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Bitcoin: Interconnections Rewired🏛️ Research Notes Keeping fib channel of the rising trend angles as they've number of times covered well that aspect of cycle texture. The other frame of reference would be with fib channel that covers drop from 2021 ATH to late 2022 bottom. Last bit would be integrating fib channel discovered while ago that connects covid & late 2022 bottoms Together they create a framework that addresses the complexity and makes even the most chaotic price movements seem to be a part of structural narrative.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by fract
ETH at Critical Resistance + Liquidation Zone | Time to Short?Today I want to analyze Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) on the 1-hour time frame . Is there a short position opportunity? Please stay with me. Ethereum is currently trading near a Heavy Resistance zone($4,390-$3,950) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($3,983-$3,878) and the $4,000 ( round number ). $4,000 could be a psychological number to sell . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Ethereum appears to have completed the main wave 3 at $3,860 and is currently completing the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 could have a Double Three Correction(WXY) or Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5) , with the Expanding Flat structure being more likely . One of the reasons why shorting Ethereum could be better than shorting Bitcoin right now is that ETHBTC ( BINANCE:ETHBTC ) is currently trading above the ascending channel and is likely to correct to Fibonacci levels . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. I expect Ethereum to drop to at least the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and attack the Support lines ( Second target ) . Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $3,591-$3,543 CME Gap: $3,461-$3,417 Note: Stop Loss: $4,023 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Ethereum Analyze (ETHUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
13
Will the Canada-US Trade Tension Continue to Impair CAD?Fundamental approach: - USDCAD advanced this week, supported by broad US dollar strength and renewed trade tensions as the US announced higher tariffs on Canadian imports. - The pair was further buoyed after the BoC left rates unchanged and signaled caution amid persistent core inflation and ongoing trade negotiations. - Meanwhile, US labor data indicated that job openings were moderating growth while tariff-related uncertainty weighed on risk sentiment. - The BoC’s decision to keep its policy rate at 2.75% cited domestic economic resilience and the unpredictable US trade policy outlook. - At the same time, negotiations between Canada and the US over trade terms remained in an “intense” phase, with additional tariffs entering effect 1 Aug, adding to downside risks for the Canadian economy. - USDCAD may remain elevated next week as markets monitor follow-through from new tariffs and assess further data on US jobs and Canadian trade. Potential progress or setbacks in Canada-US trade talks and upcoming economic releases could influence direction, while central bank policy signals and risk appetite will remain key catalysts. Technical approach: - USDCAD formed a Triple-bottom pattern at around 1.3567 and bounced up to break the neckline at 1.3755. The price also broke the descending trendline and closed higher than both EMAs, indicating a potential trend reversal. - If USDCAD remains above the support at 1.3755 and both EMAs, the price may retest the resistance at 1.3980. - On the contrary, closing below the support at 1.3755 and both EMAs may lead USDCAD to retest the key support at 1.3567. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by DatTong
2
Notcoin · Last Call, Last Chance · Friendly ReminderWe looked at Notcoin recently and this is the last time you will see a publication at these low prices. In the next Notcoin update the price will be at least 100% higher and growing, we will be in the middle of a full blown bullish wave. Right now Notcoin is still trading at the lower end of a downtrend. The downtrend ended and the market went sideways. Sideways is what we have now. The accumulation phase and zone where whales, smart trader and experts buy the most. The obvious reason being because it is always better to buy when prices are low. 4-8X. We are going with 6X for this one but the choice is yours. Notcoin can grow anywhere between 1,000% and 3,000% in the coming months. I will aim for the higher targets just because I know this bull market will be very strong based on the charts and the early action we are getting. We are still at bottom prices marketwide and yet some pairs are already trading at new all-time highs. It means that this bull market will be big, bigger than usual and bigger than anything you can expect or imagine. The strategy is to buy and hold. Spot. If you are leverage, then you need to decide on your risk, at this point, 2-3X is safe. Anything higher and you are opening yourself to a risky situation. Higher would imply higher profits potential, but would you risk everything for just a potential? Better play it safe while aiming big. If the pair can grow 30X in the coming months, leverage might not be the best choice. Some people do both. What is your trading style? What are your trading goals? Spot or leverage, low or high risk, we are going up. We had plenty of time to buy, plenty of warnings and plenty of opportunities. The market will wait no more. Prepare for the start of a mega bull run. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
