DXY Just Broke Through the Lock… Where’s the Market Headed Now?🌅 Good Morning, Friends!
A few days ago, I marked 98.950 as a key threshold for the DXY index. As of today, that level has officially been broken—and the bullish momentum we anticipated is now kicking in. 📈
The next target? 101.000.
That said, it’s crucial to remember: DXY is heavily influenced by fundamental data. Stay alert and keep a close eye on key economic developments—they’re essential for navigating this move.
This breakout validates the analysis I shared with you all. And it wasn’t just about charts—it was about discipline, precision, and timing.
Every single like from you is a huge boost to my motivation. Thanks from the heart—your support drives me to keep sharing these insights! 💙
Priceaction
AUDCAD / GBPAUD Trade Recaps 01.08.25A tester trade on AUDCAD with the reasons explained as to why this was a test position, and a short position executed on GBPAUD. Solid setup that this time around just didn't commit.
Full explanation as to why I executed on these positions and the management plan with both.
Any questions you have just drop them below 👇
XAUUSD H4 Update – The Battle Has Moved to 3350
“From deep demand to key supply. The next move is decisive.”
🔸 Sunday Plan Recap
Price was falling aggressively into the HTF demand zone (3265–3240).
The plan anticipated a bounce only if that deep zone held.
Above price, major zones included:
3314 – mid-structure
3330–3345 – supply zone
3368–3380 – final retracement targets
🔸 What Changed?
✅ The deep demand zone worked — H4 CHoCH bullish was confirmed.
✅ Price climbed through 3285 and 3314, confirming a retracement leg.
🔥 Now, price sits at 3349.57, testing the same supply zone marked in Sunday’s plan (3330–3345).
🔸 Current H4 Structure
🔼 Short-term bias = bullish retracement
📍 Price = inside HTF premium zone
📈 EMAs aligned bullish (5/21/50), confirming short-term momentum
💡 RSI = approaching overbought
⚔️ Liquidity above 3355, trapped shorts below 3314
🧠 Today’s Battle Plan (August 1)
🔴 Sell Zone (live) – 3345 to 3355
Price just entered the key H4 supply zone. Watch for rejection signs:
Bearish confirmation needed (e.g. M15/M30 CHoCH or engulfing)
If confirmed → downside targets: 3314 → 3285 → 3265
High RR short only if structure confirms
🔵 Breakout Bullish Case
If 3355 breaks with a clean body + HL at 3340 → bullish continuation active
Next upside target: 3368 → 3380
🧭 Final Thoughts
We’ve reached the exact decision zone from Sunday’s plan.
The market will now reveal: retracement over... or breakout coming?
Patience is key — this is a high RR zone, but only if structure reacts.
💬 Did you catch the move from deep demand? Or waiting for confirmation here at supply?
📈 Share your thoughts in the comments and let’s break it down together.
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📉 Price data from Trade Nation feed
+330% this morning $1.25 to $5.38 on massive 270 million volume🚀 +330% this morning 💥 $1.25 to $5.38 on massive 270 million shares traded volume so far
NASDAQ:SNGX money maker of the day!
2 Buy Alerts sent out, also posted it in my premarket watchlist while it was still up only +30%!
Forget about NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ they will never be able to create such gains in a single day or should I say minutes
This isn't options trading either, it's a stock that went up that much this morning
DOGEUSDT|Pullback Confluent Support -cup&handle next ext. +80%DOGE - retraced at the confluent support zone, high potential pullback buy position:
- SMA50 Dynamic support—often attracts mean-reversion buys.
- cup & handle support retest Price retested prior breakout zone—flips resistance to support.
- key 38% Fib “sweet spot” pullback level after corrective moves.
- Previous Change of Character marks shift from bearish to bullish structure—support confluence.
Potential Entry & Risk Management
Entry Zone
- Aggressive: immediate handle breakout support
- Conservative: Wait for liquidity pattern and re-bounce confirmation candle above SMA50
Stop-Loss
-Below Cup Handle low -10% larger position prior swing high RR:2.5/1
-Suggested SL: previous low -0.17 USDT - 5% below entry
Initial Targets
-Key resistance 61.8% Fib retracement — 0.217 USD
-100% Prior swing high — 0.26 USD
-162% Next extended target - 0.35 USD
Trade Rationale
-Mean-reversion into SMA50 and Fib 38.2% zone aligns multiple buyers.
