$META Short Swing - Fractal Repeat Play - Sub $600 Target@everyone 🔻 META Short Swing – Fractal Repeat Play 🔁
Entry Trigger: Week of June 10, 2025
Ticker: NASDAQ:META
Current Price: $697.71
Target Price: $593.66
Estimated Duration: ~3–4 weeks
Conviction: ★★★★★
🧠 Thesis:
This is a nearly perfect fractal repeat of META’s July 2024 top:
Identical weekly candle structure: topping wick into fib + supply zone
Weekly gap fill target lines up exactly again — same 15.5% drop
Wick gap fill = $593.66 (same confluence from 2024)
Bearish fib roadmap from 0.786 → 0.618 → 0.382
Volume and momentum exhausted on the run into $702
📉 Trade Plan:
Entry Range: $690–702 rejection zone
Stop Loss: Weekly close above $705
Primary Target: $593.66
This level completes the wick gap fill and matches 2024’s exact structure
Secondary Target (optional): $580.84 (full fib gap + demand retest)
🛠️ Options to Consider:
6/28 $650P or $640P – standard swing
7/5 $620P – for deeper move toward 0.382 and beyond
🔍 Setup Snapshot:
July 2024: -15.56% in 28 days
June 2025: Targeting -15.53% in 28 days
Same gap, same wick rejection, same fade roadmap
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Price Attempting Breakout Above ResistanceSPY (S&P500 ETF) price is attempting to breakout above Daily resistance levels of $594 and $597.
SPY ETF has been in an uptrend since May 2025. A Golden Cross also occured on May 19th 2025, signaling that a potential longer term bullish rally could occur.
Friday's candle closed as a Doji signaling some potential indecision after recent price volatility.
SPY price is not at any extreme level on the Daily chart.
If SPY price ever gaps up and rallies up to the $612 to $620 resistance zone, price could sell off stronger (short-term).
In June 2025, trade deal and inflation news will most likely be the catalyst for further volatility, in addition to government news announcements.
Weekly Market Forecast: BUY Stock Indices & Oil! Sell Gold! In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 9 - 13th.
Stock Indices are looking more bullish. Valid buys only!
Gold is weak. Sells only until there is a market structure shift upwards.
Oil prices have room to go higher. Buy it.
Silver is a wait and see. Should start to pull back this week, as it closed last week stronger than Gold.
CPI Wednesday. After the news is announced, the market should be very tradeable for the rest of the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
SPY Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on SPY and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 599.04 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 570.83
Safe Stop Loss - 616.43
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SPY Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06📈 SPY Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Timeframe: 3–4 weeks
Catalysts: Strong institutional flows, trade talk optimism, solid jobs report
Trade Type: Long equity position
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Bias Entry Stop Loss Take Profit Holding Period Confidence
DS Moderately Bullish $600.02 $595.54 $618.02 3 weeks 65%
LM Moderately Bullish $598.50 $586.70 $616–618 3–4 weeks 75%
GK Strongly Bullish $600.02 $592.00 $610.00 4 weeks 72%
GM Moderately Bullish ~$600.50 $587.50 $627.50 3–4 weeks 70%
CD Moderately Bullish $600–600.50 $585.00 $620 / $635 3–4 weeks 72%
✅ Consensus: SPY is in a bullish trend across timeframes
⚠️ Disagreements: MACD momentum and entry/pullback levels
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Summary
Trend: SPY above 10/50/200 EMAs on all models
RSI: 60–61 → bullish but not overbought
MACD: Mostly positive, DS cautious on daily histogram
Support Levels: $591.06, $595.54, $597.26
Resistance Zones: $600.83, $605.21, $610
VIX: 17.6 (declining), supports risk-on sentiment
News: Trade talk optimism and strong jobs data fueling momentum
✅ Final Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument SPY
Strategy LONG
Entry Price $600.00
Stop Loss $588.00
Take Profit $625.00
Position Size 83 shares (1% risk on $100K)
Entry Timing At market open
Confidence 70%
💡 Rationale: Aligned bullish signals across timeframes, falling VIX, and strong macro sentiment favor a trend continuation move toward $625. Position sized for conservative risk management.
⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations
MACD divergence could signal near-term stall
Resistance zone at $605 may act as a cap
Macro volatility: Strong jobs could raise rate expectations
VIX Watch: A spike above 20 could reverse market trend
Exit Protocol: Consider closing if SPY closes below the 10-day EMA (~$591)
📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT
🎯 Instrument: SPY
📈 Direction: LONG
💰 Entry Price: 600.0
🛑 Stop Loss: 588.0
🎯 Take Profit: 625.0
📊 Size: 83 shares
💪 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: Open
RobinHood - Urgent News - Afterhours SelloffOn June 6, 2025, S&P Dow Jones Indices announced no changes to the S&P 500 index in its quarterly rebalance, marking the first such instance since March 2022. This decision notably excluded Robinhood Markets Inc., despite speculation that it might be included due to its market capitalization exceeding $20.5 billion and recent strong performance. Following the announcement, Robinhood's stock declined over 5% in after-hours trading
The next S&P500 quarterly rebalancing is set for September 2025....perhaps the next leg higher needs to wait until them
As of June 6, market close, Robinhood's stock is trading at $74.88, with a market capitalization of approximately $36.85 billion. The company has experienced significant growth, with a 365% increase in stock price over the past 12 months and a 50% surge to start 2025. Analysts project continued revenue and earnings growth, with an average one-year price target of $51.19 per share
We issued put option alerts to our members and shorted this live stream on Friday afternoon.
SPY: Swing Trading & Technical Analysis
Balance of buyers and sellers on the SPY pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-6 : Inside-Breakaway Counter-TrendToday's pattern suggests the markets may attempt a Counter-trend type of Inside Breakaway pattern.
I read this as a downward price trend (counter to the current upward price trend).
The markets seem to have bounced overnight - prompting a potentially strong opening price level.
If my Inside-Breakaway shows up today, things could get very interesting if a breakdown in price sets up.
Many of you know I've been expecting a broader market breakdown to take place - sending the SPY/QQQ down about 7% to 13% or more.
It hasn't happened yet and the SPY/QQQ continue to try to push a bit higher - but, until we break to new highs, the breakdown event is still possible.
Let's see how things play out today. Platinum is showing that the global markets are entering an extreme speculative phase (very similar to 2000-2008). Transports are stalling, showing the US economy is expected to weaken over the next 3+ months.
Imagine that. Speculation is ramping up while the US market may move into a recession in H2:2025. Wow.
We certainly live in interesting times.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
TESLA PRICE ACTION JUNE 5TH 2025Welcome to Tesla weekly &there is a news about Elon going against the bill from trump.
I will never buy their news as they are manipulating retailers.
I am buying & I have discussed all the important levels here,
If you have any doubts, feel free to leave your comments here.
Macro Gold vs Stocks - Is it finally the Gold Bug's turn?When you zoom out things become more clear.
Has it always been that easy? Easy to see in hindsight difficult to execute over years and hold strong.
Trust the trends and when they break, you best be on your toes. It will never be the same but similar.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 6, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 6, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 U.S. Labor Market in Focus
Investors are closely watching the upcoming May employment report, which is expected to show a gain of 125,000 jobs, down from 177,000 in April. The unemployment rate is anticipated to remain steady at 4.2%. These figures will provide insights into the labor market's response to recent economic pressures, including tariff impacts .
🇮🇳 RBI Expected to Cut Rates Amid Low Inflation
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is anticipated to announce a 25 basis point cut in the repo rate on June 6, marking the third consecutive reduction. This move aims to support economic growth amid persistent low inflation and global uncertainties .
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, June 6:
8:30 AM ET – U.S. Employment Report (May):
Analysts expect non-farm payrolls to increase by 125,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.2%. Average hourly earnings are projected to rise by 0.3% month-over-month. These figures will be critical in assessing the health of the labor market and potential Federal Reserve policy actions .
3:00 PM ET – U.S. Consumer Credit (April):
The Federal Reserve will release data on consumer credit, with forecasts predicting an increase of $10 billion. This report will shed light on consumer borrowing trends and financial health .
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Elon Musk vs Trump: Who you betting on?Elon Musk and Donald Trump have recently had a public falling-out, with their feud playing out on social media and in political circles.
The dispute seems to have started over Trump's new budget bill, which Musk has criticized for increasing the national debt. Trump, in turn, accused Musk of being upset because the bill removes electric vehicle subsidies that benefit Tesla.
The tension escalated when Trump suggested that Musk had known about the bill beforehand and had no issue with it until after leaving his government role. Musk denied this, claiming he was never shown the bill and that it was passed too quickly for proper review. Trump then took things further by threatening to cut Musk’s government contracts and subsidies, which amount to billions of dollars. Musk responded defiantly on social media, calling Trump "ungrateful" and claiming that without his financial support, Trump would have lost the election.
TSLA violated key levels and will be looking for a sharp technical bounce off the $260-$257 zone
$SPY bearish, to break April lows?Most people are thinking that we'll see a correction that goes back to the $560 area and then from there, we'll go to new highs. They also don't think it's likely that we'll retest the lows from April and think it's nearly impossible that we'll break the lows.
