#EURUSD: Nothing to expect from DXY| View Changed Swing Trading|Hey there! So, we were previously thinking EURUSD was going to be bearish, but things have turned around and it’s looking bullish for now.
The extreme bearish pressure on USD has caused all the major USD pairs to be in a range. As the week goes on and we get the NFP data, the market will probably focus more on these economic indicators. So, it’s not surprising to see some market ranges during this time.
We’ll keep a close eye on the market, as there might be some manipulation going on this week.
We recommend waiting until Monday’s daily candle closes to see if the bullish trend is strong enough. Then, based on the price momentum, you can make your decisions.
We hope you have a great week and safe trading! If you like our work and analysis, please consider liking, commenting, and sharing our content.
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Team Setupsfx
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Smcconcepts
XAUUSD: +1500 TO +2200 PIPS Major Swing Move in Making, Two AreaThe first day of the trading week has seen Gold skyrocket, clearly indicating a bullish price direction. Our recent analyses had clearly shown this, and the volume confirms further bullish momentum. Additionally, the NFP news this Friday will be a trend changer, regardless of its positive or negative impact on the USD.
There are two potential take-profit targets. Before taking entry, please conduct your own analysis.
Good luck and trade safely,
Team Setupsfx_
EUR/USD - Daily highs taken, now what?Introduction
The EUR/USD made a strong move higher today, establishing a clear uptrend on the 4-hour chart. With this latest push, it swept the daily liquidity above the previous high. The question now is whether the EUR/USD will continue moving higher or if there are opportunities for long entries at lower levels.
Liquidity Sweep
EUR/USD has taken out liquidity above the daily highs, where many stop losses are typically positioned. These stops have now been removed from the market. This area could potentially act as a support and resistance flip. However, if we see a 4-hour candle close below the previous daily high, further downside becomes likely.
Where Can We Look for Buys?
During the recent 4-hour move higher, significant progress was made. This upward movement created a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $1.149 and $1.145. This FVG aligns perfectly with the golden pocket Fibonacci level, drawn from the swing low to the swing high. As a result, this zone forms a strong area of confluence for potential buy positions to target a retest of the highs.
Conclusion
Although we are currently breaking above the previous high, this move has yet to be confirmed as sustainable. Holding above this level is crucial. If a 4-hour candle closes below the previous high, it becomes likely that we will revisit the daily FVG and golden pocket Fibonacci zone.
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Week of 6/8/25: EU AnalysisPrice has reached the extreme of daily bearish structure and we can see a rejection of the 4h latest push to make another high. We're following 1h internal bearish structure to at least take out the weak low, thus making 1h structure bearish and following that to the 4h extreme swing low.
Major news:
Core CPI - Wednesday
Week of 6/1/25: EU AnalysisEU 1h and 4h structure are bearish, but there was a large rejection of the daily CHoCH last week leading to large bullish price movement. Our 1h internal structure is bullish, so we will follow that trend for now.
Major news:
PMI - Monday
PMI/ADP NFP - Wed
Unemployment Claims - Thurs
NFP/Unemployment rate - Friday
Week of 6/1/25: AU AnalysisA lot of consolidation from the prior week, all time frames are technically bullish and internal 1h structure is bullish. I am going to be cautious around the current level until there is a prime entry model to get in long.
Major news:
PMI - Monday
PMI/ADP NFP - Wed
Unemployment Claims - Thurs
NFP/Unemployment rate - Friday
I'm currently long on EUR/GBPPrice is currently reacting to a retest of an order block located within the discount zone, following a Shift in Market Structure (SMS).
Additionally, on the weekly timeframe, price is also positioned in the discount zone, aligning with a weekly order block at the same level.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice—just my personal analysis.
price action has been steadily climbing, indicating that bulls!GBP/USD Technical Analysi s – Bullish Momentum Building
The GBP/USD pair is currently showing signs of bullish strength, having recently rebounded from a 1-hour Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has acted as a strong support zone. This technical reaction suggests increased buying interest and provides a short-term bullish bias in the market.
Following the rejection from the FVG, price action has been steadily climbing, indicating that bulls are gaining control. Market structure on the 1-hour timeframe remains intact with higher highs and higher lows, further supporting the bullish narrative. Additionally, volume analysis and momentum indicators are beginning to align with the current upward move, suggesting that there may be room for continuation.
However, to confirm sustained bullish momentum, it is essential to monitor key resistance levels ahead. The next immediate resistance lies near , which has historically acted as a decision point for the market. A clean breakout and close above this level on increased volume would serve as strong confirmation for a further upside move, potentially targeting .
Conversely, traders should remain cautious of any signs of weakness or bearish divergence forming near resistance areas. Should the pair fail to break higher and instead reverse, a revisit of the bullish FVG could occur, potentially offering another entry opportunity for buyers.
In summary, the GBP/USD pair is displaying bullish intent in the short term, but confirmation from higher timeframes and key levels will be critical before committing to a directional bias. Maintain a balanced outlook and adapt to the evolving price action.
Week of 5/11/25: EURUSD AnalysisEU has clean structure with Daily, 4h, and 1h bearish.
1h internal structure is bullish at the moment and we're waiting for that to break bearish before looking for any shorts.
We're going to be patient and wait for internal before looking for high probability trades.
Major news:
China trade talks - Monday
CPI - Tuesday
PPI/Unemployment - Thursday
Week of 5/11/25: AUDUSD AnalysisDaily is bullish, so in the future price possibly will trend up.
In the meantime 4h and 1h are bearish but has reached a critical daily demand zone at the extreme of daily structure.
