EUR/GBP Thief Trade: Swipe Profits Before Overbought Trap!🦹♂️ EUR/GBP "THE CHUNNEL HEIST" – BULLISH LOOT IN PROGRESS! 🚨💰
(Thief Trading Strategy – Escape Before the Cops Arrive!)
🎯 DEAR MARKET PIRATES & PROFIT SNATCHERS,
Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style Analysis🔥, we’re executing a bullish heist on EUR/GBP ("The Chunnel"). The vault is wide open—time to swipe the loot before the high-risk resistance police barricade (aka overbought trap) shuts us down!
📜 THE MASTER PLAN:
✔ Entry (📈): "The Bullish Vault is Unlocked!"
Buy Limit Orders (15-30min TF) near recent swing lows/highs.
Thief’s DCA Trick: Layer entries like a pro robber—multiple limit orders for max loot.
✔ Stop Loss (🛑): "Hide Your Stash Wisely!"
SL at nearest 4H candle wick (0.86500)—adjust based on your risk appetite & lot size.
Remember: A good thief always has an escape route!
✔ Target (🎯): 0.88500 (or escape earlier if the cops get suspicious!)
🔎 SCALPERS & SWING BANDITS – LISTEN UP!
Scalpers: Stick to LONG-ONLY heists! Use trailing SL to protect profits.
Swing Thieves: If you’re low on cash, join the slow robbery—DCA & hold!
📡 WHY THIS HEIST IS HOT:
Bullish momentum in play (but BEWARE of overbought traps!).
Fundamental Drivers: Check COT Reports, Macro Data, & Sentiment.
🚨 TRADING ALERT: NEWS = POLICE RAID RISK!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits before volatility strikes.
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST – STRENGTHEN THE GANG!
👉 Smash the LIKE & BOOST button to fuel our next market robbery!
👉 Follow for more heists—profit awaits! 🚀💰
🦹♂️ Stay Sharp, Stay Ruthless… See You on the Next Heist!
Smctrading
Gold Weekly Outlook (XAUUSD) -28th JulyGold Enters a High-Stakes Week
This week sets the stage for major moves in gold. The charts are signalling liquidity grabs, premium compression, and volatility driven by upcoming macro catalysts.
Key events ahead:
Tuesday: ADP Employment Data
Wednesday: The Fed
Gold is currently consolidating beneath a critical supply zone, suggesting potential for a breakout or rejection. We'll align macro drivers with Smart Money Concepts, ICT methodology, Fibonacci levels, EMAs, RSI, and Fair Value Gaps to craft a precise trading framework.
Technically, price action reflects a corrective phase within a broader uptrend. Confluence support from the ascending trendline and a key horizontal level is in play. As long as price remains above 3342, a bounce toward 3400 remains the preferred scenario.
The broader bullish structure and underlying momentum suggest that once this retracement completes, the uptrend may resume with strength.
🟡 – Summary
🔹 Macro & HTF View:
Bias: Bullish but weakening under premium supply
Key Events: ADP (Tue), FOMC (Wed) → potential for liquidity grabs
Indicators:
RSI divergence (75 → 66)
EMAs flattening
Unfilled FVGs above (3365–3405) and below (3280–3320)
Key Fib targets: 3405 (127%) and 3439 (161.8%)
🔸 Weekly Key Zones
Supply (Short Trap): 3350–3439 → heavy confluence, short bias unless W1 closes above 3439
Primary Demand: 3220–3285 → ideal for news-driven long
Deep Discount (Long Only if Panic): 2960–3050
🎯 Strategy Summary
Short Setup:
Target 3350–3439 → wait for rejection after news
Long Setup:
Target 3220–3285 or deeper
Look for wick rejections + bullish structure reclaim
Avoid: 3285–3350 → indecision zone
🧭 Daily Zones
Sell Zone: 3345–3415 → trap area with FVG + Fib + EMA confluence
Buy Zones:
3290–3320 (primary)
3240–3270 (deeper)
3000–3140 (only if USD spikes)
⏱ H4 + Intraday Bias
Bias: Bearish below 3350
Short Zones:
3365–3405 (rejection only)
3355 (flip zone)
Buy Zones:
3290–3310 (reclaim setup)
3250–3280 (panic flush)
📌 Key Intraday Levels
Resistance: 3405, 3385, 3375–3350, 3350–3340
Support: 3314–3302, 3289–3272, 3260, 3240
⚠️ Final Execution Notes
Stay out of 3340–3326 zone – it’s chop
Wait for confirmation candles (engulfing, pin bars, OB reactions)
Discipline over prediction. Sniper mode only.
