long-term trend is broken — but we’re entering a time window for volatility, and that often brings opportunity on both sides. Short setups may offer better risk/reward right now if we see confirmation. Would love to hear your bias here — bear trap brewing or topping process?
AMEX:SPYShort
by Spaceforcex
The FED on June 18 will be decisive for the stock market!Several fundamental factors will have a strong influence on the stock market this week, including trade diplomacy, geopolitical tensions and the FED's monetary policy decision on Wednesday June 18. 1) The FED on June 18, the fundamental highlight of the week The stock market week will be dominated by one fundamental event: the US Federal Reserve's (FED) monetary policy decision scheduled for Wednesday June 18. This meeting promises to be crucial for the summer direction of the financial markets, against a backdrop of uncertainties linked to the trade war and an economic cycle nearing maturity. Although the consensus is for the US Fed Funds rate to remain unchanged, with a 99% probability according to the CME FedWatch Tool, investors' attention will be focused on the Fed's updated macroeconomic projections. The expected evolution of inflation, employment and the Fed Funds rate will be at the heart of the debate, as will the tone of Jerôme Powell's press conference. The market, now expensive both technically and fundamentally, is demanding more accommodative signals to extend its rally. 2) The market wants confirmation of two rate cuts by the end of 2025 What investors now expect from the FED is not so much immediate action on rates as a clearer roadmap for the end of the year. Explicit confirmation of two rate cuts by December 2025 would represent the minimum required to support current equity market levels, particularly the S&P 500, which is trading close to its all-time highs. However, the central bank remains under pressure, torn between calls for monetary easing and caution in the face of a possible rebound in inflation, particularly under the impact of customs tensions. If Jerome Powell reaffirms the Bank's wait-and-see stance, this could lead to market consolidation. Conversely, downwardly revised inflation forecasts and a Fed Funds curve pointing to further declines could be interpreted as a clear signal of a pivot. We will also have to keep a close eye on the developments announced regarding the reduction of the Quantitative Tightening program. Finally, beyond the fundamentals, the technical timing reinforces the importance of this meeting. The bond market is already providing clues, with a technical configuration that could herald an easing in yields if the Fed adopts a more conciliatory tone. In equities, the weekly technical analysis of the S&P 500 shows areas of overbought territory, reinforcing the need for monetary support to avoid a trend reversal. In this context, Wednesday's meeting is more than just a monetary policy decision: it is a strategic marker for the rest of 2025. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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FRED:FEDFUNDS
by Swissquote
Bullish bounce for the Cable?The price is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.3409 1st Support: 1.3108 1st Resistance: 1.3768 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USDCHF H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 0.8169, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibo retracement. Our take profit is set at 0.8121, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 0.8208, a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
A BULLISH SNAPCHAT ANALYSIS SNAPCHAT has a neat chart setup long term. Here is a bullish look. I use a metric called NJT which analyzes total user hours available. From a technical standpoint, there are gaps up to $70, and it could soar much higher. Think longer term investment, with short term jump potential. Here is my summarized view with a little help from Grok (X). "Overview of Snap Inc.'s Assets and Valuation Snap Inc., the parent company of Snapchat, is a publicly traded technology company listed on the NYSE under the ticker SNAP. Founded in 2011 by Evan Spiegel, Bobby Murphy, and Reggie Brown, it focuses on multimedia messaging, augmented reality (AR), and related products. Below, I outline Snap Inc.'s key assets, estimate their valuation based on available data, and apply the NJT (Net Joint Time) metric to contextualize its user engagement in the competitive landscape of 2025-2026. The NJT metric, defined as monthly active users (MAUs) × average time spent per user per month, is used to