4
DeGRAM | SOLUSD will test the support level📊 Technical Analysis ● SOLUSD is pulling back after testing the upper resistance channel near 205 and is now approaching key support at 162.5, aligning with the breakout zone. ● Structure remains bullish as price respects the midline of the ascending channel, and upside continuation toward 205 remains likely if 162 holds. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Solana remains a top performer in weekly ETP inflows, per CoinShares, and continues to dominate in NFT volume and developer activity. ● Funding remains positive across major derivatives platforms, signaling sustained bullish sentiment despite short-term volatility. ✨ Summary Long bias above 162. Breakout target remains 205 ▶ 220. Setup remains valid while above key structure support. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
2
GOLD Analysis – Bullish Recovery Setup After Trendline Breakout ⚙️ Technical Structure Overview This 4-hour chart of Gold (XAUUSD) illustrates a classic reversal setup developing after a significant correction. Price previously faced strong selling pressure from the 3,470+ zone and declined sharply. However, the recent price action suggests a shift in control from sellers to buyers, signaling a likely medium-term trend reversal or a bullish wave formation. The key to this setup lies in three confluences: Completion of a previous supply zone, which no longer holds influence. Aggressive buyer activity from a major support zone. A clean break above the descending trendline, which is a common signal that bearish momentum is losing strength. 🔑 Key Levels & Concepts Explained 🟢 1. Major Support Zone (3,260–3,280) This zone has been tested multiple times and each time, buyers stepped in and prevented further downside. The most recent rejection from this area shows long wicks and bullish engulfing candles, indicating accumulation by institutional players. This is the foundational support that has held the entire corrective structure. 📉 2. Trendline Breakout The descending trendline connecting swing highs has now been broken to the upside. This is a critical technical signal, especially on the 4H timeframe, as it suggests a potential trend reversal or at least a deep retracement in the opposite direction. Trendline breakouts typically result in a retest of the trendline or a nearby support-turned-resistance zone (as is the case here with the Mini SR level). It also implies that supply is weakening, and buyers are ready to push. 🧱 3. Mini Support/Resistance Interchange (~3,300–3,320) This zone now plays the role of an interchange level—a previous minor resistance that could act as a support after the breakout. This level is crucial for intraday and swing traders because it can offer a low-risk long entry if price retests and confirms it with bullish momentum. The chart projection suggests a bounce off this mini S/R, followed by successive higher highs and higher lows, forming a new bullish structure. 📈 Forecast Path & Trade Scenario ✅ Bullish Path (Preferred MMC Scenario) Stage 1: Price retests the 3,300–3,320 zone (Mini S/R). Stage 2: Buyers step in, leading to a bullish continuation. Stage 3: Price targets the Minor Resistance (~3,440). Stage 4: If momentum is sustained, it aims for Major Resistance (~3,470–3,480), completing a clean reversal formation. This path reflects perfect bullish market structure—a breakout, followed by a retest and rally. ❌ Bearish Invalidation If the price closes strongly below 3,260, the structure would be invalidated. This would suggest that the support zone failed, possibly triggering deeper downside toward 3,220–3,200. 🧠 MMC Trader Mindset & Risk Considerations Don’t Chase: Wait for a confirmed retest of the Mini S/R zone. Let the market come to your entry. Entry Confirmation: Use candlestick signals like bullish engulfing, pin bars, or inside bars near the Mini S/R. Volume Consideration: Volume should ideally rise on breakout legs and decline on pullbacks—this confirms healthy bullish structure. Risk-Reward: With a stop below 3,260 and targets toward 3,470, the RR ratio favors long entries, especially after confirmation. 🔁 Summary Plan for Execution Entry Zone: 3,300–3,320 (after bullish confirmation) Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (structure break) Take Profit 1: 3,440 Take Profit 2: 3,470–3,480 Risk-to-Reward: 1:2+ if planned carefully
