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SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.14.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: Trump Signs Reciprocal Tariffs Executive Order: President Donald Trump has signed an executive order imposing reciprocal tariffs on countries with trade barriers against the U.S. The tariffs will not take effect immediately, which has been well-received by the markets. Potential Ukraine Peace Talks: The U.S. is initiating discussions with Russia and Ukraine to potentially end the ongoing conflict. This development has led to a decrease in crude oil prices and could influence global markets. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📅 Friday, Feb 14: 🛍️ Retail Sales (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: -0.1% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM. 🌐 U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes (8:30 AM ET): Import Prices: Forecast: +0.5% MoM; Previous: +0.1% MoM. Export Prices: Forecast: Data not available; Previous: +0.3% MoM 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #daytrading #charting #trendtao
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
$XBI Starting New Bullish Trend?AMEX:XBI has been range bound (wide range) for a year. Recently it has been in a downtrend as defined by lower highs and lower lows. However, it looks like we now have a recent higher high and (maybe) a higher low. There are still technical challenges like it is under all moving averages. It would look much better once it gets above the shorter-term MAs which are all declining. The MACD is on a slight downward slope as well. Having pointed all that out, I will be looking at a lower time period chart to get an early entry with a tight stop. If I do take a trade on this, I will post the chart I am looking at. All TBD. This is my idea, if you like it, please make the trade your own and follow your own trading rules.
AMEX:XBILong
by jaxdog
$SNOW Trying to Break-Out NYSE:SNOW as of today has tested the breakout / resistance area Six times in the last 9 trading sessions. Today it tried again but it is hard to fight the market trend. However, the more it tests this area the more likely it is to successfully breakout. As always, there is no guarantee that it will or will continue higher. I am long this name at 186.90 and have a stop just below the most recent low @ 175.25. Once it breaks out and holds, I will use a trailing stop on the 21 EMA (green). It will need to close convincingly under the 21 EMA. Let’s see what happens. If you like this idea, please make sure it fits your trading plan.
NYSE:SNOWLong
by jaxdog
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 2-13: Harami Inside PatternToday's pattern is a Harami Inside pattern. This suggests the markets will stay rather muted today - attempting to stay within yesterday's high/low range. I believe the markets are still struggling to identify a channel that will ultimately break to the downside. You'll see in this video why I believe the markets are struggling and will attempt to confirm the multiple Excess Phase Peak patterns over the next 20+ days - attempting to move downward. But, we do have a very interesting FLAG/CHANNEL setup on the NQ, which is somewhat confirmed on the ES. What I can guarantee is that we will see extreme volatility over the next 20-30+ days as price moves into the Flag Apex - attempting to break away from the Apex level. Thank you for all your support and understanding yesterday. Dad is good. No issues. The VA out here is great (Long Beach). Probably the best center for spinal recovery in the US. I love the people up there and how they take care of my father. I urge everyone to stay cautious until the end of this week. As you know, I expect a breakdown into new lows. We'll see if it plays out as I expect over the next week+. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-12: Base Rally PatternAlthough I believe the Base Rally pattern is still valid, the markets have been wound tightly near recent highs and I belive this unwinding/breakdown is what I have been suggesting (the Deep-V breakdown) for more than 35+ days. I believe the sticky inflation data (CPI) will overpower the Base Rally pattern today and we will see the SPY/QQQ move downward into the Deep-V lows - likely setting up by Friday/Monday of this week. I'm sorry I'm not able to create a morning video. I'm taking my disabled VET father to his annual checkup this morning. He is still sleeping and I don't want to wake him up. So, you get this content as a substitute. Be prepared for the markets to FLUSH OUT a low and try to grab some easy profits throughout today and tomorrow as the markets struggle to find support. Remember, the broader cycle patterns can sometimes overpower the Daily Cycle Patterns. This happens when NEWS overpowers a Daily cycle pattern construct. In this case, the CPI data is overpowering the Base Rally Daily Cycle Pattern. Ultimately, the markets will find support and move into a brief recovery phase. Get some.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by BradMatheny
2
$IWM Trending UpThe Russell 200 Index is clearly in an established uptrend as you can see on this weekly chart. The CPI number out this morning looks like it will push it back to the lower trendline. If recent history is still intact (it is for now), there may be an opportunity for a long trade on a reversal. All TBD. My plan is to wait for a reversal back to the upside then look for a low-risk reward entry. There is an area of resistance around that horizontal line as well. Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
AMEX:IWMLong
by jaxdog
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.12.2025🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News: 🇺🇸🏛️ Fed Chair Powell Testifies: At 10:00 AM ET, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will testify before Congress, providing insights into the economic outlook and potential monetary policy adjustments. 📊 Key Data Releases: 📅 Wednesday, Feb 12: 🏢 Consumer Price Index (CPI) (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.4% MoM. 📈 Core CPI (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3% MoM; Previous: +0.2% MoM. 📉 CPI (YoY) (Jan): Expected 2.9%; Previous 2.9%. 📉 Core CPI (YoY) (Jan): Expected 3.1%; Previous 3.2%. 🛢️ EIA Crude Oil Inventories (10:30 AM ET): Previous: +8.664M. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by TrendTao
$BA Getting Ready to Resume the Uptrend?Boeing had formed a cup with handle formation that it “tried” to breakout from at earnings. That breakout failed but not by much. It broke out again on February 6th and has since been forming what looks like a bull flag. I had an alert set on the horizontal line of resistance (breakout area) and I took a long position with a stop just below today’s low. To confirm the continuation of the uptrend, it needs to break above the bull flag. If it does that I will look to add to my position. This is my idea of how I look to make trades. If you like it, please make it your own trade, and follow “your” trading rules.
