Community ideas
CHF/JPY – Premium Exhaustion Sell Setup🔍 **CHF/JPY – Premium Exhaustion Sell Setup**
On the daily timeframe, CHF/JPY reached a major Premium zone and swept the previous Weak High at 178.400. RSI is at its highest overbought level in months, indicating strong exhaustion.
Price has also formed internal CHoCH on lower timeframes (M15–H1), and we expect a correction towards the next key demand and imbalance zones.
🧠 Clean Smart Money setup based on exhaustion, premium rejection and BOS confirmation. No high-impact news expected for CHF or JPY this week – ideal for a technical swing setup.
Wait for mitigation or entry confirmation.
USDJPY - Technical AnalysisThere is a possibility to open a short position in this pair.
By analysing the pair on higher timeframes and using a 45-period exponential moving average along with two simple moving averages of 70 and 95 periods (supported by a Parabolic SAR), a selling opportunity arises.
Although the pair has shown a strong bullish move on the monthly timeframe, I believe it will reach the price level of 139.885 again.
This prediction is based on the fact that in April a strong bearish candle was formed, followed in May by a bullish candle that failed to sustain a strong move, unlike what happened previously.
This does not mean the pair won’t continue its bullish trend, but I expect the bullish momentum to strengthen after it reaches the 139.885 level again, possibly with a stronger upward move.
It is important to note that, despite this technical analysis, attention should be paid to news, economic data, and any other factors that may influence this pair, as this is purely a technical perspective.
The short position tool shown on the chart is only meant to support the entry decision for the trade.
Cosmos (Atom) 11 Months Within Accumulation ZoneThis is a repeating theme and pattern; this is a classic. Cosmos is now sideways after a correction. The correction is preceded by a bullish wave.
The bullish wave in late 2024 was a short-term, it lasted only one month. But what is interesting is the fact that the bottom range is the same now as it was before the last bullish wave.
If you count the period from the September 2024 low until present day, we have more than 280 days. A very long time. If we start counting from August 2024, when the current accumulation zone was activated, this gives us a total of 314 days, more than 10 months. This is truly all that we need to know. The same low holds for almost a year, getting very close.
If ATOMUSDT does not rise within 2 weeks, this would give us a total of 11 months within the same zone. But it doesn't break, each time a low point is activated there is strong buying and this has been happening long-term.
August 2024, September 2024, November 2024. Then again February 2025, March 2025, April, May and the same accumulation zone is still active today.
The whales are accumulating now, this is their buy-range. Once the accumulation phase is over, we will experience a strong bullish phase. Not a small jump as back in late 2024, but an uptrend, higher highs and higher lows.
Ravencoin weekly is a great example. See the 'related publications.'
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
CAD/CHF – Bearish Continuation Setup🔍 **CAD/CHF – Bearish Continuation Setup**
The CAD/CHF pair is set up for a continuation of its bearish trend, with the macroeconomic calendar showing no major events for either currency that could disrupt technical flows. Canadian Housing Starts data is minor, and there is nothing significant for the Swiss franc, making this an ideal week for technical setups.
On the daily chart, CAD/CHF is firmly bearish, showing persistent lower highs and lower lows as price rides down a well-defined channel. Attempts to rally have consistently failed at order blocks located in premium zones, with each mitigation quickly sold into by institutional players. This is confirmed by the repeated sweeps of liquidity above prior highs before price resumes its decline.
The H1 and M15 timeframes show precise execution of smart money concepts: the most recent rally into premium was met with an aggressive bearish rejection, break of structure, and clear loss of bullish momentum on the RSI. The structure remains bearish and intact, with no signs of exhaustion or reversal.
Given the overall technical picture and the lack of upcoming news, the most probable scenario is continued movement lower into unmitigated discount zones. Traders should look to enter short on pullbacks to premium order blocks, with stops placed above the most recent liquidity highs, and targets set at well-defined support and imbalance zones below.
**In summary:**
CAD/CHF remains a sell this week, as bearish momentum and smart money distribution dominate. The lack of news supports pure price action trades, making this an attractive opportunity for SMC-based strategies.
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Bull divergence at lower level , means bulls for coming back.Here we are going for long in SBICARD through its running in all time high. it's showing bullishness. So, a long trade should be initiated here by seeing RSI indicator there it's running above 50 level means bullishness can be seen in this stock.
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Approaching a pullback resistanceThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 21,719.73 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 21,870.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 21,477.88 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
SPX6900: From base building to history making.Price is fractal, right? RIGHT?!
Before the recent run, SPX6900 printed almost the same setup.
See it yourself....
Now it’s playing that over-under dance near ATH (#2). Classic. Build the base, shake the tourists.
Then comes the move... THE move.
First stop: $10.
After that, a quick push into the $50-70 zone.
Once the weak hands get flushed, $100 becomes the next base.
Long term? Way higher.
If the community keeps growing.
If people stay tired of the same rigged game.
This could and probably will make history....
Like Murad says: stop trading. Believe in something.
We’re still SO early.
This is just a "Classical charting style fractal analysis..." but the reality is that... there is no Chart. ...
Nikkei 225 H1 | Swing-high resistance at 61.8% Fibo retracementThe Nikkei 225 (JPN225) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 38,245.01 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 38,500.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 37,855.58 which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
US 10Y TECHNICAL OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK JUN 16-20 (UPDATED DAILY) US 10Y TECHNICAL OUTLOOK FOR THE WEEK JUN 16-20 (UPDATED DAILY)
Overnight
U.S. Treasuries ended the week lower as rising energy prices sparked inflation concerns, potentially delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts. Crude oil surged $5.12 (7.5%) to $73.16/bbl, up 13.3% weekly, following Israel’s strike on Iranian nuclear facilities and Iran’s retaliatory missile attack, raising fears of further escalation. Treasuries began the day higher but steadily declined, pushing the 10-year yield above its 50-day moving average (4.374%), though it dropped nine basis points for the week.
