SMCI: First 1D Golden Cross in years just formed.Super Micro Computer turned marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.363, MACD = 1.620, ADX = 16.124) but is essentially neutral, consolidating practically for the past month. They big news is that today it is forming the first 1D Golden Cross since June 1st 2020, the period after the COVID crash recovery. Trading inside a Channel Up and given the Inverse Head and Shoulders being formed, we expect the stock to target its 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 83.00).
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SMCI
$SMCI "Buy The Dip" Value AreaSMCI (Super Micro Computer) has weathered the storm from all the negative press and I believe it is poised to go on a big run. This $26-$47 area is the BEST value you are going to get on it. This is probably the last discount before takeoff. We may not see this level again. As NVDA continues to fly, so will SMCI. Always do your own DD.
OKTA - DAY TRADE IDEAOKTA is setting up for a day trade scalp long...perhaps an aggressive swing trade as well. The day trade is a much higher probability of success around the $98.50-$99.30
Okta's stock has seen some volatility recently. After a strong rally earlier this year, it pulled back following cautious guidance from the company. Despite beating expectations on sales and earnings for Q1 fiscal 2026, investors were concerned about slowing growth, leading to a 14.6% drop in its stock price.
Okta reported $688 million in revenue, a 12% year-over-year increase, and positive free cash flow of $238 million, but its GAAP earnings were significantly lower than its adjusted earnings. The company maintained its full-year revenue forecast of $2.85 billion to $2.86 billion, reflecting 9% to 10% growth, but analysts tempered their optimism due to macroeconomic uncertainties.
Technicals
- Multiyear Support
- 50 % Fib Retrace
- Upsloping Trendline
- Positive Divergence building on 1/ 4 hour chart.
Bearish or bullish SMCI Stock USD. Breakpoint coming.Technical and Fundamental Analysis for SMCI 🚀
The current stock price of Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) is $41.87 USD . The target sell point is set at $73 USD, indicating a potential upward movement. The s upport level for buying is $34 USD , suggesting that if the stock price drops to this level, it may be a good opportunity to purchase.
It is crucial to maintain the resistance level at $41 USD ; otherwise, the stock may decline further to the support level of $34 USD.
Technical indicators on the chart include moving averages and volume data, which help in understanding the stock's price trends and market sentiment. The green and red bands represent different moving averages, showing the stock's volatility and potential price movements.The annotations on the chart highlight key support and resistance levels, providing a visual guide for trading decisions.
Fundamentally , Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a company listed on NASDAQ, and its stock performance is influenced by various factors such as market conditions, company earnings, and industry trends. Investors should consider both technical and fundamental aspects before making trading decisions.
Conclusion: 🚀
The analysis suggests monitoring the resistance level at $41 USD closely. If the stock price maintains above this level, it may move towards the target sell point of $73 USD. However, if it fails to hold this resistance, it could drop to the support level of $34 USD, presenting a potential buying opportunity.
If you want to refine this analysis or explore other scenarios, I'm here to dive deeper into key points! 🚀 Subscribe! TSXGanG
I hold a CCVM and MNC (Certificate of Competence to become a securities broker anywhere in Canada) and have been working as a trader for five years.
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SMCI LONG IDEASMCI broke out of a downtrend and support level with a strong weekly bullish candle. This is a signal that the stock is ready for appreciating in value. The first signal was in November 2024 when there was a divergence on awesome oscillator. This was followed by a breakout of down trend line in February 2025, which made price to move from around 36 to around 66.
Currently, price is showing a strong momentum to rally up again. With a pullback to the key level, the best time to buy the stock is at current price or between 38 and 40. An aggressive trader/investor could have when the previous weekly candle closed bullish, while a conservative trader/investor would have waited for the pullback to the key level which is what's happening at the moment.
The entry is around 38 and 40 while the stop could be 25 and the target can be 66 and 119.
Confluences for the signal:
1. Price broke out of a down trend line and closed with a strong weekly bullish candle.
2. Price also closed above a support level.
3. Price was coming from a strong support level.
4. Awesome oscillator is still below 0 and it's just resuming bullish region.
Disclaimer: this is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. If you can't accept the risk, don't take the signal.
