Raoul Pal's Big Banana. $100 Trillion dollars Crypto market.And how on earth do we reach that point?
Is Raoul's thesis regarding the exponential age accurate, suggesting we have until 2030 to invest and reap the benefits; so "don't F@ck this up!"
As a charting enthusiast, I am eager to see if there exists a technical foundation that could allow us to teleport to those levels and estimate how many years it might take.
Let's examine the entire crypto market, which includes everything from stable coins to tangible real world assets like Gold.
We can distinctly identify three significant consolidation patterns.
Rising wedge #1
a sideways pennant
rising pennant #2
Now, considering this is a logarithmic chart.
It provides us with logarithmic amplitudes and projections.
An amplitude is a calculated move based on the boundaries of the consolidation pattern.
Essentially, it involves taking the top and bottom width and applying it to the breakout point for a rising pattern.
In a #HVF, we utilise the midline of the funnel to forecast targets.
The projections illustrated on this chart pertain to the sideways pennant, employing the flagpole to establish our target.
It is this sideways pennant pole projection that leads us to 100 trillion dollars and beyond. Test it out for yourself if you find it hard to believe these figures could become a reality :)
So there we have it; yes, 100 trillion dollars may appear excessively optimistic and fantastical, especially since we are currently at 3.28 trillion dollars.
However, the charts indicate that Crypto could indeed be the sector where the majority of financial transactions take place in the forthcoming exponential future.
SOL
Solana Still Bearish, Moving LowerI will alert you here when the bearish potential is completely nullified. Right now, Solana is still bearish. This applies to all other major projects that I shared recently but I will also update those.
The maker produced a rejection yesterday, 3-June, as a lower high. This implies a bearish continuation. The two levels mapped on the chart are the main support zone.
Since the first level is already being challenged, we can aim for the second one.
Once the correction is over, we will go bullish again.
Some of the smaller altcoins can grow while the rest of the market crashes down. Choose wisely. It will be hard right now.
Namaste.
Ethereum vs SolanaIn 2025, the competition between Ethereum and Solana is no longer just a rivalry — it’s a pivotal chapter in blockchain evolution.
We are witnessing a clash of two philosophies:
Ethereum — maturity, security, and deep ecosystem
vs.
Solana — speed, efficiency, and adaptability.
📈 Price Resilience vs. Market Legacy
While Ethereum still holds the crown in market cap and institutional trust, Solana is rewriting the rules with superior transaction speed and cost-effectiveness.
The question is no longer "Who is better?"
It’s "Who is evolving faster?"
⚡ Key Drivers Shaping the Ethereum-Solana Rivalry
1️⃣ Scalability vs. Stability
Solana leads with up to 65,000 TPS, attracting high-frequency traders, NFT creators, and DeFi innovators.
Ethereum, relying on its Layer-2 solutions, tries to balance security with scalability.
2️⃣ Institutional Shifts
Funds like Galaxy Digital and Ark Invest are reallocating capital towards Solana, betting on efficiency and growth.
Ethereum, meanwhile, is waiting on ETF approvals to regain momentum.
3️⃣ Technological Innovation
Ethereum focuses on sharding and Layer-2 expansion.
Solana pushes aggressive ecosystem growth but pays the price with occasional network instability.
📊 Market Performance Snapshot — 2025
Ethereum: ▼ 56% YTD | ~$1,600
Solana: ▼ 40% YTD | ~$135
Solana’s DEX market share jumped to 39.6% in Q1, driven by meme coins and retail traders.
Ethereum’s dominance continues to erode under macro pressures and rising competition.
But don’t be fooled — Ethereum's foundation remains strong. Institutional adoption and infrastructure upgrades still offer potential for a rebound.
📉 ETH/BTC Looks Like a Meme
ETH/BTC:
SOL/BTC: Potential -50% in next 160 weeks ➡️
ETH/SOL:
⚡ Where Did the Liquidity Go?
The real question isn’t why ETH is dropping —
It’s why no one cares.
Layer 2 solutions — Arbitrum, Optimism, Base — have drained liquidity from Ethereum’s mainnet.
DeFi activity? → Migrated to L2
Users? → Choosing lower fees and speed
Ethereum L1? → A blockchain for whales and archives
No liquidity = No rally
No narrative = No attention
Funds are betting on Solana and L2, not Ethereum’s base layer.
🎯 When Could ETH Take Off?
