Bulls and Bears zone for 06-12-2025Overall market is continuing to rally in general.
However, market sold off during ETH session and it's trying to recover in the morning.
Level to watch : 6017----6019
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-12: BaseRally In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the markets may attempt to identify a base and move higher (rally) off that base level.
Given the overnight price activity, I suggest the process of identifying the base level could prompt a deeper early decline in price - possibly attempting to retest 595-597 lows before finding support and attempting to rally.
As I've been warning over the past few weeks/months, I'm still seeing the Excess Phase Peak pattern playing out as a Flag Termination - rolling into a downtrend and attempting to move back towards the $480 lows as a real possibility. I've been warning and watching for the breakdown in trend - but we've not seen it yet.
Thus, we are still BULLISH until we get a confirmation of a solid breakdown. That would be a move below the 580-585 level at this point. We need to see some type of solid breakdown in price, breaking away from the FLAG setup and moving downward, before I could confidently suggest the Flag Breakdown has happened.
Gold and Silver are making a big move higher. Gold is finally starting to move back above $3400 and I believe watching Silver, Gold, & Platinum rally suggests FEAR is elevating as we move into the end of June.
I still believe Gold has a chance to rally above $4k before the end of June. We'll see if it happens.
BTCUSD is moving into a DUAL-EPP pattern. This is very interesting. Watch the video as I highlight why this could prompt a dual-stage EPP breakdown in Bitcoin over the next 20 to 50+ days.
Get some.
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SP500 in CHF terms, bearish outlook- checking the SP500 in USD seems misleading these days
- therefore I checked it with CHF and earlier movements made more sense
- RSI bearish divergences were followed in earlier periods
- now we have a potential head and shoulders formation
- seems more likely to head south
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 12, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 12, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
💱 Dollar Slides on Trade Truce Hopes & Fed Outlook
The U.S. dollar dropped 0.4%—its lowest level since April 22—after President Trump signaled flexibility on a July 8 trade deadline and U.S.–China talks showed renewed progress, boosting expectations for Fed rate cuts
📊 S&P Shiller CAPE Hints at Overvaluation Risk
Stocks and bonds rallied following rebound, but valuation metrics flash caution: the S&P 500 now sits in the 94th percentile of Shiller CAPE, and equity risk premium has dropped to zero. Analysts warn these levels often precede corrections
🛢️ Oil Holds at Seven-Week Highs
Oil prices remain near seven-week highs (~$66–67/barrel), supported by gradual OPEC+ output increases and hopes that easing trade tensions will aid demand
📈 CPI Cools Again, Bonds Climb
U.S. consumer inflation rose just 0.1% in May (2.4% YoY), easing expectations for tighter Fed policy. Consequently, Treasury yields softened and bond markets outperformed equities
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, June 12:
8:30 AM ET – Producer Price Index (May)
An early gauge of inflation at the wholesale level—may reinforce the cooling trend seen in CPI.
8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims
Weekly updates on unemployment filings. Key to monitor for labor-market tightening or softening.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This report is for educational and informational purposes only—it does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅SPY went up to retest
A horizontal resistance of 610$
Which is also an All-Time-High
So its a very strong level
Which makes me locally bearish biased
And I think that we will see a pullback
And a move down from the level
Towards the target below at 596.43$
SHORT🔥
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06/11/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +1200
Sleep: 7 hours
Overall health: Good
What was my initial plan?
Did not wanted to trade the market today unless we had multiple signals and confirmations because CPI data had already moved the market so much.
Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 10:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:00 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal,
— 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 11:08 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double signal)
— 11:48 AM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal
— 12:00 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 12:30 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (double signal)
— 1:35 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
Next day plan--> Above 6000 = Bullish, Under 5990 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
ES Futures Play – Long Bias Despite MACD Caution (June 11, 2025)📈 ES Futures Play – Long Bias Despite MACD Caution (June 11, 2025)
Ticker: NYSE:ES | Bias: ✅ Moderately Bullish
Setup Time: Market Open | Confidence: 65%
🔍 AI Model Consensus Breakdown
📍 Price: ~6,027.25
📊 Trend: Above 20-, 50-, and 200-day MAs
📈 RSI: 64.25 – bullish but nearing overbought
📉 MACD: Bearish crossover → possible short-term pullback
📎 Bollinger Band: Price near upper band – may act as resistance
✅ Majority Long Bias (3 of 4 Models Agree)
Grok/xAI, Llama/Meta, Gemini/Google:
• Solid technical structure (higher highs/lows)
• High open interest and positive momentum
• Slight MACD concern, but bullish setup intact
• R:R ≈ 1.5:1 with upside target in 6,100 area
⚠️ Contrarian View – DeepSeek:
• Warns of overextension after a 30-day rally
• Suggests bearish MACD could drive pullback
• Recommends short targeting 5,930
📌 Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Direction: LONG
📥 Entry: 6,027.25 (at market open)
🛑 Stop Loss: 5,980.00 (below short-term support)
🎯 Take Profit: 6,098.00 (R:R ≈ 1.5:1)
📊 Size: 1 contract
📈 Confidence: 65%
⚠️ Risk Watch
• 📉 MACD crossover = potential short-term weakness
• 🧊 Near upper Bollinger Band = possible resistance
• 💨 Volatility at open can cause whipsaw → manage risk strictly
• 🌐 Monitor news/macro events for any directional shift
📣 Are you taking the NYSE:ES long today or fading it like DeepSeek?
Drop your view ⬇️ | Follow for more AI-powered market setups.
COMPLETED 5 of 3 or C RSI bearish Non confirmation The chart is now labeled as COMPLETED . Please also take note of The HUGE difference in QQQ to QQQE and SPY to RSP . Best of trades Wavetimer 115 % short
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-11: Bottom-Base Rally Counter TrndToday's counter-trend Bottom-Base Rally pattern suggests the markets may attempt to find a peak and roll over into a downtrend.
The normal Bottom-Base Rally pattern is similar to the start of a moderate price base/bottom, then moving into a moderate rally phase.
In counter-trend mode this pattern would be inverted - forming a Top and then moving into a downward price trend.
I've been warning of the potential of a rollover top type of pattern in the SPY over the past few weeks - but it never really setup/confirmed.
I'll be curious to see if this counter-trend pattern, today, sets up some type of big top formation in the SPY/QQQ. It might be related to news as well.
Gold and Silver have a Gap-Stall-Revert-FLUSH pattern. This is always an interesting pattern because is suggests price is going to attempt to either gap and trend or stall and revert. My guess is we are looking at more trending in metals today.
Platinum is RIPPING higher (PL1!). Because of this, I believe Silver and Gold will attempt to follow Platinum and move to the upside today.
BTCUSD is stalling a bit. We'll see if we get any big price move in Bitcoin today. After the big rally over the past few days, it will be interesting to see if BTCUSD reverts downward or continues higher.
Overall, today's patterns suggest the markets are seeking direction. Get ready for an exciting day in the markets.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SHORT ON SPY (SPX/USD)SPY has failed to create higher highs and given us a head and shoulders pattern.
I will be selling spy to the next level of demand looking to catch 50-60 points.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 11, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 11, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🤝 Cautious Optimism on U.S.–China Trade Progress
Markets responded positively to fresh developments in ongoing U.S.–China trade talks, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing ~0.6% higher — the third straight day of gains — on hopes of easing trade barriers
📉 Treasury Yields Climb as Auction Approaches
Bond investors grew cautious ahead of a key Treasury debt auction and incoming U.S. inflation data. The 10-year yield stayed elevated, weighing modestly on equities .
💹 Global Markets Showing Resilience
Asian and European markets tracked U.S. gains midweek, driven by trade-talk optimism, despite lingering concerns over slower global growth and debt levels .
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, June 11:
(No major U.S. releases — focus remains on market reactions to trade talks and Treasury auctions.)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
06/10/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Market analysisEOD accountability report: +2575
Sleep: 9 hours
Overall health: Good
What was my initial plan?
I was neutral going into market open, I expected market to pullback a bit if we had lost 6016 but it never truly got lost.
remained neutral and just watched my levels of 6028 and 6045.