100% move potential Quantum Computing RGTIRegetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) - Quantum Computing is on the move - Breaking above the 25 day EMA to continue the uptrend. RGTI has the potential to move 100% of the current price. With that potential, when would you sell at 25% , 50%, 75% or 100%? Otherwise, would you hold longterm?
Bullish Semiconductors? SOXX The semiconductors NASDAQ:SOXX definitely tend to lead the market In bull rallies. I still think this saying will hold true for several years.
The NASDAQ:SOXX is flirting with some pretty decent resistance. This would be a perfect spot for sellers to exit and price action to digest recent gains.
If the chart plays out like I think it will, we should have a decent pullback in this area which could create an epic inverse head right shoulder. This pattern would be a very bullish setup that could take us into new All Time Highs in 2026.
This is a weekly pattern so allow the chart some tike to play out.
SMCI going to breakout soon, targeting $200NASDAQ:SMCI hasfound support at $28, it is currently trading around the $46 level. It is attempting to test the $50-$61 range for the third time and will likely turn this level into support with a breakout.
$200 could be a good psychological target. The relative strength against the SP:SPX is about to turn positive in favor of the stock, and I expect volume to increase in the coming days.
SMCI hit its 1W MA50, eyes a massive break-out.Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) has surged more than +15% today after the company announced a multi-year, $20 billion partnership with Saudi data center firm DataVolt.
Technically that brought it on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the first contact with it since the week of February 18 2025, which was the previous Top. The current rally as well as the one that led to the Feb 18 Top, is fueled by the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) which held as Support on both occasions.
The driving pattern behind those Bullish Legs is a Channel Up (blue) and this is not the first time SMCI comes across such formation. It was in fact a similar Channel Up that took the stock from the 2022 bottom of the Inflation Crisis and guided it to its new Bull Cycle. That rose by +950% before it pulled back on its first consolidation.
As a result, we have a short-term Target at $80.00 and after a pull-back, long-term Target at $180.00 (+950% from the bottom).
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SMCI Is it still a buy following the Q3 revenue and profit cut?Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) cut its third-quarter revenue and profit expectations due to delays in customer spending, amplifying worries of a pullback in AI-linked investments and pushing its shares down -16% pre-market.
It has been 6 months since we issued a major buy signal on SMCI (November 07 2024, see chart below):
Even tough our $122.50 long-term Target still stands, we have to move it later on the time-line until the economic outlook shows the positive signs of 2024 again.
Until then, we have a more medium-term Target of $80.00, which is on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, the same level the price hit in March 2019, following the first U.S. - China Trade War in 2018.
As you can see, the recovery patterns in terms of 1W RSI between the two fractals are almost identical.
Right now the stock is basically consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), waiting for the next round of expansion news for the market, to break above the Triangle.
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SMCI ONCE IN A LIFETIME DIP BUY!!!Ive taken a $600 position on SMCI I will be looking to size into as it works. You can clearly see what happened last time we were at this price area. I have less than a $1 stop loss if price were to return below the green line. This will be a LONGGGGGGGGGGG hold into the future.
SMCI: Enormous buy opportunity for a $70 Target.Super Micro Computer went from oversold to almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.789, MACD = -2.030, ADX = 39.343) as it is having an enormour turnaround on the 1W MA200 and the bottom of the Channel Up today. This is so far the biggest 1D green candle since January 19th 2024. The 1D RSI is on the same rebound as the February 3rd bottom was, so at least a +158.65% bullish wave is to be expected. Go long, TP = 70.00.
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Opening (IRA): SMCI April 17th 34 Covered Call... for a 32.13 debit.
Comments: High IVR/IV. Selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 2 x expected move 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 32.13/share
Max Profit: 1.87
ROC at Max: 5.82%
50% Max: .94
ROC at 50% Max: 2.91%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out short call if take profit is not hit.
SMCI is a bargain here. Target $90.Super Micro Computer Inc / SMCI is trading inside a Channel Up.
