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Oil Regains $100Oil has gotten a lift from the mid $90's back to the $100's. We were able to break through $101, and are currently ranging in the vacuum zone between $101 and $106. The Kovach OBV has picked up slightly as oil has gained momentum. It is likely that most of the geopolitical factors are priced in, so we might not see an aggressive rally back to highs, but a gradual progression is likely. We should see support from the base of the $100 handle, but if not, then we could retrace all the way back to $95. Our next target is $106, then there is a vast vacuum zone to $116.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by quantguy
Russian Ruble to Lose 66% of its Value Against the DollarThere are 81 Russian Rubles in one USD today. This is not the first time the RUB has devalued this much against the Dollar. We have an ascending triangle in the FOREXCOM:USDRUB chart that has spanned six years of price action. Once that triangle breaks upwards, we have a price target of 135. Let us keep watching this triangle to see if it will indeed break upwards. Then we can set up a trade on this pair. If you want to be notified on updates on this idea, then give me a like/follow. Thanks.
Long
by TechNerdOmar
1
US Dollar Falls after Hawkish Fed AnnouncemeToday's forex news: US Dollar Falls after Hawkish Fed Announcement EUR/USD ⬆️ GBP/USD ⬆️ AUD/USD ⬆️ USD/CAD ⬇️ USD/JPY ⬆️ XAU ⬆️ WTI ⬇️ On Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates to 2.5%, also preparing further measures to contain inflation. However, the hawkish attitude was not thorough enough to strengthen the dollar against most major currencies, with EUR/USD closing at 1.1032 and GBP/USD at 1.3145. Meanwhile, investors await the Bank of England’s Interest Rate Decision – which will be announced later today (17 March). The AUD/USD pair saw a rise with the closing price at 0.7289, thanks to a positive job report indicating lower-than-expected unemployment rate at 4%, and an increase in gold prices at a closing price of 1,909.2, which is another response to the restrictive US monetary policy. US dollar struck a six-year high at 119.12 against Japanese Yen, as the east Asian country experienced a 7.3 magnitude earthquake yesterday (16 March), investors look to a safe haven currency until the earthquake’s aftermath is settled. Crude Oil, on the other hand, has settled lower at $95.04 per barrel. Since the US has increased its oil inventory, combined with optimism for other oil-producing OPEC members to increase supply, and China’s COVID outbreak slowing global consumption. Major U.S. stock indexes have surprisingly rallied despite the Federal Reserve’s decision to increase borrowing costs. United States 10-Year Bond Yield stabilized its rise, closing at 2.187%. 📱 Get instant market news delivered to you in real time on Mitrade
NASDAQ:XAU
by Mitrade_official
Gold targets 1910 dollars per ounceSupported by the news that Russia and Ukraine have held their fourth round of talks. Markets are taking a breather to retrace some of the risk-off movements that took place last week. After breaking below the key support level of 1950 dollars, gold has been gaining more bearish momentum. When looking for the next support and resistance levels, focus on the 1910-dollar cluster, which marks the 50% Fibonacci retracement as well as the support of a previously broken resistance high.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MohannadYakout
So long and thanks for the fish!There is getting to be a solid case for a significant move lower between now and the end of the month. The Hang Seng index broke down below March 2020 lows A Gap in SPY/SPX from Apr5th 2021 is looking to get filled, the same gap when the Overnight RR broke out. You know.. right after the prime brokers threw Archegos under the bus. Russia is still afraid to open MOEX and thinks 10 billion (what usd?) is going to keep Russian equities a float. MGA lost over 6Billion in market cap just for having a couple factories in Russia. The effects of prolonged negative gamma are starting to show, but don't think hedge funds or market makers are suffering to much. I would venture a guess that banks have been waiting since apr 2021 to buy the dip. There will likely be a thrust lower to fill the apr 5th gap between now and April 1st. trade safe. stop blowing shit up.
AMEX:SPYShort
by SPYvsGME
2
Two Reasons to be Wary of Stocks 📉Stocks are hanging by a thread as investors weigh a new Covid outbreak in China , and Geopolitical Tensions . The stock market in China has crashed with 2008 level severity as investors panic over the potential of new Covid lockdowns and sanctions as a consequence of support for Russia. US stocks have been hit as well, with the S&P testing relative lows at 4144. We do appear to be getting good support at this level confirmed by green triangles on the KRI, but we are not seeing much follow through. The level below, 4122 is a significant low, and the barrier between current levels and the lower 4K handle. If we are able to break 4122, then we will likely test the lows of the 4K's. If we see momentum, then 4214 is the next target, about mid way between the range between 4144 and 4327.