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
1
SPX500 Dips Ahead of NFP as Tariff Risks RiseSPX: S&P 500 Dips to Close July — Still Positive for the Month Amid Tariff Tensions & Fed Uncertainty The S&P 500 retreated in the final session of July, weighed down by renewed tariff concerns and lingering uncertainty around the Fed’s next move. Despite the late pullback, the index remains positive for the month overall. Looking ahead, non-farm payrolls (NFP) and U.S. jobs data are expected to have a strong impact on market direction. In addition, August 1st marks a key date for potential tariff developments, which could trigger further volatility. Technical Outlook – SPX500 The index has dropped approximately 2.5% since yesterday and maintains a bearish bias as long as it trades below 6283. If the price continues to slide, the next downside target is 6246, with further support at 6223. However, if the price manages to close above 6289 on the 1H timeframe, it could trigger a bullish recovery toward 6320 and 6341. Pivot Line: 6283 Support Levels: 6246 • 6223 Resistance Levels: 6320 • 6341
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
Bitcoin - Will the liquidity at $122K be the next target?Bitcoin is currently trading within a defined corrective channel, which has been developing over the past few weeks. Price action within this structure has been characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a mild downtrend. However, these movements lack strong momentum, indicating that the market is consolidating rather than entering a deeper correction. This kind of structure often precedes a significant breakout, and given the nature of the current price action, a retest of previous highs remains a realistic possibility. Bullish Scenario Looking at the overall structure of the channel, a bullish breakout seems increasingly likely. For this scenario to unfold, BTC needs to hold the midline of the channel as support. If this level is respected, it could pave the way for a push towards the upper boundary of the channel and a potential break above the lower high structure near $120,000. A successful breach of that level could trigger a move toward the $122,000 liquidity zone, with the potential to challenge the all-time high (ATH) in the near future. Holding the midline and breaking above key resistance would provide confirmation of strength and continuation to the upside. Bearish Scenario On the flip side, if BTC fails to hold the midline as support and starts closing below it on the 4H timeframe, we could see a renewed move toward the lower boundary of the corrective channel. This could lead to a test of the unfilled 4H fair value gap (FVG) highlighted in the chart, located around the $112,000 – $113,000 area. This zone also coincides with a strong historical support level, making it a logical area where buyers might step in and provide the momentum needed for a more sustainable bullish reversal. Final Thoughts While both scenarios remain valid, the price structure within the corrective channel currently leans slightly more toward a bullish outcome. The lack of aggressive selling and the potential for liquidity above the previous highs support this view. However, trading is never about certainty but about preparing for various possibilities. Being aware of both bullish and bearish setups allows traders to react with flexibility and discipline depending on how the market unfolds in the coming sessions. ------------------------- Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Long
by Youriverse
54
€/$: Fractal Geometry (Cycle 2000-2022)🏛️ Research Notes Research on order in chaos using scaling laws and math sequences found in nature. Sierpinski triangle will be used as basic heatmap layer - orienteer for next buildups. Cross-cycle interconnection 3 cycle knot Considering the fact that structurally current price is in a new cycle, the core structure which is previous cycle can be extended with another layer that emphasizes phase of the cycle in its angle. Extended Fibonacci Sierpinski Triangle should look like this:
by fract
6