Economic Releases for the Week
www.myfxbook.com
Technical Outlook
Monthly
We continue to trade within the previous month’s range with no clear direction. Range 4.63% -4.12%
Weekly
Technically hard to read were the market would go with all the geopolitical noise. Inflation was the concern reason why the yield went higher after the Israel-Iran issue due to surge in oil. This week, we might be able to see the direction after the FOMC on Thursday. So meantime I will hold my projection.
Daily
Same as weekly outlook. Will watch FOMC first.
GOOGL: Options Gamma & Tactical Price Setup-Jun 161️⃣ Options Gamma Overview (1‑Hour GEX Layout)
* Strongest gamma/call resistance lies between 175–185, with ~60% at the second call wall (~176) and ~48% at the third (~180).
* IV is depressed (~18 vs 38 avg), making options cheap and directional moves more potent.
* GEX shows slight call-lean (~15% call gamma), marginally skewing toward upside pressure.
* Strategy idea: Consider short-dated call spreads just above 175 if price breaks that area with conviction—or layer put spreads below ~$172 if it fails and starts descending.
2️⃣ 15-Minute Chart Snapshot & Market Structure
* Recent higher low formed around 171–172, marking a valid setup region (green zone).
* Resistance cluster (“purple box”) spans 176–178, the recent breakout area and clear boss zone.
* Trendline from swing low is ascending and currently aligns with price (~175), reinforcing that level.
* Bias: Cautiously bullish if it holds above 175. Break above 178–180 unlocks uptrend. Breakdown below 174 invalidates and targets 171.
3️⃣ Trade Plans & Execution
* Bullish (preferred if conditions align):
* Entry: Buy 5DTE call spread triggered by a clean break above 175–176.
* Targets: 180 and 185 gamma resistance.
* Stop: Below 174 (trendline breach).
* Bearish Hedge:
* Entry: Buy put spread if price fails below trendline and dips <174.
* Target: 172 area (green zone), stop above 175.
🧠 Rationale
* Gamma walls present key inflection points—176 and 180 deserve respect as barriers or launchpads.
* Low IV environment reduces premium cost and quickens directional moves.
* Structure + trend alignment: Ascending higher lows suggest bullish lean—but must prove itself above resistance.
🚨 Disclaimer
This is for educational purposes—not financial advice. Options incur risk and may result in total loss. Trade with discipline—use proper position sizing, stop-losses, and awareness of volatility events and upcoming catalysts.
TSLA: Gamma & Price Action Aligning for Potential Bullish-Jun 16TSLA: Gamma Setups & Price Action Aligning for Potential Bullish Run
1️⃣ Options GEX Insights
* Gamma ‘walls’ building: Strongest Call protection at 335–350, anchored by the largest NETGEX/Call Wall — signaling substantial gamma support in that zone.
* Current call exposure stands at 76.1%, with puts at 23.9%. With IV suppressed (28.2 vs 78.6 avg), volatility is compressed—ideal for a quick rebound if triggered.
* Price is near 325, resting above the 317.5 HVL, and poised to test the gamma shelf near 335–340. Entry into 0–5DTE or 3DTE calls around 325–330 offers leverage as gamma accelerates through these walls.
2️⃣ 15-Minute Chart & Trade Plan
* Structure: Broke down below ascending range, but just executed a bullish Break of Structure (BOS) reversal near 309–310.
* Current trend: Eyes stacked higher lows (HL), structure confirmed—momentum is rebuilding.
* Key Zones:
* Entry area: on pullback/support near 325–326
* Target: 332.99–335+ (aligned with Call Wall)
* Invalidation: below 319.11, which would signal loss of structure.
⏫ Trade Suggestion: Consider initiating a bull entry on dip into 325–326, targeting 332–335 for the short term, and scaling out or trailing into gamma resistance zones.
🧠 Why I’m Interested
The alignment here is compelling: Options flow shows strong net gamma support ahead, IV is low (less decay hit), and structure reset (HL + BOS) confirms a textbook SMC setup. TSLA is carving out a classic bull signal off gamma-based support—ideal for scalping or short-term leg trades.
🚨 Disclaimer
This is not financial advice—purely educational. Trade with proper risk management, and be aware options carry unique risks, including rapid theta decay and volatility shifts.
Testing Upper Channel Line || Eyes on 1.16 and Previous High📌 EURUSD 4H – Testing Upper Channel | Eyes on 1.1600-1.1666
🕓 June 12, 2025
👤 By: MJTrading
🔍 Technical Overview:
EURUSD continues its upward trajectory within a clean ascending channel, respecting both dynamic structure and EMA support zones. We're now retesting a key confluence area:
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🔻 Bearish Setup Idea:
Entry Zone: 1.1570–1.1600
Stop Loss: Above 1.16666 (round number & psychological resistance)
Target: Channel midline (~1.1450) or lower band (~1.1380)
🧠 Why This Zone Matters:
🔺 Previous Swing Highs: Price is revisiting the April peak zone (~1.1570)
🧱 Round Number Confluence: 1.1600 & 1.1666
📉 Rising Channel Resistance: Upper boundary hit after extended leg
🔄 Potential Mean Reversion: EMAs are lagging behind price
⚠️ Invalidation:
A clean break and close above 1.1700 with follow-through may invalidate short bias and signal continuation toward 1.1800+
💬 Patience is power. Let the levels do the talking.
📎 #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #RoundNumberLevels #MJTRADING