Solana Update · Retrace, Bears & The Bullish BiasSolana had a retrace in May. Notice the 19-May date on the chart. This retrace produced four weeks red. The bullish move that led to this retrace lasted 6 weeks. The last rise lasted five weeks and the current retrace might last only two weeks, can be less.
We are seeing Solana rising but this rise is not a one-time off event, this is a trend that is developing. An uptrend as a long-term phenomena is different to a short-term bullish moves. A short-term move tends to be really fast, one strong burst and that's it. A long-term move is different. Instead of seeing 2-3 candles and Solana trading at $1,000, we see dozens and dozens of candles with prices slowly rising. There are strong fluctuations but the end result is always up. And that's how you see the fluctuations on the chart.
Solana moved up and then immediately started to retrace. Then another rise and another retrace again. This retrace will end and prices will continue to grow long-term. The bulls are in. The bull market is on. Solana, Bitcoin, Crypto and the rest of the Altcoins market is going up.
Namaste.
Solana
SOL/USDT | NFP Volatility Could Trigger Drop Toward $154!By analyzing the Solana chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $169. If it fails to hold above the $168 level, a deeper drop could follow. With the upcoming NFP data release, increased volatility is expected across the markets. If Solana begins to decline, the potential correction targets are $163, $157, and $154. Watch the $145–$154 zone closely for a possible bullish reaction and buy opportunity.
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
My View for SOLANA next moveMy View for SOLANA next move.
Technically, SOL has been trading within a channel for a while now, with the formation of HHs and HLs.
If fundamentals play out positively long to mid-term, we are likely to see SOLNA fall to $150 zone before another upward leg forms. This leg may rally to as high as $220.
Trade with care.
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Very Bullish!!
Solana chart looks very bullish. The price is currently dropping but I think it is a very healthy correction.
Weekly chart:
1) all momentum indicators just entered the bull zone.
2) The chart is forming higher highs.
Daily:
1) EMA55 finally crossed EMA200. The last time they crossed was October 2023 (see red vertical line in the chart) and it was the beginning of the macro bull trend.
2) Momentum indicators have reached overbought territory and crossed to the downside, however, given weekly momentum indicators have just entered the bull zone, this move is likely to be corrective action.
3) When EMA55 and EMA200 cross, the price often retraces initially to EMAs (21, 55 or 200). Once it completes the pull back, I anticipate the price to move to the previous ATH and beyond.
This is the time when high leverage trading volume increases.
Be careful not get wicked out. Focus on monthly/weekly/daily charts and ignore the noise in the lower timeframes.
Still bullish in the higher time frames Solana has been struggling to break and stay above $170-200 zone this cycle.
It has been a very difficult asset to trade, however, I can see more bullish setups than bearish setups in higher timeframe charts.
Monthly:
1) July monthly candle closed above Fib 0.618 and formed higher high higher low.
2) RSI and MACD are still in the bull zone.
3) Stochastic are in the bear zone, but they are pointing to the upside.
Weekly:
1) EMA21 is still above EMA55.
2) The current weekly candle is forming bearing engulfing candle, however, there are two more days before it closes. It is still above EMA 21.
3) RSI orange line (RSI based moving average) is moving upwards and entering the bull zone.
4) MACD is about to enter the bull zone.
5) Stochastic hasn't reached overbought territory yet.
6) The set up of these three momentum indicators is very similar to the set up in Oct 23 before Solana started a massive bull trend. (see red vertical line)
Daily:
1) EMA21>EMA55>EMA200
2) As I said in the previous articles, EMA 55 and 200 don't cross easily. But when they do, the price often pulls back significantly before it starts to move in the direction of the trend.
3) Daily candle broke below EMA21, however, the price is reacting strongly to EMA55.
4) The price is still higher high higher low.
I will wait and see if the price is going to bounce off from $143 -157 region. (see blue rectangular block).
