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$BTCUSD: Bull or bear?Choose your adventure gents... If price breaks up today, it can ignite a daily timeframe trend signal pointing to a rally towards 114k within a few days. If it breaks down, it will hit 96k within the next two weeks. I've taken steps to reduce risk but I still trade futures actively in crypto pairs. There's good alpha in my long/short trading system and screening criteria, so I am comfortable trading it actively. Current techo/fundamental juncture is risky, the way I see it, so if you haven't, maybe consider taking some profits, getting rid of leverage, trailing stops higher, etc. Definitely not a time to be complacent with record exposure to US stocks from the public and foreigners, Gold hitting levels where it can purchase the same $ in real estate as in previous tops (1980, 2011), and companies buying into crypto to pump their failing business' stocks...to name a few red flags. There's some merit in long term bullish variables, but we might face some technical difficulties before that can materialize, and I rather be prepared by reducing risk in my long term exposure and max drawdown tolerance variables in my positioning and general strategy. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
by IvanLabrie
3
US30 on Track for 43KHappy Monday, traders. Here’s my latest analysis and trade idea for US30. Since April 6th, US30 has been in a strong bull run, breaking above the descending weekly trend line while continuing to print higher highs and higher lows. Although price action has shown some uncertainty since May 22nd, the bigger picture remains bullish it’s just noise. The trend is intact, and we’re now pushing back above the 50 EMA. Currently, US30 is forming a wedge between two descending trendlines I’ve marked on the chart. I expect some consolidation within this structure, with a potential pullback into my entry zone. From there, I’m anticipating another short-term push higher, with a target in the Golden Zone between 43,100 and 43,400 . My entry range is between 42,179 and 42,481 , with a stop-loss just below the current swing low at 41,980. I expect this move to develop sometime within the next couple weeks. What do you think will it play out? Let me know in the comments. PEPPERSTONE:US30
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by GoldenEyeTrading
2
BTCUSDT Price may Test as Short TermBTC/USDT Price Analysis (Interpretation): BTC/USDT recently tapped into a well-defined rejection zone on the 4H and Daily timeframes. This zone has previously acted as strong resistance. Given this, we could expect a potential move to the downside unless the price breaks above that rejection zone with strong momentum. However, before the downside move fully plays out, there is a chance the price may retest the 102,500 level again — possibly as a liquidity grab or a false breakout — before resuming a bearish push. My Goal is 102,500 lets we see how how the price will plays out. if you like tis idea and if you find good thing in this analysis share in comments we need support from you Guys.
by MrMartin_11
1
USDJPY Poised for a BreakoutUSDJPY Poised for a Breakout On the 4-hour chart, USDJPY is not yet taking a clear direction. The price is showing the possibility of both movements. With the current data we can see that USDJPY is forming a triangle pattern and only the breakdown up or down will show the direction of the price. However, I think the chances are higher for the bullish movement considering that the geopolitical tension in the Middle East is also very high and the USD remains one of the strongest currencies. Bullish target: 147.90 Bearish target: 140.90 ⚠️ Note: If the pattern transforms more than this triangle, then we may be in a different situation and everything may be invalid. The analysis may change over time. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by KlejdiCuni
14
Gold price crosses $3,400 due to geopolitical uncertaintyGold price crosses $3,400 due to geopolitical uncertainty On Friday, gold decisively broke through the $3,400 resistance zone, confirming a bullish wave. This upward movement was fueled by geopolitical tensions, as Israel launched an attack on Iran, followed by Iran’s retaliation targeting Tel Aviv. With the situation still unfolding, the potential for further escalation remains uncertain. Technical Analysis: Gold continues to show strength, and uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict may keep its price above $3,400 for the foreseeable future. This level serves as a pivotal zone, despite overbought conditions. Looking ahead, gold could climb further to $3,450, $3,470, and potentially retest the top of the structure near $3,490. After that, the next move will depend on how the geopolitical landscape evolves. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
6
EURCHF: Get Ready For Another Bullish Movement -UpdateEURCHF: Get Ready For Another Bullish Movement -Update The EURCHF pair has tested a major support zone for the fourth time since December 2023. This level also marks the lowest price in years. If this support holds, EURCHF could rebound towards key resistance levels: 0.9410, 0.9425, 0.9485, 0.9545, and 0.9600. ✅On Thursday, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will announce its latest interest rate decision, with expectations pointing to a 25 basis point cut, bringing rates down to 0%. This move could put the Swiss franc (CHF) at a significant disadvantage against other major currencies, many of which still maintain relatively high interest rates. However, the extent of CHF weakness remains uncertain, as broader monetary policy and market sentiment will play a crucial role. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