Only if we see:
A strong “Liquidity Returns to L1” narrative (RWA could be a trigger)
Spot ETH ETFs launching with institutional accumulation
A new DeFi wave on L1 (unlikely with current gas fees)
Or simply — when the market decides to pump forgotten assets
For now, Ethereum is about patience.
Smart money is flowing into L2, Solana, and high-risk narratives.
🕒 But Time Will Tell...
Today, we debate ETH vs. SOL.
Tomorrow — the bull market ends, and we’ll be discussing entirely different narratives.
Are you SOL or ETH?
As always, stay one step ahead.
Best regards,
EXCAVO
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC (Post Weekly Close Update)CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Post Weekly Close Update)
We’ve confirmed a weekly SFP and observed a bearish engulfing weekly close, signaling caution at the very least. Whether the price corrects to our target, BOs here, or reaches a new ATH remains uncertain, so we’ll play it level by level. Imo, subtle signs of bullish exhaustion are worth noting.
That said, I don’t expect a collapse to 70K, though anything is possible. I anticipate a drop below the key 100K level, targeting the 18H HOB and weekly FVG around 98K. We could even see a wick into the CME gap, YO, and VRVP support observed at 94K. This move may spark fear, traders anticipating lower, with some calling for a bear market. However, I expect the price to reverse, reclaim key levels, and resume the uptrend.
On LTF/MTF - charts, we’re trading level by level. A range may form, allowing the market to gather liquidity to sustain the trend, especially since we missed liquidity at 72K. As long as the price remains below 107K, scalping makes more sense than swing trading in the short term. A break above 107K could target 110K or a new ATH. However, if the price reaches 107K - around 107800 - I’d consider shorting. A daily close above 107K might trap retail traders into opening longs, only for the price to retrace and head lower (keep this scenario in mind).
VELO data:
Market dynamics are stable. Spot is flat or selling, while perps are driving pric. OI has dropped from dangerous levels, and funding rates remain slightly positive. Overall, nothing significant is occurring, which aligns with the current range-bound market.
SOL Local Elliot Wave ii UnderwaySolana appears to have completed a motif wave 1 after finding a bottom at the major support high volume node (HVN) macro wave 4.
Wave 2 has not retraced as deep as other alt coins showing strength in the move up. The downside target is the HVN at $140 at the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement.
Wave 3 should be a powerful move up taking price into all time high.
Failure to hold this support could see price heading back to fresh lows and testing the $90 HVN once more.
Safe trading
Solana (SOL) Rectangle (4H)BINANCE:SOLUSDT appears to be forming a rectangle, clearly visible on the 4H chart.
Key Levels to Watch
• $160: Support
• $185: Resistance
Measured Targets
Activated, respectively, with a 4H close with good volume below support or above resistance.
• $135: Rectangle Short Target
• $210: Rectangle Long Target
Solana 8X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers (PP: 1088%)Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I wanted to give you one more high profits potential, high probability, high certainty, great entry and timing, leveraged-trade.
The Altcoins market is about to go wild and this chart setup can be a life changer if approached with the right planning and mindset, if approached in the right away.
» SOLANA —SOLUSDT
I'll let you take care of the rest.
Full trade-numbers below:
____
LONG SOLUSDT
Leverage: 8X
Entry levels:
1) $182
2) $175
3) $165
Targets:
1) $195
2) $220
3) $253
4) $296
5) $343
6) $372
7) $420
Stop-loss:
Close weekly below $160
Potential profits: 1088%
Capital allocation: 5%
____
Thank you for reading.
If you enjoy the charts, numbers and content, consider a follow.
Namaste.
HUGE INCREASES Possible on PYT | Here's WhyPython is a fairly new altcoin with big upside.
From the earlier two charts on the left, we see that initial downturns shouldn't be feared. Historically, SOL and SUI started with downtrends and transitioned into massive upside alts.
Python might especially see parabolic increases, once ETH starts to move towards a new ATH. This will be due to the rotation of liquidity between altcoins in terms of larger and smaller market caps.
Don't miss yesterdays update on ETH!
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT
COINBASE:SUIUSD
BINANCE:PYTHUSDT
HolderStat┆SOLUSD channeling the sun toward $200CRYPTOCAP:SOL — After escaping a falling channel, price is tracking a neat growing channel between 170$ pivot and 200$ overhead resistance. Repeated consolidation diamonds reinforce upward trajectory and signal strength. Watch 160-165$ baseline—above it, 195-200$ target remains on radar.