-Pattern support: Cup & handle retest confirms breakout strength.
-Structure flip: CoCh zone indicates bullish regime shift.
Watch-Outs
-Rejection below 0.188 USD erodes support cluster—invalidates setup.
-Rising volume on bounce is crucial—low-volume lifts often fail.
-Beware broader market sell-offs impacting altcoins.
Next Steps:
-Monitor 4-hour candlestick close inside entry zone.
-Check volume spike on reversal candle.
-Adjust risk dynamically if price gravitates toward upper channel resistance.
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stop..
BTCUSD – Bullish Recovery Setup Forming Near Trendline Support🧠 Market Structure & Technical Breakdown
The BTCUSD 4H chart showcases a well-formed descending triangle or falling wedge structure with clearly respected major and minor descending trendlines. Currently, price action is testing a dynamic support zone, highlighted in green, which has been a strong reaction area in the past.
This area aligns with a bullish accumulation zone, from which buyers have previously stepped in to initiate impulsive moves. Given the confluence of diagonal support and horizontal price reactions, we may be on the verge of a bullish breakout opportunity.
📍 Key Zones & Trendlines
✅ Green Support Channel (Demand Zone): Acting as a key pivot for multiple recent rejections, this area (~114,000–113,000) is now being revisited again, offering potential buy interest.
📉 Minor Trendline: A short-term descending resistance around 120,000—likely the first barrier in case of a bounce.
📉 Major Trendline: A more extended dynamic resistance line connecting swing highs, currently intersecting near the 124,000 region.
🔄 Potential Price Scenarios
Primary Bullish Setup (MMC Plan):
Price bounces off the green demand zone.
Breaks above the minor trendline (~120K).
Pullback retest to confirm breakout.
Continuation toward the major breakout level (~124K and beyond).
Invalidation / Bearish Case:
A clean breakdown below 113,000 with strong bearish momentum would negate this setup, likely targeting the psychological support near 110,000.
🧠 MMC Mindset: Trade with Patience & Confluence
This is a classic accumulation-to-breakout scenario. Smart traders wait for confirmation—especially as BTC often exhibits false breakdowns before a major move. Monitor candle behavior, volume, and reaction to the minor trendline.
Let the market show signs of strength (like bullish engulfing, pin bars, or a breakout-retest) before committing to the upside. Avoid FOMO; the key is discipline and precision entry at structural break points.
✅ Trade Plan Summary:
Watch zone: 113,000–114,500 for bullish price action
Breakout level: Minor trendline (~120,000)
Target zone: 123,500–124,000 (Major resistance)
Stop-loss idea: Below 112,800 (Invalidation of structure)
Gold Crashes $100 After Hitting Monthly High | What’s Next?In this video, I break down everything that moved the price of gold last week, from the early-week rally toward $3,430 to the sharp midweek drop toward $3,325. We go beyond the surface, diving into what caused the reversal, and how I'm approaching next week’s market using a simple ascending channel on the 4-hour chart.
With major events like the FOMC rate decision, U.S. GDP, PCE inflation, NFP and the August 1 tariff deadline all on the radar, this analysis will help you stay grounded and prepare for volatility.
👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Boost, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#goldanalysis, #goldforecast, #xauusd, #goldpriceprediction, #technicalanalysis, #fundamentalanalysis, #tradingstrategy, #forextrader, #priceaction, #fomc, #usgdp, #pceinflation, #goldtrading, #forexeducation, #dollarvsgold, #tariffnews, #chartanalysis, #forexmentorship, #rebuildingthetraderwithin
XAUUSD Smart Money Technical Analysis – Bullish Potential XAUUSD Smart Money Technical Analysis – Bullish Potential from Strong Support
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3,291.780, showing a potential bullish reversal setup from the strong support zone after a clear liquidity sweep and market structure shifts.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
✅ Strong Support Zone (Demand)
Price is reacting from a major demand zone (Strong Low) between $3,275 – $3,225, a level that previously triggered bullish rallies.
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and CHoCH indicate previous bullish control and a possible re-accumulation phase.
✅ CHoCH Near Support
A recent Change of Character (CHoCH) around the support area shows the first signs of smart money accumulation.
Liquidity below recent lows has been swept, triggering possible bullish intent.
✅ Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A clear Bullish FVG remains unmitigated around the mid-range, offering target confluence at $3,349.560.
Price may aim to rebalance inefficiency and fill the FVG as part of the bullish move.
