Up-a-Bar, Down-a-Bar? Sorted.Gap Higher Into 5700 Heat
Ever make a tiny tweak to your bias, ignore the noise, and then watch the market validate every inch of it?
That’s the vibe this morning.
Yesterday’s post-FOMC tag of the lower Bollinger Band confirmed the mechanical turn, and if you’ve been following along, that means our bullish bias got an official upgrade. Futures are already up 60 points overnight, price is lifting into the 5700 zone, and yes… that broken wing butterfly we placed in the slop is now basking in the spotlight.
Didn’t catch the full breakdown of that clean +98.1% ROC win? You should. Because boring trades print – and this one did just that.
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SPX Market View
Let’s talk about the move we didn’t miss.
We spotted the sideways chop. The indecision. The textbook “up-a-bar, down-a-bar” noise. But instead of guessing direction into FOMC chaos, we made a minor but vital adjustment:
Bullish above 5600. Stay mechanical. Stay patient.
That call aged well.
FOMC came and went with all the urgency of a soggy biscuit. The lower Bollinger Band tag arrived right on cue, and with overnight futures up strong, we’re sitting in validation territory.
Now today? 5700 becomes the zone of truth.
It’s the GEX cluster.
It’s the high of the week. (so far)
It’s where a gap-and-go or gap-and-fade could unfold.
If price breaks clean, we could see new highs forming into the weekend. If not, expect a choppy pullback from the open before things stabilise.
Either way…
Already in swings. Already got B&B on. No need to chase.
Let the market come to us.
This is why structure wins.
Expert Insights:
Flipping bias mid-chop – let price confirm. Don’t front-run.
Forcing entries post-gap – wait for structure, not speed.
Ignoring prior levels – 5700 is loaded. Watch for traps.
Missing the post-review edge – yesterday’s trade gives today’s confidence.
Chasing noise into FOMC hangovers – let the dust settle before committing.
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Rumour Has It…
Apparently, the Fed’s post-FOMC statement was originally just a shrug emoji and the word “meh” repeated 17 times. When asked to elaborate, the AI bot in charge blinked twice and played a jazz loop. Traders remain unsure if it was dovish or just tired.
This is entirely made-up satire. Probably!
Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity?
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Fun Fact
In 1983, the S&P 500 posted its largest one-day post-Fed reversal at the time, rallying over 3% after a morning selloff – all while inflation was double digits and headlines screamed chaos.
The takeaway? News means nothing if your setup is clean and your risk is defined. The same edge applies today.
