GBPUSD Is Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.353.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.341 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Signals
GBPJPY Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 192.683.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 194.257 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.136.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.126 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD LONG FROM SUPPORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,281.17
Target Level: 3,348.67
Stop Loss: 3,236.17
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 7h
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BITCOIN Can the 4H MA200 hold and kickstart the next rally? Bitcoin (BTCUSD) almost hit on Saturday its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been holding since April 16, and immediately rebounded. So far the bullish reaction is moderate as the price action is still being restricted below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which is now acting as the short-term Resistance.
The blue Arc pattern that BTC has formed in the past 3 weeks, resembles the last two peak formations and pull-backs since the early April bottom. On top of all this, the 4H RSI got oversold (30.00) actually for the first time since the April 07 bottom.
With the weakest rally of this long-term Bullish Leg being +16.06%, if the 4H MA200 holds and a 4H MA50 break-out confirms it, we can expect a minimum short-term rise of almost $120k (+16.06%).
Do you think that's what's coming next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Lingrid | GOLD Weekly MARKET Update: Price Coiled for Major Move OANDA:XAUUSD has formed an inside bar pattern on the monthly timeframe, creating a high-probability setup for the next major directional move. May's candle sits completely within April's range, with this compression typically preceding explosive moves in either direction. The 4H chart shows a complex corrective structure following multiple failed breakout attempts from the April high around. The recent bounce from support, which is May's low, suggests potential accumulation, though the overall structure remains corrective with descending highs.
Current price sits near the middle of the critical range. A break above May's high at 3,400 could trigger rapid acceleration toward 3,500-3,600, while breakdown below 3,120 would likely target major support around 3,000-3,050. Multiple fake breaks on shorter timeframes suggest accumulated stops on both sides, potentially fueling rapid acceleration once genuine breakout occurs. The A-B-C corrective pattern visible suggests the recent decline may be nearing completion.
The monthly inside bar pattern's resolution will likely determine gold's trajectory through the summer months. A bullish breakout could reignite the broader uptrend toward new highs, while a bearish resolution might trigger a deeper correction that tests major support levels. Either outcome would likely provide substantial trading opportunities for those positioned correctly when the pattern resolves.
The broader fundamental backdrop continues to support gold's long-term bullish case, though short-term technical factors may drive the immediate direction. Central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, and currency debasement concerns provide underlying support, while technical positioning suggests the market is primed for significant movement.
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Will Gold drop to 3200 zone next week?🟡 1. What happened last week with Gold (XAUUSD)
Gold began last week by testing the 3350 resistance zone, hinting the end of the correction and the potential for an upside breakout.
However, in the following days, the market reversed aggressively, reaching as low as 3250 on Thursday — a drop of nearly 1000 pips from the local top and resistance zone.
After this sharp fall, Gold bounced back above 3300, retested the 3325–3330 area, but failed once again — closing the week below 3300.
❓ 2. Key question: Has the rebound ended or is it just a deeper trap?
The market has shown a fake-out followed by compression under resistance.
So the real question becomes: Will the 3280–3290 support finally give in, or will bulls defend it again?
________________________________________
🔻 3. Why I expect a continuation to the downside
Here’s what the chart structure tells us:
• Clear lower highs and lower lows — the trend remains bearish
• 3330 has turned into major confluence resistance
• Every bounce is sold, showing fading bullish momentum
• The support at 3280–3290 is being squeezed repeatedly
If 3280 breaks cleanly, price action will likely accelerate downward.
________________________________________
🧭 4. Trading Plan for Next Week
Focus remains on selling rallies, especially if price rises above 3300.
📉 Invalidation: any clean break and hold above 3330
🎯 Target Zones:
• 3250 = Soft target (first reaction zone)
• 3200 = Real target (bearish continuation zone if structure unfolds as expected)
Use structure, not emotion. Let the breakout confirm the plan.
________________________________________
🚀 5. Final thoughts
The price action around 3280 will likely set the tone for next week.
A breakdown here confirms the bearish structure and opens the door to 3250, then 3200.
Until then: sell rallies, manage risk, and wait for the chart to validate your edge.
