From Breakdown to Breakout: AUD/JPY Flips Structure Above 92🟡 What happened recently?
At the beginning of April, AUD/JPY dropped to a low of 86, but by early May, the pair had surged over 600 pips, reclaiming the key 92 support level.
Most importantly, price reached a high of 95.50 — breaking well above the descending trendline that started back in July 2024.
📉 The recent pullback confirms the breakout
The drop from 95.50 wasn’t bearish — it was confirmation:
✅ Clear rejection from the 92 zone
✅ Former resistance now acting as strong support
✅ Market structure has shifted to bullish
📈 What’s next?
At the time of writing, AUD/JPY is trading around 92.76, and the structure suggests more upside ahead.
🧭 My strategy:
➡️ Buy dips toward 92.00
➡️ Target: 95.50 — the recent high
🚀 The breakout is confirmed, the trend has shifted, and the opportunity is clear.
Let the market do the work — we just need to stay aligned.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Signals
Coffee Pullback or Opportunity?The COT report dated May 20, 2025, reveals a gradual cooling of speculative sentiment in the coffee market. Non-commercials (speculative funds and money managers), who had largely fueled the strong rally towards the 420 USX/lb highs, are now closing long positions (–2,599 contracts), though they still maintain a significantly positive net exposure (+43,300 net contracts).
At the same time, commercials (industry operators such as roasters, exporters, and processors) have reduced both their long and short positions. However, the drop in short hedges (–4,103 contracts) is an important signal—it may suggest less need for downside protection at current prices, often an early sign of a potential market bottom.
Total open interest has decreased by 4,406 contracts, signaling a phase of liquidation and consolidation, where traders are reducing exposure rather than initiating new positions.
📌 Fundamental conclusion: The market is undergoing a healthy reset following the Q1 2025 boom, with speculators stepping back and commercials cautiously optimistic.
📈 Seasonal Analysis
Seasonal tendencies align well with the current technical outlook. May is historically a weak month, with negative average returns across most time frames (10y, 15y, 20y).
However, from June—especially July onward, data shows a strong seasonal rebound, with July–August being statistically the best-performing period of the year for coffee. This is partly due to climate-related risks (Brazilian winter, frost risk) and harvest/logistics cycles in key producing regions.
📌 Seasonal conclusion: June may offer a strategic accumulation window ahead of the traditional summer coffee rally.
🧭 Technical Analysis (Daily)
The KC1! daily chart clearly reflects a distribution and correction phase following the early March peak at 420 USX/lb.
Price has broken below the 355–360 demand zone and is currently testing a key support area between 340 and 325, previously established as a demand base during January–February 2025.
The medium-term trend remains bullish, but the market is now in a downward corrective channel, with lower highs and lower lows.
The weekly RSI sits in a low-neutral range—not yet fully oversold, suggesting there may still be room for further downside, though the bulk of the correction may already be priced in.
📌 Technical conclusion: The market is undergoing a deep pullback within a broader uptrend and is approaching potential reversal zones.
🔎 Strategic Outlook
The coffee market is in the midst of a cyclical and technical correction following its sharp Q1 2025 rally. The COT report reflects a rebalancing of speculative positioning, while commercials appear less aggressive on the short side. Seasonality favors a rebound starting June, and the technicals point to a potential long-entry zone around 340–325, attractive for medium-term positioning.
✅ Recommended Trading Setup
Base scenario (medium-term long):
Entry: Between 340 and 325 USX/lb (gradual accumulation)
Stop Loss: Weekly close below 320 (bearish confirmation)
Target 1: 390 (intermediate supply zone)
Target 2: 410–420 (return to highs)
Confluence: RSI support, COT shift, seasonal upside, technical demand zone
Alternative scenario (bearish breakdown):
Only if weekly closes below 320
This would open room toward 300–285 USX/lb
📌 Final Conclusion
While short-term caution is warranted, current conditions offer attractive long re-entry opportunities for those who await confirmation around the 325–340 support area.