SOL Crypto Futures Trade Plan 2025-05-26SOL Crypto Analysis Summary (2025-05-26)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technical: Price $176.77 above 20/50-day MAs but below 200-day SMA. RSI 60.6 (neutral-bullish). MACD shows slight bearish divergence. Bollinger bands suggest price near upper band. Sentiment: Limited positive news impact from luxury watch integration. Neutral funding rate. View: Moderately Bullish (75% confidence). Trade: Long at $177.50, SL $171.00, TP $183.00, 50× leverage, 1% equity position.
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technical: Similar MA and RSI readings; below 200-day SMA. Bollinger bands point to moderate volatility. Sentiment: Balanced funding rate; positive branding news but limited price impact. View: Moderately Bullish. Confidence 72%, below threshold—no trade recommended.
Llama/Meta Report
Technical & Sentiment: Aligns with Grok on MAs, RSI, Bollinger. Neutral overall market backdrop. View: Moderately Bullish (80% confidence). Trade: Long at $176.77, SL $171.74, TP $186.48, 75× leverage, 0.5% equity.
Gemini/Google Report
Technical: Bullish on short-term MAs and RSI but MACD bearish crossover and resistance at 200-day SMA. Sentiment: Neutral funding, niche positive news. View: Moderately Bearish short term (75% confidence). Trade: Short at $176.77, SL $179.50, TP $169.00, high leverage, size 1.
DeepSeek Report
Technical & Sentiment: Highlights 200-day SMA resistance and MACD divergence after 18.5% monthly rally. View: Bearish (75% confidence). Trade: Short at $176.77, SL $181.00, TP $171.74, size 1. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement
Price is above the 20/50-day moving averages. RSI (~60) indicates healthy, not overbought conditions. Key resistance near the 200-day SMA (~$181) and upper Bollinger Band (~$186.5). Funding rates are neutral; no extreme positioning. Luxury watch news is a mild positive but not a strong market mover.
Disagreement
Directional bias: Three models lean moderately bullish (Grok, Claude, Llama), two bearish (Gemini, DeepSeek). Trade triggers: Bullish models target breakouts above current price; bearish models emphasize MACD crossover and 200-day SMA rejection. Position sizing and risk thresholds vary widely (1% equity vs. 0.5% vs. full contract). Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Moderately Bullish Recommended Trade: Long SOL futures
Entry Range: 177.50 (to confirm continued upside momentum) Stop Loss: 171.00 (just below 20-day SMA) Take Profit: 183.00 (near upper Bollinger Band resistance) Position Size: 1 contract (≈1% of equity at 50× leverage) Confidence Level: 73% Key Risks and Considerations: MACD bearish divergence could trigger a short-term pullback. Strong resistance at the 200-day SMA (~$181) and upper Bollinger band. Correlation with BTC/ETH and broader crypto market swings. Volatility spikes can induce slippage—strict risk management required. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "SOL", "direction": "long", "entry_price": 177.50, "stop_loss": 171.00, "take_profit": 183.00, "size": 1, "confidence": 0.73, "entry_timing": "market_open" }
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: SOL 📈 Direction: LONG 💰 Entry Price: 177.5 🛑 Stop Loss: 171.0 🎯 Take Profit: 183.0 📊 Size: 1 💪 Confidence: 73% ⏰ Entry Timing: market_open
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
Solana | SOL spot TRADE SETUP +65%Firstly, let's look at the SOL chart from a larger view to confirm the agreement for a bullish setup.
What we see above is a clear bullish bottom, followed by a sharp V-Shaped recovery in the daily timeframe.
From here, the ideal entry could be within this zone, either dollar-cost average or just one spot buy:
With the STOP-LOSS around here:
And THREE TP (take profit) points:
1️⃣
2️⃣
3️⃣
Naturally with the timeframe of your HOLD increasing as your target moves higher.
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT
Solana, Consider The Bigger Picture —$420 Isn't The Final TargetThe day before yesterday, based on session close, 23-May, marks a strong rejection from resistance, a mild resistance I should say but, this doesn't change much or anything when it comes to the bigger picture and what we expect in the coming weeks and months.
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I know it is Saturday night but still, it is fun to work.
When in doubt, zoom out... What happens if there is no doubt?
Well, when there is no doubt, rest easy and buy more. Hold easy and profits will come.
Notice the blue line on the chart. This line marks the low from 19-May. While we had a rejection 23-May there is absolutely no bearish action on this chart. The following day, yesterday, was neutral and we will see what the market does today.
