Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10, and the short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add more positions. Stop loss 3384, target 3445-3450, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Community ideas
Analysis and Forecast for EUE/USDToday, the EUR/USD pair is under pressure, having failed to consolidate above the 1.1447 level and showing intraday declines toward the psychological level of 1.1415 and below, amid U.S. dollar strength.
The main drive of the dollar's rise was Friday's strong U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, which reduced expectations for an imminent rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year. In addition, optimism surrounding the potential resumption of U.S. -China trade talks is dampening bearish sentiment toward the dollar, thereby adding further pressure on EU/USD.
Nevertheless. ongoing negotiation in London and the upcoming key U.S. inflation data later this week are prompting traders to remain cautious and refrain from opening aggressive positions. The market still considers a September Fed rate cut likely, and concerns about the U.S. government's fiscal position are limiting the dollar's upside potential, which in turn lends some support to the euro.
On the other hand, the European Central Bank signaled at its latest meeting that the current rate-cutting cycle may be nearing an end. This also supports the euro and helps limit EUR/USD losses. In the absence of significant economic releases from the eurozone or the U.S. today, the pair's movement is mainly driven by dollar dynamics.
Technically, in order to resume upward movement, EUR/USD needs to break through resistance in the 1.1450-1.1460 level, which could open the path toward the psychological level of 1.1500. A break above that could lead to a retest of late-April highs. Otherwise, the risk of further decline toward the 1.1370 support level remains. However, oscillators on the daily chart are still in positive territory, indicating a generally constructive outlook for the pair.
In the short term, caution advised, with focus on signals from the trade negotiations and upcoming economic data.
NAS100 - Priming to SHORTDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Rising Wedge - Bullish Exhaustion Pattern
"SHORT" Targets:
1] 20740.00
2] 20200.00
Fundamentally:
If I was an institutional Invester and/or hedge fund manager with
100's of millions in US stocks. Considering the geopolitical tensions at the moment.
I will move the largest percentage of my portfolio to safe
haven $-bonds and/or commodities like GOLD.
But that's just me...
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
Trading Signals for Gold Sell below $3,443 (21 SMA -7/8 Murrray)The XAU/USD trend remains bullish as long as the price consolidates above 3,384.
Therefore, it would be prudent to buy gold as long as the price consolidates above3,444, where the 7/8 Murray level is located.
Gold's volatility will continue over the next few days, so we believe it could move between 3,386 and 3,356.
Consequently, if gold consolidates and breaks above 3.498, it would be seen as a buying opportunity, with targets at the 8/8 Murray level around 3,600/
Last tow months, gold gapped around 3,498. This will likely be seen as a buying opportunity if the price breaks above the psychological level of $3,439
Conversely, below the R_1 around 3,443, gold will be seen as an opportunity to sell, targeting 3,400 and the bottom of the uptrend channel around 3,338.
The RSI indicator is showing a negative signal, so we must be cautious when buying, as a very strong technical correction could occur.
BTCUSD UP Trend buy strong from key support 🚀 #BTCUSD Update (4H Time Frame)
Bitcoin is maintaining a strong bullish trend, bouncing confidently from the key support zone at $105,000. Momentum is building as buyers step in aggressively.
📈 Technical Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $110,000
🎯 2nd Target (Major Resistance): $111,900
Price action is showing strength — watch for consolidation or a breakout near resistance.
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#Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC #Trading
Gold intraday trading strategyToday's technical trend, from the hourly line, it opened slightly higher and hit a high point. The market was resistant to declines and rose in steps; the stochastic indicator on the 4-hour line continued to form a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the continuous positive and broken positive slowly rose, which is a main long signal; the sideways support is the support position of 3425-3428; it is recommended to follow the trend; refer to the retracement support; the upper pressure position is 3488-93; the stochastic indicator in the daily K-line formed a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the continuous positive rise is the main long signal; the upper track of BOLL temporarily stabilized, and the daily K-line is mainly a bullish signal; and in terms of form, the 3488-93 line is not a high point; the stochastic indicator in the weekly K-line formed a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the big positive line rose for the second time. In summary, today's thinking is mainly to continue to rise, and the pullback is a chance to go long!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below is 3425-28, and the key support below is around the recent top and bottom conversion position of 3375-80. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue to be bullish. Next week, we will focus on the suppression of 3488-93. The daily level continues to maintain the same rhythm of retracement and long positions. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold retracement 3425-28 line long, stop loss 3314, target 3488-3490 line, continue to hold if broken;
16/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $110,507.76
Last weeks low: $102,655.69
Midpoint: $106,581.52
With all eyes on the ever escalating geo-political landscape, how did BTC react and what can we see for this week?
The initial move higher broke through the previous weeks high with strength before a triple top just under ATH, then falling back down towards the lows of $102,650 which was the previous weeks midpoint, both levels were key battlegrounds as pointed out in the last weekly outlook.
Now the midweek fall off could be blamed by the escalating conflict in the middle-east, that is an argument that has merit as risk-on assets naturally take a hit when uncertainty enters the market. From a TA standpoint BTC had three separate attempts at $110,500 and failed it, the bulls therefore have to retreat as the battle is lost and have expended their resources. So I see it as a both FA and TA are responsible for the move.