So far 1h internal is bullish, so we are still looking for longs cautiously until structure is broken.
Major news:
China trade talks - Monday
CPI - Tuesday
PPI/Unemployment - Thursday
EURUSD 30min Smart Money Long | Order Block + Discount Entry⚡ EURUSD 30m Smart Money Long | May 9, 2025
We're spotting a strong potential reversal after price melts into a clearly defined Order Block deep in the discount zone. Momentum slows, wicks reject the lows, and we’re stacked for a bullish bounce.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
📉 Sharp selloff into 1.12204 support
🧱 Bullish Order Block holding with rejection wicks
🧠 Smart Money Entry Zone marked just above 1.1219
📐 Price below 50% Fib = Discounted premium RR
🚀 TP targeting imbalance fill near 1.13204
📊 Setup Specs:
Pair: EURUSD
Timeframe: 30 min
Entry: 1.12204
SL: ~1.12078
TP: ~1.13204
RR: Approx. 1:6+
💡 Smart Money Logic:
Big players often load longs in these deep discount zones, right before the crowd notices the shift. This zone is layered with protection: OB, liquidity sweep, and slowed momentum — textbook for a reversal.
📈 Chart Ninja Note:
"Don’t chase — wait for price to come to you… in the discount, at the OB."
GBPCAD: 700+ pips swing move in making; what you think? FX:GBPCAD
After looking at the daily timeframe, we have identified the price pattern with this particular pair, we pointed out the upcoming big move based on similar move that this pair has made. Currently price has been rebounding from the strong buying zone where we expect a large volume to kick in the market. First our main aim will be to see how price react at the downtrend trendline and if price successfully breakthrough the region. We can then enter more entries with this pairs targeting long term 700+ pips. Good luck and trade safe.
what is fair value gap ? what is fair value gap ?
-This Analysis is based on educational purposes using the concepts of Smart Money and Liquidity Sweep area
- We create two fair Value gaps in which market will act on that
first one is between 3247 to 3260 area expecting move down from that point and touched 3192 to 3165 which is a strong liquidity zone
Week of 5/4/25: EURUSD AnalysisEurusd has been consolidating internally, but has made a final push bearish from Friday NFP. We're looking for a short at the flip zone of the 1h POI, but if it goes past that to the extreme of the internal structure, we will be cautious and wait for a break to switch bullish.
Thanks for stopping by!
Major News:
FOMC - Wednesday
Unemployment - Thursday
Week of 5/4/25: AUDUSD AnalysisAfter a hellish week of consolidation, price has made its move higher (finally) and we're back to a trendy chart.
My analysis the beginning of the week shows 2 POIs that I am interested in for longs, and if it breaks the level that I pointed out bearish, I will look for shorts.
Thanks for tuning in!
Major News:
FOMC - Wed
Unemployment - Thurs
Bitcoin - Repeating History: 100k Next Target?Bitcoin is continuing to move with clean structure, driven by demand imbalances and breakout continuation setups. After the initial breakout from the mid-April range, price moved in a highly technical fashion, consolidating, breaking out, forming a fair value gap, and then retesting it before continuation. That exact structure looks like it's playing out again. Bitcoin just broke out of another multi-day consolidation and left behind a fresh 4h imbalance, suggesting the potential for another leg higher if it respects that zone on a pullback.
Consolidation Structure
The prior breakout came from a tight range just below $86,000. BTC spent several days compressing in that area, then broke out impulsively, creating a 4h FVG and retesting it cleanly. That retest held perfectly and launched a rally of nearly $10,000.
The current setup is structurally the same. BTC spent 8 days consolidating under $95,000, repeatedly testing the resistance without breaking it. It finally closed decisively above, leaving behind another fair value gap. The sequence is familiar, sideways accumulation, breakout, FVG left behind, and now a setup for retest.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario is centered on a retest of the new 4h FVG, located between roughly $94,200 and $95,000. If price pulls back into that imbalance and buyers defend it, the setup for continuation is clean. Based on recent behavior, a successful retest here could easily carry BTC toward the $100,000 level.
If price instead breaks back below $94,000 and falls into the previous consolidation range, that invalidates the breakout structure. In that case, Bitcoin could either enter another range-bound phase or trap longs with a deviation. That would shift the focus to reassessing structure instead of chasing continuation.
Price Target and Expectations
The short-term upside target is $100,000. That level is both a psychological milestone and a likely liquidity magnet. From a structural perspective, it aligns with the last breakout leg, which moved over $9,000 after a similar retest setup. If buyers defend the FVG, there is not much in the way until $100,000.
The momentum behind the breakout supports that expectation. The move was impulsive, clear, and not showing signs of exhaustion. As long as structure holds, price is in a strong position to continue toward that key round number level.
Current Stance
This setup is not a breakout chase, it’s a retest setup. The breakout already happened, and the market left behind a fair value gap that now needs to be tested. If price pulls into the $94K to $95K zone and reacts strongly, that would confirm demand. That’s the moment to step in, with invalidation placed below the FVG and former resistance.
Until then, it's about staying patient and letting price come to the key level. The structure is clear, the plan is defined, and there’s no need to force a trade in the middle of the range.
Conclusion
Bitcoin looks like it’s repeating the exact same structure we saw earlier this month. Range, breakout, FVG, retest, that sequence played out before and led to a major leg higher. It’s playing out again now with nearly identical timing and behavior.
If the 4h imbalance holds, the next phase of this rally likely targets $100,000. The structure is clean, the behavior is technical, and there’s no reason to overcomplicate it. Let price do its thing, wait for the retest, and if the reaction is strong, follow the same playbook that’s already worked once this month.
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