✅ Resistance Zone Above
The resistance area near $3,325 – $3,350 acts as a short-term target for long positions.
Further resistance lies at the Buy-Side Liquidity & Weak High zone around $3,450 if momentum sustains.
🧠 Smart Money Concept Interpretation:
Liquidity Grab: Price dipped into strong demand to collect sell-side liquidity before potential reversal.
CHoCH + BOS Alignment: Indicates the market may now transition into a bullish phase.
FVG as Magnet: Price is drawn toward unfilled value zones—ideal for bullish target projection.
🎯 Trade Idea (Educational Purposes Only):
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Around current zone ($3,290)
Target: $3,349.560 (FVG zone)
Invalidation/SL: Below strong low (~$3,225)
US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone🧠 US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone
Timeframe: 30-Minute | Chart Published: July 24, 2025
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🔍 Overview
The US100 (NASDAQ) has been trading in a well-structured ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action suggests that the index is testing a critical supply zone near 23,400, with signs of weakening bullish momentum. This may signal a potential corrective phase or bearish reversal.
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📈 Technical Analysis Breakdown
🔵 Trend Structure:
Price is respecting a clear ascending trendline (blue), connecting multiple higher lows.
Multiple bullish flag/channel formations have been completed within the uptrend, showing healthy momentum until the current point.
🟥 Resistance Zone:
Strong supply zone marked between 23,250 – 23,450.
Price action shows stalling candles and rejection wicks within this zone, indicating buyer exhaustion.
⚠ Bearish Patterns:
The red path projection suggests a head and shoulders-like structure forming at the top of the channel.
This, along with divergence in wave strength and shrinking momentum, supports a potential reversal.
🔵 Key Support:
First support lies around 23,000 — aligning with the ascending trendline and previous consolidation.
If broken, next demand zone is around 22,835 – 22,900, where historical consolidation took place.
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🔁 Projected Scenario (as per visual path)
1. Price may attempt one last push into the 23,400–23,450 zone (possible false breakout).
2. Rejection from this level could trigger a fall toward the ascending trendline support.
3. A confirmed break of the trendline can lead to a larger correction toward the 22,800 zone.
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🧠 Unique Insight
This chart combines multi-timeframe structure recognition with a real-time reversal formation inside a long-standing bullish trend. The analysis doesn’t just rely on textbook patterns—it recognizes real-time price behavior shifts, which makes it valuable for proactive traders.
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📌 Conclusion
While the trend remains bullish overall, caution is warranted as the US100 approaches a historically significant resistance zone. The setup offers a compelling risk-reward short opportunity for aggressive traders, especially if the price confirms a break below trendline support.
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🔧 Next Steps for Viewers
> “Watch for a clean rejection candle or lower high at resistance before entering short. If trendline breaks cleanly, 22,835 could be the next target zone.”
USDJPY 4H Analysis : Curve Breakout & Retest Completed + Bullish"Momentum Building Above Retested Demand – Will Bulls Take Control?"
📊 Market Structure Overview:
USDJPY has shown a clean bullish structure in recent sessions, supported by a strong demand retest and a steady parabolic curve formation (Black Mind Curve Line). The pair has successfully broken above a major resistance, retested it, and is now holding higher ground—suggesting potential for continued upside if current structure holds.
🧱 Detailed Technical Breakdown:
🔹 1. Demand & Retesting Behavior
The chart highlights a key demand zone (green box) that was previously used after a bullish move.
Price recently returned to this zone for a clean retest, validating its role as a strong support.
This type of retesting behavior is critical in smart money analysis, confirming that accumulation has occurred and sellers have been absorbed.
🔹 2. Major Breakout Confirmation
The previous major structure level has been decisively broken to the upside.
This level now acts as support, increasing the probability that the bullish move will sustain.
🔹 3. Black Mind Curve Line (Parabolic Structure)
A parabolic curved trendline supports the current price action, showing how bulls are gradually gaining momentum.
This curve represents buyer interest increasing over time, which often leads to an aggressive breakout when paired with retest confirmation.
📍 Key Price Zones:
Type Price Level (Approx.) Description
🔹 Retesting Zone ~148.800 – 149.100 Support zone after major breakout
🔺 Resistance Target (1) ~150.500 Bullish breakout target (short-term)
🔻 Downside Risk (2) ~147.000 – 146.500 Bearish invalidation zone if demand fails
🔹 Full Supply Area ~145.000 – 145.500 Historical supply zone if price fails completely
🔮 Trade Scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias)
Retest is complete, and price is holding above the curve and demand zone.