Solana is forming the falling triangle ┆ HolderStatOKX:SOLUSDT is compressing into a possible falling triangle, with support around 180–185 and upward projections pointing toward 210+. The chart has repeatedly shown triangle breakouts into strong rallies. As long as the lower trendline holds, the upside setup remains valid.
SOLANA could have a major retracement Solana completed a major ABC correction into a supply zone on the higher time frame (HTF), taking out the previous quarter’s highs.
On the daily chart, the RSI is overbought and signals the potential for a significant retracement.
Price action on the 4-hour chart shows a series of lower highs, indicating a bearish trend. If Solana fails to break above the previous high and trigger a market structure shift, the downtrend is likely to continue, leading to a deeper retracement on the higher time frames.
Long-Term Technical Outlook: Critical Decision Point Approaching
The chart illustrates a long-term technical structure where the price has been following an ascending channel after a prolonged bearish trend. However, recent price action indicates a breakdown below the green ascending trendline, raising concerns about a potential shift in market sentiment.
Currently, the $117 level is acting as a pivotal support zone. A sustained breakdown below this level — and more critically, below the red lower trendline — would validate the bearish scenario. This could trigger a deeper correction phase, with downside targets aligned along the red projection path. Such a move may lead to significantly lower price levels in the medium to long term.
🔽 Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to hold above $117 and breaks below the red trendline, this would confirm the start of a bearish leg. Based on historical structure and projected trajectories, this could result in a descent toward the $93 level initially, with the possibility of extending further downward depending on market conditions.
🔼 Bullish Scenario:
On the other hand, if the price manages to reclaim the green trendline and more importantly, stabilize above the $204 resistance zone, it would signal renewed bullish strength. Such a move would open the path toward higher highs, potentially re-entering the previous upward channel and continuing the macro uptrend.
🧭 The price structure is now approaching a decisive zone, where either a confirmation of bearish continuation or a bullish recovery will likely unfold. Both scenarios have been visually outlined — green lines indicating bullish continuation, and red lines representing bearish momentum.
📌 Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
SOL 1H – How This MACD Strategy Filters Noise & Times SwingsThis chart showcases the MACD Liquidity Tracker Strategy applied to Solana’s 1H timeframe — designed to help traders capture clean trend moves while avoiding noisy whipsaws.
The system combines:
✅ MACD momentum filtering (25 / 60 / 220)
✅ 9 & 50-period moving average confirmation
✅ Stoch RSI confluence
✅ State memory logic to reduce false flips
🔍 Strategy Breakdown:
Entry Conditions:
Buys trigger when MACD histogram shifts bullish, the trend filter confirms, and momentum aligns with Stoch RSI. Shorts trigger on the inverse.
Visual Context:
Blue candles = Bullish state
Pink candles = Bearish state
Gray line = Confirmation filter (EMA)
Performance Example:
Caught two major long legs: +27.31 and +26.46
Avoided most chop through clear color-shifting logic
Recent short called the local top with MACD + trend confluence
📌 Why It Works:
The strategy focuses on structure first, signal second — letting trend context and MACD compression guide entries. Unlike traditional crossovers, this approach uses liquidity-aware thresholds to reduce noise and keep traders in the right trend longer.
🧠 Ideal For:
Swing traders on LTFs (15m–4H)
Crypto traders wanting cleaner confirmation
Anyone backtesting with QuantTradingPro or building a trend-following system
This chart shows how combining indicators into a rules-based system can help you trade with clarity — not emotion.
ETF News Meets the Charts: ETH, BTC, XRP, and SolanaFirst you probably want to watch this video:
📊 ETF News Meets the Charts: ETH, BTC, XRP, and Solana 🔥🚀
The SEC’s new in-kind ETF ruling is a macro-level reset. But as always — we bring it back to the charts 📉🧠
Here's the visual breakdown of what I'm watching and why:
🏛️ ETF Approval = Real BTC/ETH Usage Starts Now
✔️ ETF issuers can now create/redeem with actual Bitcoin & Ethereum
✔️ Real spot demand, better arbitrage, and tighter price tracking
✔️ TradFi goes crypto-native — this changes how ETFs settle
But the market? Shrugged.