As the week starts with a positive early move the orderblock at 0.75 line looks like the next key battleground, rejection at that level would see BTC enter a more rangebound environment within the weekly range. Flipping $108,500 makes a weekly high retest probable IMO.
I do believe that the geo-political aspect will play a role this week so volatility is expected.
Good luck this week everybody!
NASDAQ Close to the 1st 1D Golden Cross in 2 years!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the December 2022 Low and is currently extending the gains of the latest Bullish Leg.
At the same time it is about to form the first 1D Golden Cross in more than 2 years (since March 08 2023). The last two major Bullish Legs of this pattern, before the previous one was interrupted by the Trade War, were pretty symmetrical, peaking at +49.21% and +47.47% respectively.
If the current one follows the +47.47% 'minimum', we should be expecting Nasdaq to hit 24000 by late Q3.
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GPLD (XAUUSD) Breakout or Trap? Triangle Breakout AheadGold (XAUUSD) is forming an Ascending Triangle pattern, approaching a crucial resistance zone. Price action indicates potential for either a breakout or a false breakout (trap). Key targets and rejection levels are clearly marked on the chart. Stay alert for a possible rejection near the upper trendline or a breakout confirmation above the resistance zone.
This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage risk properly.
Sushiswap 1,2 Breakout Sequence Can Lead To New ATH (3,000% PP)On this chart and after reaching a market bottom Sushiswap produced a clear 1,2 breakout sequence. This sequence has been shown to produce a bullish wave.
You know what they say, "Third time's a charm," and we are on the third breakout from a long-term support.
1) In early June 2023 we have the first 1,2 breakout sequence which leads to a bullish wave that ended in March 204.
2) In August 2024 the same sequence again, and a new bullish wave ends December 2024 with a higher high compared to March.
3) Fast forward and bring yourself to this present day, April 2025 the same sequence starts as a higher low. "Third time's a charm." Here we are getting not only a higher high but it is possible even a new all-time high.
» Growth potential can reach 1,500%, 2,500% or even beyond 3,000%, it is still too early to say.
It is not early to know though that the market already hit bottom and is preparing to grow.
This is a good chart and a great project; an awesome opportunity. Buy and hold.
Namaste.
SYRUP consolidates for rallySYRUP - is testing ATH while the crypto market is in correction. We can conclude that this coin is stronger than the whole market and can continue its rally after accumulating the right potential.
Focus on the mirror support level 0.4600 - the round number gives strength to this level. After a false breakdown, the coin is consolidating in the buying zone. A break of the downside resistance will trigger a rally
Scenario: If the consolidation above 0.4600 continues and the coin breaks the downside resistance, a breakout and consolidation above 0.49450 will attract new buyers, which will only strengthen the rally.
XAUUSD: Analysis June 16Gold has a lot of momentum to increase and could head towards testing the all-time high around 3500 as there are too many risks emerging, from geopolitical developments to interest rate outlook, and tariffs. Major conflicts in the Middle East, Russia - Ukraine, trade war between the US and the rest of the world, ... are all sudden risk support that makes gold likely to surge in the short term.
Gold, after increasing around 3450 this morning, is currently correcting down. But overall, the uptrend with gold is still solid after breaking the downtrend channel. However, we should avoid buying in strong corrections.
The support area around 3400 will be the ideal place for us to BUY today.
And the resistance area 3440 - 3445 will be where we SELL.
Bitcoin Consolidation: Easy, Walk Away.Bitcoin consolidation in progress. The easiest thing to do in these situations is avoid taking any trades until a new trend is established. Even smaller time frames will be harder to trade unless you are employing mean reversion strategies. At some point the market will choose which way it wants to go but trying to guess in advance is a coin flip. The broader trend is bullish but the 110K and 113K area is a tough resistance. If price struggles to break this area over the next few weeks, then a broader retrace may be more likely.
In this situation it pays to wait for specific levels to take any action at all. What type of action you take will depend on your risk tolerance and time frame. In my opinion, the higher probability scenarios will be a test of the 102K area supports, followed by reversal patterns. Even if they don't follow through to new highs, at least there will be some attempt to maintain the support since Bitcoin is still generally strong.
IF Bitcoin breaks the support (anything is possible) that will confirm the broader corrective scenario which can see price testing 95K at minimum. There is no way to know the certainty of this scenario, it is all about how price action unfolds and confirms.
This time of year is typical of lower volume, lower momentum and less follow through. Often it is better to just sit it out and wait until the season shows clear signs of improvement. Seasonal volume does not typically get back to consistently high momentum levels until November. This does not mean there will be no opportunities at all, it just means if there is going to be a time to purposely be more selective, the next couple of months would be that time.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
$AAPL In ConsolidationNASDAQ:AAPL is consolidating here in a wedging pattern. I do not know which way this will resolve. But, since I rarely if ever short, I am looking on the long side of a trade. The thing I like about a consolidation pattern like this is, you know when you are wrong very quickly. My plan is to take a ¼ size long position if / when it moves above the 50 DMA (red) with a stop just below the most recent low (which would also correspond to dropping below the lower wedging trendline.