If bullish momentum continues:
📈 Target 1: 150.50 – Near-term resistance and liquidity area
📈 Target 2: 151.20+ – Extension target if buyers dominate
Bullish Confirmation:
Price must stay above ~149.00 and continue forming higher highs.
Entry ideas: Wait for minor consolidation above current price or bullish breakout from mini range.
⚠️ Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection
If price rejects from current level and breaks below the curve and demand zone (~148.80):
📉 First downside target: 147.00 (minor support)
📉 Final bearish target: 145.50 (full supply zone)
Bearish Confirmation:
Breakdown of curve support and close below the retesting zone with momentum.
Such a move would suggest buyers failed, and market may rotate lower.
🧠 Market Sentiment & Psychology:
Smart Money Behavior: Demand was filled cleanly and retested, indicating possible institutional interest at that level.
Momentum Curve: As shown by the black curve, momentum is rising gradually—this reflects confidence building among buyers.
However, price is near psychological resistance (150.00–150.50 zone), where heavy sell orders might be placed.
The market is in a decision zone, where confirmation of strength or failure will dictate the next 200–300 pip move.
🎯 Summary:
USDJPY is showing a bullish structure supported by:
A valid retest of demand
A clean breakout of major resistance
An ascending parabolic curve
If bulls defend the current zone, we may see a powerful continuation toward 150.50+. If price fails to hold above the retest zone, downside risks open toward 147.00 and potentially the full supply at 145.00.
📌 Trade Smart: Wait for price confirmation, manage risk with stop placement below the demand zone or structure lows, and avoid chasing the move.
EURJPY Bullish Setup : EURJPY Forecast + Demand Zone🧠 Introduction: What's Happening on the Chart?
Today’s analysis on EURJPY is built on the MMC trading framework, which emphasizes the identification of institutional supply and demand zones, reaction points, QFL patterns, and volume bursts to map out high-probability trading paths.
We are currently observing a market in a corrective phase following a significant bearish drop. However, the presence of a major demand zone, along with a positive bullish pattern, suggests potential upside reversal or at least a short-term retracement.
🔍 Technical Breakdown – Zone by Zone
🔻 1. The Drop from 2x Supply Zone
EURJPY experienced a significant decline from the 173.60–174.00 area, which acted as a 2x confirmed supply zone.
Sellers took control with strong bearish candles that broke through previous minor support levels.
This drop was impulsive, showing momentum-driven selling, often linked with institutional activity.
🟩 2. Demand Reaction at Major Zone
Price entered a key demand zone marked in green (170.80–171.00), where historically buyers have stepped in.
A "Volume Burst" is visible here—large volume candles with long wicks to the downside, which typically indicate accumulation.
A positive pattern (possibly engulfing or a pin bar structure) has formed, signaling a potential bullish reversal or relief rally.
🧱 3. QFL Structure (Quantum Flat Line)
The chart highlights a QFL base, where the price consolidates after an initial drop, then continues lower before a sharp bounce.
QFL is often used to identify trap zones where retail traders are shaken out, and smart money enters.
The recent bounce from the QFL base suggests smart money might be accumulating for a reversal move.
📐 Key Levels and Zones
Type Zone/Level Role
🔵 Volume Burst Area ~170.80–171.00 Aggressive buyer entry; accumulation zone
🟢 Major Demand 170.80–171.20 Key structural low supporting bullish bias
🟠 SR Flip Zone 171.80–172.00 Crucial breakout/retest level
🔴 Minor Resistance 172.60–173.00 Short-term pullback zone
🟥 2x Supply 173.60–174.00 Strong reversal point; ideal target
🔁 Scenarios to Watch
📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout and Rally (Blue Box 1)
If price breaks above 172.00, we expect:
A potential retest (bullish confirmation).
Continuation toward minor resistance at 173.00, and possibly the 2x supply zone at 174.00.
This aligns with the positive pattern formed at the base and the idea of a market rotation from bearish to bullish structure.
📉 Scenario 2: Rejection and Retest of Lows (Blue Box 2)
If the price fails to sustain above 172.00, sellers may step in:
Price could revisit the major demand zone again or even break down to 170.50.