Why Apple Could Be Entering a Structural Correction🍎📉 Why Apple Could Be Entering a Structural Correction ⚠️🔍 After scanning major tech names today, one stock stood out— for all the wrong reasons : NASDAQ:AAPL . Technically, Apple has broken below long-standing trendline support , and my chart now assigns a 70% probability(roughly guys...roughly and rounded) of further downside vs only 30% upside . But it's not just about the chart... Here’s the macro storm Apple is walking into: 🧭 1. Trade War Revival New tariffs on Chinese electronics could cost Apple up to $1.1B/quarter , even as it tries to diversify production. India and Vietnam are promising, but not mature enough to offset risk. 🤖 2. Lagging in the AI Arms Race While Nvidia, Google, and Microsoft pour $30B+ into AI, Apple is spending less than half that. Analysts weren’t impressed with “Apple Intelligence.” Siri still isn’t leading. 🇨🇳 3. China: Flatlining Growth, Rising Risk ~18% of Apple’s revenue still comes from China. With Huawei resurging and tightening regulations, Apple’s dominance is being chipped away. 🛑 4. Innovation Pipeline: Empty? There’s no iPhone super-cycle ahead. Vision Pro remains niche. Apple now looks like a mature tech stock without a breakout catalyst —risky when valuation is still premium. ⚖️ 5. Legal Pressure on Both Sides of the Atlantic The DOJ and EU are targeting Apple’s App Store dominance. If changes are enforced, the service revenue moat weakens. 🔽 Summary: This Isn’t Panic. It’s Repricing. The market is re-rating Apple based on real structural risks. Downside levels I’m watching: 📉 177.65 (first support) 📉 154.53 (next key level) ❗️134–113 zone if macro pressure escalates Chart = structure. Narrative = pressure. Both are aligned. Let me know your thoughts—still long NASDAQ:AAPL , or hedging this weakness? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by FX_Professor
4
8/1/25 - $qqq - How i'm positioned 8/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:QQQ How i'm positioned - 2x leverage on the whole book. 75% at risk so 150% gross - so 25% powder 47% obtc 30% nxt (12.5% leaps) 36% deck (ST and leaps for 6.5%) 27% lulu (ST gas for 1% lol!) 8% mstr (ST gas for 80 bps lol!) 5% gme (ST gas for 40 bps!) 5% ses (covered with calls at 1 strike already) be well. let's attack monday. if we dip monday i think >50% chance that's the low if we don't, i think >30% chance we go higher so i'm bidding this selectively w balance of ST gas and high conviction plays. V
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by VROCKSTAR
1
$PEPE: the big picture, 1W analysis.August 1st, 2025 – A tough day for altcoins, hit once again by tariff concerns. But let’s talk about CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , one of my favorite altcoins to track. Why? No VC backing, the entire supply is community-held, and volume is consistently strong—making it a reliable market sentiment indicator. Weekly Outlook: CRYPTOCAP:PEPE remains in a macro uptrend, riding above the 100 EMA. - My Momentum indicator has triggered two buy signals: at 0.00000634 and 0.00001040 - RSI is rising but still mid-range—there’s plenty of room to move higher. - MACD is gradually ramping up. - Stochastic RSI is cooling off, but given the strength of the other signals, further downside looks limited. Technically, we’re seeing a bullish flag pattern. Price is currently testing support at the lower range—likely setting the stage for a decisive move in the coming weeks. Conclusion: Based on the current indicators and structure, the odds favor a bullish breakout and continuation of the uptrend—though, as always, DYOR.
Long
by CryptoNikkoid
1
XRP Critical Levels to Play This MonthHello I am the Cafe Trader. This weekend we are shifting focus into the crypto market for a quick overview. If you read my last XRP article, we nailed the bottom for longs, and the sellers for a great positional play. This time we are going to analyze the current failed breakout. Are Bulls Trapped? Does this still have room to leg up? Point 1 We can start with the trend break. Massive buyers pushed this move higher, giving XRP a relatively quick All time high, But July 23rd shorts were able to shove this back inside of the previous high. This signifies that there are bulls trapped, but the interesting thing to note is that the volume has reduced significantly since the last two ATH's. So this also would indicate a lack of buying interest at the highs. Buyers are just not willing to to get involved with the same conviction as before (yet). No buyers, no continuation (even if there is not many sellers/profit takers). Point 2 Strong buyers proved their interest with a "hot" reaction at $2.95. With no "real" seller coming into this market yet, there is nothing stopping this continuation from legging up (so far). Therefore I stand bullish, and am looking for a move up to $4.64 as a Target. Point 3 Buying into this can feel tricky, your first entry for a classic two bar trend break would've been at the top of demand. I do think we will get another opportunity here, I definitely would not chase this, because it could play this range for a while before another leg up. Setup Trend break continuation. Entry 3.13 Stop 2.65 Exit TP 4.64 Risk to Reward 3.1 If there is a close below these strong buyers, this could com all the way back down to 2.15-2.3 at least. The reason for the wider stop here is because we don't want to get swept and then ran. A more conservative stop could be $2.85 which would be a 6R trade. Take your pick Long Term If you are late to the party on XRP (I know many are) here are some entries according to your sentiment: Almost FOMO = 3.13 Aggressive = 2.95 Good price = 2.15-2.3 Steal = 1.60 - 1.93 That's all for XRP. We are going to be looking at Ethereum ETH Next. Thanks for reading and happy trading! @thecafetrader