FX:SPX500Short
by quantguy
The US Markets Have Not Fallen yet It's make me angry! All this situation around Ukraine. I'm from Russia and I'm not ashamed of it. Although there has come a period that it is not safe to be Russian now. And I'm worried about my kids because their mama is Russian. My husband from Germany and we live in Germany now and it is here that anti-Russian sentiments are especially strong! I always considered myself intelligent and thoughtful, it's not for nothing that I work as a financial analyst. But now I feel confused. If I would stay in my country I believe that I will have more opportunities to use this situation but I'm here. I'm sure that european governments understand what they doing. And also they represent what kind of reverse effect sanctions against Russia will give them. The United States has imposed a ban on the import of oil, a number of petroleum products, liquefied natural gas (LNG) and coal from the Russian Federation. The British Foreign Ministry called on Europe to extend sanctions on oil and gas from Russia. I will not say that many people will lose their jobs in Russia because of sanctions, and life in general will become more expensive. But it will be hard in Europe, too. Have you seen gasoline prices yet? In Germany, the cost of 1 liter has increased to 2.30 euros, in the Netherlands it is already 2.5 euros. Ads appeared in stores stating that there are restrictions on buying products in one hand. And it is only beginning… If you ask how did the sanctions affect me? I will answer that for the third week my work has been frozen because there are no traiding in russian stock markets. Some of the clients I work with are also from Russia, their accounts are also blocked, my bank card is disconnected from SWIFT and I can no longer use it until I return to Russia. What else? Oh, yes, the dollar and euro exchange rates against the ruble have increased by 38% and 30% over the past two weeks. The news that I read and analyze in Russia and Europe differ as black and white. I will not say who is right, the truth is in the middle. But why does everyone forget and do not want to admit that this whole situation in Ukraine happened thanks to the support of America? And that the Russians have been oppressed for 8 years? And that in general, the United States has always benefited from war on the territory of other countries and it is convenient to write off miscalculations and failures in the economy under this idea. I apologize for this post, but I can't stay silent anymore. I want other people to think about what is really happening and that Russia is not the first country to face an economic blockade, there were Iran and Venezuela. So the point, as always, is who benefits from it! The US markets have not fallen yet, look at the weekly chart of the S& P500 and remove all illusions, the nearest target is 3600-3800 points.
TVC:SPXShort
by scavoanastasiia
4
Dollar rises amid Russia tensionsEUR/USD⬆️ GBP/USD⬆️ AUD/USD⬇️ USD/CAD⬆️ XAU⬇️ WTI⬇️ Market players tried to be optimistic about a diplomatic solution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict but were unable to do so. The optimistic feeling waned during the day, with Wall Street closing in the red following a high opening. According to Ukraine's negotiator Mikhail Podolyak, the latest round of peace talks has been paused and will resume on Tuesday. According to a Kremlin spokeswoman, "all of Russia's intentions in Ukraine will be carried out in full and within the time frames specified." Additionally, press reports indicated that Russia may suspend wheat, corn, rye, and barley exports, while Moscow and Belarus, according to the latter's Prime Minister, will cease paying for energy supply in US dollars. The EU Commission announced the imposition of new sanctions on Russian billionaires and entities. On the other hand, the US informed its NATO partners that China is eager to aid Russia with military and economic assistance. The dollar is strengthening versus the most of its major rivals, however the EUR/USD is slightly higher on the day, trading at around 1.0960. The GBP/USD pair is putting pressure on the 1.3000 level following a new multi-month low of 1.3008. Commodities dipped down, with gold falling to $1,949.57 a troy ounce and remaining there for the remainder of the day. Crude oil prices fell, with WTI trading at approximately $101.40 per barrel. Risk aversion and a decline in gold and oil prices harmed demand for commodity-linked currencies. The AUD/USD pair broke through the 0.7200 mark, while the USD/CAD pair is trading near 1.2820. The USD strengthened against safe-haven currencies in response to rising US government bond yields. The 10-year Treasury note yield peaked at 2.145 percent and is now hovering around 2.13 percent. The USD/JPY currency pair is trading near 118.10, its highest level since January 2017. 📱 Get instant market news delivered to you in real time on Mitrade
NASDAQ:XAU
by Mitrade_official