This would invalidate the bullish setup in the short term and imply a larger continuation of the bearish trend.
🧠 Strategic Insights (MMC-Based Thinking)
The MMC approach teaches us to mirror the market’s emotion and behavior.
In this case, we see signs of:
Panic selling → smart money accumulation.
Institutional traps (QFL drop) → bullish absorption.
Traders applying MMC would anticipate reactive setups at the SR Flip Zone to determine next directional bias.
💡 Trade Ideas (For Educational Purposes Only)
Strategy Entry SL TP1 TP2
Aggressive Long 171.30–171.50 170.70 172.50 173.50
Breakout Retest Long 172.10 (after breakout) 171.50 173.00 174.00
Sell on Rejection 172.00 (bearish confirmation) 172.60 171.00 170.40
📌 Conclusion & Final Thoughts
EURJPY is showing a potential bullish reversal setup from a well-defined demand zone, supported by volume bursts and positive price action patterns. However, the SR Zone at 172.00 remains the key pivot—how the price reacts here will determine whether we see a deeper pullback or a continuation to test upper resistance levels.
Stay flexible and responsive. Let the market give confirmation before execution. As always, follow proper risk management and trade the reaction, not the prediction.
XAUUSD Analysis : Channel Break, Demand Zone + SR - Interchange"High-Probability Zone Reaction & SR Flip Confirmation"
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently reacting from a significant support zone after completing a bearish breakout from a well-established ascending channel. The market structure indicates both threat and opportunity depending on how price behaves around key levels ahead.
🔍 Structure Breakdown & Price Behavior:
🔹 1. Rising Channel Violation
Over the past few weeks, price was comfortably moving inside a well-respected ascending channel, making higher highs and higher lows.
Recently, however, price broke below the lower boundary, which is often a bearish signal—indicating a possible trend reversal or a deeper correction phase.
Such breakdowns suggest buyers are losing control, and bearish sentiment is gaining strength.
🔹 2. Supply Zone Reaction & Drop
Before the breakout, we observed a sharp rejection from a high point, triggering a sell-off.
The price completed its move into a previously defined supply zone, resulting in a strong bearish impulsive leg that pushed it outside the channel.
This move shows clear institutional distribution—where large sellers unloaded positions around that zone.
📍 Key Zone Focus:
🟩 Previous Reversal / Demand Zone (Green Box)
Price is now sitting in a historically strong demand zone, which acted as a major reversal point in the past.
This area is marked as the first zone of interest where buyers might step back in to defend.
The green box represents a liquidity pocket where institutions previously accumulated positions—hence it’s a strong bounce candidate.
🟦 SR Interchange Zone (Blue Box)
The next major level above current price is the SR Interchange zone, around 3,320–3,340.
This level was previously broken and now acts as resistance.
It's crucial because it represents the battle zone where the market will decide whether to continue bearish or shift back bullish.
🧠 Market Psychology & Order Flow Insight:
The recent aggressive selling pressure from the highs, followed by a bounce from the demand zone, shows a shift from euphoria to fear.
Sellers are active at supply, while buyers are attempting to defend the previous demand.
The market is currently in decision mode—and the SR flip zone (3,320–3,340) will be the judge.
A break and retest above this level signals strength and potential for a trend resumption.
A failure to reclaim it would confirm bearish dominance and open doors for deeper targets.
🔄 Possible Scenarios Ahead:
📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Rejection & Breakout:
If buyers successfully hold the 3,280–3,260 demand zone and push price above the SR Interchange zone, we can expect:
📍 Target 1: 3,360 (mid-term resistance)
📍 Target 2: 3,400–3,420 (previous high & upper trendline)
This would confirm a fakeout from the channel and a bullish continuation pattern.
📉 Scenario 2 – Failure at Resistance & Drop Continuation:
If price fails to reclaim the interchange zone, expect a retest of the green demand, followed by a potential drop toward:
📍 3,260 – local support
📍 3,240 – major support (unfilled demand below)
📍 3,220–3,200 – ultimate downside target
This would solidify a bearish market structure, confirming the sellers are in control.
🧭 Key Levels To Watch:
Level Type Price Range Significance
Supply Zone ~3,400–3,420 Major institutional selling area
SR Interchange (Blue) ~3,320–3,340 Critical resistance / flip zone
Current Price ~3,297 Watching reaction for momentum shift
Demand Zone (Green) ~3,280–3,260 Key support / bounce zone
Major Demand Pending ~3,240–3,220 Next support level if drop continues
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is at a critical inflection point.