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System from (9:30am to 2pm)**
— 9:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:00 AM VXAlgo YM X3 Sell Signal
— 10:58 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
— 11:32 AM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal (triple sell x3) B+ set up
— 12:00 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
1:03 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
— 1:20 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
Next day plan--> Above 6000 = Bullish, Under 5990 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-10 : POP PatternToday's POP pattern suggests a potential big price move will take place. Given the overnight activity on the ES (rallying higher then rolling over), I suggest today's price move may attempt to retest these overnight highs, then repeat the breakdown phase into the close.
The markets continue to try to melt upward. This trend will continue until the markets decide to break downward.
After the deep low created by the tariff news, the markets continue to try to rally to new highs. It is very likely that Q2 earnings data may push the SPY to new ATH levels before we see any big rotation in price.
The markets have a tendency to move just above recent highs, then stall and revert downward as a pullback. This move may be no different.
The continued stalling of price trying to move higher recently suggests the markets are running into moderate resistance and I believe traders are actively pulling capital away from this rally.
The trend is still BULLISH. Stay cautious of this upward move as a breakdown could happen at any time.
Gold and Silver are moving into an impressive rally phase. Silver and Platinum have moved considerably higher over the past 10+ days. I believe Gold is lagging and will make a big move higher over the next 5 to 10+ days.
Silver is targeting $41-44+. Gold should target $3400 to $3500+ near the same time.
Bitcoin made a huge rally yesterday - reaching my 110,500 upper resistance level. Now, we see if Bitcoin has the momentum to carry higher or if it will fail and rollover into a downtrend.
It seems we are right as a MAKE or BREAK level in the markets. I'm still a believer of MELT UP until it fails.
I continue to watch for technical failure - but I've not seen it happen yet.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Nasdaq at Supply Zone – Rejection or Breakout? (READ THE CAPTIONBy examining the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is still trading within the supply zone around 21,850. We are still waiting for a strong rejection from this level, which could lead to a short-term price correction in this index.
The potential downside targets are:
21,000, 20,700, 20,200, and 19,150.
The key supply range lies between 21,400 and 22,200.
Additionally, there is a possibility of a liquidity grab or stop-hunt above 22,200 before any real drop begins.
This analysis will be considered invalid if price closes above 22,400 in the next three weeks.
On the fundamental side, there are several macro factors to watch:
Interest Rate Expectations:
Although inflation in the U.S. has cooled compared to last year, the Fed remains cautious. If upcoming CPI or PPI prints show unexpected resilience, the likelihood of rate cuts this year could diminish, pressuring tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq.
Tech Sector Valuations:
Valuations in major tech names — such as NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft — have reached historically high multiples. This makes Nasdaq particularly vulnerable to correction, especially if earnings disappoint or growth expectations soften.
Geopolitical Risks:
Ongoing tensions between the U.S. and China over trade and technology, as well as potential instability in the Middle East, could contribute to a risk-off sentiment — further supporting the case for a short-term pullback.
Earnings Season Ahead:
Q2 earnings season is around the corner. Any signs of slowing revenue growth or reduced forward guidance from major tech firms could act as a catalyst for the expected correction.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
06/09/25 Trade Journal, and Where is the Stock Market going tomoEOD accountability report: +1800
Sleep: 9 hours
Overall health: Good
What was my initial plan?
Bearish going into the market since we had bearish structure, but missed the short at the start of the market. So just waited for gamma levels to hit orr 1 min MOB to be lost before shorting.
Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 9:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:20 AM VXAlgo YM X1 Buy Signal,
— 11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 1:17 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal (triple sell signal by 1:20)
Next day plan--> Above 6000 = Bullish, Under 5990 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 10, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 10, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📱 Apple Disappoints at WWDC Keynote
Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) faced criticism after a lackluster WWDC keynote. Major AI and Siri upgrades were delayed, prompting a 1–1.5% drop in Apple shares—the weakest move during today's presentation
🎮 GameStop to Report Q1, Crypto Pivot in Focus
GameStop ( NYSE:GME ) is scheduled to announce Q1 earnings after market close. Investors will be watching for updates on its $500M Bitcoin allocation and potential crypto-related strategies
📈 Small-Business Optimism Rises
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for May came in at 95.9—above the 94.9 consensus—showing modest improvement in sentiment among small firms
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Tuesday, June 10:
6:00 AM ET – NFIB Small Business Optimism (May):
A reading above expectations could boost risk market sentiment by showing stronger Main Street confidence.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational/informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Are The Markets Running Out Of Steam? SPY just cant seemed to hold above the 600 psychological level.