Disclaimer: For educational context only.
EURUSD market structure analysis on M15, H1 timeframesH1 Timeframe – Main Trend: BULLISH
🟢 Current Situation:
The H1 structure is showing a clear sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) ⇒ indicating an uptrend.
The market is currently in a retracement phase following the last bullish impulse.
Price is approaching a demand zone from a previous structure, where buy orders may be stacked.
📉 M15 Timeframe – Main Trend: BEARISH (within H1 pullback)
🔍 Current Observations:
While H1 is in a retracement, M15 shows a clear bearish market structure (Lower Lows – Lower Highs).
However:
Price has tapped into the H1 demand zone.
A liquidity grab (sweep of highs/lows) just occurred on M15.
This was followed by a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside ⇒ signaling potential absorption of sell-side liquidity and a reversal in alignment with the higher timeframe (H1).
How to Find Liquidity Zones/Clusters on Any Forex Pair (GOLD)
You need just 1 minute of your time to find significant liquidity zones on any Forex pair and Gold.
In this article, I will teach you how to identify supply and demand zones easily step by step.
Liquidity Basics
By a market liquidity, I mean market orders.
The orders are not equally distributed among all the price levels.
While some will concentrate the interest of the market participants,
some levels will be low on liquidity.
Price levels and the areas that will attract and amass trading orders will be called liquidity zones.
How to Find Supply Zones
To find the strongest liquidity clusters, we will need to analyze a daily time frame.
A liquidity zone that is above current prices will be called a supply zone.
High volumes of selling orders will be distributed within.
One of the proven techniques to find such zones is to analyze a historic price action. You should identify a price level that acted as a strong resistance in the past.
4 horizontal levels that I underlined on EURGBP influenced market behavior in the recent past.
The price retraced from these levels significantly.
Why It Happened?
A down movement could occur because of an excess of selling orders and a closure of long positions by the buyers.
These factors indicate a high concentration of a liquidity around these price levels.
How to Draw Supply Zone?
One more thing to note about all these horizontal levels is that they cluster and the distance between them is relatively small .
To find a significant liquidity supply zone, I advise merging them into a single zone.
To draw that properly, its high should be based on the highest high among these levels. Its low should be based on the highest candle close level.
Following this strategy, here are 2 more significant supply zones.
We will assume that selling interest will concentrate within these areas and selling orders will be spread across its price ranges.
How to Find Demand Zones
A liquidity zone that is below current spot price levels will be called a demand zone . We will assume that buying orders will accumulate within.
To find these zones, we will analyze historically important price levels that acted as strong supports in the past.
I found 3 key support levels.
After tests of these levels, buying pressure emerged.
Why It Happened?
A bullish movement could occur because of an excess of buying orders and a closure of short positions by the sellers. Such clues strongly indicate a concentration of liquidity.
How to Draw Demand Zones?
Because these levels are close to each other, we will unify them into a one liquidity demand zone.
To draw a demand zone, I suggest that its low should be the lowest low among these key levels and its high should be the lowest candle close.
Examine 2 more liquidity zones that I found following this method.
Please, note that Demand Zone 2 is based on one single key level.
It is not mandatory for a liquidity zone to be based on multiple significant levels, it can be just one.
We will assume that buying interest will concentrate within these areas and buying orders will be allocated within the hole range.
Broken Liquidity Zones
There is one more liquidity zone that I did not underline.
That is a broken supply zone. After a breakout and a candle close above, it turned into a demand zone. For that reason, I plotted that based on the rules of supply zone drawing.