The recent bearish breakout signals weakness, but the current support zone may provide a short-term bullish setup if buyers defend it effectively. A successful reclaim of the SR flip zone will shift sentiment bullish again. Otherwise, a deeper correction is likely.
This setup is ideal for both swing and intraday traders—look for confirmation signals at the current support and SR zone before executing trades.
AUDJPY: goodbye uptrend?On the 4H chart, AUDJPY has printed a textbook double top pattern, breaking the rising trendline and diving below the 95.6–95.78 support zone - now acting as resistance. The pair is currently retesting this zone from below, which often provides a clean re-entry point for bears.
This area also aligns with the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci retracement, reinforcing it as a key resistance. If the price rejects this zone, the next target is 93.85 (1.618 Fibo projection), followed by 93.25 and potentially 91.71 if momentum strengthens.
Fundamentally, the yen gains strength on risk-off flows and diverging rate expectations, while the Australian dollar is pressured by falling commodity prices and a likely pause from the RBA. This widens the rate differential and weakens AUD.
As long as price remains below 95.78, sellers are in control. Watch for a rejection from this retest zone.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – August 4, 2025🧠 Macro & Context
Gold is surging back toward premium structure after sweeping 3287. With no major news today, flow is dictated by structure, liquidity, and the residual strength from July’s closing push. Bulls have reclaimed internal control, but are now pressing into major resistance zones. This is the perfect battleground for sniper entries.
🔥 Bias: Bullish short-term, but hitting premium exhaustion
The current candle is testing prior supply and imbalance. Unless we break 3375–3380 cleanly, price remains vulnerable to rejection from premium. Above that, clean air until external zones. Any pullbacks into discount (under 3310) remain buyable — if the structure holds.
🎯 Daily Sniper Zones
🔷 3360–3375 – Decision Supply
📍 Where we are now
This is the current premium pressure zone. Built from a bearish OB + unmitigated imbalance from late July. First contact is live. If price rejects this level, sellers may regain control short-term. But if buyers break and hold above 3375 → bullish expansion is open. This is our Decision Zone.
🔷 3387–3405 – External Supply Block
📍 Premium target for breakout move
Clean HTF OB + imbalance resting above liquidity. If 3375 gives way, this is the next sniper target. Expect strong reaction — either reversal or inducement wick. Ideal for shorts if price shows exhaustion and BOS on LTF.
🔷 3430–3439 – Final Supply Cap (Weekly)
📍 Extreme supply wick
This is the highest defined zone on the Daily/Weekly chart before unknown territory. Full wick zone, untouched since early May. Reactions from here tend to be sharp. A strong rejection could initiate a new sell cycle.
🔷 3310–3325 – Mid-Demand Support
📍 Pullback buy zone
If price rejects 3375 and pulls back, this is the first area to monitor for higher low formation. Built from bullish OB, Fibonacci 50%, and alignment with internal structure. RSI supports buyers here if retested cleanly.
🔷 3285–3300 – Key Reversal Demand
📍 The origin of the current rally
Strong institutional footprint. Last BOS + OB confluence area. Any retest here is valid for sniper buys as long as no bearish HTF shift appears.
🔷 3240–3260 – Final Daily Demand Base
📍 Only valid if structure breaks down
If we lose 3285, this is the last demand zone holding Daily structure. Deep discount + HTF mitigation block. A visit here would require bearish breakdown first.
🧠 Game Plan Summary
⚠️ Right now, we are in a decision zone (3360–3375). Do not rush. Wait for confirmation.
✅ If we break 3375, next bullish target = 3405, then 3439.
🔻 If we reject 3375, watch for controlled retracement into 3325 or 3300 for buys.
⛔️ Do not sell blindly into current price — we are at equilibrium.
💬 If this sniper breakdown sharpened your vision, show some love ❤️
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XAUUSD August 2025 Monthly OutlookWelcome to August — and welcome to the top of the macro ladder. Gold is not just rising. It’s rewriting structure.
🔸 Macro & Fundamentals
Gold opens August with a fresh impulsive breakout above $3360, fuelled by a weaker USD, rising global risk sentiment, and continued speculative positioning from institutional buyers. The upcoming Jackson Hole meeting and shifting Federal Reserve expectations create the perfect climate for volatility. All eyes are now on the premium structure top — but will gold expand beyond it or retrace to refill?