Are big players unloading into this positive market strength?
Are we due for a larger pullback?
There's a lot of mixed price action and we just cant seem to make a true breakout.
Some names are underperforming and other names are outperforming.
We remain tactically bullish while trimming keys positions into strength.
Being nimble in this market us key as were seeing large intra day swings.
Short term there is some risk of lower price so we have hedged in some individual names while still remaining bullish.
Oex 4 hourly chart so you can see in detail The chart posted should be view as a guide to what is a Crossroad in all indexes Today best of trades wavetimer!
The Trump & Musk Friends Again - Tesla RippingAnalysts attribute the recovery to cooling tensions between Elon Musk and President Donald Trump, which had previously weighed on investor sentiment.
Additionally, Tesla's upcoming robo-taxi launch on June 12 is generating excitement, with some analysts predicting it could be a major revenue driver. However, concerns remain about Tesla's valuation, as it trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 192, significantly higher than traditional automakers.
QQQ NOTICE TREND LINE SUPPORT I have now started to position for the transition in the markets I have moved out of all calls again for the 4 time in 4 days each of the trades made $$ . but today is day 39 TD of the rally . And I am looking for a TOP in day 40 TD I have now moved to 40 today then 75% MOC in spy and qqq 5550 555 560 QQQ puts 2026 time zone and 650 in spy . The trendline has held rather nice to help make some nice $$ and we if bullish should now be in early wave 3 of 5 of 5 of 5 .So why buy puts NOW simple answer is It could still be wave c up for wave B or wave D. and That today is day TD39 I have posted a possible Major top due on td 40 and The spiral hold up into june 6th to 9th .I know my risks and am willing to start taking the same stand and positions as I did 11/29 12/6 and feb 18th based on the wave structure and PUT /CALL model . I am willing to This is not for all traders . But I am turning down in NYSI and the NYMO is showing buying is running out but bullish call buying is nearing the two last TOPS . I have 25 % cash and will wait for two things One put call drops to 60 on 5 day or 10 day at 65 second daily RSI is no confirmation . 3rd the qqq reaches 531/534 knowing it could extend to 541/555 and similar in sp cash or the DJI prints a .786 this is a lot but it is part of the game plan best of trades WAVETIMER
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-9: Inside BreakawayToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to make a breakaway type of price move - away from Friday's open-close range.
Given the fairly tight opening price level this morning, I would stay cautious in early trading today and try to let the first 60 minutes play out - looking for that breakaway trend/momentum.
Overall, the markets are still in a Bullish price phase - trying to push higher.
But, as I continue to warn, I believe the markets could rollover and break downward at any time.
BTCUSD moved substantially higher overnight. This could be the beginning of a bigger advance higher. But, it could also be an exhaustion move higher.
Gold and Silver are still melting upward. This move in metals recently certainly shows the markets are still fearful of any potential downside price activity.
Again, I urge traders to stay cautious as we continue to struggle within the sideways price range.
Price will show us what it wants to do and I believe this move higher in BTCUSD could be a false type of breakout move to the upside.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SPX500 – Volatile Week Ahead as Trade Talks and CPI LoomSPX500 | Overview
Fundamental Insight:
S&P 500 futures edged lower early Monday as traders brace for a high-impact week.
Key events include:
- US-China trade talks in London (Monday)
- U.S. inflation data (CPI) expected midweek (Wednesday)
Markets are cautious, awaiting clarity from both geopolitical developments and macroeconomic indicators, which could trigger strong directional moves.
Technical Outlook:
The price appears to be entering a correction phase, with the potential to drop toward 5966.
A confirmed break below 5966 may extend the bearish trend toward 5938 and 5902.
However, a break above 6030 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation toward 6098 and potentially a new all-time high (ATH).
Pivot Line: 6010
Support Levels: 5966, 5938, 5902
Resistance Levels: 6030, 6098
