Get started

Community ideas

How Financial Markets Are Reacting to Middle East EscalationHow Financial Markets Are Reacting to the Escalation in the Middle East The exchange of strikes between Iran and Israel continues. However, judging by the behaviour of various assets, market participants do not appear to expect further escalation: → Oil prices are falling. Monday’s candlestick on the XBR/USD chart closed significantly below the opening level. → Safe-haven assets are also retreating: the Swiss franc weakened during Monday’s U.S. session, while a bearish candle formed on the daily XAU/USD chart. Equity markets, too, have largely held their ground. The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) climbed on Monday (A→B) following reports of potential talks between Iran and the U.S. However, it pulled back (B→C) after the U.S. President urged citizens to evacuate Tehran. Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart News of Israeli strikes on targets inside Iran led to a bearish breakout from the rising channel (marked with a red arrow), though the downward move failed to gain traction. At present, the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows the formation of an ascending triangle — a signal of temporary balance between supply and demand. Still, given the elevated geopolitical uncertainty, this balance remains fragile. It could be disrupted by: → Further developments in the Iran–Israel conflict (notably, Donald Trump left the G7 summit early due to the situation in the Middle East); → U.S. retail sales data , due today at 15:30 GMT+3. It is possible that the S&P 500 may soon attempt to break out of the triangle , potentially triggering a new directional trend. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
1
AMD Elliott Wave Analysis: 5 Wave Rally Supports Bullish BiasSince bottoming out on April 10, 2025, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has embarked on a robust rally, signaling a bullish trend. Technical analysis reveals a five-swing sequence from the April 10 low, favoring continued upward momentum. The initial ascent, wave (1), peaked at $97.91, followed by a corrective pullback in wave (2) that found support at $83.75. The stock then surged in wave (3) to $122.52. A subsequent retracement in wave (4) concluded at $107.10, as depicted in the one-hour chart below. Currently, wave (5) is unfolding, structured as an impulse in a lesser degree, driving the stock higher. From the wave (4) low, the subdivision of wave (5) began with wave ((i)) reaching $117.05, followed by a dip in wave ((ii)) to $108.62. The rally resumed in wave ((iii)), peaking at $119.40, with wave ((iv)) retracing to $114.25. The final leg, wave ((v)), concluded at $124.60, completing wave 1 of a higher degree. A corrective wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag, with wave ((a)) declining to $119.88. Wave ((b)) rebounded to $121.35, and wave ((c)) bottomed at $115.06. As long as AMD holds above $107.10, expect one more upward leg to complete wave 3. Then it should be followed by a wave 4 pullback and a final push in wave (5) to conclude the cycle from the April 10 low. This structured advance underscores AMD’s bullish outlook, with key support levels guiding its near-term trajectory.
NASDAQ:AMD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
Gold-----Sell near 3405, target 3390-3360Gold market analysis: Yesterday's daily line closed with a big negative line, which was basically a day to kill the buying. Today's idea is to sell in the short term. The daily and weekly trends have not yet turned to selling. Although the daily line closed with a big negative line yesterday, its shape and indicators have not completely turned to selling. There is still motivation to buy in the later stage. In addition, Iran and Israel are still fighting. It is still difficult to see a deep decline in the short term. We estimate that today's Asian session will rebound slightly and then fall. If today's daily line continues to fall again, it may enter a new short-term selling mode. We are just a follower. We follow the short-term. If the short-term trend is bearish, we will rebound and sell. The daily line closes the negative Asian session and waits for the opportunity to sell. In the Asian session, we pay attention to the suppression of the 3410 position. It is the suppression position of the shape, the suppression position of the 1-hour moving average, the central axis position of yesterday's big drop, and the suppression position of the daily line. If the Asian session stands on 3410, it may bring a new technical rise in buying. After all, the shape of the daily line is still buying. Secondly, if it breaks 3382, it can continue to sell it with a small rebound. 3405 is also a suppression, and it is also considered to sell when it is close. Pressure 3405 and 3410, support 3282, the strength and weakness dividing line 3400. Fundamental analysis: Yesterday, Iran and Israel started bombing each other again, and the situation began to escalate. Operation suggestion Gold-----Sell near 3405, target 3390-3360
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NuggetsWarriors
1
NZDUSD → Correction and liquidity capture ahead of growthFX:NZDUSD , following a sharp decline during the Pacific-Asian session, is testing the support of the upward trend and the liquidity zone... The dollar is correcting amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. This is a temporary move, and the market may return to its main trend. The currency pair is forming a false breakdown of support Against the backdrop of an uptrend and a weak dollar, the currency pair is testing support at 0.6000. The reaction is weak at the moment, but there is a chance for growth if the price consolidates above 0.6020. I do not rule out a retest of the liquidity zone at 0.5989 before growth Support levels: 0.6000, 0.5989 Resistance levels: 0.6068 The inability to continue falling and the formation of a local reversal structure relative to 0.6000 (price consolidation above 0.6020) may support the market. I do not rule out that the market may decline to the liquidity zone of 0.5989 before rising. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