SSSE - Shanghai Composite -The China Will Help Russia?This Chart Suggests That China Will Help Russia A negative mood in China could be reaching an extreme. Reports over the weekend are stating that Russia has asked China for military and economic assistance as its invasion of Ukraine gets bogged down. A new Sino-Russia friendship pact was formed just before Russia launched its assault, with Putin and Xi Jinping best of buddies at the Winter Olympics. With Western sanctions impacting the Russian economy, it’s abundantly clear that China is now the key in this geo-political crisis. China has a choice of whether to help Russia, by buying its oil, etc... or to put pressure on Putin to stop his imperialistic ambitions. The chart above is a clue that China will choose the former route. The chart shows the progression of negative social mood in China since 2007, with that mood trend driving a bear market in the Shanghai Composite index. The pattern is a triangle, very similar to that seen in the Russian RTS$ index which caused to forecast that Russia would invade Ukraine. Primary degree wave (C) of the triangle equaled 0.618 of the length of wave (A), a solid clue that the pattern is correct. The advance in wave (D) might still be operation but it’s interesting that, although not a classic triangle ratio, the proposed wave (D) ending in September 2021 equaled a Phi-related 0.382 of the length of wave (B). So, if this wave count is correct in the Shanghai Composite index, Primary degree wave (E) is already in operation. Negative mood expressions such as widespread Covid-lockdowns could already be a manifestation of this wave, which can be expected to be the point at which negative mood reaches an extreme. (Note that regardless of whether the Shanghai Composite is already in wave E or still in the latter throes of wave (D), in either case the larger degree bear market is 15 years old and counting.) The negative mood extreme could very probably drive China to go all-in in siding with Russia. Crisis and opportunity indeed.
C
by ferGOD
3
short-term pullback in Oil expected. $OIH $WTI This thing has gotten way overcooked and gone parabolic. If it continues to go parabolic, it will destroy the consumer. Which is 70% of what drives the US economy. So I doubt that will be allowed to happen by the market gods lol. I expected TVC:USOIL to return to its well-defined travel that it bonered out of like a rocket. Unless we see 3 consecutive closes above $115 a barrel for WTI crude, then I expect a return to earth (the channel) and then continuing its slug upwards until renewables and EV's have completely replaced fossil fuels and ICE's. Please see the tagged post for more info. And to understand this is not my first time doing due diligence on the subject. And not to say I told you so, but I told you so, I was spot on with oil last time. I gotta take my W's. The easy way to potentially play this while limiting risk exposure is puts on $USO, and use any profits to add to $OIH. #TRUSTinTheTiger
TVC:USOILShort
by EBITDAtiger
Correctional Recovery on US30/DJIThese days have brought Major Suffering to the Markets, with even the US Indexes failing numerous times to make a comeback for a prolonged amount of time. The level of confusion in investor's perception is very high, with proper direction only seen in Pockets of AfterHours trading, and rarely in normal Normal Market Hours. Both swing trading, and scalping have become rough. Corrections are known to last for some time, however there is hope to see proper March Rallying, and a gradual climb back up to ATH in the coming weeks, as long as fundamentals can clear up (Russia, Energy Prices, Inflation, etc...). - Here is a likely analysis for the coming weeks / midterm. A possible retest of the correctional point may occur, as well as waterfall/reversal movement along any point of major resistance. Weakness may last, however Volume is sure to pick up at random times of positive fundamentals. Patience for the real Rallying will last!
ULong
by UnknownUnicorn22065023
1
Litecoin Jumps!! 🚀📈Litecoin has jumped off positive news about the Ukraine war. The news has lifted the crypto market as a whole, even though it was a minor comment that Putin made about " positive undertones " in talks with Ukraine. Litecoin has lifted from the low $100's to $105. We are currently testing this technical level which has provided fierce resistance lately. If we are able to break through then the next target is $114. If not, then the low $100's are sure to provide support for now.
BITSTAMP:LTCUSDLong
by quantguy
2
Ethereum Jumps from Putin's CommentsEthereum caught a lift with the rest of the crypto market off positive news in the Russia/Ukraine war. We found support at $2556, as we anticipated yesterday. The Kovach OBV still registers a bearish trend, though we do appear to be lifting at the moment, and we will see if this rally is for real or just noise. If we are seeing a genuine bid then $2651 must be broken, then the next target is $2762. The Kovach Chande has lifted significantly, giving us hope for the rally.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by quantguy