🔸 Monthly Trend & Bias (HTF Overview)
🔹 Structure: Clean bullish BOS, continuation leg in progress
🔹 Last CHoCH: April 2023 → Confirmed full trend shift bullish
🔹 Current Monthly Candle: Explosive push into supply with top wick rejection beginning to show
🔹 Bias: Still bullish but in extreme premium — watch for cooling/rebalancing
🔸 EMA Structure
| EMA Type | Status | Signal |
| ----------- | -------------- | ------------------------------------- |
| EMA 5 / 21 | Strong Bullish | Dynamic expansion, steep angle upward
| EMA 50 | Below | Clean breakout from range
| EMA 100/200 | Far below | Long-term uptrend deeply intact
🔸 Key HTF Levels (Wick-to-Wick Mapping)
Zone Type Price Range Confluences
🔴 Premium Supply 3350 – 3439 Monthly FVG + Wick exhaustion + RSI 80+
🔵 Bullish Imbalance 3180 – 3270 Monthly FVG + old BOS + EMA5 baseline
🔵 Mid-Level Support 2920 – 3000 Monthly OB + FVG + structure base
🔵 Deep Demand 2670 – 2780 HTF equilibrium zone + RSI support
✅ The current candle has pierced into the final wick supply, but with clear signs of loss in momentum.
⚠️ If 3439 breaks cleanly, next expansion zone opens toward 3505 → 3610 (Fibonacci projection). Otherwise, expect cooling to 3270–3180 first.
🔸 Fibonacci Context
🔻 Swing Low: 1810
🔺 Swing High: 3439
🎯 Current price ($3363) sits just below the 100% Fibonacci projection, with the 1.272 and 1.618 extensions at 3610 and 3740.
This confirms we are in a macro premium, and any long positions from here forward must be built only on strong LTF confirmation or clean pullbacks into value.
🔸 August Scenarios
🟢 Scenario 1 – Breakout + Price Discovery
If bulls break 3439 with strong volume and close:
New leg toward 3505 → 3610 opens
Watch for LTF continuation on H4–D1 with bullish OB reentry
Only valid if 3350 holds as new support
🔻 Scenario 2 – Rejection + Healthy Pullback
If price holds below 3439 and monthly wick exhausts:
Clean retracement toward 3270 → 3180 expected
EMA5/21 rebalancing will support bullish structure
Deeper rejection could retest 3070 zone if volatility spikes
🔸 Conclusion & Action Plan
We open August fully inside the last monthly supply zone. Trend is still bullish, but RSI, FVGs, and EMA distance warn us: this is not the time to chase — it’s time to wait for structure to speak.
📌 Key pivot = 3439.
Above it → Expansion.
Below it → Retracement.
Let August unfold — but stay sharp. The next big move will be born from this compression.
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What’s your take — are we just getting started or about to cool off?
Drop your thoughts, chart it out, and stay ready for what August brings. ⚔️
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OTHERS.D – Perfect Reaction to Previous AnalysisAs predicted in the last update, OTHERS.D broke structure and dropped sharply toward the 7.20% demand zone — exactly as expected.
Now, we’re waiting for a potential bullish reaction from this key area. If demand holds, a move toward the upper channel boundary (~7.70%) could follow.
🧭 Technical Outlook:
• Price tapped into a key demand zone at 7.20%, which aligns with the lower boundary of a descending channel.
• A bullish reaction is forming, suggesting short-term strength in altcoins.
• A move toward the channel top near 7.70% is now on the table if demand holds.
⚠️ Important Note:
This move is likely to remain a corrective rally unless we see a proper breakout above 7.70% with volume and structure shift. Be selective with altcoin longs.
🔍 Watch for:
• Reaction at 7.50% midline
• Price behavior at 7.70% resistance
• Structure shift or failure pattern near channel top
⚠️ Caution: This remains a corrective rally unless price breaks 7.70% with structure shift.
🔗 Analysis by CryptoPilot
TON/USDT – Daily Price Action Analysis🔹 Price has broken a major descending trendline and entered an ascending channel.
🔹 Currently testing the mid-range resistance zone around $3.60 – $3.70.
🔹 If buyers hold above this area, the next targets could be $4.40 – $4.80.
🔹 If rejected, key supports are at $3.20 and $2.90.
