ETH is doing it AGAIN!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈ETH has been overall bullish trading within the flat rising channels marked in blue.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong support zone!
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendlines acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #ETH approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Community ideas
General Dynamics Launch Pad Cleared for TakeoffNYSE:GD Multiple Bullish Signals Detected
- Geopolitical tensions are causing bullish tailwinds for the defense sector
- Tested .5 Fibonacci retracement level 5 times before breakout, now retesting as support
- Lined up perfectly with the trendline breakout and retest
- And the overnight gap from June 12 to 13 was filled today, ready for a reversal to the upside.
- 50MA touching 200ma, a golden cross in the coming days is inevitable
- Geopolitical escalation with the golden cross will cause massive inflows (traders & quants)
Isn't it obvious? It's in front of your eyes. Don't overthink it.
- READ THE CHARTS 6/16/25
PEOPLE UpdateI´m considering the recent downside to be a correction from the move which began on mid-April.
Price is finding support in the blue 0.18 zone, but the lack of any reversal patterns in smaller timeframes leads me to believe that we will still see further tests of this level.
Break of the green descending trendline would be the first indications that bulls are regaining control.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Analysis: Geopolitical Safe-Haven RallyOANDA:XAUUSD demonstrated exceptional strength this week as geopolitical tensions from Israeli-Iranian conflicts drove massive safe-haven demand. The metal successfully broke above the critical 3,360 resistance level, confirming the completion of an inverse head and shoulders pattern that has been forming since April.
The 4H chart reveals the market appears to be forming an ascending triangle pattern within a broader upward trendline, suggesting continued bullish momentum. The recent breakout above the monthly high resistance zone indicates strong institutional buying pressure.
The daily chart presents an even more compelling picture with the completion of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation. This technical setup, combined with the massive flag pattern completion, projects potential targets toward $3,650-$3,700 levels. The right shoulder formation confirms the pattern's validity, while sustained buying above previous resistance zones validates the upward trajectory.
We should monitor the $3,430-$3,450 resistance area closely, as a decisive break could accelerate momentum toward the projected targets. The combination of geopolitical risk premiums and technically sound chart patterns creates a favorable environment for continued gold appreciation in the mid-term.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Price has shown reactions here both as support and resistance. Chart Analysis Summary:
Timeframe: 1H (1 Hour)
Instrument: GBP/JPY (OANDA broker)
Analysis Type: Price Action / Supply & Demand Zones
🔍 Key Observations:
Supply Zone (Resistance Area):
The top green box (around 196.500 - 196.800) represents a supply zone.
Price is projected to reach this zone before reversing.
This area has historically rejected price, suggesting strong seller presence.
Bearish Projection:
A bearish arrow shows the expectation that price will reverse from the supply zone.
The chartist anticipates a drop after hitting this resistance.
Demand Zone (Support Area):
The bottom green box (around 194.300 - 194.600) marks a demand zone.
It’s the potential target area where price might find support and possibly bounce again.
Market Structure:
The chart indicates a potential lower high formation after price hits resistance.
This structure supports a bearish scenario toward the demand zone.
📉 Trade Idea (Implied):
Sell setup near the 196.600 - 196.800 resistance zone.
Take profit around the 194.400 demand zone.
Risk: Price might break above the supply zone, invalidating the bearish scenario.
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 144.27 occurred when the RSI indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, but the strong U.S. labor market data offered a high probability of the dollar strengthening against the yen, which I decided to take advantage of. As a result, the pair rose toward the target level of 145.06.
The confident growth in U.S. non-farm employment recorded in May exceeded experts' expectations' causing noticeable fluctuations in currency, markets. The publications of data showing the creation of 139,7000 new jobs versus the forecasted 127,000 instantly strengthened the U.S. dollar, putting pressure on the Japanese yen. The yen's reaction to the news was immediate: the currency weakened significantly against the dollar. Investors perceived the data as a signal of the strength of the U.S. economy and the likely continuation of Federal Reserve's tight monetary policy. Furthermore, the stable unemployment rate in the U.S. recorded at 4.2%, also reinforced the market's optimistic sentiment.