Stay sharp. 🚀
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Lingrid | EURUSD Bullish Trendline Breakout. Potential LongFX:EURUSD continues to build strength above the 1.13720 resistance-turned-support line, supported by the upward channel structure. The pair is squeezing between the ascending trendline and the descending blue trendline, with higher lows signaling steady bullish pressure. A confirmed breakout above 1.14400 would likely trigger a move toward the 1.15700 target level inside the resistance zone. Price action favors bulls while the channel base holds.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 1.13720–1.14000
Buy trigger: breakout above 1.14400
Target: 1.15700
Sell trigger: close below 1.13720
💡 Risks
A rejection from the downward trendline could trap breakout buyers
Choppy behavior within the wedge may cause false signals
Broader dollar strength could cap gains if macro data shifts unexpectedly
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Lingrid | BTCUSDT All-Time High Level Retest Long SetupBINANCE:BTCUSDT is holding above the $103,500 support area after a textbook pullback from the higher high at the resistance ceiling. The price is respecting the upward channel and bouncing near the lower boundary, suggesting renewed bullish intent. A reclaim of the $106,000 zone could trigger continuation toward $111,800 within the broader target area. Bulls remain in control while price sustains above the upward trendline.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 103,000–104,000
Buy trigger: 106,000 reclaim with volume
Target: 111,800
Sell trigger: clean break below 103,000
💡 Risks
Weak bullish follow-through above 106k may signal exhaustion
A breakdown below the channel support flips bias to bearish
Macroeconomic volatility could disrupt the technical setup
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EUR/GBP at a Tipping Point: Key Demand Zone or Breakdown Ahead?The EUR/GBP cross is currently trading in a key technical area, hovering around 0.8427, showing signs of mild recovery after a bullish reaction from a previously tested demand zone.
📊 Technical Analysis
Price action reveals a compression phase within a descending channel (corrective flag), followed by a breakout to the upside last week. Price reached the supply zone between 0.8480 and 0.8535, which triggered a strong bearish candle rejection.
Currently, the pair is testing support around 0.8400–0.8380, a level previously defended by buyers.
The RSI bounced from oversold territory, suggesting the potential for a consolidation phase or sideways movement, rather than a clear divergence.
📌 Key Levels
Dynamic Resistance: 0.8480 – 0.8535
Structural Support: 0.8380 – 0.8285
Upside breakout target (if momentum builds): 0.8660
📅 Seasonality
Historically, June tends to be slightly bullish for EUR/GBP, especially on the 5-year and 10-year seasonal patterns. Curves indicate upward pressure between the second and third weeks of the month, suggesting that any retracement could present a seasonal long opportunity.
💼 COT Report
Euro FX
Non-Commercials reduced both longs (-1.7K) and shorts (-6.7K) → signaling indecision or rebalancing.
Net positioning remains positive, but momentum is fading.
British Pound
Non-Commercials added significantly to longs (+14.2K) and slightly to shorts (+2.8K) → GBP is attracting bullish interest.
This could reduce upside pressure on EUR/GBP in the short term.
Overall, COT data currently favors the British Pound in the near term.
📈 Retail Sentiment
Retail traders are heavily skewed to the long side (74% long), which may create contrarian downside pressure if the market moves against the crowd. The average entry price is around 0.8481, meaning many traders are currently underwater.
🎯 Conclusion & Bias Outlook
Short-term bias: Neutral to bearish down to 0.8380
Mid-term bias: Moderately bullish if price holds above 0.8380 with higher lows confirmation
Ideal long entry could emerge from a retest of 0.8380 with bullish confirmation (candlestick or RSI support)
Alternatively, a clear H4 close below 0.8380 could open space down to 0.8280
GBPUSD Holds Above 1.34 – Is 1.35 the Launch Pad?In last week’s GBPUSD outlook, I pointed to the 1.34 zone as a potential buy area and likely end of the correction.
The market reacted as expected, reversing from 1.34 and rallying to 1.35. Toward the end of the week, a brief correction followed — but price held above 1.34 and has now returned to 1.35, printing a higher low in the process.
📌 From both a technical and psychological standpoint, 1.35 remains a key level. A confirmed break above could lead to a retest of the recent high — or even push for a new high.
✅ My bias stays bullish as long as 1.34 support remains intact.
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98-101KMorning folks,
Last time BTC was not able to provide the direction as it was standing in triangle and we prepared "neutral" update, waiting for triangle breakout.
Now we see that this has happened to the downside and market just stands slightly above XOP target. So we consider 98-101K area as the nearest target.
Second, once (and if) this action will be over - take look at H&S, and it could trigger stronger downside retracement. This it turn might be quite welcome for weekly reverse H&S pattern .
That's being said, the first step that we're watching - is down to the potential neckline around 98-101K. Then we decided for to do next.
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH ------ DETAILED ANALYSISXAUUSD is currently forming a classic bullish flag pattern on the 12-hour timeframe after a strong impulsive rally from the 3145 demand zone. The consolidation is tight and orderly, holding above the key structure zone and forming lower highs and lower lows within the flag. This setup indicates a continuation pattern, and with price stabilizing around 3315, a breakout to the upside is increasingly likely. A clean breakout from the flag will likely ignite the next bullish wave toward the 3500 level.
From a fundamental perspective, gold remains supported amid renewed market concerns around inflation persistence and global macro uncertainty. The latest US economic data, including slower job growth and declining consumer sentiment, is increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve might be nearing the end of its tightening cycle. This is weakening the US dollar and boosting safe-haven demand for gold. Additionally, central banks, particularly from China and emerging markets, continue to increase gold reserves—adding to long-term bullish sentiment.
Technically, XAUUSD has already respected a strong demand zone around 3145 multiple times, which reinforces that institutional buyers are defending this area. The market structure remains bullish, and higher lows continue to form, aligning with a potential trend continuation. If price breaks above the flag resistance around 3325–3330 with volume confirmation, the bullish target of 3500 could be reached swiftly.
As long as gold holds above the 3270–3280 support zone, the risk-reward setup remains favorable for long positions. With a confluence of strong fundamentals and a high-probability technical pattern, XAUUSD is setting up for a potential breakout rally. Traders should watch closely for breakout confirmation to ride the momentum toward new highs in this evolving bullish trend.
DXY Under Pressure: Breakdown Incoming Below 99.00?After testing the 102 resistance zone in mid-May, the TVC:DXY resumed its downward move, dropping back into the 98.50–99.00 support zone.
The brief spike above the psychological 100 was quickly rejected, and price has since rolled over — currently trading around 99.27 at the time of posting.
🔻 The downside pressure is strong, and a break below support looks imminent.
If that break occurs:
🎯 Short-term target: 98 (approx. 1% drop)
📉 Medium-term potential: A deeper decline toward 95
GOLD expected to rebound, key trends, jobs data This week, we have the facts that Trump has stirred up the market, Powell has not changed his stance. With the biggest data of the week, the US Non-Farm Payrolls, to be released, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD is expected to rise again after a week of consolidation.
Last Week in News
After weeks of tariff-easing talks that sent U.S. stocks soaring, Wall Street has once again been caught up in the constant flux surrounding Trump’s trade regime. This week, a U.S. court also questioned the legality of the White House’s tariffs on global trading partners as the Trump administration ramps up its policy plans.
Market sentiment took a turn for the worse on Friday following news about tariffs. US media reported that the White House plans to impose broader sanctions on some foreign technology industries. In addition, Trump said that starting next week, tariffs on imported steel will increase from 25% to 50%.
In addition to the tariff headlines, traders also had to contend with weakening US economic data. US consumer spending slowed after recording its strongest month of growth since early 2023 in April.
Here are the events markets will focus on in the new week
• Next week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and several members of the board and voting members will speak.
• Trump met with Powell for the first time in his second term, and Powell continued to emphasize the independence of monetary policy.
The US core PCE inflation rate was 2.1% year-on-year in April, slightly below the expected 2.2%. While that bolsters the case for a rate cut, Fed officials have reiterated their patient stance.
Minutes from the May FOMC meeting confirmed that policymakers considered the current economic situation sufficient to delay policy action. Despite the weakening sentiment, traders are still betting on a September rate cut from the Federal Reserve.
Key Data: Non-farm data in focus this week
The focus of next week’s data will be non-farm payrolls on Friday. The pace of hiring in the US is likely to have slowed in May as households became more cautious, businesses reconsidered investment plans amid shifting trade policies and employers focused on controlling costs.
