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Smcanalysis

#EURUSD: Nothing to expect from DXY| View Changed Swing Trading|Hey there! So, we were previously thinking EURUSD was going to be bearish, but things have turned around and it’s looking bullish for now. The extreme bearish pressure on USD has caused all the major USD pairs to be in a range. As the week goes on and we get the NFP data, the market will probably focus more on these economic indicators. So, it’s not surprising to see some market ranges during this time. We’ll keep a close eye on the market, as there might be some manipulation going on this week. We recommend waiting until Monday’s daily candle closes to see if the bullish trend is strong enough. Then, based on the price momentum, you can make your decisions. We hope you have a great week and safe trading! If you like our work and analysis, please consider liking, commenting, and sharing our content. Cheers, Team Setupsfx ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
28
#GBPJPY: Buyers and Sellers Both Has Equal Chances! Hey there! So, GBPJPY is at a pivotal moment, and we might see a mix of buying and selling activity in the market. Since the bulls aren’t exactly sure what to do next, here’s what we think: - The GBPJPY pair is having a tough time breaking through the 194 region. The Japanese yen (JPY) is holding steady, making it hard to predict what will happen next. This has made trading JPY pairs a real challenge. - Looking back at how prices have behaved in similar situations can give us some clues about what might happen in the future. But it’s important to do thorough research before we start trading. Just because something happened in the past doesn’t mean it will happen again. - The Japanese yen (JPY) also tends to go down when the US dollar (USD) goes up. Since we’re bullish on the DXY index in the coming days, we think the JPY will probably take a hit, and it could go down a lot. It’s also worth keeping an eye on the GBP, which has been one of the most popular currencies since the market opened earlier today. - In the meantime, we suggest setting two take-profit targets: one at 197 and another at 199. These levels are likely to see a lot of selling activity. Now, let’s talk about what sellers should do: - The price is currently in favour of sellers since it dropped from 195.50 to 193.50. And since the last two daily candles closed with strong bearish volume, it looks like the price is going to keep going down. - If the price breaks below 190.50, that would be a great opportunity for sellers to make some money. Good luck and trade safely! Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊 If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️🚀
by Setupsfx_
22
VIEW: EURUSD-Cut your losses short and let your winners run. -The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient. -In investing, what is comfortable is rarely profitable. -Trade what you see, not what you think. CONFIRMATION -Price is bullish -Strong order block -BOS -Liquidity sweep -FVG filled -Price retraced NB: Do not ever compare yourself to other traders. Take regular breaks from trading Maintain a trading journal Love your craft Learn from other successful traders.
by koolytrades
XAUUSD 1H | Bearish Order Block Reaction + Liquidity Sweep🔻 XAUUSD 1-Hour Breakdown — May 14, 2025 Gold gave a strong supply rejection at a marked Order Block zone. This isn’t just a pullback — it’s a potential continuation setup targeting lower lows. Here’s what’s cooking: 🧩 1. Market Structure Clean rejection from premium OB zone at ~$3,220 Massive bearish impulse candle right after sweeping demand zone liquidity Price formed a lower low and is now forming a lower high 🛠 2. Key Confluences 🟪 Order Block: Solid rejection with no candle closes above 💧 Liquidity Sweep: Deep wick into OB zone → trapped breakout buyers 🔺 Strong High Protected: Market respects structure, suggesting continuation 🔻 Weak Low Targeted: Clean draw to imbalance & potential sweep zone near $3,116 🧠 3. Trade Setup Entry: Rejection near $3,207–3,220 OB SL: Above $3,229 (invalidates structure) TP: First TP zone near $3,116, extended TP: $3,100 RRR: 1:4 to 1:6 setup depending on partials ⚠️ 4. Risk Management Watch for NY session reversal attempts Secure profits at first demand zone reaction Consider trailing stop above last bearish engulfing candle 📌 Price respects structure. If bulls don’t step in quick, sellers will run the table. This is a classic SMC bearish continuation off OB + liquidity grab — don’t sleep on it! 💬 Type “🔻” if you're riding this short wave with us! 🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for sniper SMC plays every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
