BTC Support & ResistanceThis is support and resistance of bitcoin and potential on where to enter.
Buying below the 200 MA is a great approach and especially is that is supported by the lower resistance levels. Please put more emphasis on the blue 4 hr lines as that is a better support vs the 15 min and 5 min trends.
Wishing this helps in your long term strategy to hold BTC til 2059.
Robinhood
Greenlane Holdings - USA MSO - Golden Cross A seemingly forgotten USA cannabis ancillary product distributor (Multi-State-Operator, "MSO"). They've got a growing list of global partnerships. Federalization in the US is seemingly around the corner as the majority of states and public opinion is LEGALIZE IT, DECRIMINALIZE IT, & FEDERALIZE IT. #cannabiscommunity has won. #EpicEconomics The tax grab is inevitable.
TIGR set to run wild! Long term and near term views...NASDAQ:TIGR is setup to rebound on support and make a play to the upside for a lengthy uptrend that should continue til next earning release around early March 2021. Below I will show you the Big picture and the Near term Picture....
BIG PICTURE
TIGR is in a weekly and daily channel from 6 months ago to now and is headed to the lower band of that channel but has strong support near 5.50, 5.50, 4.75, 4.50, 4.25 and 4. Let's start with the WHY will it rebound?!? This is the robinhood of china and just had an earnings blowout last week. Absolutely amazing earnings of 130+% for users, rev, net profits. China just dumped 30 Billion into their market this week as QE. There is no slowing down for this company any time soon as they are valued at having customer counts in the single digit millions and in an asian market they have virtually unlimited customers to gain locally. The stock took a hit with profit taking and lack of catalyst after the huge earnings but the value still remains. now becoming oversold and undervalued this company is ripe for a large lengthy upside into next quarters earnings. The channel has upside to 9.00 and downside to 4.75 so @ 5.50 this is a STEAL.
NEAR PICTURE
6 month, 3 month, 1 month uptrend embedded readings, 1 week pull back (retracement) signaling profit taking from last quarter.
CATCH the wave and ride long my friends.
Greenlane Holdings Imminent Golden Cross - USA MSO - #federalizeTikTok. Time is up. Recent millions in buy volume shows the higher low confirmed. Cannabis Boom 2020 is here. #watchthis. More Created Content at Risk Savage Linktree. Buy and hold Greenlane for many many years. Adding states continually. THC will be global. As it should be. THC saves lives.
TGODF The Green Organic Dutchman - Not Very Convincing - Show MeAre any Canadian companies gonna produce the profits? Time will tell. Til then, USA mso's. $GNLN. GL weed lovers. USA THC is the future. #federalize #maxcreative #risksavageinthewild #gopromax #iuse #watchthis #gnln
ALT SEASON BEGINS - Bitcoin Becomes Store of Value - BUY ALTSThe all forgotten Alt Coins. Welcome back. The dollar and other currencies will fall. The globe is in currency war. Crypto wins. Just takes years and years. The Bitcoin money making game is done. It'll be store of value and the Crypto economy will boom around it. I'm a fan of decentralization. Go Crypto!! BAT, MANA, LAND, XYO, and even Tron (most people in China. hmmmm. China. lmao)
Warren Buffett Invests in Japan - Economic War 2020 - CurrencyAs the world watches the USA capital markets squeeze themselves into just 5 or 6 large cap, over-hyped, mania stocks (Tesla, Apple, Amazon, Google, Facebook, Microsoft, etc.), the richest (1%) are avoiding U.S. stocks altogether. Warren Buffett has just announced his buy-ins into Japan (over past 12 months). *Warren Buffett made gained his massive "unrealized" returns by accumulating stocks just after the great depression. He then held pretty much his entire lifetime. I don't believe Warren has an edge at all anymore. The world has moved lightyears ahead of what the baby boomer generation can generally comprehend. Sorry Warren, stash the cash, go enjoy your family. Your best days are behind you.
Invest in small cap USA or watch the USA struggle for years. Sad stuff. DON'T INVEST IN JAPAN LIKE WARREN. Don't live on leverage like the majority. Invest smart. CONTRARIAN.