The ideal setup would include:
Weekly stabilization with higher lows
Renewed speculative long positioning in COT
Seasonal momentum kicking in from mid-June
FOMC minutes, GOLD market may see strong volatilityIn the Asian session, spot OANDA:XAUUSD recovered slightly after yesterday's sharp decline. Gold prices are currently holding price action around the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, the nearest support point. On this trading day, investors will look at the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, which are expected to cause major volatility in the gold market.
On Tuesday, as the Trump administration once again released positive information on trade, the market's risk appetite recovered, reducing demand for safe-haven assets such as gold.
On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release the minutes of its May monetary policy meeting.
At its May 7 monetary policy meeting, the FOMC kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, marking the third consecutive time this year. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell continued to maintain his "no rush to cut interest rates" stance.
The minutes released this time record the FOMC's detailed views on monetary policy and provide clues to the future direction of interest rate policy.
Economists generally believe that with few clear signs of stress in the labor market, Fed officials will be happy to keep rates on hold until changes in trade policy are reflected in the data, and the minutes are expected to reinforce that view.
There is a possibility that the tone of the minutes will be more hawkish than expected, which could support the US dollar to some extent, thereby affecting gold prices, but overall it will not create strong pressure.
But these are all predictions because I cannot predict what will be in the content of the US FED FOMC minutes, and all the content in the FOMC minutes will be directly reflected in the gold price. Traders need to pay special attention to this event on this trading day.
Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is still struggling to trade above the confluence area as initial support with the emergence of the 21-day moving average (EMA21) with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
The technical structure has hardly changed significantly with the trend still tilted to the upside. Holding above the $3,300 base point would be a good sign, on the other hand the $3,371 target would remain as a near-term upside target and a break of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement on gold would provide the technical conditions for the next upside target around $3,400 in the near-term, followed by $3,435 more than the all-time high of $3,500.
The relative strength index RSI is above 50, which is also a good signal in terms of momentum, from the RSI we can see that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead.
During the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be noticed by the following technical positions.
Support: 3,292 – 3,250 USD
Resistance: 3,300 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3365 - 3363⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3369
→Take Profit 1 3357
↨
→Take Profit 2 3351
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3263 - 3265⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3259
→Take Profit 1 3271
↨
→Take Profit 2 3277
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD has pulled back to the broken trendline and is now trading below a key resistance zone.
As long as the price remains below this resistance, we expect a short-term decline toward the specified support level.
The rejection from this zone suggests a possible continuation of the down move.
However, if price breaks and holds above the resistance zone, the bearish outlook will be invalidated.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GOLD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 3285$ which also
Seems to have been a neckline
Of the small H&S pattern so
We are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
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XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook Still BearishAs I explained in yesterday’s analysis, my medium-term bias for Gold turned bearish, and I expect the 3250 support zone to be reached. My current strategy remains to sell rallies.
As shown in the chart, after reaching the 3285 support level — the same area where Gold reversed last week — price has once again reversed.
This recent reversal can be seen as a new shorting opportunity, anticipating a drop toward 3250.
📌 As detailed in this morning's " Minds " post:
• Sell zone: 3320–3330
• Invalidation: Above 3350
• Target: ~700+ pips potential depending on entry
• Risk-to-Reward: Strong 1:3 setup possible
Unless price breaks above 3350, selling rallies remains the plan.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBP_NZD RISKY LONG|
✅GBP_NZD is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 2.2520
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 2.2609
LONG🚀
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EUR-USD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is going down
And the pair will soon hit
A horizontal support level
Around 1.1270 from where
We will be able to go long
With the Take Profit of 1.1328
And the Stop Loss of 1.1254
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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WTI OIL Rejection on 1D MA50 aims at $56.50.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a 13-month Channel Down pattern and is currently under heavy pressure by multiple Resistance levels.
The immediate one is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has its most recent rejection last Wednesday (May 21) and as you can see, the price has failed to break above it, even though it's been trading directly below it.
