SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 6-17: Top Resistance PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will move into a type of topping pattern, attempting to identify resistance, then roll away from that resistance level and trend downward.
I suggest the news related to the conflict between Israel & Iran may continue to drive market trends with traders moving away from uncertainty near these recent highs.
Silver makes a big move higher. Gold will likely follow later this week or early next week.
BTCUSD moves into a sideways FLAGGING pattern - possibly attempting a BIG BREAKDOWN event over the next few weeks.
Overall, the markets look like they are poised for a very big move - just waiting for the GREEN LINK (GO).
Stay safe. Protect capital and HEDGE.
Get some.
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QQQ
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-16 : Up-Down-Up PatternToday's Up-Down-Up Pattern suggests the markets will transition into a moderate upward trending price bar - which is quite interesting in the world we have today.
War and a big weekend of events, protests and other new items could drive market trends over the next few days.
Still, the SPY Cycle Pattern for today is an Up-Down-Up - which suggests last Thursday was an Up bar, last Friday was a Down bar, and today should be an Up bar.
The Gold/Silver pattern is a POP pattern in Counter-trend.
I believe the US markets are benefiting as a safe-haven for capital as the global turmoil drives global investors to seek safety and security for their capital.
That means as long as the world continues to spin out of control, the US markets and the US-Dollar will act as a moderate safe-haven for capital.
Gold and Silver should also benefit from this global chaos.
Bitcoin is benefiting from the strength of the US markets (and the technology sector) as well.
Let's see how this week start to play out. I'm waiting for some more news.
Could be very interesting this week.
Get some.
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QQQ - NASDAQ Has Never Been This ExpensiveQQQ relative to the money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history. Despite the significant amount of money pumped in during the COVID-19 pandemic, the economy has not kept pace with all the zeros added to Gov debt.
If we can't lower deficits now at max employment, when will we?
Tulips!
Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you.
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$AAPL In ConsolidationNASDAQ:AAPL is consolidating here in a wedging pattern. I do not know which way this will resolve. But, since I rarely if ever short, I am looking on the long side of a trade. The thing I like about a consolidation pattern like this is, you know when you are wrong very quickly. My plan is to take a ¼ size long position if / when it moves above the 50 DMA (red) with a stop just below the most recent low (which would also correspond to dropping below the lower wedging trendline.
Then if it can break out over the upper downtrend line, I will look to build out my position. I thought this would be a good one to put on your watchlist. If you like the idea, please make it your own so that it fits within your trading plan.
QQQ On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for QQQ is below:
The market is trading on 526.92 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 530.98
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$TLT Rising Channel or Bear Flag?Is it time to invest in NASDAQ:TLT ? It looks positive to me. With inflation cooling down it looks like bond prices could increase, which means rates are lower. We do have a Fed Meeting coming up so there could be more volatility depending on the “Feds” messaging.
I am taking this long today with a ½ size position. I will place my stop just “below” yesterdays low of $85.46. I am going long because I see a series of higher lows and higher highs. And I have a well-defined risk level of about 1% to know if I am wrong.
If you like this idea, please make it your own. Make sure you follow your trading plan.
VIX June 2025 Monthly Support & Resistance Lines Valid till EOMOverview:
These purple lines act as Support and resistance lines for VIX for the entire month of June, when the price moves into these lines from the bottom or the top direction. Based on the direction of the price movement, I will take long or short entries in QQQ or SPY.
Trading Timeframes
I usually use 30min candlesticks to swing trade options by holding 2-3 days max. Some can also use 3hr or 4hrs to do 2 weeks max swing trades for massive up or down movements.
I post these 1st week of every month and they are valid till the end of the month.
Gold Breaks $3400 – Targets $3500 Amid Tensions (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the lower timeframe, we can see that today, following Israel's missile and airstrike attacks on Iran, gold experienced a sharp rally. As anticipated last night, gold finally managed to break through the strong $3400 resistance, surging over 600 pips to reach $3447.
Currently, gold is trading around $3438, and given the escalation in geopolitical tensions, I expect further upside movement.
The next potential targets are $3449, $3469, and possibly $3500.
⚠️ Due to ongoing conflict and extreme volatility, it's advised to avoid trading or proceed only with minimal risk exposure.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-13 : Harami-Inside PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets may stall into a sideways price range.
After the news of Israel targeting Iran in a preemptive strike late yesterday afternoon, the markets moved dramatically lower while Gold & Silver moved higher on the news.
