GBPJPY: floating at the top – is a drop being loaded?GBPJPY is hovering around 198.91 after an impressive rally, but now it's trapped between two key zones: 199.85 – a resistance level that keeps rejecting price, and 198.20 – a fragile support below. The price action reveals a tense sideways pattern, like a spring coiling up before release.
What’s concerning is that buyers have attempted to break above the high multiple times and failed – and each failure comes with weaker rebounds. With the Bank of England shifting toward a “pause” stance and the yen gaining mild support from rising risk-off sentiment, the market is starting to lean toward a correction.
If price breaks below 198.20, it could mark the beginning of a deeper slide back toward the lower boundary of the channel. Don’t be fooled by the silence – sometimes, calm is the precursor to a sharp fall.
Sell-buy
AUDUSD holds bullish structureAUDUSD is currently trading around 0.6576, maintaining a clear uptrend with higher lows and strong respect for the ascending trendline. A consolidation pattern is forming just below the key resistance zone at 0.6600–0.6617, suggesting a potential breakout if price stays above the support at 0.6546.
On the news front, the Australian dollar is supported by expectations that the RBA will keep interest rates high, while the USD is under slight pressure following weaker U.S. job data this week. Additionally, improving consumer data from China – Australia’s major trading partner – is further boosting AUD sentiment.
If the price breaks above 0.6617, AUDUSD could extend its rally into next week. Buyers are in control – have you planned your entry yet?
GOLD EYES 3,360 BREAKOUT – IS THIS THE BUY SETUP?Gold is currently trading around $3,355, up 18 pips from yesterday. The bullish momentum is fueled by rising trade tensions as Trump imposes 35–50% tariffs on Canada and Brazil, along with a weakening USD and falling U.S. bond yields.
Technically, gold maintains a clear uptrend with higher lows. The $3,360 zone is now a key breakout level — if breached, price could surge toward $3,432. As long as gold holds above $3,250, the bullish structure remains intact.
What’s your move — breakout or pullback?
EURUSD – Breakout Confirms Bullish ContinuationEURUSD has just successfully broken out of a corrective triangle pattern, confirming that the bullish structure remains intact. The price reacted well to the support zone around 1.1660 and bounced back, opening the way toward the 1.1820 target in the short term.
On the news front, the euro is gaining support as the Eurozone’s July CPI held steady at 2.6%, indicating that inflationary pressures have not fully eased—this may prompt the ECB to maintain a tighter policy for longer. Meanwhile, the USD is under mild correction pressure after U.S. CPI came in higher than expected but not strong enough to reignite rate hike expectations from the Fed.
Given the current technical setup and news backdrop, EURUSD could continue rising in the coming sessions as long as it holds above the trendline support.
XAUUSD – Gold Surges on Safe-Haven Flows and Strategic BuyingXAUUSD is rebounding from the bottom of a descending channel, showing signs of breaking through the short-term resistance around $3,332.700. If price holds above this level, the bullish momentum could extend toward $3,350 and beyond.
On the news front, President Trump's announcement of new import tariffs on multiple countries has triggered safe-haven inflows into gold. Meanwhile, consistent buying from central banks and the ongoing trend of global de-dollarization continue to provide solid support. Unless a major negative shock occurs, gold is likely to maintain its upward momentum in the short term.
AUDUSD – The Spring Is Loading!AUDUSD has just pulled off an impressive rebound from the 0.6460 support zone, bouncing cleanly off the ascending trendline — like a compressed spring ready to launch. The repeated appearance of Fair Value Gaps after recent upward moves reveals a critical clue: smart money is stepping back in, and this time, they want control.
The price is now testing the familiar resistance at 0.6616 — a zone that has previously rejected several bullish attempts. But this time feels different. The US dollar is clearly losing steam after softer CPI data, pushing bond yields lower and giving AUD a tactical edge.
If the 0.6520 support holds strong, the next breakout won’t just be about overcoming resistance — it could be the spark for a new bullish wave. And when that wave hits... it won’t go unnoticed.