As long as the 1D MA50 holds, we expect a test of the lower Support Zone at $56.50, similar to the September - December 2024 Support Zone, which was tested continuously after several 1D MA50 rejections.
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AMAZON eyes $255 on the 3rd such buy signal in 18 months!AMAZON Inc. (AMZN) has been trading within a 18-month Bullish Megaphone pattern whose latest bottom was on the April 07 2025 Low. Since then, the pattern has started its new Bullish Leg, which has been confirmed by the break-out above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1W RSI's above its MA.
The previous two Bullish Legs hit at least their 3.5 Fibonacci extension levels and the 2nd Bullish was +30% more than the 1st. If the stock achieves a +60% gain from its April bottom again, it will be almost exactly on its 3.5 Fib ext.
As a result, we believe that a $255 Target (on the 3.5 Fib), is more than realistic to be achieved by September.
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BTC Short analysis + GRID Bot Scalper Strategy for BTC FuturesHELLO DEAR TRADERS,
If you're reading this right now, consider yourself one of the lucky few. You're gaining access to insights that, until now, have remained exclusive — reserved for a very small circle of insiders and influencers.
For a long time, we've hesitated to step into the spotlight and reveal the deeper truth behind the movements of financial markets. But everything comes in due time… and that time is getting closer.
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Many believe they're the ones moving the markets — but that’s far from the truth.
The real secret?
Their teams have access to advanced tools and knowledge — the right kind of science — to analyze the markets in ways most people can’t even imagine.
We won't go into too much detail here — some information is too powerful (and risky) to be shared publicly. But remember this:
"Trading is a game. And if you know the rules, you always play to win."
Starting today, we’ll be introducing a completely new vision of how to trade the financial markets — or any asset whose price is reflected on a chart.
Get ready to see the markets like never before. 🔥
Scalping Made Simple: The Power of GRID Bots
If you're serious about scalping the markets, one of the most effective tools at your disposal is the GRID trading bot. When properly configured, it can deliver consistent, automated profits by executing micro-trades around the clock.
Let’s be real:
Sitting in front of charts all day, hunting for the perfect sniper entry, is not just exhausting — it’s inefficient.
Why not let automation do the heavy lifting while you focus on strategy?
________________________________________
⚙️ AUTO SCALPER MODE: ON (SHORT TERM BOT
Here are the optimal parameters to configure your GRID BOT on Binance for effective scalping:
🔧 Recommended Settings:
o Trading Pair: BTC/USDTP (futures GRID)
o Mode: Grid Trading (long)
o Price Range: 105000 – 112000 USDT
o Current leverage : x18
o Number of Grids: 22-25 levels
o Order Size: Depends on your capital)
o Profit Mode: Arithmetic
o Margin mode : isolated
o Trailing up : Disabled
o Take-Profit: 112000
o Stop-Loss: 104000
o Open a position on creation : Disabled
o Close all position on stop: Enabled
o Close all positions on TP/SL stops: Enabled
📌 Notes :
⚠️The settings listed aboce have been meticulously calculated using precise algorithmic models. Every parameter serves a purpose — and even the slightest deviation can significantly impact performance, potentially leading to capital loss.
⚠️Do not judge the bot’s performance based on its real-time PNL. The true profit is only realized once the bot reaches its target and closes all active orders.
⚠️These bots are designed with high-level precision, offering a powerful edge when configured and used correctly.
✋ Manual Entries (For Experienced Traders)
If you're a more advanced trader, you can combine the GRID bot with manual entries based on:
o Buy orders listed on the chart
o You can enter a buy position at any price within the defined range on the chart — as long as the price does not break above the upper boundary of that range
o Using leverage is possible, but only under one condition:
-Your stop-loss and liquidation price must always remain below the highest protected low or in the SL area
o Your stop loss should always be bellow the highest protected Low
🔍 Disclaimer: This is our personal analysis and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions.