I, personally, see this market trend as a shift in thinking ahead of a long Father's Day weekend.
I see traders trying to position their accounts/trades for uncertainty.
I believe we could see a bit of a shift today - particularly in Metals and the QQQ/NASDAQ/BTCUSD.
Overall, I strongly suggest traders prepare for extreme volatility this weekend as any further news of a counter-strike or further military action in the Middle East could roil the markets.
Happy Friday the 13th - everyone.
Going to be an interesting day to say the least.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-12: BaseRally In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the markets may attempt to identify a base and move higher (rally) off that base level.
Given the overnight price activity, I suggest the process of identifying the base level could prompt a deeper early decline in price - possibly attempting to retest 595-597 lows before finding support and attempting to rally.
As I've been warning over the past few weeks/months, I'm still seeing the Excess Phase Peak pattern playing out as a Flag Termination - rolling into a downtrend and attempting to move back towards the $480 lows as a real possibility. I've been warning and watching for the breakdown in trend - but we've not seen it yet.
Thus, we are still BULLISH until we get a confirmation of a solid breakdown. That would be a move below the 580-585 level at this point. We need to see some type of solid breakdown in price, breaking away from the FLAG setup and moving downward, before I could confidently suggest the Flag Breakdown has happened.
Gold and Silver are making a big move higher. Gold is finally starting to move back above $3400 and I believe watching Silver, Gold, & Platinum rally suggests FEAR is elevating as we move into the end of June.
I still believe Gold has a chance to rally above $4k before the end of June. We'll see if it happens.
BTCUSD is moving into a DUAL-EPP pattern. This is very interesting. Watch the video as I highlight why this could prompt a dual-stage EPP breakdown in Bitcoin over the next 20 to 50+ days.
Get some.
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GME COLLAPSE - NET SELLOFF - MARKET ANALYSISGameStop (GME) is dropping in after-hours trading following its $1.3 billion convertible senior notes offering, which investors see as potential dilution. Similarly, Cloudflare (NET) is also falling due to concerns over its $1.75 billion convertible debt offering, which could impact shareholder value.
On the flip side, Oracle (ORCL) surged after reporting strong Q4 earnings, with cloud infrastructure revenue expected to grow over 70% in fiscal 2026. This could provide a tailwind for the broader cloud sector.
The market’s pullback today was much needed, with many stocks retesting key breakout zones
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-11: Bottom-Base Rally Counter TrndToday's counter-trend Bottom-Base Rally pattern suggests the markets may attempt to find a peak and roll over into a downtrend.
The normal Bottom-Base Rally pattern is similar to the start of a moderate price base/bottom, then moving into a moderate rally phase.
In counter-trend mode this pattern would be inverted - forming a Top and then moving into a downward price trend.
I've been warning of the potential of a rollover top type of pattern in the SPY over the past few weeks - but it never really setup/confirmed.
I'll be curious to see if this counter-trend pattern, today, sets up some type of big top formation in the SPY/QQQ. It might be related to news as well.
Gold and Silver have a Gap-Stall-Revert-FLUSH pattern. This is always an interesting pattern because is suggests price is going to attempt to either gap and trend or stall and revert. My guess is we are looking at more trending in metals today.
Platinum is RIPPING higher (PL1!). Because of this, I believe Silver and Gold will attempt to follow Platinum and move to the upside today.
BTCUSD is stalling a bit. We'll see if we get any big price move in Bitcoin today. After the big rally over the past few days, it will be interesting to see if BTCUSD reverts downward or continues higher.
Overall, today's patterns suggest the markets are seeking direction. Get ready for an exciting day in the markets.
Get some.
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2025-06-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Range is 21500 - 22000 for a week now. Neutral but selling new highs and buying every pullback has been profitable for quite a while now. It will end some day but likely not today. Bulls finally want the 22000 print and after so many tries they still could not print it. It’s painful to watch. Fading the extremes was good for a month now and I have no bigger opinion on where we might close this week. Anything below 21700 would be a huge bear surprise and could mean the bull wedge break to the downside and next target would be 21500.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21500 - 22000
bull case: Bulls expect 22000 and buy every pullback. Their problem is, that they have tried so so many times now and could still not print it. How many more times will they try? The wedge will break eventually and I highly doubt it will be to the upside. Bulls can not hold long at the highs since pullbacks are 130-500 points big. Look for longs on decent pullbacks once bears give up. Multiple times below 21800 today. When we print 22000, what are the odds of this going higher for 22500 or new ath above 22688? No idea but looking at the wedge and the structure since April, longing momentum makes sense but that’s it.