Start Market Analysis From Liquidity
Liquidity zones are one of the core elements of forex trading.
Your ability to recognize them properly is the key in predicting accurate price reversals.
Identify liquidity zones for:
spotting safe entry points,
use these zones as targets,
set your stop losses taking them into consideration.
They will help you to better understand the psychology of the market participants and their behavior.
I hope that the today's tutorial demonstrated you that it is very easy to find them.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
#USDJPY: Swing Buy Almost +2000 Pips! Dear Traders,
The USDJPY currency pair appears to be in an accumulation phase at the moment, as evidenced by the lack of significant price movement throughout the current week. Several factors contribute to this trend.
Firstly, several significant economic events are scheduled for this week, particularly tomorrow and Friday. These developments will have substantial implications for the future trajectory of the USDJPY pair. Consequently, there’s a possibility that the price may experience a decline before initiating a bullish trend. We’ve recently seen a strong bullish candle, which suggests a strong bullish move in the coming weeks. Additionally, the strong USD could continue rising, while the JPY is dropping.
Secondly, there are two primary areas where the price could reverse its course. The extent to which the USD reacts to the economic data will indicate potential reversal zones.
It’s crucial to conduct your own analysis before making any financial decisions. This chart should be used solely for educational purposes and does not guarantee any specific outcome.
Regarding the stop loss, as this is a swing trade, it’s advisable to employ a larger stop loss if the price reaches entry zones. The take profit level can be determined based on your entry type and analysis.
We wish you the best of luck in your trading endeavours and emphasise the importance of trading safely.
Please share this analysis with others through likes, comments, and social media platforms. If you have any questions or require further assistance, don’t hesitate to comment below. We’re here to provide support.
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
BTC In-Depth Technical Analysis: BTC/USD (30-Min Chart)🔍 In-Depth Technical Analysis: BTC/USD (30-Min Chart)
🟩 1. Demand Zone Reaction
Location: ~$114,500 – $115,500
Significance:
Price sharply reversed after a strong move into this demand zone.
This zone coincides with a liquidity grab below previous lows — textbook Smart Money trap.
Volume (if checked) would likely spike here, indicating institutional interest.
✅ Interpretation: Institutional demand stepped in, absorbing sell orders and triggering a reversal.
📉 2. Break of Structure (BOS)
Zone: Around July 24–25
Price broke below a key higher low, signaling temporary bearish structure.
However, this was quickly reclaimed after demand zone reaction — suggesting a fakeout BOS or a liquidity sweep.
✅ Interpretation: BOS caused shorts to enter, but reversal suggests a bear trap and continuation higher. The BOS served to fuel a more aggressive bullish rally.
🎯 3. Target Zone
Marked Target: ~$118,900–$119,200
Why This Area?
It aligns with a previous consolidation zone / supply before the sharp drop.
Also overlaps with Ichimoku cloud resistance and previous highs — strong confluence.
✅ Interpretation: Price is likely to face resistance here. If broken with strong momentum, bullish continuation to the next supply zone (~$121K) is possible.
⛓️ 4. Market Structure Analysis
Higher Lows Forming after demand reaction.
Price is forming a bullish market structure with an ascending wave pattern.
A break and retest of the $119K zone could lead to a mid-term rally.
Failure to break could result in:
A pullback to the $117,000 area
Or a deeper retest of the demand zone
✅ Trading Plan Options:
Bullish Bias: Buy pullbacks above $117,000 with $119,000 as target
Bearish Bias: Wait for strong rejection at $119,000 to short back to $115K
☁️ 5. Ichimoku Cloud Insight
Price has moved above the cloud, suggesting momentum shift to the upside.
The cloud is twisting bullish, supporting short-term bullish trend.
However, flat Kumo tops around $119K = likely rejection zone.
✅ Interpretation: Ichimoku confirms bullish potential, but price must close above the cloud + $119K zone to sustain trend.