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by thecafetrader
11
8/1/25 - $mstr - Selling spot and buying MSTR8/1/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MSTR Selling spot and buying MSTR - keeping it (purposefully) short today for everyone's benefit - sold a bit of OTC:OBTC (which is nearly 15% off spot, e.g. $100k/BTC) to buy NASDAQ:MSTR MSD exposure here - why? - 1.6x mNAV is lowest it's been (nearly ever in current BTC move) - Saylor not going to hit the ATM sub 2.5x, will run it hot - Latest product further augments this runway to value accretion - BTC still remains REALLY well bid in this current tape - So math is like this - ROE of BTC in "conservative" sense is 25% - Kc (cost of capital) for Strategy is 10% again (conservative, it's really sub 10%) - so ROE/Kc (without growth) = 2.5x book. - A real ROE for BTC (remember this is permanent capital he's tapping, so no asset-liability mis-match) is 35% - True Kc for this is sub 10%, but let's still say 10%. that's 3.5x book. Therefore let's even say 2x book (below both of the above) is 2/1.6 = 25% upside. If/do you think that BTC can go back to low 90s, ofc this might contract further (the 1.6x) but at the same time, you have EVEN higher implied ROE and R/R only improves. So at a minimum, i'd guess your R/R is "balanced" here in the most conservative scenarios. And if we do get BTC bid, this will rocket at this stage thru YE and far exceed px appreciation of it's BTC pair. Ok that was longer than I intended. Felt important to convey math and up/downside parameters. Be well. Everyone loses money in correlation 1. Just make sure you find the betas that have the first bids. Right now that's BTC and some quality names doing 6-7% fcf yields and growing. I like OTC:OBTC (adding fuel w/ my NASDAQ:MSTR calls) NASDAQ:NXT NYSE:DECK NASDAQ:LULU NYSE:FI <3 V
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by VROCKSTAR
3
$UVXY Signaling Trouble — $SPY Could Drop 10%+ In this video, I discuss why August/September could bring serious downside for the market, despite my long-term bullish stance. Right now, SPY is trading around $632, but I have a downside target of $573 in the short term. If we get volume beneath $573 — especially a break below the daily EMA — SPY could drop quickly, with a potential fall all the way to $480 in the coming weeks/months. At the same time, UVXY is signaling a correction for the overall market after rallying from the low's of April. I have a target of $30 and when UVXY starts to move, it often reflects sharp market corrections — and the setup is beginning to mirror that now. Despite this short-term bearish outlook, I want to make it clear: I am very bullish long term. Any 10–20% correction will be a major buying opportunity for me. I'm watching key levels closely and preparing to take advantage when the market overreacts.
AMEX:SPYShort
by GiftedInvestor
1
XAUUSD H4 Update – The Battle Has Moved to 3350 “From deep demand to key supply. The next move is decisive.” 🔸 Sunday Plan Recap Price was falling aggressively into the HTF demand zone (3265–3240). The plan anticipated a bounce only if that deep zone held. Above price, major zones included: 3314 – mid-structure 3330–3345 – supply zone 3368–3380 – final retracement targets 🔸 What Changed? ✅ The deep demand zone worked — H4 CHoCH bullish was confirmed. ✅ Price climbed through 3285 and 3314, confirming a retracement leg. 🔥 Now, price sits at 3349.57, testing the same supply zone marked in Sunday’s plan (3330–3345). 🔸 Current H4 Structure 🔼 Short-term bias = bullish retracement 📍 Price = inside HTF premium zone 📈 EMAs aligned bullish (5/21/50), confirming short-term momentum 💡 RSI = approaching overbought ⚔️ Liquidity above 3355, trapped shorts below 3314 🧠 Today’s Battle Plan (August 1) 🔴 Sell Zone (live) – 3345 to 3355 Price just entered the key H4 supply zone. Watch for rejection signs: Bearish confirmation needed (e.g. M15/M30 CHoCH or engulfing) If confirmed → downside targets: 3314 → 3285 → 3265 High RR short only if structure confirms 🔵 Breakout Bullish Case If 3355 breaks with a clean body + HL at 3340 → bullish continuation active Next upside target: 3368 → 3380 🧭 Final Thoughts We’ve reached the exact decision zone from Sunday’s plan. The market will now reveal: retracement over... or breakout coming? Patience is key — this is a high RR zone, but only if structure reacts. 💬 Did you catch the move from deep demand? Or waiting for confirmation here at supply? 📈 Share your thoughts in the comments and let’s break it down together. 🔔 Follow for real-time market insights, sniper plans, and structured trading logic you can trust. ❤️ Like if you enjoy clean, actionable updates🚀🚀🚀 🔁 Share with traders who love structure over noise 📉 Price data from Trade Nation feed
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds