US30: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 44,420.7 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 44,379.6..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
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Signals
SILVER: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 38.253 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 38.151 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
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NAS100 Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 23,006.9.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 23,667.5 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPJPY Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 198.531.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 202.938 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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AUDCHF Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDCHF.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.522.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.533 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GOLD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,363.43 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
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GBPUSD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.365.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.358 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURUSD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.16869 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.16975.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
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Lingrid | GOLD potential Bullish Move From Confluence ZoneOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a higher low above trend support, following a breakout from the consolidation zone and a bullish continuation leg. Price is currently pulling back toward the 3345–3350 region, which aligns with the previous breakout and key structure support. A successful retest of this area would provide confirmation for a renewed push toward the 3400 resistance zone. Momentum favors further upside if bulls defend the support and reclaim bullish control.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: bullish bounce from 3345 with reclaim above 3360
Buy zone: 3345–3360 (trend support and previous breakout)
Target: 3400
Invalidation: drop below 3345 with sustained pressure cancels bullish thesis
💡 Risks
Weak volume on bounce could lead to range-bound price action
Global macro shifts may interfere with expected trend continuation
Another fake breakout near 3400 could trigger sharp rejection
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
USD/JPY – Major Reversal Zone | Potential Top FormingUSD/JPY has entered a critical supply zone near 148.700 an area that has historically acted as strong resistance. The confluence of trendline rejection, overextended RSI, and multiple moving average rejections suggest a potential short-term top is forming.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Macro Pattern: Price is forming a broadening wedge with repeated rejections from the upper resistance trendline (multi-touch).
Supply Zone: The 148.400–148.700 range has acted as a liquidity grab zone historically — current reaction is showing early signs of exhaustion.
Bearish Confluence:
Price stalling below upper wedge resistance.
RSI sitting near overbought territory (68.75) with bearish divergence brewing.
200 SMA overhead and flattening, acting as dynamic resistance.
🎯 Trade Outlook (Short Bias):
Idea Triggered: If price fails to break and close above 148.700 with strong bullish volume, sellers are likely to step in.
Target 1: 144.200 (mid-wedge support)
Target 2: 139.000 (base of structure & ascending trendline)
Invalidation: Daily close above 148.70–149.00 — would indicate potential continuation to new highs.
🔔 Watch For:
Bearish engulfing or rising wedge breakdowns on lower timeframes (4H / 1H).
RSI divergence confirmation.
Volume drying out near resistance.
📌 Wright Way Insight:
This is a high-probability fade setup at a well-defined resistance zone. Unless bulls break structure convincingly, momentum is likely to shift down — favoring strategic short entries.
Let the chart speak. Don’t chase — trade the reversal, trade the Wright Way.
Silver Update (XAGUSD): Eyeing the Next Move After the $39 SurgeAs mentioned in my Friday analysis, Silver ( TRADENATION:EURUSD XAGUSD) was preparing for an important breakout — and indeed, the market delivered. The clean break through resistance triggered a strong acceleration, pushing the metal up to $39, pretty close to the psychological $40 level.
Now, we’re seeing a healthy correction after this steep rise, and this could turn into a buying opportunity for the bulls.
📌 Key support zone:
The ideal area to watch is between $37.20 and $37.50 — this is the sweet spot where bulls might step back in.
But be aware:
👉 After strong breakouts, the broken resistance doesn’t always get retested — sometimes the price rebounds from higher levels.
🎯 Plan of Action:
• Monitor price action under $38
• Watch for reaction patterns and structure shifts
• Don’t force entries — let the market confirm
Silver remains strong as long as the structure holds, and this pullback might just be the market catching its breath before another leg up. 🚀
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GBP/CAD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
GBP/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.858
Target Level: 1.849
Stop Loss: 1.863
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
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USDJPY – Tactical Short in Weekly Supply or Bullish Breakout?COT & MACRO FLOW (Commitment of Traders)
USD INDEX
Non-commercials still biased short: Longs 16,208 vs Shorts 20,194 (slightly improved, but still negative).
Commercials remain net long, but the open interest is declining → no strong conviction from smart money.
JPY
Non-commercials added significantly to their short exposure (+6,751), while cutting longs (-4,432).
Commercials also cut long exposure heavily (-20,405).
The structure shows institutional bias is clearly bearish on JPY.
Conclusion: JPY weakness confirmed by both commercial and non-commercial flows. USD slightly weaker, but JPY is weaker → supports USDJPY bullish bias.