However, my base case is that we will break the lows. Yes, in the past, most dips like the one in April were good buying opportunities, but the chart looks different here.
You can see that ever since April, all we've done is consolidate up into a rising wedge.
We look set to break down from that in the coming days. If we do break down and are unable to reclaim the highs, then I think my base case will become the highest probability outcome.
I think it's likely that the move down will take us to the $424- 402 levels. Let's see what happens.
TSLA Backtest: A robo-taxi launchpad? TBD ... 𝗧𝗲𝘀𝗹𝗮 𝗕𝗮𝗰𝗸𝘁𝗲𝘀𝘁: A robo-taxi launchpad? 🤖🚗
After a 20%+ breakout, NASDAQ:TSLA is retesting its 200dma with $295–300 now key support. Hold that — and bulls have room to run to $400+.
𝘉𝘶𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘴𝘩 𝘴𝘦𝘵𝘶𝘱 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘢 𝘥𝘢𝘵𝘦: June 12 robo-taxi reveal in Austin could mark Tesla’s first real step toward autonomous ride-hailing at scale.
𝘏𝘪𝘨𝘩 𝘱𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘦, 𝘩𝘪𝘨𝘩 𝘩𝘰𝘱𝘦𝘴: Tesla's valuation has always priced in the future. This time, the future might show up in a self-driving Model Y.
$NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:SOX CBOE:ARKK #Tesla #Robotaxi #FSD #ElonMusk #Stocks
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-5 : Inside BreakawayToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is an Inside Breakaway pattern - which indicates the markets want to try to break away from the sideways range I've been sharing with you.
Gold and Silver are making a very big move higher this morning - which may be indicative of some crisis or military conflict move throughout the world.
I see this move in Metals as a bit of a warning to the global markets. Metals hedge global risk levels. A rise in metals suggests traders fear some crisis event and are banking on Silver/Gold as an efficient hedge.
BTCUSD is still trading within the sideways channel as well. I see BTCUSD less as a hedge and more as a technology/Block-chain asset. No matter how you slice it, BTCUSD is not really an alternate currency, it is a Technology asset.
We could see some big moves over the next 2-5+ days because of how the markets are setting up and how Gold/Silver are reacting.
Buckle Up.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
The party is almost over for Netflix Netflix is in an area of resistance. As you can see , the trendlines with multiple points are intersecting in this area. The bearish divergence on the Rsi , coupled with the confluence of resistance and extreme valuation, lends credence to a very profitable short here.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 5, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 5, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 JOLTS Job Openings Surprise to Upside
U.S. job openings unexpectedly rose to 7.39 million in April—well above forecasts—indicating that labor demand remains robust despite macro headwinds and trade-policy uncertainty
🛢️ OPEC+ Greenlights July Supply Increase
OPEC+ agreed to boost production by 411 K barrels per day starting in July, adding downward pressure to oil prices and weighing on energy equities
📈 Fed’s John Williams Signals Patience
New York Fed President John Williams reiterated that the Fed sees no urgency to cut rates, citing mixed inflation signals and a balanced labor market—keeping investors cautious on rate-cut timing
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, June 5:
8:30 AM ET – JOLTS Job Openings (April)
Measures total U.S. job vacancies, a leading indicator of labor-market strength.
10:00 AM ET – OPEC+ Press Conference (Post-Meeting)
Details on production quotas for July, guiding energy market supply expectations.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
All-Time Highs (3% Up) or US/China Trade Gap (4-5% Down)?It's summer time (1st week of June)
Brutally slow price action thus far, Non-Farm Payroll hits this Friday
Next week will be more US Inflation Date (CPI, PPI)
S&P and Nasdaq are only 3% (or slightly less) away from all-time highs
Melt-up momentum says it's the path of least resistance
US/China Trade Agreement Gap (that silly little Monday announcement) is 4-5% lower
Whatever we hit, there will be disappointed traders and investors - the ultimate pain trade :)
I'm not bearish, I'm ridiculously cautious as a bull and wanting to see a pullback. I can tell
because it's actually annoying watching the market grind so slow to the upside shrugging
off every bad news bite and sense of reality
The big beautiful tax bill is losing support (see Elon Musk's latest comments)
The Trump Administration has pivoted so hard the other way the market is virtually
ignoring tariff news now
Let price be your guide. I'm connecting the April 7 lows forward and if the bears cross it and price sweeps some lows, there might be some pullback potential in the cards
Plenty to watch - be patient - opportunities await. Not forcing anything for now and I'm
doing the "boring" stuff for income trading.
Thanks for watching!!!