NYSE:BALong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-11 : GAP DefenderThe GAP Defender pattern is where price struggles to maintain a recent open GAP - attempting to defend against closing that GAP. In my mind, this is the lower GAP window between 601.30 and 602.75 (yesterday's opening GAP range). If this recent gap is filled, then I suggest the SPY will attempt to move downward (into my Deep-V breakdown) trying to target the lower GAP near 584.29. Watch Gold and Silver as they continue to breakdown. Any big breakdown in metals should be considered a warning sign the markets are moving into a PANIC phase (selling). We have lots of news today (Powell and other Fed members testifying) while we just found out Trump initiated a larger tariff on steel. I believe the strength of the US Dollar will continue to put pressure on global currencies - possibly leading to even more foreign market distress. This may result in a broader global market breakdown over the next 5-10 trading days. Remember, we have the Deep-V pattern setting up this week and another Major Bottom pattern setting up on Feb 21. I interpret this as a dual-breakdown event - where price attempts to move downward and tries to identify solid support. Bitcoin will likely follow this trend downward over the next 5 to 10+ days. Buckle up. It looks like today may be the day my Deep-V breakdown starts to drive prices lower for the SPY/QQQ and other major sectors. We'll see how things play out. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
13
Your Vote Counts - Help Build the Ultimate Index Watchlist!Hey, I need your help again - this will only take a minute! I’ve said it before, here and to my Substackers: I want to be your reminder to invest . Because let’s be honest, steadily growing your wealth might not be thrilling but it should be your goal! Yes, individual stocks have their place (and I’ll keep sharing ideas on those too), but indexes should be a key part of a solid portfolio. Today’s focus? Maximizing your index purchases. 📊 Proven strategy: A few weeks ago, I ran an experiment comparing QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF), SPY (S&P 500 ETF), and IWM (Russell 2000 ETF). Using technical analysis, I outperformed two of them. The tests showed that blind purchasing could be costly: for instance, regular SPY purchases would have left $100,000 on the table, and IWM even more. But here’s the point: this isn’t about blindly picking an index - it’s about timing, risk optimization, and smart diversification. 💡 Now, it’s YOUR turn! Drop two indexes in the comments that you want me to analyze every single month. You decide the final list (likely 4-5 indexes), and I’ll cover them consistently. Whether it’s S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, DAX, Euro Stoxx 50, Russell 2000, or others - you pick, I deliver. 📈 How this helps YOU? ✔️ No overthinking : "What should I buy this month?" - just wait for my post and see the TOP picks ✔️ Keeps you engaged and active in the market ✔️ Builds consistency in your investing ✔️ Ensures every allocation works harder for you ⬇️ Comment your picks below, and let’s make every move count! 🚀 Cheers, Vaido
SP:SPXLong
by VaidoVeek
22
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update - Watching Paint Dry...Today's market seems to be trapped in a "go nowhere" zone. Get thread though. The markets will react to my Deep-V and Breakdown patterns with some aggression in the near future (24 to 48+ hours). Buckle up. This is going to get very interesting as the SPY attempts to move down to 585-590 - or lower. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-10: EveningStar Island PatternThroughout the past week and a half, I've been watching the markets as I prepare for what I believe will be a sudden and fairly aggressive Deep-V setup between 2-10 and 2-13. Yes, that means RIGHT NOW we are sitting on top of a potentially aggressive type of FLASH market move to the downside. Will it come from news, or someone's comments (think Fed comments or news), or will it come from some other source - if it shows up at all. I'm sticking to my Deep-V analysis because I have no reason to believe it is wrong. We may see a mild type of Deep-V pattern, but I believe it will happen anyway. So, as we move into this week's trading, I want to urge everyone to stay very cautious of a potential FLASH breakdown into my Deep-V type of price activity. As you may get trapped into longs and feel comfortable entering some solid bullish price trends/trades, be aware that this FLASH breakdown (Deep-V pattern) may still be lurking behind what appears to be a solid uptrend (for now). Gold and Silver are falling - which is perfect for my Expansion Phase rally to $4400+ (gold). Bitcoin is stalling - preparing for a breakdown. This is the time to prepare for the rest fo 2025. Follow my research to know when you JUMP INTO the markets for greater success. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