📌 Key Takeaways for Publishing
Chart Idea Title:
“BTC/USD Demand Zone Reversal | Break of Structure & $119K Target in Sight”
Summary Description:
Bitcoin has reclaimed bullish momentum after a sweep into the $115K demand zone. A break of structure triggered shorts, but demand absorption led to a sharp reversal. Now, price is approaching the key $119K supply zone — a critical level that could determine if this is a short-term rally or the beginning of a new trend. Watch for either a clean breakout or a rejection for a possible retest of $117K or lower. Confluence from Ichimoku, BOS, and market structure support the analysis.
SUI - Just one step away from the explosion!The last candle on the daily chart just confirmed a BOS (Break of Structure) — a clear and strong sign of bullish continuation for the asset.
✅ This is a textbook entry for a long position.
🎯 Next target: $5 — and so far, no bearish signs in sight.
Best regards,
Ceciliones 🎯
Call me bluff 🧾 TradingView Journal Entry – XAUUSD
Date: July 23, 2025
Pair: XAUUSD
Timeframe: 1H (Entry), HTF Alignment: 4H / 1W
Position: Sell
Execution Style: SMC (Smart Money Concept)
⸻
🧠 Trade Reasoning
• HTF Context (4H/1W):
Price recently broke out of a falling wedge on the weekly and created a strong impulsive leg on the 4H. However, price had reached a key supply zone near 3,434, showing signs of exhaustion. No continuation above key structure → likely retracement phase incoming.
• LTF Setup (1H):
• ✅ Equal Highs Liquidity (”$$”) above 3,434 swept
• ✅ Bearish engulfing candle immediately after sweep
• ✅ Two internal BOS (Breaks of Structure) showed clear bearish intent
• ✅ Price returned to mitigate inside a small OB/FVG zone
• ✅ Entry confirmed on rejection wick + strong bearish follow-through
⸻
💼 Trade Management
• Entry: 3,433.5
• Stop Loss: 3,436.5 (above liquidity wick)
• Take Profit Targets:
• TP1: 3,420 (mitigation zone fill) ✅
• TP2: 3,409.172 (clean imbalance + EQ) ⏳
• TP3: 3,388.985 (4H POI / demand) 🔜
• Risk: ~3 points
• Reward: ~15–45 points (1:5–1:15 depending on TP)
⸻
📈 Reflection
This was a high-confidence SMC setup:
• Liquidity sweep ✅
• Structure shift ✅
• Entry confirmation ✅
Only improvement: I could have refined entry on 15m or 5m for even better RR. ATR was dropping, signaling a compression → made sense for a clean move post-sweep.
⸻
📌 Tag Notes
• #SMC #LiquiditySweep #BreakOfStructure #1HEntry #HTFRejection #Gold #XAUUSD #RiskReward
Week of 7/20/25: EURUSD AnalysisLast week's price action was bearish and has finally reached the extreme daily demand level and provided some reaction. Price has swept bulls and bears, so now we follow internal structure and wait to see where price actually wants to go. If internal 1h structure breaks bearish, we have confirmation to trade bearish until price goes deeper into the daily extreme zone.
Week of 7/20/25: AUDUSD AnalysisLast week's price action was bearish and this week I will follow bearish order flow unless internal 1h structure continues to be bullish. I'm going to look for shorts after 1h internal structure is broken as confirmation, then take trades down to the daily demand zone and then look for bullish signals.
BTC wave structure analysis on 4 hour and daily timeframe- Daily time frame, after price gave stop hunting signal, price increased again.
- On the 4-hour time frame, the price broke through the strong peak and gave a bullish reversal signal.
- So there is a high possibility that BTC will continue to rise and break the previous top.
Week of 7/13/25: AUDUSD AnalysisLast week pushed bullish and demand is still in control on all time frames, so we are going to follow bullish order flow.
Looking for bottom liquidity to be taken in the local range before getting in on a long.
Major News:
Tuesday - CPI
Wednesday - PPI
Thursday - Unemployment
Bitcoin - Power of 3 in play!The chart illustrates a classic application of the ICT concept known as the "Power of 3," a theory that outlines a common market behavior pattern consisting of three phases: consolidation, manipulation, and distribution. This model is often used by smart money traders to identify points where institutional players may be accumulating or offloading positions, typically by targeting retail liquidity.