USDJPY Analysis : Key Reversal Zone After Parabolic Rally🧠 Market Psychology & Structure
The USDJPY 4-hour chart reveals a classic parabolic curve pattern signifying an acceleration phase in bullish momentum. This phase typically occurs during the final stages of a bullish move, where price action becomes increasingly steep due to aggressive buyer participation.
The rounded curve drawn on the chart reflects momentum compression—where pullbacks become shallower, and higher highs are formed rapidly. However, this pattern often ends in a blow-off top or a sharp correction, especially when approaching key supply zones.
🧩 Key Technical Highlights
Major Break Zone: The previous resistance around 148.80–149.00 (now flipped to support) was clearly broken with strong bullish candles, confirming trend continuation.
Break Out Demand : Price retested the breakout zone (around 149.80–150.00) before launching higher, validating this level as a new demand zone.
Current Price Action: The pair is currently hovering around 150.50 after a powerful rally, showing early signs of exhaustion with smaller bullish candles and slight upper wicks.
🔍 Target Area – Next Reversal Zone (151.80–152.30)
The green highlighted zone marks a strong supply area / reversal zone, identified from:
Previous price rejections in historical data.
Overbought conditions due to vertical rally.
Completion of the parabolic structure (climax zone).
We can expect price to reach this zone in the coming sessions, where it may:
Face strong selling pressure.
Trigger short positions from institutional sellers.
Lead to distribution or reversal back toward the demand area near 150.00.
🔄 Forecast & Trade Plan
Scenario 1 (High Probability): Price taps into 151.80–152.30, forms bearish engulfing or rejection wick, then pulls back to 150.00 or lower.
Scenario 2 (Invalidation): Strong breakout above 152.30 with momentum—bullish continuation towards 153.00+ possible.
🧠 Trader’s Mindset (MMC Insight)
This chart suggests a matured bullish trend nearing exhaustion. As smart traders, we anticipate rather than react. Wait for the price to reach the supply zone, then observe for confirmation (bearish structure, divergence, candlestick pattern) before shorting.
Avoid chasing longs at these highs—risk-to-reward is no longer favorable. Patience will offer a much cleaner entry if the reversal unfolds as expected.
Sell the Rip? AUDUSD Retest Zone AlertHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AUDUSD has been overall bearish , trading within the falling red channel and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is rejecting a structure marked in blue.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following sell setups on lower timeframes. (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTCUSDT – Diametric G-Leg Underway?⏱ Timeframe: 4H / 1H
🔍 Method: NeoWave + Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
📍Posted by: CryptoPilot
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🧠 NeoWave Progression Update
As outlined in our previous analysis, we are tracking a potential Contracting Diametric structure (A–G) originating from the March 2025 highs.
🚨 The G-Leg may now be actively unfolding.
Here’s what just happened:
• Price rejected sharply from the supply zone near 119,000–119,500, exactly where Wave F was expected to end.
• After a drop to 115,780 (minor trendline), price bounced, but failed to make a new high, stalling at 118,700, forming a lower high → classic signature of a developing G-Leg.
• This G-wave likely aims to break below Wave E low, seeking imbalance fills and structural resets.
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📊 Smart Money Confluence (SMC / ICT)
• 🟥 Bearish Market Structure confirmed via MSS on 1H: Lower Highs + Internal BOS
• 🟨 Buy-side Liquidity above 120k was already swept
• 🔻 Price failed to reclaim OB block around 119.5k
• 🧩 FVGs remain open between 114.5k–113k, acting as magnet zones
• 📉 Expectation: Price may now break the ascending minor trendline and accelerate toward the major structure low
📌 Primary Scenario:
• Wave G of Diametric in motion
• Potential structure: Zigzag or Complex Combination
• Expectation: Bearish continuation to break below 113k
📌 Alternative Scenario:
• If price closes above 120.5k, diametric structure may be invalidated
• Watch for triangle/flat development instead
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⚠️ Risk Management Note:
Price action near 118.7k–119.5k is crucial. Reclaiming that zone with strength changes the bias. Until then, sellers remain in control.
💬 Final Thought:
We’re tracking the final stages of a multi-month complex correction. The rejection at supply, combined with SMC signals and NeoWave symmetry, suggests sellers may push price into deeper demand zones soon.
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📌 Follow CryptoPilot for advanced wave structure updates, market geometry insights, and ICT-style smart money traps.
💬 Share your views or alternate wave counts in the comments!