GBPJPY – Correction Pressure Is Building UpGBPJPY is still trading within a well-defined ascending channel on the H4 chart. However, recent signals suggest a potential short-term correction. The price has repeatedly rejected the upper boundary of the channel and is now forming a distribution pattern with lower highs. The FVG zone near 200.400 may act as a short-term take-profit area before price pulls back toward the support zone around 198.400, which also aligns with the lower trendline.
Additionally, the upcoming UK GDP data this week could strongly impact GBP. If the data comes in weaker than expected, downside pressure may intensify and reinforce the developing correction scenario. Traders should monitor price action around 198.400 for confirmation of the pullback.
XAUUSD - Sell or Buy ? Hello everyone, great to see you again!
Today, OANDA:XAUUSD remains under notable pressure as the U.S. continues to signal a tougher trade stance. The latest move: the U.S. President announced a 50% import tariff on copper and a potential 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals, following a previous tariff notice ranging from 25% to 40% sent to 14 countries — including Japan, South Korea, Thailand, and Malaysia.
This isn’t just about protectionism. These measures fuel fears of global inflation, supply chain disruptions, and a broader economic slowdown. With surging prices in raw materials and essential goods, consumers may be forced to cut back spending, a classic warning sign for future growth.
In this environment, investors had hoped gold would shine again as a safe haven asset. However, the recent bullish momentum has been underwhelming, signaling ongoing market hesitation.
📉 On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is being squeezed into a descending pattern, which typically carries a high probability of a downside breakout. If the current support fails, the next target could fall below the 32xx area.
On the flip side, if supportive news emerges — such as a hint of rate cuts from the Fed — gold must break above the $3,335 level to revive bullish sentiment.
🔎 What do you think? Will gold break lower — or bounce back? Drop your thoughts below!
BTCUSDT – Bullish Momentum MaintainedBitcoin is maintaining a solid bullish structure after breaking out of its recent accumulation zone and filling the FVG gap around $110,400. On the H4 chart, BTCUSDT has just completed a successful retest near the dynamic support zone and is now aiming for the potential resistance at $112,949 – where it intersects with a long-term trendline. A breakout above this level could signal the start of a new expansion phase.
Major news from yesterday regarding new capital inflows into several approved spot Bitcoin ETFs, combined with rising expectations of a Fed rate cut later in Q3, are fueling strong buying momentum. This rally could gain even more strength if crypto markets continue to attract liquidity.
XAUUSD – Bearish Pressure Continues Below the TrendlineGold remains in a downtrend as price consistently gets rejected at the long-term descending trendline. After a short-term rebound toward the $3,341.300 level – near the trendline – XAUUSD is likely to resume its decline toward the support area at $3,254.400. The visible FVG zones indicate that selling pressure is still dominant.
In terms of news, the upcoming U.S. CPI data release on July 11 is the key event that could trigger strong volatility in gold prices. Previously, market sentiment turned cautious after the U.S. government delayed new tariffs on 14 countries, reducing risk-off demand and pulling capital away from gold. If the CPI data comes in hotter than expected, it could further fuel the downside momentum.
Keep an eye on the $3,254.400 level – this is the final support before gold potentially extends its drop to lower price zones.
BTCUSDT – Calm Before the BreakoutBitcoin is holding firmly above the ascending trendline, consolidating within the accumulation range of $98,000 to $117,000. The current structure suggests that buyers remain in control, especially after a strong rebound from the $98,450 support zone.
In terms of news, BTC has been slightly affected by market concerns over new U.S. tariffs. However, on-chain data still shows strong accumulation around the $108,000 level. If this base holds, BTCUSDT could break out toward the $117,424 target in the near term. Conversely, if the trendline fails, the $98,000 level will be the final stronghold for the bulls.
Gold Loses Its Shine – Short-Term Sentiment Turns BearishHello everyone, great to see you again for today’s market chat!
The factors that once made gold appealing — inflation fears, economic uncertainty, and the flight to safety — are gradually fading. As confidence grows that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for an extended period, capital is steadily moving away from gold and into more stable, yield-generating assets.