2
MyMI After-Hours Update: S&P 500 Potential Pullback?As the White House proposes 25% Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum imported to the US, and with the current resistance we're seeing around the $6069 Price Level, we're now looking for a potential pullback as more import duties are to be included along with Steel and Aluminum come Tuesday / Wednesday of this week. If we do see a pullback, we're looking to see if it break support on the 50% Retracement and even further below are the $6021 Price Levels, but even more so, the $5960s. Going to be an interesting one to watch! Stay connected by registering your FREE account on our website to access even more resources and tools to improve managing your financials and investments. LINK IN BIO!
CME_MINI:ESH2025Short
by MyMIWallet
1
CRASH - CRASH - CRASH - Don't believe a word of it...I created this video because I'm seeing a bunch of content/videos where everyone is suddenly calling for a CRASH. and I laugh about it. If you want to believe the markets are going to CRASH - go for it. Sell everything. Bet the farm on the CRASH. Leverage your house and everything you own to bet on the CRASH. It's not going to happen soon. My research is very clear. I believe the first opportunity for a deep (more than 25-35%) market pullback will happen after late 2029 and into 2030. Until then, we are going to see moderate pullbacks in a very solid uptrend. Watch this video and learn why real research and modeling systems don't react to the Crash-Dummies that continually push out CLICK-BAIT. It's time to get real about your trading and investing. If you are following someone who continually calls for a market crash - good luck. At some point, you are going to come to the realization they are wrong 90% of the time. Try to find someone you trust who provides clear, timely, and ACCURATE forecasts. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
FX:NAS100Long
by BradMatheny
64
$QQQ Wedging on the 65 Minute Chart (VCP)NASDAQ:QQQ is clearly in a wedging pattern. These types of patterns “usually” resolve in the direction of the larger trend. In this case that trend is still up. This is a news driven market now so anything can happen. I have an alert set at both the top and bottom of the wedge lines. I do not plan to short this market, but should it break down, I may want to reduce my exposure. And if it breaks to the upside, I may add more exposure. I am giving my observation of the market. Nothing more.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by jaxdog
Weekly Market Forecast: S&P, NAS & DOW Are Still Bullish!This forecast is for the week of Feb 10-14th. The S&P500, the NASDAQ, and the DOW JONES are still bullish overall, despite last weeks NFP news that saw the markets move lower. Until there is a bearish break in market structure, it is buys all the way. Let the markets reach the buy zones and wait for the bullish market structure shift. That is the time to take valid buy setups. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by RT_Money
$CWAN Ready to Break Out of The Flat Base? NYSE:CWAN is a name most of us have never heard of. They serve hedge funds, asset managers, and insurance clients with Analytic software. It looks like it is in the process of putting in a higher low. It has regained the 8 and 20 EMAs and the MACD has turned positive. It can still go either way. There is overhead resistance at both the upper horizonal line on the chart and the now downward sloping 50 DMA (red). I have an alert set on the upper resistance line around 29.50. Should that trigger, I will go to a lower timeframe like a 5-minute chart to see if I can get a good entry. My stop, if I take the trade would be on a close below the 20 EMA (green). Making for a tight and good risk reward trade. I do not set targets, but I do think it has a chance to get back up to around 32.00 – 32.50. Which is around a 13% gain if that were to happen. If you like this idea, make it your own trade that fits your trading style.
NYSE:CWANLong
by jaxdog