INVEST IN $GNLN or other small cap USA companies. Go USA!!! #cannabis
#federalize
#risksavageinthemarket
#maxcreativeinvesting
#watchthis
#stockmarketcrash2020
#cannabisboom2020
#greenlaneholdings
AMD has gone parabolic, good shorting opportunityShort idea is summarized as follows
1. stock has gone parabolic and these typically have aggressive corrections
2. robintrack shows sentiment is extremely optimistic so would like to make a contrarian bet
3. assuming a SZ 84-88 so taking a $4 risk and executing the trade via November PUTS. 80 strike
$AMD PT $91-$93 then to $100AMD is that darling that continues taking share from Intel. We have formed a bull pennant with an inside CH. Appears friday we hit the top of the handle. We need to break that $84-81 range to get continuation to my $93 target. This will then get picked up once again by robinhooders and should propel it beyond $100. My top price (which is insane) is $111 which ends up being exactly the 2.618 Fib extension level. Be ready!! the NVDA drive should start waking people up for AMD. Tread lightly though as i am anticipating a pullback in the market either this week or next.
Robinhood Traders Will pbly Hate Me for This.. Or Thank Me LaterWe all make mistakes, and we can either think it's unfair or we just grow up a better person... In this case apply it to investing.. Wouldn't you like to learn something ?
I'm pretty rude in this one on purpose. But anyway my point here is that you need to understand that in a bubble... the last one standings are the one to pay the hard price or reality.
Just make sure you're not among them... What happened within the bubble is not the point. I really hope you made money and that you'll be smart enough to don't try getting more at the risk of losing it all..
McMillan Volatility Band Buy Signal in Natural Gas Futures $NG1!Confirmed MVB buy signal in Natural Gas futures . Daily Strategist subscribers entered this position with us at 1.781 using the mini-futures contract /QG. Initial stop set at 1.510. You can find out more about this indicator, as well as following us on trades like this one, by using the links in our signature below.
Buying climax/ short squeeze in Tesla My short trade has 3 parts to it: 1) technical price action 2) sentiment 3) fundamentals
TECHNICAL PRICE ACTION : As can be seen in the chart, at the end of a bullish move, we've got a final gap up which ends up forming dojis/ hammers/ or simply a big bearish candle. My point is, anything but bullish engulfings have marked the top and given a significant retracement almost EVERY time. This also typically happens on high volume.
SENTIMENT: Retail traders involvement is exceptionally HIGH ! Sentiment is overly optimistic
robintrack.net
The link above is from robintrack; which reflects the robinhood trader involvement. Retail buying has gone vertical in May & June; this corresponds to the last $400 of move from $800-$1200. Thus, it's quite likely to see a nice flush out of dumb money in the very near future.
FUNDAMENTALS : Extremely over-valued stock and in the next down leg of the overall market, this should come back down to reality. I don't think the recent Q2 delivery numbers are something to get too excited about (down~5% YoY) as Q2 revenue & EBITDA is probably going to be a massive negative surprise. Further, I think Q3 & Q4 will be dismal which will finally end the hyper growth story for this stock.
TAKEAWAYS:
1) I think Q2 earnings coming out in July should be a negative surprise
2) I'm seeing a potential down leg in the overall market in July
3) Target is ~900 (25%) correction sometime this month. And mid 500's (50% correction) before the end of the year.
PS. Of course I could be totally wrong as I have been in the past by shorting this stock at lower levels and its only continued to breakout higher!
So... What is next? Shortest recession in play?Stock market - Against all odds, S&P index has risen almost 32% since hitting a low for the year on March 23. The fact that it happened after a ferocious plunge of 35% between Feb. 20 and March 23, the most devastating sell-off since the great depression, made the feat even more remarkable.
As a matter of fact, the market posted its best quarter since 1998, with Nasdaq leading the way by soaring 30.6% for the quarter, the most since 1999.
Some speculated that the fast recovery was due to the big outflow of money from the fixed-income market into the stock market as emerging market fails to meet its debt obligation.