Across the financial community, there’s growing consensus: gold is no longer a top investment priority. The U.S. dollar is gaining strength, Treasury yields are rising, and gold’s support structure is weakening. While investors await the Fed’s next move, many are staying on the sidelines — or even leaning toward a bearish outlook. Notably, the rebound in the DXY is also playing a key role in adding pressure.
Gold is currently lacking momentum, lacking support, and most of all — lacking conviction. At this stage, the trend is no longer a debate, but a widely accepted short-term reality.
What about you — where do you think gold is headed next?
BTCUSDT – Ready to Launch from Accumulation Zone?BTCUSDT is consolidating around the $101,000 FVG zone – a previously strong launchpad. Price structure remains bullish, forming higher lows and showing a healthy throwback pattern.
If the $101,448 level holds, the next target could be $116,000 – a potential 14% rally in two weeks.
Fundamentals support the upside: expectations of Fed rate cuts and renewed ETF inflows are fueling fresh momentum for Bitcoin.
Still, watch for price action confirmation – and always manage your risk!
XAUUSD – Drifting Toward the “Eye of the Storm”Gold is currently trading right above the critical support zone at 3,220 – a level that successfully held prices two months ago. The ongoing decline remains well within a clear downtrend line that has persisted since early June. Every breakout attempt has been firmly rejected around the 3,337 level.
The price structure is forming lower highs, while multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) appearing above indicate strong distribution pressure. If XAUUSD breaks below the 3,220 area, a further slide toward 3,160 is likely – a zone loaded with dense liquidity waiting below.
Post-Nonfarm news has eased bearish pressure on the USD, but the upcoming U.S. CPI release could be a game-changer. If inflation data comes in lower than expected, gold may lose the support of rate-cut expectations, paving the way for a deeper fall.
Key Zone to Watch: If 3,220 holds, a short-term technical rebound may occur. But if it breaks, closely monitor price behavior near 3,160.
USDJPY – A Bull Trap in the Making?USDJPY has just broken above the descending trendline but stalled right at the confluence resistance near 147.100 – a former strong distribution zone. Although buyers have pushed the price higher, the current price structure is sketching a potential double top pattern, signaling a possible exhaustion of the bullish momentum.
If this pattern confirms and price breaks below the FVG support zone around 145.161, then 144.300 will likely be the next target – a level that previously halted price before the recent rally. Price action should be closely monitored here, as a breakdown below 145.161 could be an early reversal signal.
Disappointing Nonfarm data has pushed bond yields lower and weakened the USD, reinforcing expectations of an earlier Fed rate cut. If this week’s CPI also comes in lower than expected, USDJPY could sharply drop from the current top.
EURUSD – Rounded Top Signals Bearish Reversal The EURUSD pair is showing clear signs of weakness after forming a rounded top pattern near the 1.18100 resistance zone. Price has broken out of a short-term sideways range and may retest the FVG area near 1.17500 before continuing its downward move.
If the support at 1.17118 is breached, EURUSD could head toward the 1.16200 level – a key demand zone on the chart. The bearish momentum is being reinforced by recent news:
Yesterday: U.S. employment data exceeded expectations, strengthening the USD.
Today: The euro is under pressure due to EU recession concerns and political instability in France.
Coming up: The FOMC minutes may continue to reflect a hawkish stance, which could further weigh on EURUSD.
The Upper Edge Trap: Is Gold’s Breakdown Scripted?Gold is showing clear signs of weakness after being firmly rejected at the upper boundary of a symmetrical triangle around the $3,330–$3,340 zone. Sellers have regained control, pushing price toward the key support at $3,254 – a level that previously marked a short-term bottom.
If this support breaks, the bearish structure could extend further toward the $3,120 region. The downward pressure is reinforced by stronger-than-expected U.S. employment data and hawkish FOMC minutes, which have strengthened the dollar and diminished gold's appeal.