2
EURGBP: A Bullish Weekly OutlookEURGBP: A Bullish Weekly Outlook This is an analysis I shared last months from a weekly perspective. The chart shows that the price increased by approximately 500 pips. EURGBP tested an old weekly support zone that has consistently proven strong over time. Once again, the price reacted well, though it remains hesitant to extend its rise. However, bullish pressure is evident each time the price dips into the blue zone. In May, this area was tested again, and EURGBP responded clearly, reinforcing the significance of this support. Historically, EURGBP has tested this zone in 2016, 2017, 2020, and 2022, each time showing notable reactions. Following the start of an uptrend, EURGBP has previously gained between 400 to 900 pips, highlighting the potential strength of future movements. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Previous analysis:
Long
by KlejdiCuni
8
NXPCUSDT → The coin is being killed. Searching for a new bottomNXPCUSDT is testing the bottom at 1.1675 while Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies are in a global/local bullish trend... NXPCUSDT is showing its weakness in the cryptocurrency market. There is no potential or driver for the coin, and it continues to be killed... Against the backdrop of a growing market and Bitcoin forming a bullish trend, the NXPC coin is testing the bottom... After a strong and long-term decline, the NXPC coin is forming a flat (consolidation) in the range of 1.5637 - 1.1675. A pre-breakdown base is forming relative to support, which could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation downwards... Resistance levels: 1.2532 Support levels: 1.1675 Focus on support for the range and bottom in the current coin at 1.1675. This is a risk zone and a panic zone. If the price breaks out of this consolidation, there are no obstacles below and the fall could be aggressive. A breakout of the consolidation support could trigger a continuation of the rally or a decline with the aim of forming a new bottom... Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
AUDUSD(20250617)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Revised version of the Republican tax cut bill in the US Senate: It is planned to raise the debt ceiling to 5 trillion, and the overall framework is consistent with the House version. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 0.6512 Support and resistance levels: 0.6597 0.6566 0.6545 0.6480 0.6459 0.6428 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 0.6545, consider buying, and the first target price is 0.6566 If the price breaks through 0.6512, consider selling, and the first target price is 0.6480
Long
by NuggetsWarriors
1
ETH NEW UPDATE (8H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section After the pump and hitting the red zone, it got rejected. It's better not to open a short position on Ethereum, as its dominance appears bullish | which means it might be resilient against a potential drop. The closing of a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
GOLD Gold (XAU/USD), DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), 10-Year Bond Yield, and Interest Rate Correlations As of June 2025, the relationships between these assets reflect a mix of traditional dynamics and evolving market forces. Below is a breakdown of their correlations and current data: 1. Gold (XAU/USD) and DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Traditional Inverse Relationship: Gold is priced in USD, so a stronger dollar (higher DXY) typically makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold prices. Recent Anomaly (2023–2025): Geopolitical tensions (e.g., Iran-Israel conflict, U.S.-China trade disputes) and central bank gold purchases (notably by China and Russia) have driven simultaneous strength in gold and the dollar. For example: Gold hit a record high of $3,500/oz in April 2025 despite DXY hovering near 98.43. Central banks bought 1,037 tonnes of gold in 2024, offsetting typical dollar-driven headwinds. The inverse correlation is reasserting as Fed rate-cut expectations grow, but geopolitical risks still support gold. 2. Gold and 10-Year Treasury Yield Inverse Correlation Typically: Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Inflation Hedge Exception: When real interest rates (nominal yield - inflation) are negative or low, gold rises despite higher yields. For example: 10-year yield: 4.450% (June 2025) U.S. inflation: 3.1% (May 2025) → real rate ~1.26%, reducing gold’s appeal but not eliminating it. Current Driver: Market focus on Fed policy (potential cuts) and inflation persistence keeps gold supported even with elevated yields. 3. DXY and 10-Year Treasury Yield Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into U.S. bonds, boosting dollar demand (DXY↑). Divergence Risks: Geopolitical tensions can decouple this relationship (e.g., safe-haven dollar demand outweighs yield changes). 4. Interest Rates and Gold Fed Policy Impact: Higher rates strengthen the dollar and dampen gold demand, while rate cuts weaken the dollar and boost gold. 2025 Outlook: Fed funds rate: 4.25–4.50% (held steady in June 2025). Geopolitical Risks: Safe-haven demand for gold and the dollar persists. Real Interest Rates: Gold’s performance hinges on whether real rates stay subdued. Central Bank Demand: Record gold purchases (1,200+ tonnes in 2024) provide structural support. Conclusion While traditional correlations between gold, DXY, and yields persist, structural shifts (central bank buying, geopolitical fragmentation) and evolving Fed policy are redefining these relationships. Gold remains bullish in the medium term. WATCH MY GREEN BAR ZONE FOR BUY.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