Today's data shows that Japan's GDP for the first quarter was revised upward, which helped the yen recover slightly from Friday's losses against the U.S. dollar. However, despite the positive revision, Japan's economy still faces serious challenges. Weak domestic demand and an aging population continue to pressure growth, while geopolitical uncertainty poses additional obstacles. The Bank of Japan maintains a wait-and-see approach and has no plans to raise interest rates for now, which had previously provided good support to the the yen. Strong growth in bank lending also contributed to increased demand for the yen.
XAU/USD,15M CHART PATTERN.gold at 3412, and im listed the following targets:
Target 3482 → This is above your entry price, so it looks like a mistake if you're in a sell position.
Target 3340 → Logical downside target.
Target 3320 → Another lower target, continuation of bearish momentum.
Corrected View (Assuming SELL from 3412):
Type Level
Entry 3412
TP1 3340
TP2 3320
SL (suggested) 3445–3450 (above recent highs)
Let me know if the 3482 was meant to be your stop loss instead — that would make more sense in this context.
Bitcoin Strategic Interval, CME Dislocation and Macro Friction.⊢
𝟙⟠ - BTC/USDT - Binance - (CHART: 1W) - (June 17, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $106,851.31.
⊢
I. ⨀ Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval - (1W):
▦ EMA21 – ($96,818.00):
∴ The current candle closes +10.3% above the EMA21, maintaining bullish dominance over the mid-term dynamic average;
∴ This is the 17th consecutive weekly candle closing above the EMA21 since its reclaim in February 2025, forming a structurally intact uptrend;
∴ No violation or wick-close below the EMA21 has occurred since April, and the distance from price to EMA21 remains within a standard deviation of mid-trend movement.
✴ Conclusion: The trend is active and preserved. EMA21 acts as dynamic support and bullish pressure zone. A reversion would only be expected if weekly closes return below $98K with volume confirmation.
⊢
▦ SMA200 – ($48,969.73):
∴ The 200-week simple moving average remains untouched since early 2023, never tested during the current cycle;
∴ The slope of the SMA200 is positive and gradually increasing, indicating a long-term structural trend recovery;
∴ Price stands +118% above the SMA200, a level historically associated with mid-cycle rallies or overheated continuation phases.
✴ Conclusion: The SMA200 confirms long-term bullish structure. Its current distance from price makes it irrelevant for immediate action but critical as the absolute invalidation level of the macro trend.
⊢
▦ Ichimoku – Kumo | Tenkan | Kijun:
∴ Price is above the Kumo cloud, with Span A ($107,172.16) and Span B ($98,562.38) creating a bullish tunnel of support;
∴ The Kijun-sen rests at $95,903.19, slightly below EMA21, and aligns with the last strong horizontal range;
∴ Chikou Span is free from historical candles, confirming trend continuity under Ichimoku principles.
✴ Conclusion: All Ichimoku components are aligned bullish. Pullbacks to the Kijun around $96K would be healthy within a macro-uptrend, and only sub-cloud closes would question this formation.
⊢
▦ Fibonacci - (Swing Low $49,000 – High $111,980):
∴ Bitcoin remains between the (0.236 Fibo - $97,116.72) and local top at $111,980, showing respect for fib-based resistance;
∴ The (0.5 Fibo - $80,490.00) has not been retested since March, confirming the range compression toward upper quadrants;
∴ Weekly price is consolidating under fib extension with decreasing body size, suggesting strength with pause.
✴ Conclusion: The Fibonacci structure confirms bullish extension phase. If $97K breaks, retracement to (0.382 Fibo - $87,921.64) is expected. Otherwise, the breakout above $112K enters full projection territory.
⊢
▦ MACD – (Values: 1,077.98 | 5,963.81 | 4,885.82):
∴ MACD line remains above signal line for the third consecutive week, recovering from a prior bearish cross in April;
∴ The histogram has printed higher bars for four weeks, but the slope of growth is decelerating;
∴ Positive cross occurred just below the zero-line, which often results in delayed reactions or failures unless reinforced by volume.