Economists are forecasting a gain of 125,000 in May, according to the median in a Bloomberg survey, after job gains beat expectations in March and April. That would keep the average gain over the past three months at a solid 162,000. The unemployment rate remains at 4.2%. Fed officials are also waiting for clarity on how trade and tax policies will affect the economy and inflation, so they are likely to be cautious about the labor market report.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has been mostly sideways despite the volatility over the past week. The sharpest drop saw gold test the $3,250 support level before recovering to close the week around the confluence of the EMA21 and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
On the big picture, gold is still technically bullish with the channel as the main trend, while the near-term supports are the $3,250 level followed by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. A sustained move above $3,300 would be viewed as a positive factor going forward.
On the momentum front, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, which in this case acts as momentum support and is still well away from overbought territory so there is still room for upside. The weekly target is the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level in the short term, rather than the raw price point of $3,400.
As long as gold remains within the channel, its main technical trend is bullish, and any declines that do not take gold below the channel should be considered short-term corrections rather than a specific trend.
Next week, the technical bullish outlook for gold will be focused again on the following positions.
Support: $3,250 – $3,228
Resistance: $3,371
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3337 - 3335⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3341
→Take Profit 1 3329
↨
→Take Profit 2 3323
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3246 - 3248⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3242
→Take Profit 1 3254
↨
→Take Profit 2 3260
NATGAS WILL GROW|LONG|
✅NZD_USD fell again to retest the support of 3.40$
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bullish rebound and a move up
LONG🚀
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NZD_USD RISKY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅NZD_USD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 0.6030
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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GBP-USD Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair already
Made a rebound from the
Horizontal support level
Around 1.3431 from where
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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AUD_USD POTENTIAL LONG|
✅AUD_USD fell down sharply
But a strong support level was hit around 0.6400
Thus as a rebound is already happening
A move up towards the target of 0.6463 shall follow
LONG🚀
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GBP-NZD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD will soon hit a
Horizontal support level
Of 2.0518 and as we have
Seem multiple rebounds
From the level we can
Bet on a one more rebound
And go long from the level
On Monday
Buy!
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AUD_CAD BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅AUD_CAD is approaching a demand level around 0.8800
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
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PIXELUSDTThe outcome of this analysis is that based on the structure of a zero - D wave, which may be a pig or triangle, or even a pig, we should look for the optimal areas to buy Spot …
In the event that this analysis is correct, it may be ideal to purchase Spot in the vicinity of Beijing to the tribes.
A cautious target for the Chinese outbreak and a more risky target could be a dollar casualty.
In time terms too, mid - June and more accurately the beginning of the third week of June would be the ideal approximate time for the start of the DC wave …
As indicated in the chart late July and early September are important times in the chart that will probably work depending on the structure and my guess is that the mentioned times are the ideal time for the end of the larger D - wave …
CADJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISCADJPY has successfully broken out of a well-defined falling wedge pattern, confirming a bullish reversal setup on the daily timeframe. Price action has not only cleared the descending trendline but has also completed a clean retest of the breakout zone near 104.000–104.500. This retest held firmly, showing strong buyer interest, and the pair is now poised for a continuation toward the next key resistance level around 110.000. The technical structure is now favoring bulls, with momentum shifting upward after a prolonged corrective phase.
Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar is gaining strength supported by rising crude oil prices and stronger-than-expected economic data from Canada. The Bank of Canada’s recent tone remains relatively hawkish compared to other central banks, which adds further support to CAD. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen continues to remain under pressure due to the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy stance. With Japan’s inflation struggling to sustain above target, the BOJ is showing no urgency to tighten, which keeps JPY weak against higher-yielding currencies like CAD.
The breakout from the falling wedge is also being supported by volume and bullish daily candles, suggesting a solid shift in market sentiment. The pair has formed a higher low and higher high, officially transitioning into a bullish structure. With the retest of the breakout structure now complete, there’s a high probability for continuation toward 108.000 initially and a full extension to 110.000 in the coming weeks.
Traders should closely monitor any dips as potential buying opportunities as long as CADJPY holds above 103.500–104.000 support. The reward-to-risk ratio remains favorable for swing traders aiming for medium-term targets. With strong technical confirmation, supportive fundamentals, and risk appetite returning to markets, CADJPY is setting up for a potentially profitable bullish wave.