The new bearish wave has already completed a -47% decline, same as the previous one, and the symmetry inside this pattern seems very high.
The price is now very close to the Channel's bottom and is technically a strong buy opportunity.
We expect a new higher high close to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
Buy and target $90.
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SMCI: Channel Up bottomed on the 1D MA50. Long term Target: $148Super Micro Computer Inc is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.184, MACD = 0.800, ADX = 28.146), the ideal condition to go on a long term buy as the price has been holding the 1D MA50 for 2 straight weeks. The goal now is to cross again above the 1D MA200 but that was already done on February 18th and the pattern that has been established is a Channel Up. The market however may be aiming at much higher as the November 14th 2024 bottom was priced on the Head of an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, a technical bullish reversal formation that targets its 2.0 Fibonacci extension once completed. The trade is long, TP = 148.00.
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Put your seatbelts on for $SMCI to $55-65 range- NASDAQ:SMCI traders be ready to pounce and ride the momentum for this name.
- Buyers are getting aggressive and price can easily be pushed to 55 ( 200 sma ) to 65 range.
- $55 seems to be a resistance, if price moves above that then we could be seeing some parabolic moves in this name.
- Please Notes that, NASDAQ:SMCI has to submit SEC filing before Feb 25, 2025 and CEO re-assured that they would be filing the documents to SEC in time.
- So, next 2 weeks, buckle up your seatbelts for volatility!
$SMCI: Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop?
NASDAQ:SMCI : Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop?
AI infrastructure’s hotter than a July barbecue, with revenue up 110% to $14,989.2 million in 2024! But with internal control concerns, is this tech beast charging up or taking a breather? Let’s dive in!
(1/9)
Good morning, everyone! ☀️ NASDAQ:SMCI : Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop?
AI infrastructure’s hotter than a July barbecue, with revenue up 110% to $14,989.2 million in 2024! But with internal control concerns, is this tech beast charging up or taking a breather? Let’s dive in! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Fiscal 2024: Net sales soared 110.4% to $14,989.2 million 💰
• Server Systems: Up 115.9%, GPU servers leading the charge 📏
• Sector Trend: AI demand’s skyrocketing 🌟
It’s a wild ride, fueled by AI’s hunger! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: $2.4B, based on shares outstanding 🏆
• Holdings: Servers, storage, and AI solutions ⏰
• Trend: International sales steady at 32%, showing global appetite 🎯
Firm, carving a niche in AI infrastructure! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• 10-K Filing: Dropped Feb 25, 20
25, dodged NASDAQ delisting 🔄
• Revenue Driver: GPU servers for AI workloads 🌍
• Market Reaction: Shares jumped 19.8% after-hours 📋
Adapting, with investors cheering the comeback! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Internal Controls: Audit flagged issues, per Feb 25 filing 🔍
• Competition: Big players in AI server space 📉
• Volatility: High-growth sectors swing hard ❄️
Tough, but risks loom! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Revenue Boom: 110% growth, $14,989.2 million in sales 🥇
• AI Focus: GPU servers crushing it 📊
• Global Reach: 32% international sales 🔧
Got rocket fuel in the tank! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Internal control concerns, per audit 📉
• Opportunities: AI infrastructure demand keeps soaring 📈
Can it fix the cracks and ride the wave? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢 SMCI’s revenue up 110%, with AI demand exploding, your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: Shares to $50+ soon, AI’s unstoppable 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks balance growth ⚖️
• Bearish: $35 looms, controls spook 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
SMCI’s revenue surge to $14,989.2 million screams AI potential 📈, but control issues add a pinch of caution 🌿. Volatility’s our friend—dips are DCA gold 💰. Grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
$SMCI - Does SMIC file their 10k by 420pm EST today? Doubt it. Not a single company has ever waited until after market close to file their 10k on the day of an EXTENDED deadline to file their 10k. Not one. Ever.
Is SMCI nvda's 3rd or 4th largest customer? Yes.
Does SMCI's failure to get a cpa firm willing to sign off on the 10k mean it will affect nvda?
Buckle up chuck.