XAUUSD – Clear Sideways Movement in a Narrow Price ChannelXAUUSD is moving within a parallel price channel, fluctuating between the 3,320–3,345 zone. Both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are running flat and close together, indicating a balanced market with no strong momentum in either direction.
Recent highs and lows have formed within a narrow range, reflecting indecision from both buyers and sellers. The latest bounce also stalled at the channel resistance, lacking the strength to break out.
As long as price remains below 3,345 and above 3,320, the sideways trend is likely to continue. During this phase, a range-trading strategy is preferred – selling near the top, buying near the bottom – while waiting for a clear breakout to determine the next directional move.
Gold Price Maintains Bullish MomentumGold is currently trading within a converging wedge pattern, following a strong rebound from the recent bottom near 3,210 USD.
If price holds above the 3,276 USD support zone and shows bullish confirmation, the next target will be a breakout above the descending trendline, aiming for the 3,359 USD resistance zone — a key level to confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
From a fundamental perspective, the weakening USD — driven by expectations of cautious Fed rate cuts — combined with lingering geopolitical risks and strong central bank demand (over 1,000 tons annually), continues to provide solid support for gold.
Overall Trend: Bullish
Confirmation Condition: Price holds above 3,276 USD and breaks the upper wedge
Mid-term Target: 3,359 to 3,400 USD
Golden Opportunity with EURUSDEURUSD is maintaining a strong bullish structure, with a key support zone around 1.16600. Currently, the price is consolidating just below the 1.18100 resistance and may experience a short-term pullback before continuing higher.
Bullish Supporting Factors:
– The US dollar is weakening amid expectations that the Fed will act cautiously ahead of the upcoming jobs report.
– Eurozone PMI has shown signs of recovery, lending further strength to the euro.
Suggested Strategy:
Wait for buy opportunities around the 1.16600 – 1.17000 area if bullish reversal signals appear. The target remains 1.18100 and potentially higher if upward momentum continues.
XAUUSD: Gold Surges on U.S. Fiscal Reform ExpectationsGold remains firmly within a short-term bullish structure after rebounding strongly from the $3,258 support zone and forming a consolidation pattern just below the $3,342 resistance. This area marks the confluence of a descending trendline and a fair value gap (FVG), where buyers may gather momentum to break through.
Fundamental news continues to favor the upside: concerns over the U.S. budget deficit and an upcoming tax reform package have boosted safe-haven demand for gold. Meanwhile, U.S. bond yields and the dollar remain low, further driving capital into precious metals.
Yesterday, gold rose by approximately $33.49, equivalent to 3,349 pips, confirming strong bullish inflows. If price breaks above the $3,342–$3,356 zone, the next target could extend beyond the $3,400 mark.
However, if short-term pullbacks occur, the $3,258 area remains a key support level to watch for potential bullish re-entry signals.
EURUSD: Uptrend Targeting 1.18600EURUSD is maintaining a solid bullish structure after breaking above the 1.17300 zone. The pair is currently consolidating around 1.1800 and may see a minor pullback before pushing toward the 1.18600 target.
The main support comes from a weaker USD following Fed Chair Powell’s “patient” remarks, along with strong PMI data from the EU. EURUSD has now posted 10 consecutive days of gains, signaling strong upward momentum.
As long as price holds above the FVG zone near 1.1780, the bullish trend remains intact, with 1.18600 as the next potential upside target.
USDJPY: Bearish Trend Remains in ControlUSDJPY continues to follow a clear downtrend on the H4 chart, respecting a descending trendline and forming consistent lower highs. The strong rejection at 144.800 and the presence of multiple FVGs further reinforce the bearish structure.
Price is currently retracing to test the FVG zone. If rejection occurs here, the downtrend could resume towards the 141.900 support level.
Trade Setup:
Sell near 144.700
TP: 141.900
SL: above 145.300
Supporting News:
"Risk-on" sentiment is back after strong manufacturing data from China and rising expectations that U.S. interest rates may soon peak, weakening the USD against the JPY.
Are you watching for a short setup like I am?