Then if it can break out over the upper downtrend line, I will look to build out my position. I thought this would be a good one to put on your watchlist. If you like the idea, please make it your own so that it fits within your trading plan.
SPY Technical Analysis - Jun 16⏱️ 1‑Hour Chart Overview
Key Zones
* Support: $597–$601 — built on put-gamma support
* Resistance: $605–$607 — topped by call-gamma walls
Bias: Cautiously bullish — awaiting confirmation above $600–601
Trade Idea:
* Structure: Bull call spread (600/605 strikes)
* Targets:
* T1: $605 (initial gamma cap)
* T2: $607 (upper gamma wall)
* Invalidation: Break decisively below $595
Management:
* Entry: Buy near $600–601 with bullish candle and supportive volume
* Scaling: Start small and layer in if price holds
* Exit:
* Take partial profits at $605
* Trail to $607
* Exit if SPY drops below $595
Why It Works: Gamma flows from option expiries tend to provide momentum near the spread’s strikes, and the debit structure defines both risk and reward.
⏳ 15‑Minute Chart (Intraday Entry)
Setup Window: Zooming in for precise entry within 1‑hour framework
What to Observe
1. Pullback to $600–601
* Look for a bullish reversal candle (hammer, engulfing) on 15‑m
* Ideally, with increasing volume
2. Confirmation Signal
* Break above the high of that reversal candle
* Volume support confirms genuine demand
3. Momentum Alignment
* Pair with an intraday oscillator (e.g., Muscle mover, RSI rising)
* Candles should show higher lows or extended wick above support
15‑Minute Trade Rules
* Entry: Market or limit buy on a 15‑m candle closing above reversal high (~$601)
* Stop: Under that candle’s low (e.g., ~$599.50)
* Profit Scaling:
* Partial de‑risk at ~$605
* Full exit planned at ~$607
🚦 Multi‑Timeframe Strategy Summary
1‑Hour: Macro bias and strike framework
15‑Min: Precision entry zone & risk control
Spread Trade: Leverages GEX structure for momentum capture
Risk Defined: Debit known, stops clear
Upside Potential: Push toward gamma-neutralizing walls
Flow Edge: Option hedging dynamics predominantly active around spread levels
🧠 Watchlist
* Price behavior near $600–601 on 15‑m
* Volume surge with bullish candle
* Macro drivers: Fed noise, SPX futures action, sector rotation
* Shifts in implied volatility that may affect spread pricing
Trade with discipline — defined risk, entry precision, steady management.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. All trading involves risk; do your own due diligence.
Potential bullish reversal?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could rise from this level to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 143.79
1st Support: 139.64
1st Resistance: 148.91
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURAUD Struggles at 1.7880—Signs of Exhaustion Signal Potential EURAUD Struggles at 1.7880—Signs of Exhaustion Signal Potential Downside
EURAUD has confirmed a strong resistance zone near 1.7880, as the price repeatedly failed to break higher. The four-hour candles indicate clear signs of bullish exhaustion, suggesting that further upside may be limited unless unexpected news shakes the market.
Without any significant developments to push the price above resistance, the pair is likely to face renewed selling pressure in the coming days.
Key downside targets to watch:
🔻 1.7700 🔻 1.7610 🔻 1.7510
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Continue the uptrend, gold price returns to 3444⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) slipped for the second consecutive session on Tuesday, retreating from an early uptick during the Asian session that briefly pushed prices above the $3,400 mark. A slight rebound in the US Dollar (USD) continues to weigh on the precious metal, acting as a key drag. However, the downside appears limited amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will initiate further rate cuts in 2025.
Meanwhile, the ongoing aerial conflict between Israel and Iran has entered its fifth day, heightening fears of a wider regional escalation. This persistent geopolitical uncertainty is keeping demand for safe-haven assets like gold supported. Investors are also exercising caution ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) two-day policy meeting, the outcome of which may shape the next directional move for non-yielding bullion.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price takes liquidity from lower supports: completed 3385, 3373. short term downtrend break. Gold price will soon return above 3400.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3443- 3445 SL 3450
TP1: $3435
TP2: $3422
TP3: $3407
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3352-$3350 SL $3345
TP1: $3368
TP2: $3376
TP3: $3390
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 0.8081
1st Support: 0.7931
1st Resistance: 0.8308
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
#EURJPY: Major Swing Sell +1100 Pips, One Not To Miss! The Japanese Yen (JPY) is most likely to continue its bullish trend, as the Dollar Index (DXY) is expected to decline due to the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran. Historically, JPY and CHF, alongside gold and silver, have been favoured by global investors and remain bullish. Strong fundamentals and technical support further support our analysis.
The 167-169 price region remains a critical point for sellers, where we anticipate significant selling volume. There are two entry points to consider: one near the current price and another slightly further away. Please monitor volume and use smaller time frames for entries.
Our Swing Target is at 154, but you can also target smaller zones once the trade is activated. For instance, set take-profit levels at 164, 160, and finally, at 154.
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