The action is happening pretty high compared to the 19-May low. This low is the main support zone and also the baseline of our rounded bottom. $160. You can say that Solana is truly bullish above this level. If it moves below, nothing happens because this isn't likely to happen but if it happens it simply means a market shakeout or bear-trap is taking place. Why? Because we are bullish now, the bullish bias has been confirmed and we will see growth long-term.
Are you aware that interest rates, by the FED (USA), will be lowered next month? This will be used as the catalyst for the Cryptocurrency market to produce astounding growth. When this event happens, you should be fully invested, "buy like is the end of the world" remember?
That's the situation in which we are now. Prices are still low.
Prices are not low as in trading at $100 or $110. But you will consider them super low when Solana starts trading at $300 or higher.
Here is the thing, when the rise happens it will be so sudden and so strong, that you will be wondering, "why didn't I buy when prices were low?" "Master Ananda told me so many times, so many charts..."
It is not too late. Cryptocurrency is set to grow. Long-term.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
The Greatest Chainlink Bar Pattern in History: The Crystal Ball For over 700 days now, following this Chainlink bar pattern has been the most profitable bar pattern I have ever found since I began this journey — it’s literally been a map of the future.
But for the first time, there has been a massive deviation. Let me explain.
We must go back to August 2020.
According to the bar pattern, we’ve just completed the same move from August 2020 — but the big difference here is that this time, it’s taken over 100 days to complete, while in 2020 it took just 30 days.
So far this cycle, it's the biggest deviation yet. Which has me thinking: what if this cycle breaks the four-year cycle and we extend beyond the 1,064-day cycle that's supposed to complete in October 2025?
Without this recent deviation, Chainlink would have completed the cycle bar pattern in August 2025.
My Chainlink Time Fib has a hit on this time period — August 2025. Something could happen around this time. This Time Fib has had major calls before, although it has also failed in the past.
The new deviated timeline for the cycle top:
This is what it would look like if the deviated bar pattern was shifted. Could this be a major clue showing us the future again? Are we catching a glimpse of what’s to come?
According to this new timeline, Chainlink rallies slowly until October 2025 — which lines up with Bitcoin’s cycle completion date. Bitcoin has never passed 1,064 days in a bull market. The last two cycles took exactly that long. So it’s interesting that price appears to grind upward to that date and then roll over.
It continues to roll over and apparently has a major retest of the lows:
This shows a retest of $10 in December 2025 — forming what could be the biggest bear trap in history — before a massive rally in 2026 leading to a March 2027 top.
I’ll be watching Chainlink like a hawk this year. So far, it has led the way for me and made this cycle pretty easy to read. Is it possible that the major run happens in 2026?
Stay safe, marines. 🫡
SOL showing strength despite the orange swan event. SOL will either break out or consolidate into a tradable structure. The orange swan event sell-off leading into the weekend is not a good time to enter fresh trades. However, preparing appropriately for what is coming next is a valid strategy.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
HolderStat┆SOLUSD held the support trend lineCRYPTOCAP:SOL sprinted from a falling channel into a sturdy growing channel, staging pauses at 145 and 170. Price now coils inside a descending mini-flag clamped to the 170 horizontal—flip that lid and the 195-200 magnet comes alive, mirroring the flag’s height. Only a decisive close below 160 would dull the current trajectory toward fresh 200-plus highs.
RIZO Symmetrical Triangle (1D - Log)RAYDIUM:RIZOSOL_6NMICC.USD formed a symmetrical triangle, and a minor ascending triangle within it.
Log scale is needed despite the short timeframe considering the volatility.
Clear support and invalidation, with multiple TP targets.
Key Levels to Watch
• $0.000007: Local low. A break below the blue support trendline would invalidate the setup, with this horizontal level offering a more reliable invalidation point.
• $0.000010-$0.000012: Current resistance and minor ascending triangle upper boundary. Also an S/R dating back to August 2024. A break above it could be a good long trigger, aligning with the broader symmetrical triangle breakout scenario.
• $0.000025: High volume node, roughly aligned with the minor ascending triangle target.
• $0.000060: Local high from January 2025.
• $0.000150: ATH area, most likely strong resistance.
Until a confirmed breakout above $0.000012, RIZO remains in a compression phase and a no-trade zone for me.
HolderStat┆SOLUSD retesting the supportCRYPTOCAP:SOL has ridden a well-behaved growth channel since early April. After rejection at 180 USDT, price tests the channel spine around 165, which also marks the April breakout node. Defend it and the upper rail near 195-200 beckons; lose 160 and eyes shift to the lower boundary close to 150.