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Patterntrading

"Godshield’s Gold Play: Going Short or Waiting for ConfirmationThe XAU/USD M30 chart from April 27, 2025, at 08:57 AM WAT shows gold at $3,302.27, after a significant drop from $3,421.64 earlier in the session on April 26. The chart highlights a bearish move with multiple annotations—labels like "Sell," "PUT," "BOS" (Break of Structure), and "OB" (Order Block) indicate a strong downtrend. The price broke below a key level around $3,307, which aligns with a bearish order block labeled "Sell" and "OB," where sellers stacked orders. The "BOS" label shows a break of structure, confirming a bearish shift with lower highs and lower lows. The trendlines (red and yellow) form a descending channel, guiding price lower, with a recent test of the upper trendline around $3,316.98 before the drop.The question is: am I going short now at $3,302.27, or waiting for confirmation? Let’s run through my checklist. I start with harmonic patterns—while no specific XABCD structure like a shark is labeled here, the chart’s bearish momentum aligns with my earlier analysis of a bearish shark on April 25, suggesting the downtrend is continuing. Market structure confirms bearish continuation—the break of structure below $3,307 (labeled "BOS") shows sellers in control, with lower highs and lower lows on H4 and H1. The bearish order block around $3,307, marked "Sell" and "OB," is where smart money distributed, and price has reacted strongly after retesting this zone. Volume profile isn’t shown, but I’d expect high volume at $3,307, with a Fair Value Gap below acting as a magnet, likely near $3,293.66, as indicated by the chart’s price levels. Top-down analysis aligns—H4 is bearish, H1 and M30 confirm the downtrend, and I’m looking for an M15 retest of $3,307 as resistance for a sell. Heikin Ashi candles (though not visible here) are likely red, as the chart is titled "Heikin," supporting the downtrend. Fibonacci extensions (not drawn) from the high at $3,421.64 to the low at $3,293.66 point to a target near $3,289.46, the next support on the chart. Gann angles (implied by the trendlines) align with this target. MACD and RSI aren’t shown, but based on my system, I’d expect a bearish crossover with a negative histogram and RSI below 50, likely showing bearish divergence at the $3,316.98 high. Risk management is set—sell at $3,307, stop-loss above the recent high at $3,316.98, take-profit at $3,289.46, giving a 1:2 reward ratio. News and liquidity traps are clear—no fake spikes above $3,307 yet, though I’m watching for them, especially with the volatility noted earlier this week (gold hit $3,499.99 on April 22, per my previous chart).Given this setup, I’m going short now at $3,302.27. The price has already retested the $3,307 order block and rejected it, as shown by the "PUT" label and the drop to $3,302.27. Waiting for confirmation isn’t necessary here—the break of structure, order block rejection, and bearish momentum are my green lights. My target’s $3,289.46, with a stop-loss at $3,316.98, locking in a solid risk-reward ratio. I’ve been refining this strategy for six months, backtesting like a beast, and I’m confident in this hunt. That said, I’ve missed momentum signals before—like on April 22 when I didn’t catch the RSI overbought signal at $3,499.99—so I’m staying sharp.The asker mentioned waiting for confirmation at $3,300, but that’s not a level on this chart. The closest support is $3,293.66, which aligns with my take-profit. Waiting for $3,300 might mean missing the move, as the bearish momentum is already in motion, and my target is below that level. If price consolidates or shows signs of reversal (like a bullish Heikin Ashi candle on M15), I’d reassess, but for now, I’m in. What do you think, fam? Am I right to go short now at $3,302.27, or would you wait for a different confirmation? Drop your thoughts below—I’m curious to hear how you’d play this XAU/USD setup! If you’re one of the two ready to join me at Academia for Forex Trading, let’s talk—we’ll hunt these markets together. And while you’re at it, check out Icon Collections Store—does RiverSide, Desire, or Icoca vibe with your trading energy? Let me know!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by godshieldufford
Bullish Breakout on NAS100 – Momentum ShiftingNASDAQ 100 (US100) – Bullish Setup Developing 1. Falling Wedge Breakout: Price has broken out of the falling wedge (purple trendlines), signaling a potential reversal to the upside. 2. Retesting Breakout Zone: Current price action is retesting the breakout level near the 18,000 zone, indicating potential support forming. 3. Trendline Confluence: The breakout aligns with the lower boundary of the broader ascending channel (blue), acting as dynamic support. 4. Strong Bullish Rejection at Lows: Price showed strong buying interest near 17,700, forming a bullish rejection wick and bounce. 5. Clean Target Ahead: Next key resistance zone lies around 18,540, where price may face selling pressure again – this matches previous structure and descending channel resistance. 6.Momentum Shift Noted: Lower highs and lower lows structure has been invalidated, hinting at a possible trend shift. Thanks for your Time..