3
6/16/25 - $lulu - Comment at low $240s6/16/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:LULU Comment at low $240s - see comment from 6/6/25 about why $260 post EPS was "interesting" but not obvious to own ST - now we're only down a modest ~10% from there, so not much has really changed, except discretionary stocks have further drained. so this is not LULU specific per se, but sector/ factor beta - when you take LT leases out of the EV of ~29.3 bn as of writing, or about 1.5 bn = you get ~27.8 bn. when you consider PF capex is about 500 mm (ex growth)... you end up with FCF this year of ~1.5 bn. so 1.5/ 27.8 = 5.4%. - in the current macro where consumer has yet to really trough, or where we get "all clear cut to rates" (which is not my base case - if anything i think rates could stay sticky or even head higher in the ST), this means yield for this type of name post the last EPS comms might have to approach 6-7% all else equal - the mid teens PE of ~16x is "buy" (again referencing the last note), but in this sort of macro/ environment, 13...14...15x is also reasonable until the mkt can underwrite exactly where the "trough" will be and start to put a more comfortable '26 estimate on the stock (we're not there). - right now there are only three discretionary names i like in this order: NYSE:ANF > NYSE:YETI > $lulu. i only own NYSE:ANF b/c the FCF yield is nearly 15% on my est. and growth/ mgns also decent/ last EPS was "good". I trade around NYSE:YETI (don't currently own), and i see reason NASDAQ:LULU could get a ST bid here all else equal, so i'm playing a bit of a ST bounce here in the $240 region with some slight ITM option exposure for july. - however, i'm aware that the low is probably not in - and i've also seen this stock make nice mean reverting moves before it needs to find a lower level especially b/c the brand is great, the growth is not over... and eventually this will be a top tier discretionary name to own and the mkt is currently pricing it as such, anyway, at mid teens EPS when the rest of the B tier stuff is already single digits. *there's a reason for that*. - food for thought. V
NASDAQ:LULULong
by VROCKSTAR
3
$FET 4Hr Time frame DUMP before PUMP? $1 Recovery!FET/USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis Pattern Formation: A rounding top is clearly visible, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal. Trend Structure: Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend. Key Zones: Supply Zone: $0.85 – $0.975 Demand Zone: $0.35 – $0.45 Neckline Support: Price is approaching a critical neckline level. A break below this could trigger strong downside movement. Weekly FVG & Fib Confluence: Below the neckline lies a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG). The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligns with this zone, forming a golden pocket — a key support area. Scenario 1 – Bullish Reversal: If price holds above the golden pocket, a bounce could push it back toward psychological levels (e.g., $0.70 and $0.80) Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation: If price fails to hold the FVG/GP zone, this invalidates bullish setups. Expect a breakdown targeting the $0.35–$0.45 demand zone.
by King_BennyBag
2
Gold (XAUUSD) Market Outlook - Long Term TrendGold (XAUUSD) Market Outlook: Bullish Trend, Critical Resistance, and Macro Drivers Technical Analysis: Looking at the daily timeframe, Gold has been absolutely on fire. Overall Trend and Market Structure: • Strong Uptrend: We've seen a remarkably robust and sustained uptrend for Gold since late 2024. It's a textbook example of a healthy rally, consistently printing higher highs and higher lows. This bullish momentum is clear as day, with the candles comfortably riding above that rising blue trendline channel. • Trendline Support: That prominent blue diagonal band has been a fantastic dynamic support. Gold has bounced off this trendline multiple times (you can spot those green circles), which really solidifies its strength and confirms it as a key support level for this rally. Key Resistance Level: • All Time Resistance 3,500: Gold's currently bumping up against a major hurdle: its "All Time Resistance" zone right around 3,500, marked in red. This isn't just a number; it's a huge psychological and technical barrier. Price has poked at this level a few times lately, suggesting there's some serious selling pressure or profit-taking happening up there. A clean, decisive break and close above 3,500 would be a massive bullish signal, likely opening the door to new, uncharted price discovery. Key Support Levels: • Fibonacci Golden Level + Breakout Retest Level (3117 to 3167): Now, if we see a pullback, this grey rectangular zone looks like a crucial area of confluence for support. o Fibonacci Golden Level: This zone perfectly aligns with the 0.618 and 0.71 Fibonacci retracement levels (pulled from that big swing up from the initial low). These are well-known as powerful support and resistance points. o Breakout Retest: What makes it even stronger is the idea of a "breakout retest." It suggests a previous resistance level that Gold powered through is now expected to act as solid support if tested from above. It’s a classic chart pattern we always look for. o This entire zone is definitely a critical area to watch if price starts correcting. A strong bounce from here would keep the bullish structure perfectly intact, but a break below it would signal a deeper correction. • Point of Control (2900 to 3000): This broader grey zone, with the orange line highlighting the exact Point of Control (POC), tells us where the most trading volume occurred over this period (check out the Volume Profile on the left). It's a high-liquidity zone, meaning