assess user hours, with the global pool estimated at 285.6 billion user hours per month (9.52 billion hours/day × 30 days). Key Assets of Snap Inc. Snap Inc. owns several products and services, with Snapchat being the flagship. Here’s a breakdown of its primary assets as of June 2025: Snapchat (Core Multimedia Messaging App) Description: Snapchat is a visual messaging app allowing users to send ephemeral photos and videos, with features like Stories, Snap Map, Discover, and AR Lenses. It generates most of Snap’s revenue through advertising, particularly AR ads and Snap Ads. User Metrics: Approximately 900 million MAUs and 453 million daily active users (DAUs) as of Q4 2024, with users spending an estimated 30 minutes daily (15 hours/month). NJT Calculation: MAUs: 900 million Average time spent: 15 hours/month NJT = 900 million × 15 = 13.5 billion user hours/month Valuation Estimate: Snapchat accounts for ~98% of Snap’s revenue ($5.26 billion of $5.36 billion in 2024). Assuming the company’s current market cap of $14.18 billion (June 2025) is primarily driven by Snapchat, we allocate ~98% of the market cap to this asset: Value: $13.9 billion Spectacles (AR Smart Glasses) Description: Wearable sunglasses that capture Snaps and integrate with Snapchat, featuring GPS-powered AR lenses and hand-tracking capabilities. Launched in 2016, Spectacles have not gained widespread popularity but remain part of Snap’s AR vision. User Metrics: Limited user data; estimated <1 million users with minimal time spent (assumed 1 hour/month for valuation purposes). NJT Calculation: MAUs: ~1 million (conservative estimate) Average time spent: 1 hour/month NJT = 1 million × 1 = 1 million user hours/month Valuation Estimate: Spectacles contribute ~2% of revenue ($100 million in 2024). Using the same revenue-to-market-cap ratio as Snapchat, we estimate: Value: $0.28 billion ($280 million) Bitmoji (Personalized Avatar Platform) Description: Acquired in 2016 for ~$64 million, Bitmoji allows users to create personalized avatars integrated into Snapchat and other platforms. It enhances user engagement but is not a direct revenue driver. User Metrics: Assumed to align with Snapchat’s user base (900 million MAUs) but with lower engagement (estimated 2 hours/month). NJT Calculation: MAUs: 900 million Average time spent: 2 hours/month NJT = 900 million × 2 = 1.8 billion user hours/month Valuation Estimate: As a feature enhancing Snapchat’s ecosystem, we estimate its value based on acquisition cost adjusted for inflation and integration (5% annual growth since 2016): Value: ~$100 million Snap Camera (Desktop Application) Description: Launched in 2018, Snap Camera allows users to apply Snapchat filters during video calls on platforms like Zoom. It has niche usage, primarily for streaming and virtual meetings. User Metrics: Limited data; estimated 10 million MAUs with 1 hour/month usage. NJT Calculation: MAUs: 10 million Average time spent: 1 hour/month NJT = 10 million × 1 = 10 million user hours/month Valuation Estimate: Minimal direct revenue; valued as a brand enhancer at ~1% of Snapchat’s value: Value: $140 million Zenly (Location-Sharing App, Discontinued) Description: Acquired in 2017 for an undisclosed amount (estimated $200-$300 million), Zenly was shut down in 2023, but its location-sharing features were integrated into Snap Map. User Metrics: No independent users post-shutdown; value absorbed into Snapchat. NJT Calculation: Not applicable (integrated into Snapchat’s NJT). Valuation Estimate: Residual value in Snap Map enhancements, estimated at acquisition cost: Value: ~$250 million Other Assets (Content Partnerships, Snapchat+, R&D) Description: Includes partnerships with NBCUniversal, Disney, and others for Snapchat Originals, the Snapchat+ subscription service (7 million subscribers in March 2024), and ongoing AR R&D. Snapchat-Az These contribute to revenue and engagement but are not separately quantified. User Metrics: Snapchat+ has ~7 million users; other assets are part of Snapchat’s ecosystem. NJT Calculation: Included in Snapchat’s NJT (13.5 billion hours/month). Valuation Estimate: Snapchat+ and content partnerships generate ~$100 million annually (estimated); R&D is a cost center. Valued at ~2% of market cap: Value: $280 million Total NJT and Market Cap Projection Total NJT: Snapchat: 13.5 billion hours/month Bitmoji: 1.8 billion hours/month Snap Camera: 10 million hours/month Spectacles: 1 million hours/month Total: ~15.311 billion hours/month Market Share: 15.311 ÷ 285.6 ≈ 5.36% of the global pool (285.6 billion hours/month). Current Market Cap (June 