SEASONALITY (JULY)
USD/JPY tends to be weak in July across most historical averages (5y, 10y, 15y, 20y).
July is historically bearish for USDJPY, especially in the second half of the month.
This seasonality contrasts with COT flows → mixed bias.
RETAIL SENTIMENT
60% of retail traders are SHORT → supports contrarian long view.
Retail volume shows imbalance in positioning, another contrarian bullish signal.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (DAILY CHART)
Price is testing a key weekly FVG zone between 148.4 and 149.2.
RSI has re-entered the overbought region, suggesting potential exhaustion.
Price bounced from the monthly bullish order block (143.5–144.0).
A clear move above 149.50 could invalidate short setups.
🧩 TRADE IDEA (SETUP)
Watch for price to retest 148.4–149.50 zone and react.
RSI divergence + seasonality could offer a short opportunity with confirmation (e.g. engulfing on Daily/H4).
If price breaks above 149.5 with volume → look for continuation to 152.00.
✅ FINAL BIAS
Macro and institutional flows remain in favor of USDJPY longs, but:
Seasonality turns bearish in the second half of July
Price is reaching strong resistance
Retail sentiment supports the long thesis
→ Tactical Short from 149-150 only with confirmation. Otherwise, long continuation above 150.
GOLD again targets $3,371, new bullish cycle conditionToday (Tuesday, July 15), in the Asian market, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD maintained a slight recovery trend, currently at around 3,360 USD/ounce.
The spot OANDA:XAUUSD rose to a 3-week high on Monday, but quickly fell back and finally closed lower. Trump's open attitude towards trade negotiations has improved the market's risk-on sentiment and negatively impacted gold, a safe-haven asset. But gold still has a lot of potential risks for price increases, and personally, the fundamental trend for gold has not changed.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report today (Tuesday).
According to a Reuters survey, economists expect the US CPI to increase year-on-year in June to 2.7% from 2.4% the previous month, while the core CPI is expected to increase year-on-year to 3% from 2.8%.
The survey also showed that the US CPI is expected to increase 0.3% month-on-month in June, and the core CPI is also expected to increase 0.3% month-on-month.
According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's "FedWatch Tool", the market believes that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates in July and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in September is about 30%.
If the US core CPI rises by 0.4% or more in June, this could prompt market participants to reassess the possibility of a rate cut in September. In this case, the US Dollar could hold steady and push gold prices lower. On the other hand, if the data is lower than expected, gold will become more attractive while a weaker Dollar will be positive for gold prices.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After gold reached the resistance target of attention to readers in the weekly publication at 3,371 USD, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement, it fell slightly but is now recovering positively.
Currently, gold is trading in the range of 3,360 USD, the price action above the lower edge of the long-term rising price channel with support from the EMA21, gold is now likely to continue to retest the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level.
If gold breaks above $3,371 it will be eligible for a new bullish cycle, with the target then being around $3,400 in the short term, more so than $3,430.
On the other hand, the RSI is pointing up, maintaining activity above 50, and this should be considered a positive signal in terms of momentum. It shows that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead.
However, as of now, gold is still neutral in terms of trend, with conditions gradually tilting towards the possibility of price increase.
Along with that, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: $3,350 – $3,340 – $3,310
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,430
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3390 - 3388⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3394
→Take Profit 1 3382
↨
→Take Profit 2 3376
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3306⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3300
→Take Profit 1 3312
↨
→Take Profit 2 3318
GBP_CHF SWING LONG|
✅GBP_CHF is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 1.0650
After trading in a strong downtrend for some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 1.0750
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD Local Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a retest of
The horizontal support
Level of 3343$ and as
We are locally bullish
Biases we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
Buy!
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Back above $3,300, GOLD may remain neutral, tax focusOANDA:XAUUSD reclaimed the psychologically important level of $3,300/ounce last week, but while gold is still receiving some support as a safe haven amid economic and geopolitical risks, its upside momentum may be limited as the market shifts its attention to other commodities.
Gold prices ended last week on a generally bullish note, rising back above $3,300 an ounce after US President Trump unexpectedly announced a series of new trade policies. Spot gold prices rose about 0.5% last week on Friday.
Although the market initially doubted Trump’s self-imposed July 9 deadline, the overall market reaction remained steady and the renewed risk appetite helped the S&P 500 hit a new record high, somewhat undermining gold’s safe-haven appeal. The July deadline has been pushed back to August 1, but the global trade conflict is far from over. Gold has regained support after initial pressure after Trump announced a new trade policy on copper imports, along with a series of news stories about the relationship between Trump and the FED sent to readers throughout the past week.