a lot of buyers and sellers found agreement there in the past. If Gold were to see a more significant correction, this area would likely offer very robust support, simply because so many market participants have a vested interest at these levels. Volume Profile: • Glancing at the volume profile on the left, it neatly shows us where the trading action has been heaviest. The big hump around 2900-3000, marked as the "Point of Control," really emphasizes just how important that support area is. What's interesting is the relatively lower volume as we've moved higher, suggesting less resistance on the way up. But if we fall back towards the POC, expect to see trading activity really pick up again. Price Action & Candlestick Patterns: • The candlestick patterns consistently show powerful bullish pushes followed by more measured pullbacks. Right now, near the All-Time Resistance, we're seeing some consolidation or perhaps a bit of indecision. The bulls are certainly trying to push through, but they're clearly meeting some stiff resistance. • That "$" label near the trendline? That often points to areas where liquidity, like clusters of stop-losses or pending orders, might have been "swept" by larger players – a concept often discussed in Smart Money Concepts (SMC). ________________________________________ Fundamental Factors & Macro Impact: This strong, persistent bullish trend in Gold isn't just random; it's being supercharged by a mix of powerful fundamental and macroeconomic forces: 1. Safe-Haven Demand: o Geopolitical Tensions: Look around the world – ongoing conflicts like the Russia-Ukraine war and Middle East tensions, plus general geopolitical instability, are sending investors straight to safe havens like gold. It's seen as the ultimate store of value when the world feels unpredictable. o Economic Uncertainty: There’s a lingering sense of unease about the global economy, whispers of potential recessions, and general market volatility. All of this naturally increases gold's appeal. o Banking Sector Stability: Any fresh concerns about the health of the financial system or regional banking troubles can instantly boost gold's allure as a secure asset. 2. Inflation Hedge: o While inflation has eased a bit from its peak, it's still proving quite stubborn in many major economies, higher than what central banks would prefer. Gold has a long history as a reliable hedge against inflation; it tends to hold its value or even increase when fiat currencies lose purchasing power. 3. Central Bank Buying Spree: o This is a massive, often under-appreciated, driver. Central banks, especially those in emerging markets, have been aggressively buying gold. They're looking to diversify their foreign exchange reserves away from the US Dollar, reduce their reliance on Western financial systems, and simply add another layer of protection against global risks. This consistent, institutional demand provides a very strong underlying bid for gold. 4. Interest Rate Expectations & US Dollar Weakness: o Federal Reserve Policy: Gold typically moves in the opposite direction of real (inflation-adjusted) interest rates and the strength of the US Dollar. o Rate Cut Anticipation: Markets are increasingly pricing in interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and other major central banks. When interest rates are expected to fall, holding non-yielding gold becomes much more attractive compared to assets that pay less interest. The opportunity cost of gold goes down. o Weaker US Dollar: A softer US Dollar makes gold cheaper for anyone holding other currencies, which naturally boosts demand. Persistent concerns about the US national debt and fiscal health can also put pressure on the dollar, thereby supporting gold. 5. Global De-dollarization Efforts: o This also supports in terms of De-dollarization or reducing the country’s dependence on the US Dollar for international trade and as a reserve currency. Gold plays a significant role in this strategic shift, adding another layer to its demand. ________________________________________ Conclusion & Outlook: Gold (XAUUSD) is absolutely in a powerful, well-established bullish trend, having racked up some impressive gains since late 2024. Right now, it's staring down its "All Time Resistance" at 3,500 – a truly critical moment. • Bullish Scenario: If we see a decisive breakout and a sustained close above 3,500, it would confirm incredibly strong bullish momentum. This could easily lead to a swift move into new, uncharted territories. We'd expect this to be fueled by ongoing safe-haven demand, continued aggressive central bank buying, and/or growing conviction that significant rate cuts are on the horizon. • Correction Scenario: On the flip side, a strong rejection from that 3,500 resistance could trigger a correction. We'd likely see it head back towards the trendline support, and possibly even that "Fibonacci Golden Level + Breakout Retest Level" zone (3117-3167). As long as these key support levels hold firm, the overall bullish structure stays perfectly intact. However, a clear break below that golden zone would signal a deeper pullback, with the "Point of Control" (2900-3000) waiting as the ultimate strong support. From a fundamental perspective, the broader macroeconomic landscape – thinking about geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation concerns, the insatiable central bank demand, and the future path of monetary policy – continues to lean very much in gold's favor. Going forward, traders and investors will be keeping a very close eye on central bank statements, inflation reports, and any new geopolitical developments for the next big cues on Gold's direction. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ManiMarkets
2