GBP/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance Zone – Downside Targets GBP/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance Zone – Downside Targets Ahead 🚨 This chart analysis of GBP/USD reveals a clear bearish structure unfolding after the pair tested a strong resistance zone near the 1.36000 level. Here's the professional breakdown: 🔴 Key Resistance Zone: 1.36000 – 1.36200 Price has been rejected multiple times from this upper zone (marked in red). Repeated upper wicks and lower closes signal selling pressure. Recent candle formations suggest a potential reversal from this level. 🟢 Major Support Zones: 1.33090 (Mid-Level Support) This level has acted as a reaction zone in the past. Could provide temporary consolidation or bounce. 1.31500 – 1.32000 Strong historical support, price bounced here previously. Bears might slow down in this area before continuation. 1.28000 – 1.29000 Deeper support zone; if broken, could indicate a major trend shift. 📉 Bearish Projection Price is expected to descend toward 1.33090, and if momentum continues, potentially down to the 1.28 region. The zigzag projection in the black box reflects a stair-step pattern typical of strong bearish legs. 🧠 Market Psychology & Price Action Sellers are defending the resistance aggressively. Lower highs and consistent rejection candles imply weakening bullish momentum. This setup aligns with a distribution phase before a drop. 📌 Conclusion 🔻 As long as the price remains below the 1.36000 resistance, the bias remains bearish. Watch for confirmations at 1.33090 and 1.32000 – these are crucial zones where price decisions will unfold. 📆 Short to mid-term traders may look for sell setups on retracements with stop-losses above the resistance and targets near support zones.
Short
by MrStellanSight
1
EURAUD breakout level retest at 1.7660Trend Overview: EURAUD is currently exhibiting a bullish trend, with recent price action reflecting a retest of former resistance (now acting as support)—a classic bullish continuation pattern. Key Support Level: 1.7660 – A pivotal zone representing the previous consolidation area. This level now serves as key support and a decision point for the next directional move. Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias): A corrective pullback to the 1.7660 area followed by a bullish bounce would signal trend continuation. Upside targets are: 1.7800 – Near-term resistance. 1.7880 – Mid-term target aligned with prior highs. 1.7970 – Long-term resistance zone. Bearish Scenario (Invalidation): A confirmed break and daily close below 1.7660 would invalidate the current bullish bias. This would open the door for further downside toward: 1.7610 – Initial retracement support. 1.7550 – Deeper pullback level within a broader range. Conclusion: EURAUD remains bullishly biased, supported by both structure and momentum. The 1.7660 level is crucial—holding this level would maintain the upside potential toward 1.7970. However, a decisive break below it would signal weakness and increase the likelihood of a deeper retracement. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
1
Top 5 Most Effective Forex Trading StrategiesTop 5 Most Effective Forex Trading Strategies Used by Professional Traders Forex trading requires not just knowledge, but discipline and a clear strategy. So what are the most effective forex trading strategies that professional traders consistently use to achieve sustainable profits? Let’s explore the 5 most trusted strategies that have stood the test of time – helping you level up your skills and reduce risk in this trillion-dollar market. 1. Breakout Strategy – Catching the Wave When the Market Explodes A breakout occurs when price moves beyond a key support or resistance level after a period of consolidation. This usually signals the start of a new trend. Best for: Traders who love strong momentum. Pro tip: Confirm breakout with volume or candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing). Caution: Avoid entering right after the breakout – wait for a retest. 2. Trend Following Strategy – Trade with the Market, Not Against It “Trend is your friend” – one of the most famous sayings in trading. This strategy helps traders ride the main trend, buying in uptrends and selling in downtrends. Recommended tools: MA 20, MA 50, RSI, MACD. Insider tip: Combine with pullback entries (enter when price retraces to dynamic support/resistance). 3. Price Action Strategy – Reading the Market Without Indicators Price Action focuses on interpreting pure price behavior, without relying on indicators. Many pro traders prefer this approach to understand market psychology in real time. Advantages: Clean, flexible, sharpens decision-making. Popular candlestick patterns: Pin Bar, Inside Bar, Fakey, Engulfing. 4. News Trading Strategy – For Quick Thinkers and Fast Hands When major news events like CPI, NFP, FOMC, or rate decisions hit the market, volatility surges. This creates both high-profit opportunities and high risks. Common tactic: Straddle – place Buy Stop & Sell Stop before news release. Risk warning: Watch out for slippage and widened spreads. 5. Fibonacci & Confluence Strategy – High-Probability Entries This strategy combines tools like Fibonacci retracement, trendlines, support/resistance zones, and moving averages to find high-probability entry points. Strength: Optimizes Risk: Reward ratio. Tip: Focus on Fib levels 0.382 – 0.618 (commonly used retracement zones). Conclusion: The Best Strategy is the One That Matches Your Style There’s no perfect strategy – but understanding and applying the one that best fits your trading style will help you avoid emotional decisions and build long-term consistency. Remember: Risk management – Emotional control – Systematic discipline = Long-term trading survival.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Henrybillion