✴ Conclusion: MACD signals a weak but persistent momentum recovery. Reaffirmation depends on histogram expansion above 1,500+ and signal spread widening.
⊢
▦ RSI – (Close: 64.37 | MA: 57.56):
∴ The RSI is in the bullish upper quadrant, but without overbought extension, suggesting active buying without euphoria;
∴ The RSI has been above its moving average since mid-May, maintaining a healthy angle;
∴ Momentum is not diverging from price yet, but is approaching the 70 zone, historically a point of hesitation.
✴ Conclusion: RSI confirms controlled strength. Further advance without consolidation may trigger premature profit-taking. Above 70, caution increases without being bearish.
⊢
▦ Volume - (16.97K BTC):
∴ Weekly volume is slightly above the 20-week average, marking a minor recovery in participation;
∴ There is no volume spike to validate a breakout, which is common in compressive ranges near resistance;
∴ Volume has been declining since mid-May, forming a local divergence with price highs.
✴ Conclusion: Volume profile supports current levels but does not confirm breakout potential. A rejection with strong volume will mark local exhaustion.
⊢
II. ∆ CME Technical Dislocation – BTC1! Futures:
▦ CME GAP – BTC1! – ($107,445.00):
∴ The CME Futures opened this week at $105,060.00 and closed the previous session at $107,445.00;
∴ A clear unfilled gap persists between $105,060.00 and $107,900.00, with price action hovering just above the top edge;
∴ Bitcoin has a consistent historical behavior of returning to close such gaps within a short- to mid-term range.
✴ Conclusion: The unfilled CME gap acts as a gravitational technical force. As long as price remains below $109K without volume expansion, the probability of revisiting the $105K area remains elevated.
⊢
III. ∫ On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Inflow Total - (All Exchanges):
∴ Current inflow volume remains below the 1,000 Bitcoin daily threshold, indicating no panic selling or institutional exits;
∴ This inflow level corresponds to accumulation or holding phases, rather than distribution;
∴ The pattern matches a neutral-to-positive mid-cycle environment.
✴ Conclusion: There is no structural on-chain pressure. As long as inflows remain low, risk of capitulation or distribution is minimal.
⊢
▦ Spot Taker CVD - (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day) – (All Exchanges):
∴ The 90-day CVD shows continued dominance of taker buys over sells, reflecting ongoing demand strength in spot markets;
∴ However, the curve is flattening, suggesting buyers are meeting resistance or fading interest;
∴ No sharp reversal in the CVD curve is detected — only saturation.
✴ Conclusion: Demand remains dominant, but the pace is decelerating. Without renewed volume, this curve may revert or plateau.
⊢
▦ Exchange Inflow Mean - (MA7) – (All Exchanges):
∴ The 7-day moving average of exchange inflow continues to decline steadily;
∴ This metric often precedes calm phases or pre-breakout plateaus;
∴ Historical patterns show similar inflow behavior before prior volatility expansions.
✴ Conclusion: A period of silence is unfolding. Reduced mean inflow suggests price is awaiting external catalysts for movement.
⊢
▦ Funding Rates – (Binance):
∴ Current funding rates are neutral, with slight positive bias, suggesting balanced long-short sentiment;
∴ No extreme spikes indicate absence of excessive leverage;
∴ This equilibrium typically precedes significant directional moves.
✴ Conclusion: Market is leveled. Funding neutrality reflects hesitation and prepares ground for upcoming directional choice.
⊢
IV. ⚖️ Macro–Geopolitical Axis – (Powell, Middle East & BTC/XAU):
▦ MACRO CONTEXT:
∴ Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak on Wednesday (June 19), with markets anticipating remarks on rate stability or future hikes;
∴ Ongoing tensions in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) elevate risk-off behavior in traditional markets;
∴ Bitcoin has triggered a rare Golden Cross vs. Gold, as noted by U.Today, signaling digital strength over legacy value.
✴ Conclusion: Macro remains the primary external catalyst. Powell’s statement will determine short-term volatility. Until then, Bitcoin floats between its technical support and CME magnetism, with gold dynamics providing long-term bullish backdrop.
⊢
⚜️ 𝟙⟠ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis!
⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⊢
EURAUD Breakout ConfirmedEURAUD has clearly broken above the long-standing resistance zone, turned it into support, and successfully retested it—confirming the breakout's validity. The bullish candlestick formation on the 4H timeframe reinforces buyer momentum. The consolidation before the breakout also suggests accumulation, not exhaustion. With this structure shift and bullish confirmation, price is likely to continue its upward leg, aiming for new swing highs as long as the retested support holds. Momentum favors buyers in both structure and sentiment.
NZD/USD LongTechnical Analysis:
Initial Structure Shift: The chart reveals a significant low in late May, followed by a decisive break of structure (BOS) above a prior high (near the first green dot). This confirms a bullish market transition, indicating strong buying pressure.
Change of Character (CHOCH) Confirmation: The subsequent rally, marked by a sharp upward move, solidifies the change of character, with price sustaining above the BOS level. This reflects institutional intent to drive the market higher.
Resistance Zone Identification: Price has now approached a critical resistance level near 0.6090 (dashed line), where it has tested equal highs multiple times. This zone represents a potential pivot point for supply to emerge.
Momentum and Consolidation: The recent steep ascent, highlighted by the upward arrow, demonstrates robust momentum. However, the tightening of price action near resistance suggests a consolidation phase, offering a strategic entry opportunity.
Given the overall bullish trend, await a pullback to the 0.6070 support level. Enter the trade only after a bullish candle close confirms acceptance. Adjust your position size according to your risk parameters, and consider trailing your stop if momentum persists beyond 0.6090. Be prepared to exit if price rejects at resistance, indicating a potential shift.
2025-06-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Market is much weaker than sp500 and nq, which is always unusual. We are staying below 23724, which is good for the bears but we are in a weak bull channel and making higher highs and higher lows since the Friday sell spike. Both sides make money and market is currently in balance around 23560ish. Clear invalidation prices for both sides and until then it’s buy low, sell high and scalp.
current market cycle: broad bull channel
key levels: 23300 - 24000
bull case: Bulls want to accelerate upwards, close the Globex gap to 23800 and retest 24000. End of story. They are currently a bit favored since we are in a bull channel but only slightly. Market has to stay above 23500 if they want to continue higher. If broader bullishness on markets continues, dax won’t stay below 23800 tomorrow.
Invalidation is below 23500.
bear case: Given that US markets pumped again, dax lags big time. Bears need to keep the gap to 23800 open and print something below 23500 again. If they continue sideways, their chances of another leg down to 23000 become better. My weekly outlook was that we correct sideways for a couple of days before we get another leg down, So far I think this is unfolding.
Invalidation is above 23800.
short term: Neutral around 23650. Bullish really only above 23800 or closer to 23500. If we stay above 23560 tomorrow, I expect another try at 23700 and above 23742 bears will give up for at least 23800.
medium-long term from 2025-06-15: Bull trend has most likely concluded. Long term shorts are fine. Stop has to be at least 24508. I see it 70% or more that we will see 22000 before end of August.
trade of the day: Long around 23500 on EU open since Globex breakout from 23400 was bullish enough to expect a second leg up or at least a re-test of the high 23620 which would have been good for 100 points but was actually good for 220 if you held. The short around 23700 was tough. bears should signs of wanting a trading range with the structure after EU open and the sell-off from 23724 was unexpected in it’s strength since US markets pumped that hard.
EUR-CHF Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF keeps growing
But a strong horizontal
Resistance of 0.9445
Is ahead so after the
Retest we will be expecting
A local bearish move down
Sell!
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GBPJPY Hello traders.
Today's first trade comes from the GBPJPY pair. The trade is currently active on my side, and I’m happy to share it with you as well.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 195.715
✔️ Take Profit: 196.260
✔️ Stop Loss: 195.444
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
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