Invalidation is below 21390.
bear case: Just imagine cpi comes in hot… Bears can only dream. They are doing fine selling new highs and scalping for 100+ points. They are too weak to print lower lows, so don’t bet on them. Once we go below 21700 again, we can look for better targets and market is likely neutral again. Until then, try not to get trapped.
Invalidation is above 22100.
short term: Likely bearish around 21950-22000 for another pullback into 21750/21800. Still expecting 22k to get hit tomorrow. Rough guess: If we move strongly above 22080ish, we could see an acceleration upwards due to short covering from hell but don’t bet on it. Only go with the momentum if it happens.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in.
trade of the day: Longing 21800 was good so many times since Friday.
$Gold Fills the Gap – Is a Bullish Bounce Toward $3350 Next?By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that in last week’s analysis, the price successfully hit all four targets: $3338, $3332, $3326, and $3317, and finally closed on Friday at $3309. This move delivered over 390 pips of return, and I hope you made the most out of it!
Now, let’s move on to the latest gold analysis: As you can see, today gold dropped to the $3294 zone, finally filling the liquidity gap previously marked on the chart. Currently, gold is trading around $3315, and I expect further bullish movement toward the $3330 area as the first upside target.
After that, we should closely watch the $3332–$3352 zone for a potential corrective reaction.
There are more details in this analysis that I’ll share soon — with your support!
THE MAIN TA :
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-10 : POP PatternToday's POP pattern suggests a potential big price move will take place. Given the overnight activity on the ES (rallying higher then rolling over), I suggest today's price move may attempt to retest these overnight highs, then repeat the breakdown phase into the close.
The markets continue to try to melt upward. This trend will continue until the markets decide to break downward.
After the deep low created by the tariff news, the markets continue to try to rally to new highs. It is very likely that Q2 earnings data may push the SPY to new ATH levels before we see any big rotation in price.
The markets have a tendency to move just above recent highs, then stall and revert downward as a pullback. This move may be no different.
The continued stalling of price trying to move higher recently suggests the markets are running into moderate resistance and I believe traders are actively pulling capital away from this rally.
The trend is still BULLISH. Stay cautious of this upward move as a breakdown could happen at any time.
Gold and Silver are moving into an impressive rally phase. Silver and Platinum have moved considerably higher over the past 10+ days. I believe Gold is lagging and will make a big move higher over the next 5 to 10+ days.
Silver is targeting $41-44+. Gold should target $3400 to $3500+ near the same time.
Bitcoin made a huge rally yesterday - reaching my 110,500 upper resistance level. Now, we see if Bitcoin has the momentum to carry higher or if it will fail and rollover into a downtrend.
It seems we are right as a MAKE or BREAK level in the markets. I'm still a believer of MELT UP until it fails.
I continue to watch for technical failure - but I've not seen it happen yet.
Get some.
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Nasdaq at Supply Zone – Rejection or Breakout? (READ THE CAPTIONBy examining the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is still trading within the supply zone around 21,850. We are still waiting for a strong rejection from this level, which could lead to a short-term price correction in this index.
The potential downside targets are:
21,000, 20,700, 20,200, and 19,150.
The key supply range lies between 21,400 and 22,200.
Additionally, there is a possibility of a liquidity grab or stop-hunt above 22,200 before any real drop begins.
This analysis will be considered invalid if price closes above 22,400 in the next three weeks.
On the fundamental side, there are several macro factors to watch:
Interest Rate Expectations:
Although inflation in the U.S. has cooled compared to last year, the Fed remains cautious. If upcoming CPI or PPI prints show unexpected resilience, the likelihood of rate cuts this year could diminish, pressuring tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq.
Tech Sector Valuations:
Valuations in major tech names — such as NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft — have reached historically high multiples. This makes Nasdaq particularly vulnerable to correction, especially if earnings disappoint or growth expectations soften.
Geopolitical Risks:
Ongoing tensions between the U.S. and China over trade and technology, as well as potential instability in the Middle East, could contribute to a risk-off sentiment — further supporting the case for a short-term pullback.
Earnings Season Ahead:
Q2 earnings season is around the corner. Any signs of slowing revenue growth or reduced forward guidance from major tech firms could act as a catalyst for the expected correction.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban