NASDAQ100/ US100 SIGNAL -BUY AT BREAK AND RETEST OF BULLISH FLAGTOPDOWN ANALYSIS: Shows Monthly uptrend and BULLISH FLAG PATTERN
ACTION PLAN: 1.) Wait for price to show a break above flag pattern and retest (then enter with a buy)
2.)As soon as market hits a 1:1 risk reward = move stop-loss to breakeven (as we near pivot point resistance) (capital preservation is key)
MAGIC IF: 1.)If market breaks downward with large momentum candles, might be a false breakout (therefore wait for a break in the flag and follow break and retest strategy)
Reasons/ Confluences:
.Clear strong uptrend since April 2020
.RSI Indicator not above the 80 upper band
.Pivots are still bullish and give clear markers for potential price targets (R1, R2, R3)
.Fundamental news showing bullish - as we get closer to containing the pandemic (vaccines e.t.c)
TIPS:
.Stocks are known for whiplash and false breakouts - therefore only take a trade when clear signs indicate an opportunity (in this case a break and retest and possible long wick rejection)
.Nasdaq is expected to rise so any sell opportunity will be short term (selling will also be against market long term trend)
.Make sure to look at the R1, R2, R3 pivot point lines - as price may bounce or consolidate on them
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Southafrica
Possible reversal on GoldfieldsJSE:GFI has bounced off of a support level and looks like a upward move is a possibility. The stochastic and MACD are confirming this momentum. If the price moves up above the 15000 level I will consider a long position. Beware that it might find some resistance on the 200SMA, so if it breaks through that, it further confirms the move.
BID - potential loss of upward momentumJSE:BID is bouncing off a strong resistance level and is struggling to break higher. If it trades lower than 27000, I will consider a short position as the stochastic and the MACD are showing signs of a momentum change. If it trades lower, the two EMA's will also have crossed downwards signaling a momentum change.
AFRICAN RAINBOW CAP INV. Possible long opportunity coming.AIL offers disruptive banking solutions in South Africa.
With such a strong monthly downtrend, we will need some sideways consolidation in this range, in order for us to change the trend and ultimately move higher.
Given the current economic climate in emerging markets, this is one that I am putting on my watchlist.
If we were to see further consolidation at these level, while still holding support as seen on the chart. 220-225 range. We would then look for some expansion to the upside. that being said, a push in the fintech sector might break through some resitance levels, in which case we will look to get involved on a pullback.
** this would be a longer term play and one that needs some more time to play out. I will update as we progress.
Cup & Handle on MTNA Cup and Handle pattern has formed on JSE:MTN .
The Cup with Handle is a bullish continuation pattern and as its name implies, there are two parts to the pattern: the cup and the handle. The cup forms after an advance and looks like a bowl or rounding bottom. As the cup is completed, a trading range develops on the right-hand side and the handle is formed. A subsequent breakout from the handle's trading range signals a continuation of the prior advance.
I will look to enter long if it breaks above the high of 11 Nov with a optimistic target at the resistance around the 8800 level.
Bearish engulfing candle at resistance.After a few doji candles, JSE:MTN has developed a bearish engulfing candle at a resistance level. This is the sign of a possible reversal. I will keep an eye on this and if it breaks lower, I will consider a short position taking it all the way to either the 200SMA or the support level at around 5500.
SOL - Break above resistance could mean upward moveA small inverted head & shoulders pattern has formed on JSE:SOL in the recent past, but it is yet to make any significant upward move because of it. It came up and tested a strong resistance level on the 10th of Nov and then retraced back down. If it comes up again and breaks through that resistance line convincingly, I will consider entering a long position.
Possible short on CAPITECJSE:CPI is showing signs that it may retrace downwards for a bit before continuing up. The MACD and Stochastic are both showing downward momentum and if it trades lower than today, the EMA's will confirm a downward cross. Keep an eye on this one for a possible short move to around the 200 SMA support level.
SHP - Heading for gap closeApart from the double top that has formed, a massive bearish engulfing candle appeared yesterday with very strong downward momentum. If it continues down lower than the low of yesterday's engulfing, I will consider a short position with a target at the close of the gap from the 8th of September.
Sasol- New Chart Work with some changes... Update 1 Hey everyone...
We end the week with Sasol hitting R72 and R122 in one week and as of writing is at R105, We have seen a jump from R91 to R112 in less than an hour.
What a long a interesting week for the markets and Sasol...
I have just posted a revision of my one chart,
I will explain it through updates during the week. I just wanted to end the week of with as much foresight on Sasol as possible.
Please share and ask questions...
As mentioned above Detailed Explanation of the Analysis will follow, please like and share if possible and would really appreciate a follow and a comment and I promise to get back to you.
Kind Regards
Rudi Roelofse
BID bounce off of resistanceJSE:BID has had some good bullish momentum for the month of November so far, but when it reached the significant resistance level around 28100 it failed to break higher and is showing signs of a turnaround for a downward move. If it breaks through the 200 SMA and confirms by a break below the lows of 10 Nov, I will consider entering a short position.