USDCHF Premium Tap into Order Block🚨 USDCHF Smart Money Setup Unfolding – One Shot, One Kill Opportunity Here’s why this setup is packed with confluence and how Smart Money might be laying the perfect trap before a big drop... 🧠 Structure Breakdown: We’re currently seeing a textbook retracement into premium pricing after a clear bearish move, and Smart Money seems ready to strike again. ✅ Swing High to Low Fib Analysis We’ve pulled from the most recent swing high to the swing low — and price is now retracing into the 61.8%–79% golden zone. That’s classic territory for Smart Money to reposition short. 📍 Premium Trap Zone: Between 0.8375 and 0.8395, we’re stacking multiple confluences: Fib Golden Zone (61.8% – 79%) Bearish Order Block Strong High (Liquidity Pool) Diagonal Trendline Resistance Break of structure beneath current price Price action is walking up cleanly, likely to attract late longs — but we know better. This is liquidity engineering at its finest. 📊 🧱 Smart Money Zones: 🔲 Order Block (OB) at ~0.8380–0.8395) This OB aligns beautifully with 79% fib retracement and sits right below a Strong High — where liquidity is waiting to get grabbed. 🎯 Entry Logic: Wait for a tap + bearish rejection candle inside the OB. Set stop loss just above the Strong High. Ride the momentum back down toward discount zones. 🎯 Target Zones: TP1: Back to 0% fib level (~0.8325) TP2: Extension to -27% fib (~0.8295) TP3 (if momentum flows): Sub 0.8280 levels This setup offers a clean 1:3+ RRR with sniper-level precision. Low risk, high reward — exactly what we love! 🧘‍♂️ Psychology of This Move: Smart Money creates the illusion of bullish strength to: Lure breakout traders above the high. Fill institutional sell orders inside the OB. Sweep weak lows after rebalancing inefficiencies. This is not a random pullback — it’s a calculated liquidity sweep before expansion. 🚀 ⚡ Game Plan: ✅ Wait for price to reach premium zone ✅ Look for rejection (engulfing or SMC candle confirmation) ✅ Enter with SL above high ✅ Take partials at equilibrium and trail to discount ✅ Don’t rush — let price come to you 💎 🧨 Risk Management Tip: This is a surgical setup — you don’t need to overleverage to win. Let the chart do the heavy lifting. Stick to 1–2% risk and let the RRR carry the profit. ✍️ In Summary: USDCHF is retracing into a major premium zone packed with Smart Money confluence — Order Block, Fib, BOS, liquidity, and trendline resistance. This could be one of the cleanest bearish setups this week if you stay patient and time it right. 🗣️ Drop "USDCHF READY" in the comments if you're planning to catch this setup! 📲 Tag your trading partner and don’t let them miss this sniper entry!
Short
by ChartNinjas88
BTCUSD 30M | OB Rejection + FVG Target | Liquidity BelowSmart Money Concept Breakdown | May 18, 2025 This BTC setup is screaming institutional manipulation — and we’re ready to ride the wave. The most recent candle shows another clean rejection from the 30M Order Block, giving high confidence in bearish continuation. 🔍 Key Breakdown: Entry Confluence: Bearish OB between 103,569–103,634 tapped with a perfect wick Candle rejected CRT High (high-probability manipulation zone) Rejection confirmed with a bearish engulfing candle structure Target Mapping: Sell Side Liquidity: 102,643.59 Fair Value Gap: 102,200 zone Weak Low: 101,420.70 (likely final draw on liquidity) RR Setup: Entry: 103,570 zone SL: Just above CRT High at 103,811 TP1: SSL pool TP2: FVG TP3: Weak Low Risk-Reward Range: From 1:2.5 to 1:5+ 💰 🧠 Institutional Logic: The rally into the OB was likely a buy-side liquidity grab, faking retail breakout traders before dropping. If price breaks below 102,643 with momentum, expect a sweep of the FVG and weak low. 🎯 Bonus Watch: If price returns to the OB but fails to break CRT High again = solid re-entry confirmation 📉🧠
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
How Smart Money is Positioning in EUR/USD – 5 Scenarios UnfoldedLiquidity Maps & Trap Zones: EUR/USD 1H Breakdown EUR/USD SMC Analysis – Scenarios Overview 1. Case 1 – Immediate Pump: The market may pump directly from the current market price (CMP) and take out the external range liquidity resting above the current highs. 2. Case 2 – 15-Min Demand Reaction: The market could react to the 15-minute demand zone , showing a bullish response and pushing higher toward the 1H supply zone . 3. Case 3 – Inducement & Distribution: Combined with Case 2, the market may first mitigate the 15-minute demand , then take out the inducement (IdM ) near the 1H supply zone . From there, distribution may begin within that supply range, leading to a drop toward the discount zone . This would likely involve a fake breakout to the upside (liquidity sweep), trapping buyers and hitting the stop-losses of early sellers before reversing sharply. 4. Case 4 – 1H CHoCH and Triangle Breakdown: A Change of Character (CHoCH) may occur on the 1H timeframe directly from the current price, leading to a downside move. This scenario would also break the rising triangle pattern , triggering entries from price action traders and increasing market volatility as liquidity accelerates the move downward. 5. Case 5 – 1H Supply Rejection & Free Fall: The market may react from the 1H supply zone and reject aggressively, resulting in a free fall all the way down to the previous CHoCH level , confirming strong bearish intent from premium to discount. Thanks for your time..
Education
by Naren_2410