1
Bitcoin Short-Term, 1H Timeframe, Bullish ($115,482 Next Target)Bitcoin completed its retrace 13-June 01:00 AM with a higher low at $102,663. Price action and trading volume indicates that the bearish move is over. Bitcoin is trading above support in the form of 0.618 Fib. retracement. Bitcoin is turning bullish moving above EMA34, EMA21, EMA13 and EMA8 all in this current active session. Immediate support stands between $105,293 and $105,314. Next support is $104,533 and main support $104,282 matching the 0.618 Fib. retracement level. Next target easy hit is $106,625, followed by $107,559. The second being a mild resistance. Bitcoin can easily continue higher short-term aiming next at $108,989 followed by the last high at $110,586. Depending on how this level is handle we can update the short-term view. The 1H timeframe is bullish now based on price action, candlestick patterns, higher lows, moving averages and the oscillators. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
12
FARTCOINUSDT Bullish Breakout Setup – Retest OpportunityFARTCOINUSDT shows a potential bullish breakout from a falling wedge pattern. Price action breaks the descending trendline and comes back for a clean retest at a key confluence zone near horizontal support and wedge resistance turned support. This offers a high-probability long entry with minimal downside risk and a wide upside target. Trade Details: Entry Price: 1.2073 USDT (area antara zona hijau dan merah) Take Profit (TP): 1.3648 USDT Stop Loss (SL): 1.1608 USDT Risk:Reward Ratio (RRR): 1 : 3.96 Potential Gain: +0.1575 USDT → +13.05% Potential Loss: -0.0465 USDT → -3.85%
Long
by NakamotoZzzz
2
NZDCAD Monthly increaseThe New Zealand dollar (NZD) is showing strong potential for long-term appreciation against the Canadian dollar (CAD). Fundamentally, New Zealand's economy is benefiting from the RBNZ's cautious tightening stance and strong export performance in dairy and agriculture. Meanwhile, Canada faces reduced rate hike expectations from the BOC due to softer energy and housing sectors. Market sentiment favors higher-yielding commodity currencies like NZD, especially as risk appetite improves. Technically, NZD/CAD is forming higher lows on the monthly chart, signaling a bullish bias, with a potential breakout from its long-term range confirming further upside. Any short-term pullbacks could present buying opportunities for sustained gains. Sasha Charkhchian
Long
by Sashacharkhchi
1
AAPL Breaking Structure! Gamma Says Caution — Is $195 Next? 🍎 AAPL Breaking Structure! Gamma Says Caution — Is $195 Next? 🔻 🧬 GEX Options Sentiment Analysis: * Gamma Key Levels: * CALL Walls: * $202.50 (moderate resistance) * $205 = Gamma Wall / Call Resistance * $210–215 = Higher walls unlikely to reach short-term without catalyst * PUT Walls: * $198 = 2nd PUT Wall and Heavy Volume Level (HVL) * $195.70 = Highest negative NET GEX / PUT magnet * Below $195 opens risk to $192.50, $190 (GEX7/10 cluster) * Options Metrics: * IVR: 21.6 * IVx avg: 30.2 * PUT Flow: 0% (!!) – no PUT buyers showing up (caution on reversals) * GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔴🔴🔴 (very bearish tilt) * Interpretation: * AAPL is hugging the gamma flip zone at $198–$200. If it breaks and stays under $198, dealers may accelerate hedging, sending it down toward $195/$192. * Call side is weak; momentum buyers missing. 🧠 15-Minute SMC Structure Breakdown: * Current Price: $197.18 * Structure: * CHoCH confirmed just below supply at $198.50 → bearish sign. * Repeated rejections from the supply zone (pink box). * Broke ascending wedge/trendline support on rising volume — bearish pattern confirmation. * Demand box sits near $195.70–$196.50. * Volume: * Bearish volume increasing during rejection = potential for trend continuation lower. ⚔️ Trade Scenarios: 🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup: * Trigger: Confirmed close below $196.50 with increasing volume. * Target 1: $195.70 (GEX/SMC demand) * Target 2: $192.50 (GEX7 magnet) * Stop-loss: $198.50 Strong confluence with gamma, SMC structure, and volume break = high-probability short. 🟩 Bullish Reversal Setup (Low Probability): * Trigger: Reclaim of $198.89 with conviction * Target 1: $200 * Target 2: $202.50 (CALL wall) * Stop-loss: Below $196.45 Only consider if SPY/QQQ stage reversal bounce and AAPL leads. 💡 My Thoughts: * AAPL looks weak and vulnerable heading into Tuesday. * If price loses $196.45, gamma + structure suggests fast flush to $195 and possibly $192. * This is not the spot to go long blindly — let the level reclaim first. * PUT flow being 0% despite this setup suggests retail hasn't stepped in — this could change rapidly. 🔚 Conclusion: AAPL is breaking down from structure and trending toward gamma PUT support. Options sentiment and Smart Money structure are both aligning for bearish continuation — short bounces are sell opportunities unless $199+ is reclaimed with strength. Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always manage your risk and follow your plan. Would you like to format this for a TradingView post next or combine all into one GEX/TA wrap-up?
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
1