💬 What’s your take on this? Drop your thoughts in the comments and feel free to share this with your friends! ❤️
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,306.07 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,296.72 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 1.13110 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 24,143.24 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 24,064.02.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 33.237 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 33.339.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XRPUSD This rare signal can send it to $12.5 end of the year.XRP has been practically ranging since the start of the year following the immense rally after the U.S. elections last November. This is technically a Re-accumulation phase supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), similar to May - November 2017 of XRP's 1st Cycle.
The strong signal that makes this correlation more relevant is the 1M RSI peak above 80.00 and correction back below the oversold barrier (green ellipse), which is identical on both fractals. Also they both took place just below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level.
The 2017 Re-accumulation, held its 1W MA50 as Support and eventually pushed for one final parabolic rally within the 2.0 - 2.236 Fib range, before the Cycle topped.
As a result, we expect XRPUSD to hit $12.5 by the end of this year.
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USDCHF Will Move Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.826.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.814 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPAUD Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 2.096.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 2.155 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBPNZD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 2.262.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 2.298 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??NZDCHF is currently consolidating in a textbook bullish flag pattern after a sharp recovery from the recent lows near 0.4680. Price action is compressing just below a key supply zone around 0.4950–0.4980, signaling a potential breakout setup as momentum builds. This flag is forming after a clear impulse move, and with the structure respecting higher lows, I’m preparing for a bullish continuation toward the 0.5100–0.5150 target zone.
Fundamentally, the New Zealand dollar is gaining strength supported by the RBNZ's firm hold on tight monetary policy, as inflation remains sticky in services and housing. Governor Orr’s latest comments reaffirmed that the central bank is not ready to pivot until they see a clear disinflationary trend. On the other hand, the Swiss franc is showing signs of weakness, as the SNB remains one of the most dovish central banks in the G10 space, with real interest rates still negative and inflation pressures easing significantly.
Technically, we’re in a bullish structure with key demand holding strong at the 0.4840–0.4860 range. Price is now coiling just under resistance, and a clean breakout above the 0.4950 level could ignite the next impulsive leg toward 0.5100. If the breakout confirms with increased volume and market sentiment aligns, this setup presents a high probability long opportunity with a favorable R\:R.
NZDCHF remains on my radar as a breakout trade backed by both technical structure and macro fundamentals. With capital flows favoring the Kiwi and risk appetite rotating back into higher-yielding currencies, this pair offers a solid bullish continuation setup for the coming weeks. Stay patient, let the breakout confirm, and ride the momentum higher.
NZDCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??NZDCAD is currently coiling within a textbook bullish flag formation after an aggressive impulsive leg to the upside. Price action remains tight inside this consolidation structure, respecting both trendline resistance and support. As we approach the apex of this flag, I’m closely watching for a breakout confirmation to trigger the next bullish continuation leg toward the 0.8600 target.
From a macro perspective, the New Zealand dollar is gaining strength following the RBNZ’s firm stance on keeping rates elevated due to persistent inflation risks, particularly in housing and services. On the flip side, the Canadian dollar is showing relative weakness as oil prices stall and the Bank of Canada shifts toward a more dovish tone amid weaker economic data and slowing consumer spending. This divergence in central bank policy and economic outlook is building a strong fundamental case for NZDCAD upside.
Technically, the structure remains clean. The market formed a strong bullish engulfing rally earlier in April, and since then has entered a symmetrical correction with higher lows forming under compression. This is a classic continuation setup with strong momentum buildup underneath. A breakout above the 0.8280–0.8300 zone with volume would likely trigger institutional interest and drive price rapidly toward the 0.8600 level, which aligns with the measured move of the flag.
This is a high-probability trade idea supported by both technical and fundamental convergence. With risk well-defined below 0.8135 and momentum favoring the bulls, NZDCAD is one of my top setups going into June. Breakout traders and swing traders alike should keep this pair on the radar as the next bullish expansion looks imminent.