ES Futures Weekly Summary — Bullish Bias into June 7, 2025📈 ES Futures Weekly Summary — Bullish Bias into June 7, 2025
🧠 Model Consensus Overview
Model Bias Strategy Entry SL TP Size Confidence
Grok/xAI Mod. Bullish Long 5,980 5,880 6,120 2 65%
Claude Mod. Bullish Long 5,979 5,850 6,100 1 72%
Llama Mod. Bullish Long 5,950 5,850 6,050 1 70%
Gemini Mod. Bullish Long 5,979 5,929 6,079 1 70%
DeepSeek Mod. Bullish Long 5,979 5,880 6,080 1 65%
✅ Trade Recommendation
📈 Direction: LONG ES Futures
🎯 Entry Price: 5,979.00 (market open)
🛑 Stop Loss: 5,880.00
🎯 Take Profit: 6,080.00
📏 Size: 1 Contract
📈 Confidence: 70%
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
🔍 Key Technicals
Price is above 20/50/200 SMAs on daily and intraday charts
RSI ~63–65 → Healthy but not yet overbought
MACD divergence or slowdown flagged as short-term caution
Near or at upper Bollinger Band = possible consolidation ahead
⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations
🧭 Bearish MACD crossover could trigger early pullback
🧊 Price at upper Bollinger band → short-term pause likely
🔀 Watch for volatility at open or index correlation breaks
📰 Unexpected macro news could shift bias
SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
SPY New All Time Highs IncomingThe #SPY weekly chart is so bullish but don't take my word for it.
Simply look at the weekly bullish crossover that occurred between the 7 week & the 20 Week MA.
The last time this occurred was in Nov 2023 and the markets ripped 19% before having a major 3 week pullback and then another soaring continuation higher.
Bullish Intraday Patterns Everywhere!SPX had a wonderful intraday hourly chart confirmed breakout. This pattern is bullish and likely will continue higher.
The bulls tomorrow would love to confirm the daily chart breakout and will try to push for that.
SPY/SPX is holding more relative strength than the Q's & IWM which is displaying broad participation.
There are many bullish charts showing accumulation, golden crosses and bullish MA crossovers.
The DXY appears to be wanting to break down to around $97.00 which should yield more upside.
We secured profits today on SPY 594 calls & NVDA 144 calls.
We still remain net long and see the S&P 500 over $6000
Apple, XYZ, AI - are bullish setups were continuing to manage.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : BreakAway In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move into a Breakaway type of pattern. I believe that Breakaway may be to the downside, but I could be wrong.
Price has been struggling in a sideways consolidated range over the past 2+ weeks. I believe this range sets up an "Island" type of price formation that is indicative of a topping type of pattern.
Currently, I'm tracking layers of different TA techniques to try to see how price may react in the future. Right now, price appears to be trapped within a range, has recently broken below the STDDEV channel, and may be moving into a very volatile FAILURE/REJECTION phase.
This is where price may attempt to resume trending (up or down) and I believe the move logical move is to the downside at this point.
Gold/Silver had a HUGE MOVE yesterday and are not contracting a bit. I still believe Metals will rally higher and attempt to break to new ATH levels.
BTCUSD is trapped in a sideways price range after reaching new ATH levels recently. Many of you are aware I'm expecting a rollover-top pattern to setup in BTCUSD (and the US markets) and I believe it is just a matter of time to see how the markets react to policies, news, and economic function/data.
Should be an interesting (possibly sideways) day today.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SPY: Bullish Outlook Based on Market StructureETF Strategy: Still Buying for 2025 Growth
I'm continuing to buy SPY and adding other strong ETFs like VEA, QQQ, and TQQQ. The market structure looks solid after the recent bounce, and I’m positioning for continued growth through the rest of 2025. My goal is to close the year with a strong percentage gain.
06/02/25 Trade Journal, and Where is the Stock Market going tomo**EOD accountability report: +1176**
Sleep: 6 hours , Overall health: Health is getting better as I am getting a bit more rest, but can't seem to push past 6 hours of sleep. Might attempt to sleep earlier as i am usually heading to be around 1-2 am and waking up around 9. Also learned that I have pretty high cholesterol last week, so I plan to start implementing fiber pills into my night stack as it is essential to flooding out cholesterol.
**Should I release my daily supplement stack?**
What was my initial plan?
Bullish going into the market as we went over $5900, and looking for BTD at MOB, Flipped Bearish as we lost MOB.