Others credited young investors (medium age of 31) on Robinhood (3 millions user added 2020, 13 millions total) with stock market's spectacular rally.
I personally doubt that the combined purchasing power of all Robinhood users is strong enough to sway the stock market.
Nonetheless, the stock market performance is not representative of the entire economy as there are more than 30 millions small & mid-sized company not listed on major U.S stock exchanges
GDP - What is even more incredible about the stock market's recovery is that it all happened after various sources estimated the GDP contraction to be around 30% to 50% in second quarter
Recently, Fed and policymakers projected the economy to shrink 6.5% (medium projection) in 2020 and the unemployment rate to be 9.3% at the end of the year
Corporate earning - According to data from S&P Capital IQ, 40 percent of the S&P 500, about 200 companies, have withdrawn their guidance and declined to make EPS estimate in 2020.
This lack of guidance has caused a lot of problem for the prediction of corporate earning.
A recent analysis by CNBC earnings editor Robert Hum showed enormous differences at historical level between the high and low estimates for the largest stocks in the S&P 500.
According to numbers compiled by the data provider FactSet, second-quarter profits will fall more than 40 percent.
Refinitiv is projecting about a 43% drop in second-quarter earnings.
Expect to get a more clear picture of corporate earnings around mid-July as banks release their corporate earnings.
Even though the stock market is reflecting more of future sentiment than current economic condition, the speed of its recovery seems to indicate that most investors believe that not only will the market erase all the losses in 2020, but also it will quickly resume the long-term growth trend equals that of 2019, which seems highly unlikely to me.
Again, it is hard not to notice the massive distortion between the stock market's performance and corporate earning.
Unemployment - Initially, the hope is that most temporary layoffs would not turn into permanent job loss. However, as lockdown extends, many furloughed employees are at the risk of becoming unemployed as more and more small businesses going out of the business.
Roughly 20 million Americans are currently receiving unemployment benefits and the insured unemployment rate is still high at 13.4%.
BLS said that discrepancy in unemployment # due to "misclassification" has been adjusted accordingly. An alternative measure of unemployment that includes discouraged workers and the underemployed fell to 18% from 21.2%.
Overall, better than expected unemployment # and steadily declining initial claim and continuous claim # have painted a much better picture for the labor market.
However, unemployment remains at historic levels. Output and employment remain far below their pre-pandemic levels, according to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell
Pandemic - WHO reported around 180,000 new coronavirus cases last Sunday, the single-largest increase since the pandemic began, with two thirds of new cases coming from the Americas. Around half of the 50 U.S. states were also reporting a rise in new coronavirus cases, most notable in southern states that were previously spared from the Covid-19 ravage.
On Tuesday, United States recorded the biggest single-day rise in new cases since the pandemic began.
According to Bloomberg report, most experts believe a vaccine won’t be ready until next year.
Other factors -
Trade war with China and upcoming election...
#1. Median existing-home price last month was $284,600, up 2.3% from May 2019.
#2. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.13% for the week ending June 18. Mortgage rates have drop to another record low.
#3. The number of Americans applying for home mortgages has hit an 11-year high.
#4. An index measuring homes in contract to sell, or pending sales, jumped by a record 44% in May.
#5. A record spike in U.S. retail sales, though the recovery happened after a huge dive of retail sales a month earlier.
#6. PMI has surged sharply after a huge plunge since the pandemic started. It is possible that the # is skewed by the lack of small business participation and the effect of China re-opened its economy ahead of other major economy.
I believe most current home buyers are not heavily impacted during this economic downturn and their purchase decisions are probably not indicative of the economic recovery.
Shortest recession is made possible because this economic crash was driven by the uncertainty of pandemic rather than economic fundamentals? I don't know. But if you only look at real estate and stock market, it surely seems so.
McMillan Spike-Peak Buy Signal for S&P 500Confirmed spike-peak buy signal for the broad market. This system was initially designed to be used on the S&P 500 but can be adapted to other major U.S indices. We've also begun trading these signals by shorting $VXX using puts on that symbol. SPX, VXX, IWM, QQQ, SPY