2025): $14.18 billion Projected Market Cap Using NJT: Assuming the total market cap of 45 companies (~$10 trillion) is distributed proportionally to NJT shares (as in prior conversations), Snap’s 5.36% share yields: Projected Market Cap: $536 billion Comparison: Significantly higher than the current $14.18 billion, suggesting Snap is undervalued based on user engagement. Breakdown of Valuation by Asset Asset NJT (Billion Hours/Month) Estimated Value ($B) % of Total Value Snapchat 13.5 13.9 98.0% Spectacles 0.001 0.28 2.0% Bitmoji 1.8 0.10 0.7% Snap Camera 0.01 0.14 1.0% Zenly (integrated) - 0.25 1.8% Other (Snapchat+, R&D) - 0.28 2.0% Total 15.311 14.18 100% Key Insights Snapchat Dominance: Snapchat accounts for 98% of Snap’s value and 88% of its NJT, driven by its 900 million MAUs and strong engagement among younger users. Undervaluation: The projected market cap of $536 billion (based on NJT share) is significantly higher than the current $14.18 billion, suggesting Snap’s user engagement is not fully reflected in its stock price, possibly due to ongoing losses ($1.4 billion in 2022). AR and Innovation: Investments in AR (Spectacles, Lenses) and Snapchat+ position Snap for growth in 2025-2026, particularly as AR advertising and immersive experiences gain traction. Challenges: Competition from TikTok and Instagram Reels, privacy changes (e.g., Apple’s iOS updates), and macroeconomic swings in ad spending could limit growth. Conclusion Snap Inc.’s primary asset, Snapchat, drives its value and user engagement, with a projected market cap of $536 billion based on NJT, far exceeding its current $14.18 billion. This suggests significant undervaluation, driven by its strong user base and AR innovations, despite profitability challenges. Spectacles, Bitmoji, and other assets play smaller roles but enhance Snap’s ecosystem, positioning it as a top contender for 2025-2026. Key Citations Snap Inc. - Wikipedia Who Owns Snapchat? - Famoid Snapchat Revenue and Usage Statistics (2025) - Business of Apps Snap (SNAP) - Market Capitalization - CompaniesMarketCap Snapchat - Wikipedia SNAP Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Alpha Spread Snap Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results - Snap Inc." - GROK
NYSE:SNAPLong
by nicktussing77
Potential bearish drop?AUD/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6498 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 0.6519 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.6468 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Today's Crude Oil Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsFrom a daily chart perspective, the violent rally in USOIL driven by external factors has completely disrupted prior technical expectations. The sharp surge has also significantly exhausted future upside potential, explaining today's gap-up and subsequent decline. With minimal likelihood of near-term de-escalation in the Iran situation, USOIL is likely to remain bullish. However, severe overbought conditions on technical charts have disrupted structural expectations, necessitating a price correction. Technically, the $70-$75 range serves as a reasonable short-term consolidation zone, contingent on no severe escalation in Iran tensions. Given the high probability of worsening tensions, USOIL may retest $75 and even challenge $80 driven by geopolitical developments. Thus, while the market remains focused on Iran-related risks, the short-term bias remains bullish. Avoid chasing the rally recklessly. Focus on the $70.5-$71.5 pullback zone early in the week—consider long entries only after price consolidation in this area. USOIL buy@70.50-71.50 tp:74-76-78 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
TVC:USOILLong
by EvanField
Dogecoin Ready for Bounce? Key Demand Zone Holding Strong!DOGEUSD has once again tapped into the high-confluence demand zone near $0.171, where price previously reversed sharply. Bulls are now watching closely for a potential bounce setup, with momentum expected to build into the coming sessions. 👇 🔍 Chart Breakdown: 🔸 Current Price: $0.1713 🔸 Strong Support Zone: $0.1710 – $0.1702 (orange box) 🔸 Mid-Term Resistance: $0.1862 🔸 Major Supply Zone: $0.2004 – $0.2040 Price action is respecting the lower boundary of the demand zone, and if this level holds, we could see a bullish reversal play toward: ✅ Target 1: $0.1862 ✅ Target 2: $0.2004 (supply zone & previous rejection area) 💡 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice): Watch for bullish candlestick confirmation from this zone. A solid 4H close above $0.175 could trigger upside continuation. 📅 Upcoming Fundamentals: Multiple USD-related events are approaching, which may increase volatility. Stay alert! --- 🐕 Community Insight: Dogecoin remains a community-driven asset with high speculation potential. Combine technicals with sentiment and volume for stronger conviction. 💬 What do you think? Is DOGE ready to bounce or will bears break this zone? Drop your thoughts in the comments! #DOGE #Dogecoin #Crypto #Altcoins #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportResistance #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #TradingView #DOGEUSD #LuxAlgo #BullishSetup
CAPITALCOM:DOGEUSDLong
by FrankFx14
1
EURJPY – Daily Chart selling zone alert |||||Price is approaching a major higher-timeframe supply zone near 168.000 – 172.000, an area historically respected by institutional sellers. This zone aligns with a previous price rejection and a trendline resistance visible on a multi-year chart. Expecting a possible liquidity grab into the zone followed by a sharp rejection. --- 🧠 Smart Money Insight: Possible SMC-style reaction anticipated: Liquidity inducement above highs Sharp rejection from seller zone BOS (Break of Structure) for confirmation Right-side inset illustration highlights expected distribution before drop. --- 🔎 Key Technical Levels: Supply Zone: 168.000 – 172.000 Current Price: 166.420 Target After Rejection: 150.000 – 148.000 Invalidation Above: 173.500 --- 🧩 Trading Plan: Wait for price action confirmation in the supply zone. Look for M15/H1 shift in structure and strong bearish engulfing patterns. Risk management is key: Place stop-loss above zone highs.
Short
by Greenfireforex
2
Gold bulls may restart at any time, buy gold!Although compared with the performance of gold during the day, gold only touched 3452 and then began to retreat, and even failed to approach the previous high of 3500, gold is not strong; but based on the current fundamentals and technical structure, gold is currently in a very strong bullish structure; so I think the gold retracement is not a sign of gold weakness, but to increase liquidity, so that gold can rise better and prepare in advance for breaking through 3500! Gold bulls are ready to restart at any time after the retracement! So for short-term trading, I don’t think the gold retracement is a reason for weakness, nor is it a certificate for chasing short gold; on the contrary, I think the gold retracement is a good time to buy on dips; first of all, the support area we have to pay attention to is the 3410-3400 area, and the second must pay attention to the 3390-3380 area support. So in the next transaction, we might as well use these two support areas as defense and start to go long on gold in batches!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
SOLUSDT Forming Bullish FlagSOLUSDT is currently forming a classic bullish flag pattern on the chart, which is often seen as a continuation pattern indicating the potential for a strong breakout to the upside. The price has consolidated within a tight range following a significant upward move, creating a flag-shaped formation that typically precedes the next wave higher. This structure is being supported by solid volume behavior, which is an essential confirmation for bullish breakouts. Based on historical performance and technical projections, a 50% to 60% gain could be on the horizon if this pattern resolves upward. Solana (SOL) has remained one of the strongest-performing layer-1 blockchain projects in the market, and current investor sentiment is highly favorable. With recent developments in its ecosystem and increased institutional interest, SOL continues to attract substantial inflows. The bullish flag pattern aligns perfectly with the broader market optimism and technical indicators such as RSI and MACD that are showing early signs of renewed momentum. Traders should watch closely for a breakout above the flag's resistance line, as this could trigger a new wave of buying pressure. Key levels to monitor include the breakout point and potential price targets around the previous highs and Fibonacci extensions. The market structure remains bullish, and if confirmed by volume and market momentum, SOLUSDT may offer one of the most attractive risk-reward setups in the current crypto landscape. In summary, SOLUSDT is technically poised for another rally, supported by a bullish flag and growing interest from both retail and institutional investors. With a favorable risk profile and strong fundamentals, this is a setup that many traders will be watching in the coming days. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
1