A sharp rise in copper prices will also add to inflationary pressures, exacerbate economic uncertainty and raise concerns about recession and stagflation. In this context, gold is expected to continue to receive support from potential risks.
In addition to fierce competition in the commodity market, gold may remain fundamentally neutral in the short term, as economic data will support the Fed's neutral monetary policy. The key market focus next week will be the June Consumer Price Index (CPI). The Fed has made it clear that it is in no rush to raise interest rates while inflation risks remain high.
However, traders still need to be cautious and closely monitor the situation surrounding the tariff war initiated by Trump, which will directly affect the price of gold. In case of negative news, the gold price will receive support and vice versa if positive news appears in the market.
Over the weekend, US President Trump once again used the tariff tactic, announcing that he would impose a 30% tax on imports from the EU and Mexico, causing a strong reaction from the international community. This move not only casts a shadow over the relationship between Europe and the United States, as well as between the United States and Mexico, but also adds further uncertainty to the global trade model. EU politicians, businesses and academics were quick to respond, calling for unity to protect their interests, while Mexico stressed the need to maintain national sovereignty and pledged to respond calmly.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has a 3-day rally, and the upside momentum has reached the important target resistance at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. Gold's upside momentum is also limited by this Fibonacci retracement level, specifically it has slightly dropped to $3,355/oz.
But overall, gold is still not in a position to form a specific trend, and the indicators and positions are mainly showing the possibility of continuing to accumulate sideways.
For gold to have the conditions for a new bullish cycle, it needs to bring price activity above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target will be around $3,400 in the short term, more than $3,430.
Meanwhile, a pullback, which sees gold sell below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, would open the door to a bearish cycle, with a target of around $3,246 in the short term, rather than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement.
RSI hovering around 50 also suggests a hesitant market sentiment, so the short-term bias for gold is neutral.
Along with that, notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: $3,350 – $3,310 – $3,300
Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,430
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3410
→Take Profit 1 3398
↨
→Take Profit 2 3392
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3340 - 3342⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3336
→Take Profit 1 3348
↨
→Take Profit 2 3354
GBP-CAD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD keeps falling down
But a strong horizontal support
Level of 1.8322 is ahead so after
The retest we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NASDAQ Is looking for a massive break-out to 24000!Nasdaq (NDX) is most likely taking advantage of the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Support and after hitting it, it appears that the price will look for a way above the Parabola.
This might be similar to what took place after the May 07 test of the 4H MA50. The price broke above that parabolic pattern and peaked on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we are looking for 24000 as a potential Target in the next 2 weeks.
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EURUSD The 4H MA200 distinguishes bullish from bearish.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a (blue) 2-month Channel Up since the May 12 Low and it just broke below its 4H MA100 (green trend-line). The previous two Bearish Legs of this pattern bottomed (made a Higher Low) on or just above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, the price is very close to the most optimal buy level of this pattern and as long as it holds, we expect to start the new Bullish Leg and target the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (1.20000 our Target just below), which is in line with the previous two Bullish Legs.
If however the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) breaks, we will take the loss on that long and go short as technically the price should seek the bottom of the (dotted) wider Channel Up. Our Target on that occasion will be 1.14000, right at the top of the High Volatility Zone.
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XAUUSD Triangle about to break upwards aggressively.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Triangle pattern since the April 22 High. It is now above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been turned into its Pivot and technically it is about to break upwards as it is running out of space.
As long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) holds, the market technically targets the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, which is what the last two Bullish Legs hit, which currently sits at 3770. A 1D RSI break above its own Lower Highs trend-line, could be an early buy signal.
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Gold Bulls Are Back – Eyes on 3450 GOLD – Bulls Regain Control After Defending 3280
🟡 Last week was a dynamic one for Gold traders.
The week began with signs of an upside reversal, followed by a drop to test the 3280 support. That dip held—and from there, we saw a strong push higher, ending the week right at the top of the range.
📌 Friday’s close left behind a continuation Pin Bar on the weekly chart – a strong signal in favor of the bulls.
- This week started with a new local high at 3375,but we’re now seeing a pullback in the 3355 area at the time of writing.
What’s next?
Given last week’s price action, bulls seem to have won the battle and appear ready to challenge the 3400 level.
My plan for this week:
I’m looking to buy dips, and as long as nothing changes, my target is the 3450 zone.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,349.76 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,341.88..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️