FX:NAS100Long
by Naren_2410
1
NAS100 Triangle Apex – Breakout or Breakdown ImminentBullish View: • Price is forming higher lows and holding above the lower ascending trendline. • A breakout above the upper descending trendline near 18,500 would confirm bullish momentum. • If the breakout is sustained, potential upside targets include 18,650 and 18,800. Bearish View: • Price has tested the lower support trendline and shown weakness near the apex of the triangle. • A breakdown below 18,100 would indicate bearish momentum and invalidate the ascending structure. • If the breakdown is sustained, potential downside targets include 17,950 and 17,700.
FX:NAS100
by Naren_2410
Candlestick Pattern Trading: Reading the Market in ColorHello, traders! Let’s face it — price charts can feel overwhelming at first. Red. Green. Wicks. Shadows. Bodies. It’s like abstract art for traders. But once you understand candlestick pattern trading, you’ll start to see structure in the chaos—and maybe even profit from it. Candlestick patterns are one of the most popular tools in technical analysis. They don’t just show price data; they tell a story about market sentiment. Whether you’re a beginner or an experienced trader, knowing your candlestick pattern chart basics is essential. So, grab your coffee (or matcha, we don't judge), and let’s break this down. What Is a Candlestick Pattern? A candlestick pattern is a visual formation that appears on a price chart and helps traders predict future market movement based on past price behavior. Each candle represents the open, high, low, and close price for a specific time frame. When grouped, candlestick chart patterns help traders spot potential reversals, continuations, and areas of indecision. These formations work across all time frames and are used in stocks, crypto, and forex – you name it. Candles don’t just represent price; they reflect emotion. Greed. Fear. FOMO. Panic selling. It’s all there in the pattern candlestick formations. Learning to read them is like learning a new language—except this one helps you protect your capital. Whether you're a scalper or a swing trader, the best part of candlestick pattern trading is that it gives you context. It shows who’s in control — buyers or sellers— and offers clues on what might come next. Candlestick Patterns Cheat Sheet for Cryptomarkets To help you better navigate, here's a handy visual reference that breaks down key candlestick chart patterns by category: bullish, bearish, and neutral. Whether you're spotting a potential reversal or riding a continuation, this cheat sheet covers some of the most reliable formations used in candlestick pattern trading. 🔵 Bullish Patterns (Reversal & Continuation) These patterns typically appear at the bottom of a downtrend and signal potential upside momentum. Key Bullish Patterns Shown Include: Hammer and Inverted Hammer – Reversal patterns that signal buyer strength. Bullish Engulfing, Morning Star, and Tweezer Bottom – These are Strong indications of a trend reversal. Rising Three Methods, Bullish Three Line Strike, and Bullish Mat Hold – Continuation patterns that suggest a bullish trend is likely to resume. 🔴 Bearish Patterns (Reversal & Continuation) Found at the top of uptrends, these patterns often warn of downward pressure: Hanging Man and Shooting Star – Classic bearish reversals. Bearish Engulfing, Evening Star, and Tweezer Top – Indicate a shift from bullish to bearish control. Falling Three Methods, Bearish Three Line Strike, and Bearish Mat Hold – Patterns that imply the downtrend is resuming after a pause. 🟠 Neutral Patterns These patterns signal indecision in the market and require confirmation: Doji – A candle where the open and close are nearly the same, reflecting balance. Gravestone Doji and Dragonfly – Unique forms of the Doji that lean toward reversals depending on their position. This cheat sheet is a great visual companion for understanding candlestick pattern charts at a glance — especially useful in fast-moving markets like crypto. Final Thoughts: Learn the Language of the Market Candlestick pattern trading is like learning to read between the lines—but in chart form. Once you recognize the key candlestick chart patterns, you’ll stop guessing and start interpreting what the market is really trying to say. So, next time you open a chart, don’t just stare at it. Ask questions: ❓ Is that a bullish candlestick pattern forming? ❓ Is this a breakout or a trap? ❓ Is the candlestick flag pattern just pausing, or is momentum dying? When you start seeing candles not as just red and green bars but as signals of crowd behavior… well, that’s when the magic begins. Have a favorite candlestick pattern chart setup you swear by? Drop it in the comments, and let’s compare notes. 🔥
Education
by WhiteBIT