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System**
— 10:00 AM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal
— 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 11:26 AM VXAlgo YM X1 Sell Signal
— 2:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Sell Signal
Next day plan--> Above 5900 = Bullish, Under 5880 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://tradingview.sweetlogin.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Price Testing Resistance Trendline - DailySPY (S&P500 ETF) price is currently testing a resistance trendline above ($593 to $595 price levels).
SPY price in the medium-term has been uptrending since April and May 2025.
SPY price in the short-term has been consolidating sideways, and a large volume breakout or breakdown has not occurred yet.
The 12EMA (blue line) has been holding as support for 5 trading days. Resistance targets to the upside would be $598 to $600.
The grey gap and the 26EMA (purple line) are downside support targets if a rally does not occur this month ($576 to $567).
Breaking news and tariff trade deals are supposed to occur in June and July 2025.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 3, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 3, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🏭 U.S. Manufacturing Slump Persists
U.S. manufacturing contracted for the third consecutive month in May, with new orders, backlogs, production, and employment all declining. Trade-war disruptions and elevated input costs continue to squeeze factory margins, setting the stage for today’s ISM Manufacturing PMI release
🌐 Global Trade Tensions Weigh on Stocks
Renewed U.S.–China tariff threats sent the S&P 500 lower overnight, as investors fear higher costs for exporters and slower global growth. Futures pointed to another rough open for $SPY/ SP:SPX
📈 China Caixin PMI Exceeds Expectations
China’s May Caixin Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose to 50.8, signaling stabilization in export-oriented factories despite ongoing trade uncertainty. That positive surprise may offer some support to Asian equities today
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Tuesday, June 3:
8:30 AM ET – ISM Manufacturing PMI (May) Measures U.S. factory-sector health; readings below 50 indicate contraction. Today’s survey will confirm if the May downturn persists.
10:00 AM ET – Construction Spending (April) Tracks monthly change in total construction outlays—an important gauge of housing and infrastructure investment trends.
1:00 PM ET – 10-Year Treasury Note Auction Benchmark auction that influences the yield curve. Weak demand or higher yields here can pressure equities, especially growth-oriented sectors.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-2 : Post Market UpdateHuge move for metals today. Absolutely incredible.
Hope you GOT SOME.
BTCUSD and the SPY/QQQ stalled somewhat flat today. SPY was up 0.50% - nothing huge.
Going to be interesting to see how things play out in the Asian/European markets tonight.
Buckle up. Could be some very big moves hitting this week.
GET SOME.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
YEN/$USA topped in the target 144/146 and now supported into fibThe chart posted is the USA $/YEN chart it is key to all things as to the sp 500 and debt markets A few weeks back I posted The chart of a MASSIVE HEAD N SHOULDER TOP formation !!! we are still forming the Right shoulder in a rather complex wave STRUCTURE This is the hourly model and forecast so far spot on . best of trades WAVETIMER
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-2 : Gap Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY may attempt a GAP Breakaway in Trend mode (likely BULLISH). But, the Russia/Ukraine war is overshadowing that potential pattern as big news this morning.
From what I can tell, Russia is mounting a large-scale attack after Ukraine launched a big drone attack targeting Russian aircraft.
No matter how you slide and dice this news, it means this conflict is entering a new phase. A possibly much more destructive phase for all involved.
Gold and Silver are reacting to this news by skyrocketing higher. I believe this upward move in metals could continue for many days/weeks as long as this conflict continues to grow.
BTCUSD is trading slightly downward right now, but not as much as I would have expected based on the news. We'll see how BTCUSD plays out this week and if we get a bigger breakdown over time.
Currently, if you had actively hedged your positions, I believe you will be OK this week as Metals seem to be the big movers right now. The SPY/QQQ should react to this war news, but being somewhat isolated from this conflict economically, we may not see any huge moves in the US markets today.
Overall, hedge your positions to protect against surprise news/risks and try to prepare for the longer-term swings. Volatility will stay elevated over the next few weeks..
So, GET SOME.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
UNH: Why I Believe This Is a Dead Cat Bounce(Late posting)We’ve seen a quite the abounce in the market as of lately, but I believe it’s not a real recovery. To me, this looks like a classic dead cat bounce; a quick move up that happens during a downtrend before prices drop again. I’ll explain why I think this is the case, kind of a simple one.
First of all, the grand picture in the economy still looks fairly negative, especially respecting the TRUMP TARIFF new. Inflation hasn’t fully gone away, interest rates are still high, and consumer confidence is weak. There’s no major change in the news or the fundamentals that would support a strong comeback. It feels like people are just hoping things will improve, but the facts don’t really support that yet.