Consolidation
In this scenario, Bitcoin has exhibited a prolonged period of consolidation, where price fluctuated within a defined range throughout most of June and into early July. This range-bound movement, highlighted in blue, represents the market gathering orders from both buyers and sellers, creating a liquidity pool on either side of the range. During this phase, market participants become uncertain about the next direction, while smart money positions itself for the next move.
Manipulation/sweeping liquidity
Recently, Bitcoin has broken out of this consolidation range in an upward move, which is now being interpreted as the manipulation phase. This move served to sweep the liquidity resting just above the established highs of the range. These highs were prime areas for stop-losses of short sellers and breakout entries of longs, making them attractive targets for institutional manipulation. The price push above this level, marked in green, appears to be a false breakout designed to trap breakout traders and trigger stops before a likely reversal.
Possible distribution phase
Following this manipulation phase, the chart suggests we are entering or have just begun the distribution phase, marked in red. Distribution in the context of the Power of 3 refers to the process where smart money offloads their positions onto unsuspecting buyers who entered during the manipulation. The anticipated outcome is a sustained move to the downside, aligning with the forecasted bearish structure shown on the right side of the chart.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the chart reflects a textbook ICT Power of 3 pattern in play on Bitcoin. After a lengthy period of sideways consolidation that built liquidity on both sides, Bitcoin executed an upward manipulation to capture liquidity above the range. Now, with the highs swept and buy-side liquidity taken, the market looks poised for distribution, signaling a probable downward move in the near term. Traders familiar with smart money concepts would view this as a high-probability reversal zone.
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Bitcoin - Last move down, ready for ATH?Bitcoin is showing clear signs of a corrective move within a broader bullish structure. After forming a second consecutive lower high, price is now pressing downward, creating space for a potential liquidity grab and discount entry. Despite this short-term weakness, the macro narrative remains intact. The all-time high remains untapped above, holding a thick layer of liquidity that the market has yet to collect.
Liquidity and Fib Confluence
There is a visible equal low structure around the 107.8k area. This is a prime zone for a sweep, where smart money is likely to trigger sell stops before reversing. Below that lies a Fair Value Gap (FVG) extending into the 106.5k range. Within this same zone, we also have strong Fibonacci confluence, especially at the 0.786 level near 106.2k. This makes it a high-probability entry area if price delivers a clean displacement after the sweep.
Short-Term Bearish, Long-Term Bullish
The market is respecting a trendline drawn across the lower highs, giving the impression of sustained bearish control. However, this is likely a trap. Once the sell-side liquidity below the 107.8k low is taken and the imbalance around 106.5k is filled, price will be primed for a reversal. The true target lies much higher, with the all-time high around 110.5k as the main magnet.
FVG Fill and Reversal Mechanics
This entire drop is likely engineered to fill inefficiencies left behind earlier in the move up. The FVG acts not only as a magnet, but also a springboard for the next leg. Expecting price to show a reaction at the 0.786 level, where the order flow could shift and confirm a bullish reversal, is key here. Ideally, we see a clean sweep, a displacement, and a reclaim of previous structure before targeting higher levels.
Projection and Trade Setup
The anticipated sequence is a sweep of 107.8k, fill of the gap and fib zone down to 106.2k, then a potential reversal structure forming. If that structure confirms, the next major move should aim for the untouched all-time highs, where significant liquidity remains resting. Traders should remain patient and let the sweep and confirmation unfold before entering.
Conclusion
We are watching a classic setup where engineered downside movement is likely to create the conditions for a powerful reversal. As long as price respects the 106k zone and gives a strong reaction, the path toward the ATH remains wide open.
___________________________________
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EURJPY LONG IDEAI have been waiting for this EURJPY long setup to form for the past 2 trading sessions.
This morning I saw this beautiful bullish swing low formed and that is my entry signal for to take a long trade on EURJPY.
REASONS:
EURJPY is super bullish right now.
The Daily and 4Hour time frame trend is extremely bullish. So, am only looking to take a long buy to follow the trend direction.