That’s why we watch price structure — not headlines alone.
📈 What the Charts Are Telling Us:
🔷 Top Left – Ethereum (ETHUSD)
Breakout triangle forming after the unicorn setup at $2,912.
Momentum building for the third breakout attempt at $4,092
🔥 Fuse lit. Target: $6,036
🔷 Top Right – SOLETH
Solana bleeding against Ethereum — just as forecasted months ago.
Rust tech, but memecoin dilution is hurting its institutional appeal. Solana will keep paying for their mistakes and damage done to Crypto!
🔷 Bottom Left – XRPBTC
Wedge breakdown playing out. XRP continues underperforming.
This chart was paired with a BTC dominance hedge — and dominance rose right after. XRP and dark pools is something I will cover..No, i don't like XRP, sorry.
🔷 Bottom Right – Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
Fib extension points to next possible macro leg:
🚀 0.618 = $131,736,
🟡 Final cycle target zone near $163K (or more? or 130k max?..we will find out)
🇨🇳 China: Rumor or Tumor?
Unconfirmed sources say China may be prepping a Bitcoin move. But let’s stay grounded:
🧠 It’s a rumor. Or a tumor.
There’s a 40% chance we get bad news instead — so keep your expectations realistic.
Still, if true, it could mean:
BTC in reserves
Regulated mining zones
Digital Yuan–BTC integration
🧯 Nothing official yet. But timing near the BRICS summit makes it worth watching.
🧠 Key Altcoin Narratives:
🔹 Ethereum L2s (ARB, OP, BASE) – ETF gas pressure = L2 scalability play
🔹 DeFi (UNI, AAVE, LDO) – TradFi flows into real DeFi utility
🔹 Staking Derivatives (LDO, RPL) – Institutions love yield
🔹 Oracles (LINK) – Real-time price data needed for ETF tracking
🔹 BTC Bridges (ThorChain, tBTC) – Infrastructure plays if BTC moves on ETH rails
🚫 What I’m Not Touching:
❌ Memecoins
❌ GameFi
❌ Ghost Layer 1s
📽️ Full breakdown is in my latest video — check it out from the video ideas tab for full context.
Stay sharp. Stack smart. Structure > noise.
One 💙 Love,
The FX PROFESSOR
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
SOLUSDT Cup & Handle Formation CRYPTOCAP:SOL is forming a large Cup and Handle pattern on the weekly timeframe, a classic bullish continuation structure. Price is currently approaching the neckline resistance zone around the $250–$280 level. This area has acted as a major barrier in the past, rejecting the price multiple times, but the structure suggests it's now being retested with greater momentum.
If the neckline breaks cleanly with strong volume, the projected target could push SOL into the $600–$700+ range over the coming months.
Cheers
Hexa
BINANCE:SOLUSDT COINBASE:SOLUSD
Solana maintains its upward structure ┆ HolderStatBINANCE:SOLUSDT is bouncing from the $170–172 zone, building higher lows just below resistance at $180. The structure is shaping into a rounded bottom with signs of accumulation. If SOL clears $180 with volume, targets lie at $188 and beyond. Trend remains bullish as long as price stays above the local demand zone.
SOLUSD 4H — Holding the Line Before Altseason?Solana’s 4H chart presents a textbook continuation setup — a steady ascending trendline combined with well-defined resistance zones stacked overhead. This kind of compression within an uptrend often precedes explosive expansion, especially when aligned with broader altcoin market sentiment.
📊 Structural Breakdown:
Trendline Support:
Sol has maintained a rising trendline since early June, consistently bouncing off higher lows. This provides a dynamic support zone currently sitting around ~$175–180.
Horizontal Support:
The horizontal box at ~$175 represents prior structure highs turned into support — tested multiple times and aligning with the trendline. A breakdown here would be structurally significant.
Resistance Layers to Monitor:
$215 – Minor S/R flip and local liquidity cluster
$245 – Consolidation ceiling from Q1, where sellers previously took control
$270 – Clean weekly-level rejection from January
$300–310 – Final major resistance from the post-FTX crash range; breakout here signals full bullish expansion
Market Context:
The broader altcoin market is coiling, with majors like ETH and SOL holding structure while BTC ranges. If Bitcoin remains sideways or breaks slightly higher, capital rotation could drive a full “altseason” wave — with SOL as one of the first movers.
🔍 Key Conditions to Watch:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
Price holds ~$175 and breaks above $215 with strong volume
Clean retest of breakout zones confirms continuation
Targeting $245 → $270 → $300 in stages
❌ Bearish Invalidation:
Break and close below $175 trendline support
Would shift bias toward a wider range or even short-term downtrend
⚙️ Indicators to Watch:
4H RSI holding above midline (50) supports bullish continuation
MACD crossover + volume expansion = trigger confirmation
This chart is a reminder that you don’t need to chase green candles — spotting compression structures and planning for breakout zones is where the edge lies. Whether you’re positioning spot or looking for a leveraged entry, this structure rewards patience and timing.
SOL - Don't miss the breakout before it's too late!The symmetrical triangle pattern on the monthly timeframe is showing signs of weakening after multiple failed breakout attempts — and now, a breakout seems highly likely.
Once SOL breaks out of this triangle, it will enter price discovery mode , opening the door to a massive bullish move. At that point, most traders will start saying “it’s too late”, while SOL keeps rallying aggressively — fueled by FOMO and liquidity traps.
You'll see:
- People outside the market waiting for a pullback that never comes.
- Traders inside the move getting shaken out by small dips and volatility.
Right now, SOL is still in a fair trading zone and available at a reasonable price .
Don’t wait for it to explode and then chase. Get in before the breakout .
Best Regards:
Ceciliones🎯
SOL/USDT Technical OutlookPrice may push higher towards the $194 resistance zone.
From there, a sharp rejection is expected, targeting the $171 support area.
If the market fails to hold $171, the next potential downside target lies around $140.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $194
Support: $171, then $140
Structure: Rising channel breakdown in play
📉 Bearish scenario activated if $171 fails to hold.
Opened longI opened a long position.
Ideally it is safe to wait for EMAs to line up for the bull trend (EMA21 > 55> 200) in the Daily chart. However, there are many indications that the price will start to move to the upside and the upside move might be quite aggressive. So I decided to open a long position with a small position size.
The reasons for opening a long position:
Daily:
Bull candle has closed above EMA21 for a few times.
RSI lines have crossed and entered the bull zone.
MACD lines are about to enter the bull zone.
Stochastic lines are above to cross and move up.
The price has been staying above Fib 0.236 level for about 10 days.
The price has broke and closed above the descending parallel channel.
4H:
All momentum indicators are in the bull zone.
EMA21 is above EMA 55.
The price has closed above EMA200.
The price is consolidating above the top descending parallel channel.
It is not the perfect bull trend set up, however, there are enough confluences for the price to start to move to the upside.
Entry price: $142.59 (blue horizontal line in 4H chart)
Stop Loss: $130.40 (red horizontal line in 4H chart)
Target: $195 (green horizontal line: Fib 0.5 level in Daily chart and fair value gap zone)
$178 is a strong support and resistance area, so if it starts to stall, I might take a partial profit.
Fingers crossed.
Solana Approaching Key Resistance: watch for $219Hello guys!
Solana has been trending strongly inside a rising parallel channel, recovering steadily after a significant 33% correction. The bullish momentum is clear, and the price is now approaching a key resistance zone near $219.84, which previously acted as a major turning point.
Here’s what I’m watching:
Strong uptrend within the pink channel shows controlled and healthy growth.
$219.84 is a critical decision zone. Price could:
React with a pullback before pushing higher,
Or break through it and flip the level into support for the next bullish leg.
The reaction in this zone will determine the next structure.
Whether we see a temporary correction or continuation to new highs.