Second, the volume on this bounce has been low. In trading, volume tells you how strong a move is. If the price goes up but not many people are trading, it usually means there’s not much real buying happening. This bounce seems to be driven more by short sellers covering their positions, not by confident investors jumping in.
Third, we’re hitting key resistance levels—areas where the price dropped before—and we’re starting to see signs of rejection again. These levels are often hard to break through unless the market has strong momentum, and right now it doesn’t look like that’s the case.
Fourth, if you look at indicators like the RSI and MACD, they show that the price is already overbought. That means the recent move up may have gone too far, too fast. These kinds of readings usually lead to a pullback, especially when the bigger trend is still down.
Finally, the overall structure of the chart hasn’t changed. We’re still making lower highs and lower lows, which is what a downtrend looks like. Just because we’ve had a few green candles doesn’t mean the trend has reversed. Until we see the market start building a base and making new highs with strong support, I don’t think this bounce will last.
I n my opinion, this is one of those moments where people might get too excited too quickly. A lot of traders jump in thinking the bottom is in, only to get caught when the price turns back down. That’s why I’m staying cautious and watching for signs that the bounce is
failing.
I could be wrong, but right now, this feels more like a trap than a turning point.
SUPER CYCLE TOP SOON IGV WAVE 5 The chart posted is by far the strongest chart within the market and has a clean wave structure from an Elliot Wave view . I have now taken a position for the last wave and will exit and go 100 % short all markets once the 5th wave has reached the targets min 106.7 to ideal target is 111 zone this should be seen based on my work in spiral cycle top is due 2.5 TD days from today with the alt on June 6/9 best of trades WAVETIMER
2007 Top /2025 day 38td t-minus 2.5 days Major TOP The chart in focus is the 2007 chart we are now day 38 in the pattern and in 2007 we took 40td to make a new high And I have posted my models .I see the next rally to reach anywhere from 6035/on the low end to 6177 on the high end focus 6147 where Ax 1.618 = wave C or 3 Best of trades WAVETIMER
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 5-30 : CRUSH PatternToday's CRUSH pattern should result in a continued downward price trend in my analysis is accurate. I have seen CRUSH pattern trend upward sometimes. So, please understand I'm reading the chart and pattern as a rolling top type of pattern leading to a CRUSH (downward) price trend today.
I highlight the potential for a FAILED CRUSH (downward) price bar - whereas a reversion back to the upside is a potential. But, I estimate that potential at only 20-25% at this time.
My analysis suggests the breakdown in price will likely continue, and we'll likely see the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin continue to try to trend downward.
Gold and Silver are moving into a fairly solid Gap-Stall-Revert-Flush pattern that may see Gold attempt to rally back above $3400 today. Silver is currently trading very close to a STDDEV Reversion level, so Silver may not see a big move today (like Gold).
I'm hopeful we start to see a big breakaway move in Gold/Silver today and carry into next week.
My TTScanner algos generated new BUY triggers for GDX, GDXJ, and NUGT yesterday. That's a very good sign we are getting into a BUY/BULLISH mode in metals again.
I got up late today. Somehow, my alarms got turned off.
Happy Friday.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 30, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 30, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🤝 Debt-Ceiling Deal Advances
The U.S. House passed a bipartisan framework extending the federal borrowing limit through September, easing immediate default fears and lifting risk assets.
📉 Bond Yields Retreat
After surging above 4.6% earlier this week, the 10-year Treasury yield dipped back toward 4.5%, helping equities recover from recent rate-driven pullbacks.
⛽ Oil Inventories Jump
API data showed a 5.2 million-barrel build in U.S. crude stocks last week, sending oil prices lower and weighing on energy sector names.
🚗 Tesla Price Cut Spurs EV Rally
Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) cut Model 3 prices by 3% in the U.S., igniting a broader EV stock rally as investors priced in renewed demand ahead of summer driving season.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, May 30:
8:30 AM ET: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for April
Measures core inflation trends—Fed’s preferred gauge of consumer-price pressures.
10:00 AM ET: Pending Home Sales for April
Tracks signed contracts on existing homes; a leading indicator for the housing market.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY, SPX, IWM, Natural Gas, NVDA, XYZ, AI - Analysis- Markets sold off into the NVDA rally this morning.
- Small afternoon rally turned indices back green
- Major pre market high levels up ahead likely allow us to push higher in coming days.
- NVDA should retest its premarket high levels.
- Profits secured on AI calls!
- Structurally indices are still bullish and remain above key levels.
- Yields see nasty reversal lower and look to be going down.
- Natural Gas trying to lure investors with a bottoming tail - but i think its false hope.