Why Most Traders Missed This Starbucks Swing Trade (SBUX)Most traders miss the forest for the trees. They spend their entire day glued to intraday charts, scalping for a few cents, and they completely ignore the bigger picture. But here’s the truth: the biggest moves, the cleanest swing trades, come from the higher timeframes — monthly and weekly charts. Today, I will break down why that matters, and we’ll use Starbucks stock, ticker SBUX, as a perfect example.
The Importance of Bigger Timeframes
When you zoom out to the monthly timeframe, you’re looking at where the real money plays — hedge funds, institutions, the smart money. These guys aren’t trading 5-minute charts. They’re building positions in massive supply and demand imbalances.
If you ignore those levels, you’re basically trading blind. It’s like trying to surf without paying attention to the tide. You might catch a wave or two, but eventually, the tide will wipe you out.”
Starbucks Monthly Demand at $79.68
Let’s look at Starbucks. Right now, we’ve got a strong monthly demand imbalance of around $79.68. Price dropped into that zone, and what happens next? Buyers step in, and bullish candlesticks start forming.
This isn’t magic. This is pure supply and demand. At that price, Starbucks became too cheap for the big players to ignore. They’re scooping it up, and as a result, smaller timeframes start printing bullish price action. The monthly demand fuels the fire.
There is room to reach the tested monthly supply at $110.
Starbucksignals
Why Starbucks is a great investment opportunityStarbucks, the renowned coffeehouse chain, has become a household name for many people across the globe. With over 30,000 stores in more than 80 countries, Starbucks has established itself as one of the leading players in the restaurant industry. Its strong financial performance and impressive growth potential have made it a hot pick for investors looking to invest in this sector. In this section, I will analyse Starbucks’ weekly timeframe by wearing the supply and demand imbalances glasses. As supply and demand traders, we do not need to understand the company’s forecasts and financial performance to analyze its growth potential. We only need to know where the imbalances in price are on a price chart.
The stock is currently trading at $96 per share. It’s very close to a strong demand imbalance sitting at $94.19. We expect the stock to rally to $104 and much higher.
STARBUCKS It isn't time for coffee yet..The Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) has been declining aggressively since early May 2023 as fundamentals failed to keep the mid-2022 rally going. Now there are heavy technicals for the stock to consider as last month (chart on the right) it closed the 1M candle below the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 11 months. On the weekly (chart on the left), it is already below both the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
The long term pattern since the March 2020 COVID crash is a Triangle and the current Support is its Higher Lows trend-line. The 1W RSI also has a Higher Lows trend-line to consider, so we will wait for a test and clear rebound on the former. On the 1M time-frame, it's the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) that was touched during the previous two Higher Lows and provided a strong rebound and bullish reversal as it rose and left a big candle wick behind, emphatically indicating the presence of long-term investors. Similarly the 1M RSI has a Support Zone to consider. We think it is possible for both the 1W and 1M RSI to touch its respective Support levels sideways as the price's drop decelerates near the Higher Lows.
In conclusion our Buy Zone is within the Higher Lows trend-line and the 1M MA100. The target will be the Lower Highs trend-line at $105.00.
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